Karat Packaging Inc (KRT) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $511.36M
• Dividend Yield: 6.91%
• Average Volume (3M): 73.62K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 15.9
• Beta (1Y): 1.27
• Revenue Growth: 7.99%
• EPS Growth: 13.05%
• Country: US
• Employees: 683
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 79
• Industry: Packaging & Containers
• EPS (TTM): 0.57
• Shares Outstanding: 20,092,754
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 76,598
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 73,621
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.21
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.39
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 3.56
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 9.41
• 1Y Price Target: $31.50
• Price Target Upside: 24.31% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 3

• Rating: 70 Outperform
• Price Target: $28.00 ▲(10.50% Upside)

Karat Packaging Inc's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, which tempers the overall score. The reasonable valuation and attractive dividend yield provide additional support, while the recent dividend announcement adds a positive note.

Positive Factors

Operational efficiency

The new Chino warehouse is fully operational now and has helped Karat stock up for growth in the second half.

Volume growth

The strong 14% volume growth in Q4’24 and the anticipated double-digit volume growth in 2025 indicate it is not only growing but also actively taking market share.

Negative Factors

Pricing risk

The risk is that the price increases will not be enough to maintain margins and volumes could take a dive.

Tariff impact

Tariffs are expected to impact the third quarter significantly, as evidenced by the gross margin guide being in the low-to-mid-30% range due to higher-cost/tariff-impacted goods.

Karat Packaging Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Karat Packaging Inc. manufactures and distributes single-use disposable products in plastic, paper, biopolymer-based, and other compostable forms used in various restaurant and foodservice settings. It provides food and take-out containers, bags, tableware, cups, lids, cutlery, straws, specialty beverage ingredients, equipment, gloves, and other products under the Karat Earth brand. The company offers its products to domestic and regional distributors, restaurant chains, retail establishments, and online customers. It also provides new product development, design, printing, and logistics services. Karat Packaging Inc. was founded in 2000 and is based in Chino, California.

How the Company Makes Money

Karat Packaging generates revenue through the sale of its diverse line of disposable packaging products to customers in the food service and retail industries. Key revenue streams include direct sales, distribution agreements, and long-term contracts with major food service companies and restaurants. Additionally, the company benefits from strategic partnerships with suppliers and logistics providers that enable efficient production and distribution. Factors contributing to its earnings include the increasing demand for takeout and delivery services, a growing emphasis on sustainability, and the expansion of its product offerings to include eco-friendly packaging solutions.

Karat Packaging Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Karat Packaging Inc exhibits excellent financial health, characterized by consistent revenue and margin growth, a sound balance sheet, and strong cash flow generation. Despite increased leverage, the company maintains a healthy capital structure and offers attractive returns to shareholders. Overall, Karat Packaging is well-positioned for future growth in the packaging sector.

Income Statement

Karat Packaging Inc has demonstrated strong revenue growth with Total Revenue rising from $364.24 million in 2021 to $430.64 million in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2025, marking consistent growth over years. Gross Profit Margin remains robust at around 38.6% in TTM, supported by effective cost management. The Net Profit Margin has improved to 7% in TTM 2025, indicating a healthy operational efficiency. EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, reinforcing the company's profitability and operational strength.

Balance Sheet

The Balance Sheet depicts a stable financial position with Stockholders' Equity rising to $153.31 million in TTM 2025. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio has increased, reflecting higher leverage, but remains manageable. Return on Equity stands at 19.7% in TTM, showcasing strong returns for shareholders. The Equity Ratio is moderate, indicating a balanced capital structure.

Cash Flow

Cash Flow analysis highlights robust Free Cash Flow growth, with a marked increase in Operating Cash Flow to $49.15 million in TTM 2025. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is solid, denoting effective cash conversion. The company has maintained strong cash generation, supporting its investment and financing activities.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	442.03M	422.63M	405.65M	422.96M	364.24M	295.52M
Gross Profit	173.19M	164.33M	153.04M	132.09M	107.83M	89.13M
EBITDA	65.52M	61.12M	60.78M	48.76M	40.48M	34.42M
Net Income	32.05M	29.98M	32.47M	23.65M	20.78M	17.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	320.96M	294.52M	276.40M	252.18M	207.60M	181.10M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	30.55M	59.93M	49.42M	16.04M	6.48M	448.00K
Total Debt	51.43M	92.87M	71.00M	58.65M	36.52M	98.55M
Total Liabilities	158.26M	132.32M	113.71M	100.24M	75.57M	141.24M
Stockholders Equity	155.85M	155.57M	154.12M	141.68M	122.90M	32.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	46.90M	43.91M	44.05M	14.73M	-3.70M	-21.93M
Operating Cash Flow	45.20M	47.98M	53.38M	29.47M	8.68M	14.55M
Investing Cash Flow	3.61M	-5.86M	-30.17M	-17.84M	-13.28M	-37.35M
Financing Cash Flow	-37.58M	-33.62M	-16.17M	-2.07M	10.64M	22.45M

Karat Packaging Inc Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 25.34
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KRT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 25.34 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.55, below the 50-day MA of 26.80, and below the 200-day MA of 27.88, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.49 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KRT.

Karat Packaging Inc Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
TRS	72 Outperform	$1.57B	42.50	5.36%	0.41%	6.72%	-6.68%
KRT	70 Outperform	$511.36M	15.87	20.44%	6.91%	7.99%	13.05%
MYE	64 Neutral	$628.48M	63.68	3.43%	3.21%	1.11%	-74.94%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$17.78B	13.97	-5.49%	3.03%	1.50%	-15.71%
AMBP	58 Neutral	$2.19B	―	-69.06%	10.99%	8.39%	72.18%
PACK	54 Neutral	$469.89M	―	-6.24%	―	10.38%	-123.75%
OI	53 Neutral	$2.04B	―	-18.69%	―	-3.36%	11.88%

Karat Packaging Inc Corporate Events

Karat Packaging Announces Quarterly Dividend Declaration

On August 5, 2025, Karat Packaging Inc. announced that its Board of Directors declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.45 per share on its common stock. This dividend is set to be paid on or about August 27, 2025, to stockholders of record as of August 20, 2025, reflecting the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (KRT) stock is a Buy with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Karat Packaging Inc stock, see the KRT Stock Forecast page.

Karat Packaging Inc Elects Directors at Annual Meeting

At the 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on June 19, Karat Packaging Inc. elected five directors, including Alan Yu and Jian Guo, to serve until the next annual meeting. Additionally, stockholders ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the company’s independent accountants for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, and approved the executive compensation plan.

The most recent analyst rating on (KRT) stock is a Buy with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Karat Packaging Inc stock, see the KRT Stock Forecast page.

Karat Packaging Inc Announces Secondary Stock Offering

On June 10, 2025, Karat Packaging Inc. announced a secondary offering of 1,500,000 shares of its common stock by certain members of its management team, with BofA Securities and William Blair & Company acting as joint lead book-runners. The company will not offer any shares or receive proceeds from this sale, which is conducted under a shelf registration statement filed with the SEC. The offering includes a 30-day option for underwriters to purchase an additional 225,000 shares. This move is part of the company’s strategic financial operations, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (KRT) stock is a Buy with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Karat Packaging Inc stock, see the KRT Stock Forecast page.