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Key Tronic Corp. (KTCC)
NASDAQ:KTCC
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Key Tronic (KTCC) AI Stock Analysis

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KTCC

Key Tronic

(NASDAQ:KTCC)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▼(-6.72% Downside)
Key Tronic's overall stock score is driven by significant financial challenges, bearish technical indicators, and unattractive valuation metrics. The company's strategic initiatives and operational improvements are overshadowed by declining revenue, profitability issues, and market uncertainties.

Key Tronic (KTCC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Key Tronic Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKey Tronic Corporation provides contract manufacturing services to original equipment manufacturers in the United States and internationally. The company offers integrated electronic and mechanical engineering, assembly, sourcing and procurement, logistics, and new product testing services. Its services include product design; surface mount technologies and pin through hole capability for printed circuit board assembly; tool making; precision plastic molding; sheet metal fabrication and painting; liquid injection molding; complex assembly; automated tape winding; prototype design; and full product assembly services. The company also manufactures and sells keyboards and other input devices. It markets its products and services primarily through field sales people and distributors. Key Tronic Corporation was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Spokane Valley, Washington.
How the Company Makes MoneyKey Tronic generates revenue through multiple streams primarily based on its electronic manufacturing services. The company earns money by providing contract manufacturing services, where it assembles electronic components for clients, including OEMs (Original Equipment Manufacturers) and other businesses. Revenue is derived from the manufacturing of circuit boards and complete product assemblies, with pricing typically based on the volume and complexity of the orders. Additionally, Key Tronic benefits from long-term partnerships with various industry players, which provide a steady flow of orders. Factors contributing to its earnings include operational efficiency, competitive pricing, and a reputation for high-quality production, which help to attract and retain customers.

Key Tronic Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
While Key Tronic has made strategic improvements and expanded its capabilities, significant revenue decline and a net loss overshadow these positives. Challenges from customer demand reduction and market uncertainties continue to pose risks.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Initiatives and Operational Improvements
Key Tronic has made strategic cost-saving initiatives and operational adjustments, resulting in improved gross margin from 6.2% in the previous quarter to 8.4% in this quarter.
Debt Reduction and Cash Flow Management
The company reduced total liabilities by $21.8 million or 9% from a year ago and generated approximately $7.6 million in cash flow from operations, allowing a debt reduction of approximately $12 million year-over-year.
New Production and Facility Expansion
Key Tronic opened a new technology and R&D location in Arkansas and doubled its manufacturing capacity in Vietnam, positioning itself for future growth.
Consigned Materials Program Potential
The new consigned materials program, expected to grow to over $20 million in annual revenue, could improve profitability due to its impact on margins.
Negative Updates
Significant Revenue Decline
Total revenue for the first quarter of fiscal 2026 was $98.8 million, down from $131.6 million in the same period of fiscal 2025, due to reduced demand and delays in new program launches.
Net Loss and Operating Margin Decline
The company reported a net loss of $2.3 million compared to a net income of $1.1 million in the same period last year, with an operating margin of -0.6% down from 3.4%.
Customer Bankruptcy Impact
A customer bankruptcy led to $1.6 million in inventory and accounts receivable reserves, impacting the financial results negatively.
Market Uncertainty and Tariffs
Uncertainty surrounding global tariffs and macroeconomic outlook has delayed new program ramps and impacted revenue.
Company Guidance
During the Key Tronic First Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Investor Call, the company reported a total revenue of $98.8 million, down from $131.6 million in the same period of fiscal year 2025. The gross margin for Q1 FY2026 was 8.4%, an improvement from 6.2% in the previous quarter, but lower than 10.1% in Q1 FY2025. This decline was attributed to reduced revenue, inventory, and accounts receivable reserves due to a customer bankruptcy. The operating margin was negative 0.6%, compared to 3.4% in Q1 FY2025, and the net loss stood at $2.3 million, or $0.21 per share, in contrast to a net income of $1.1 million, or $0.10 per share, in Q1 FY2025. The company's adjusted net loss was $1.1 million, or $0.10 per share, compared to an adjusted net income of $2.8 million, or $0.26 per share, in the same period of the previous year. Despite these challenges, Key Tronic reduced its total liabilities by $21.8 million, or 9%, from a year ago, and improved accounts receivable DSOs to 81 days from 92 days. The company is focusing on expanding production in the U.S. and Vietnam, and it anticipates growth in these regions as well as in Mexico. Additionally, Key Tronic is not providing forward-looking guidance for Q2 FY2026 due to uncertainties in new product ramping.

Key Tronic Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Key Tronic faces significant financial challenges, including declining revenue and profitability issues, high leverage, and negative returns. Cash flow management is strained with declining free cash flow and limited operational cash generation.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Key Tronic's income statement reveals declining revenue with a negative growth rate of -7.01% in the TTM period. The company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -2.69% and a negative EBIT margin of -1.03%. The gross profit margin is relatively low at 7.21%, indicating challenges in cost management. Overall, the income statement suggests financial difficulties and a need for strategic improvements.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.06, indicating significant leverage. Return on equity is negative at -9.93%, reflecting poor profitability. However, the equity ratio is reasonable, suggesting some stability in asset management. The balance sheet highlights financial risk due to high leverage and negative returns.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by -34.70% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.18, indicating limited cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.58, suggesting some ability to cover net losses. Overall, cash flow management appears strained, with declining free cash flow and limited operational cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue435.06M467.87M566.94M605.32M531.82M518.70M
Gross Profit31.38M36.43M39.95M47.55M43.21M42.04M
EBITDA4.60M10.16M17.89M26.11M16.36M16.38M
Net Income-11.70M-8.32M-2.79M5.16M3.38M4.34M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets324.56M315.87M355.34M418.27M406.92M361.85M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.12M1.38M4.75M3.60M1.71M3.47M
Total Debt121.12M118.46M137.02M134.99M114.51M116.06M
Total Liabilities209.76M198.74M231.35M287.65M282.05M238.14M
Stockholders Equity114.80M117.13M123.99M130.62M124.88M123.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.69M14.83M9.82M-21.08M-11.72M-25.65M
Operating Cash Flow16.59M18.93M13.78M-11.31M-4.91M-15.05M
Investing Cash Flow-7.00M-4.20M-2.11M-4.53M-8.05M-10.60M
Financing Cash Flow-15.01M-18.10M-10.52M17.74M11.19M28.57M

Key Tronic Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.68
Price Trends
50DMA
3.23
Negative
100DMA
3.10
Negative
200DMA
2.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.18
Positive
RSI
35.75
Neutral
STOCH
37.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KTCC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.68 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.00, below the 50-day MA of 3.23, and below the 200-day MA of 2.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KTCC.

Key Tronic Risk Analysis

Key Tronic disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Key Tronic reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Key Tronic Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
51
Neutral
$43.60M-5.01-23.00%8.27%-308.63%
48
Neutral
$69.05M-4.01-20.27%0.63%-364.33%
47
Neutral
$8.35M-2.81-17.53%-13.01%-65.20%
43
Neutral
$36.74M-4.41-9.78%-20.03%-485.19%
41
Neutral
$23.52M-7.04%154.52%47.31%
40
Underperform
$13.36M-24.20%1.31%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KTCC
Key Tronic
2.68
-2.93
-52.23%
ALOT
AstroNova
8.02
-7.17
-47.20%
SCKT
Socket Mobile
1.26
-0.25
-16.56%
TACT
Transact Technologies
4.35
0.11
2.59%
EBON
Ebang International Holdings
3.59
-3.70
-50.75%
ZSPC
zSpace, Inc.
0.46
-15.69
-97.15%

Key Tronic Corporate Events

Key Tronic’s Earnings Call: Challenges Amid Improvements
Nov 6, 2025

In the latest earnings call, Key Tronic conveyed a mixed sentiment, highlighting strategic improvements and expanded capabilities. However, these positives were overshadowed by a significant revenue decline and a net loss. The company continues to face challenges from reduced customer demand and market uncertainties, which pose ongoing risks.

Key Tronic Reports Q1 2026 Financial Results
Nov 5, 2025

Key Tronic Corporation is a leading provider of electronic manufacturing services, offering design and manufacturing solutions from its facilities in the United States, Mexico, China, and Vietnam. The company serves some of the world’s top original equipment manufacturers.

Key Tronic’s Earnings Call: A Year of Transition
Sep 1, 2025

In the recent earnings call, Key Tronic Corporation presented a mixed sentiment, with notable operational improvements and strategic investments aimed at future growth. However, these positive strides were overshadowed by significant revenue declines, increased net losses, and challenges related to global tariffs and decreased demand from key customers. The call reflects a transitional year, balancing optimism for future growth against current financial difficulties.

Key Tronic Reports Fiscal Year 2025 Earnings
Aug 28, 2025

Key Tronic Corporation is a prominent provider of electronic manufacturing services, specializing in value-added design and manufacturing solutions across various global facilities, including the United States, Mexico, China, and Vietnam. The company serves leading original equipment manufacturers with comprehensive engineering, materials management, and worldwide distribution services.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Key Tronic Sets 2026 Incentive Compensation Goals
Neutral
Aug 25, 2025

On August 21, 2025, Key Tronic Corporation’s Board of Directors set performance goals and target payment percentages for its fiscal year 2026 incentive compensation plan, which includes executive officers and is based on profit goals. Additionally, the Board established long-term incentive plan performance measures for fiscal years 2026-2028, focusing on sales growth and return on invested capital, with potential cash awards for executives and directors based on performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (KTCC) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Key Tronic stock, see the KTCC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 19, 2025