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Karat Packaging, Inc. (KRT)
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Karat Packaging Inc (KRT) AI Stock Analysis

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KRT

Karat Packaging Inc

(NASDAQ:KRT)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$24.00
▲(6.67% Upside)
Karat Packaging Inc's overall stock score reflects a mix of strengths and challenges. The company's strong valuation and high dividend yield are significant positives, providing a solid income stream for investors. However, financial performance is tempered by profitability and cash flow concerns, and technical indicators suggest a bearish trend. The earnings call provided a balanced outlook with strategic growth initiatives, but also highlighted current financial pressures.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
Strategic Expansion
The expansion into the paper bag business diversifies revenue streams and positions the company for significant future growth.
Supply Chain Management
Improved supply chain management enhances resilience against global disruptions, ensuring consistent product availability.
Negative Factors
Decreased Margins
Falling gross margins due to higher import costs could pressure profitability, affecting long-term financial health if not addressed.
Decline in Operating Income
A decline in operating income suggests potential inefficiencies or cost pressures, which may hinder future profitability.
Retail Channel Weakness
Weakness in the retail channel could indicate broader market challenges, impacting revenue and growth prospects in this segment.

Karat Packaging Inc (KRT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Karat Packaging Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKarat Packaging Inc (KRT) is a leading provider of disposable foodservice packaging solutions headquartered in the United States. The company specializes in manufacturing and distributing a wide range of products, including paper and plastic food containers, cups, plates, cutlery, and straws. Serving various sectors such as restaurants, catering services, and retail, Karat Packaging aims to meet the growing demand for sustainable and eco-friendly packaging options while maintaining quality and affordability.
How the Company Makes MoneyKarat Packaging generates revenue primarily through the sale of its disposable foodservice products to a diverse customer base, including restaurants, food distributors, and retail chains. The company's revenue model is built on direct sales, wholesale distribution, and long-term contracts with key clients, which provide stable income streams. Additionally, Karat Packaging capitalizes on the increasing consumer preference for environmentally friendly products by offering sustainable packaging solutions, enabling them to tap into a growing market segment. Strategic partnerships with suppliers and distributors further enhance their market reach and drive sales. Overall, Karat Packaging's ability to innovate and adapt to market trends contributes significantly to its earnings.

Karat Packaging Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Despite strong sales growth and strategic expansions, the company faced significant challenges with decreased margins, lower net income, and softness in the retail channel. The introduction of a stock repurchase program and expansion in new product categories indicate confidence in future growth, but current financial pressures temper the overall outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Net Sales Growth
Karat Packaging achieved record net sales, increasing over 10% year-over-year, driven by solid volume expansion, a favorable product mix, and effective pricing initiatives.
Expansion in Paper Bag Business
Secured a major business add-on to supply paper bags, expected to contribute approximately $20 million in annual revenue, with plans to scale to $100 million within 2-3 years.
Successful Sourcing Diversification
Increased domestic sourcing to 20% and reduced imports from Taiwan to 42%, aiding in supply chain management despite higher import costs.
First-Ever Stock Repurchase Program
Announced a $15 million stock repurchase program, indicating confidence in future growth prospects.
Negative Updates
Decreased Gross Margin
Gross margin decreased to 34.5% from 38.6% in the prior year, impacted by higher import costs and tariffs.
Decline in Operating Income
Operating income decreased to $8.6 million from $11.3 million in the prior year quarter.
Net Income and EBITDA Decline
Net income for Q3 2025 was $7.6 million compared to $9.3 million in the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA was $13.1 million, down from $14.7 million.
Softness in Retail Channel
Sales to the retail channel were down 12.5% compared to the prior year quarter, reflecting overall retail sector softness.
Company Guidance
During the Karat Packaging Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for the upcoming period. Net sales for Q3 were reported at $124.5 million, marking a 10.4% increase year-over-year, driven by a $9.4 million increase in volume and a favorable product mix impact of $3.5 million. The gross margin was sustained at 34.5%, despite higher import costs due to increased duties and tariffs, and the company projects this to remain between 33% to 35% for Q4. Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 was $13.1 million, with a margin of 10.5%, and the company anticipates a Q4 margin of 8% to 10%. The company also highlighted a new two-year contract to supply paper bags, expected to contribute approximately $20 million in additional annual revenue, with a projection to scale this business to more than $100 million annually over the next 2 to 3 years. The Board approved a quarterly dividend of $0.45 per share and initiated a $15 million share repurchase program, reflecting confidence in future growth. For Q4, net sales are expected to increase by 10% to 14% over the previous year.

Karat Packaging Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Karat Packaging Inc demonstrates stable revenue growth and a strong gross profit margin, but faces challenges in profitability and cash flow generation. The balance sheet remains robust with moderate leverage, yet the decline in return on equity and free cash flow growth highlights areas for improvement. Overall, the company is in a stable financial position but should focus on enhancing profitability and cash flow efficiency.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Karat Packaging Inc shows a stable revenue growth with a TTM increase of 2.66%. The gross profit margin is healthy at 38.04%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 1.12%, reflecting challenges in converting revenue into profit. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, suggesting increased operational costs or reduced pricing power.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.43, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity has decreased to 3.25%, showing reduced profitability from shareholders' investments. The equity ratio stands at 53.37%, suggesting a solid equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Free cash flow has significantly decreased by 44.67%, raising concerns about cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.34, indicating that operating cash flow is not fully covering net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is close to 1, suggesting that the company is still generating cash relative to its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue453.77M422.63M405.65M422.96M364.24M295.52M
Gross Profit172.61M164.33M153.04M132.09M107.83M89.13M
EBITDA63.69M61.12M60.78M48.76M40.48M34.42M
Net Income30.28M29.98M32.47M23.65M20.78M17.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets302.84M294.52M276.40M252.18M207.60M181.10M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments43.97M59.93M49.42M16.04M6.48M448.00K
Total Debt92.03M92.87M71.00M58.65M36.52M98.55M
Total Liabilities141.25M132.32M113.71M100.24M75.57M141.24M
Stockholders Equity154.48M155.57M154.12M141.68M122.90M32.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow22.18M43.91M44.05M14.73M-3.70M-21.93M
Operating Cash Flow26.71M47.98M53.38M29.47M8.68M14.55M
Investing Cash Flow-2.23M-5.86M-30.17M-17.84M-13.28M-37.35M
Financing Cash Flow-39.36M-33.62M-16.17M-2.07M10.64M22.45M

Karat Packaging Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price22.50
Price Trends
50DMA
23.07
Negative
100DMA
24.16
Negative
200DMA
25.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.43
Negative
RSI
47.54
Neutral
STOCH
76.38
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KRT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 22.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.86, below the 50-day MA of 23.07, and below the 200-day MA of 25.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for KRT.

Karat Packaging Inc Risk Analysis

Karat Packaging Inc disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Karat Packaging Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Karat Packaging Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$657.26M23.609.92%2.97%0.26%78.05%
69
Neutral
$446.41M14.8119.43%8.02%8.93%6.82%
68
Neutral
$1.39B31.916.26%0.47%11.83%67.28%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
53
Neutral
$445.50M-12.04-6.68%9.54%-81.46%
45
Neutral
$13.59M-9.96-7.12%4.41%55.72%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KRT
Karat Packaging Inc
22.44
-7.01
-23.80%
YHGJ
Yunhong Green CTI
4.93
-1.58
-24.23%
DSS
DSS
1.02
0.10
10.43%
MYE
Myers Industries
18.32
6.34
52.88%
TRS
Trimas
34.18
7.75
29.32%
PACK
Ranpak Holdings
5.06
-2.96
-36.91%

Karat Packaging Inc Corporate Events

Karat Packaging Reports Record Sales Amid Cost Challenges
Nov 7, 2025

Karat Packaging Inc. is a specialty distributor and manufacturer of eco-friendly disposable foodservice products, serving national and regional restaurants across the United States. In its third quarter of 2025, Karat Packaging reported record net sales of $124.5 million, marking a 10.4% increase from the previous year. Despite this growth, the company faced challenges with decreased gross profit and net income due to rising import costs and tariffs. Key financial metrics showed a gross profit of $42.9 million and a net income of $7.6 million, both reflecting declines from the prior year. The company also highlighted strategic efforts to diversify sourcing and expand its product offerings, notably securing a significant new business for supplying paper bags. Looking ahead, Karat Packaging anticipates continued sales growth and is focused on enhancing supply chain resilience and operational efficiency to maintain its competitive edge.

Stock BuybackDividends
Karat Packaging Inc Announces Dividend and Share Buyback
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Karat Packaging Inc. announced a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.45 per share, payable on November 28, 2025, to shareholders recorded by November 21, 2025. The company also initiated its first-ever share repurchase program, authorizing the buyback of up to $15 million of its common stock. This move reflects the board’s confidence in the company’s growth potential and financial strength, aiming to deliver long-term value to shareholders. The repurchase program, which has no expiration, will be conducted in compliance with securities laws and does not obligate the company to repurchase any specific amount.

The most recent analyst rating on (KRT) stock is a Buy with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Karat Packaging Inc stock, see the KRT Stock Forecast page.

Karat Packaging’s Strong Q2 Performance Amid Challenges
Aug 13, 2025

Karat Packaging, Inc. recently held its second-quarter earnings call, revealing a generally positive sentiment despite some challenges. The company reported significant growth in sales, income, and operational efficiency, driven by strategic diversification and new business acquisitions. However, they also acknowledged hurdles such as unfavorable pricing, increased freight costs, and currency losses, with an anticipated decline in gross margin next quarter.

Karat Packaging Reports Record Second Quarter Results
Aug 8, 2025

Karat Packaging Inc. is a specialty distributor and manufacturer of environmentally friendly, disposable foodservice products, serving national and regional restaurants across the United States. The company is known for its eco-friendly Karat Earth® line and offers customized solutions including new product development and logistics services.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 03, 2025