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Karyopharm Therapeutics (KPTI)
NASDAQ:KPTI
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Karyopharm Therapeutics (KPTI) AI Stock Analysis

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KPTI

Karyopharm Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:KPTI)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$7.50
▲(12.61% Upside)
Karyopharm Therapeutics' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its significant financial challenges, including declining revenues, persistent losses, and high leverage. While technical indicators show positive momentum, the negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield detract from its attractiveness. The earnings call highlighted some positive developments in clinical trials and cost optimization, but financial constraints and debt maturity remain concerns.
Positive Factors
Product Revenue Growth
The increase in XPOVIO revenue indicates strong demand and market penetration, supporting long-term revenue growth and sustainability.
Global Expansion
Global expansion enhances market reach and diversifies revenue streams, reducing dependency on any single market and supporting long-term growth.
Cost Optimization
Cost optimization efforts improve operational efficiency, potentially leading to better profitability and financial health over time.
Negative Factors
Financial Constraints
Financial constraints and upcoming debt maturity pose risks to liquidity and may limit the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Declining Total Revenue
A decline in total revenue indicates potential challenges in sustaining growth and could impact long-term financial stability.
Net Loss
Persistent net losses highlight ongoing operational inefficiencies and could strain resources, affecting the company's ability to fund future growth.

Karyopharm Therapeutics (KPTI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Karyopharm Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKaryopharm Therapeutics Inc., a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and commercializes drugs directed against nuclear export for the treatment of cancer and other diseases. The company discovers, develops, and commercializes novel and Selective Inhibitor of Nuclear Export (SINE) compounds function by binding with and inhibiting the nuclear export protein XPO1. Its lead compound, include XPOVIO in combination with bortezomib and dexamethasone for the treatment of adult patients with multiple myeloma, in combination with dexamethasone for the treatment of adult patients with heavily pretreated multiple myeloma, and for the treatment of adult patients with relapsed or refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma. The company has license agreement with Menarini Group to develop and commercialize NEXPOVIO for human oncology indications in Europe, including the United Kingdom; Latin America; and other countries. Its oral SINE compounds also designed to force nuclear accumulation in the levels of multiple tumor suppressor and growth regulatory proteins. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Newton, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyKaryopharm Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through the sale of its approved drug Xpovio, which is marketed for the treatment of multiple myeloma and certain lymphomas. The company also earns revenue from collaborations and partnerships with other pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies, which may include upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on future sales. Additionally, Karyopharm may receive funding from government grants or research initiatives focused on cancer therapies. The company's ability to successfully navigate clinical trials and gain further regulatory approvals for its pipeline products will be pivotal in expanding its revenue streams.

Karyopharm Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 11, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive progress in clinical trials and commercial performance, especially with a steady increase in revenue from XPOVIO and global expansion efforts. However, significant financial challenges due to a net loss, decline in total revenue, and approaching debt maturity are concerning. The company is actively working on strategic alternatives to enhance liquidity.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Commercial Performance
The company delivered solid commercial results in Q2 2025, with XPOVIO net product revenue of $29.7 million, up 6% from the second quarter of 2024. Demand for XPOVIO remained consistent, driven by the community setting.
Progress in Clinical Trials
Enrollment in the Phase III SENTRY trial for myelofibrosis is expected to close soon. Preliminary safety data suggest that the combination of selinexor and ruxolitinib may have a favorable safety profile.
Global Expansion
Selinexor and NEXPOVIO are now approved in various indications in 50 countries, leading to a 28% increase in royalty revenue to $1.6 million in Q2 2025 compared to Q2 2024.
Cost Reduction Initiatives
R&D expenses decreased by 15%, and SG&A expenses decreased by 8% in Q2 2025 compared to Q2 2024, reflecting the realization of cost optimization efforts.
Negative Updates
Financial Constraints and Debt Maturity
The company is operating under financial constraints with a near-term debt maturity in October 2025. Efforts are ongoing to enhance liquidity and maximize value.
Decline in Total Revenue
Total revenue for Q2 2025 was $37.9 million, down from $42.8 million in Q2 2024, primarily due to $6 million of nonrecurring license-related revenue recognized in Q2 2024.
Net Loss
Reported a net loss of $37.3 million or $4.32 per share on a GAAP basis, including $11.2 million in interest expense related to debt instruments.
Enrollment Challenges in SENTRY-2 Trial
Enrollment in the Phase II SENTRY-2 trial has been slower than anticipated, impacting the timeline for reporting preliminary data.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Karyopharm Therapeutics reported XPOVIO net product revenue of $29.7 million, reflecting a 6% increase from the same period in 2024. The company anticipates full-year 2025 net product revenue to be in the range of $110 million to $120 million. The gross-to-net provision for XPOVIO was 26.8% in Q2 2025, a decrease from 45% in Q1 2025 and 29.3% in Q2 2024. R&D expenses decreased by 15% compared to the second quarter of 2024, aligning with the company's cost optimization initiatives, while SG&A expenses saw an 8% reduction. Despite a net loss of $37.3 million for the quarter, Karyopharm is optimistic about its Phase III clinical trials, including the SENTRY trial for myelofibrosis and the EMN29 SPd trial for multiple myeloma, with potential peak annual revenue of up to $1 billion in the U.S. from the myelofibrosis opportunity alone.

Karyopharm Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Karyopharm Therapeutics faces significant financial challenges, including declining revenues, persistent losses, high leverage, and negative equity. Cash flow analysis shows insufficient operational cash generation, leading to reliance on external financing.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Karyopharm Therapeutics has experienced declining revenue over recent years, with a negative revenue growth rate of -0.55% from 2023 to 2024. The company also faces significant profitability challenges, as indicated by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins. Despite a relatively high gross profit margin of 95.87% in 2024, the persistent net losses highlight ongoing operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
20
Very Negative
The balance sheet shows a concerning financial position with negative stockholders' equity, indicating liabilities exceed assets. The debt-to-equity ratio cannot be calculated due to negative equity, but the high total debt relative to assets suggests significant leverage. The equity ratio is negative, further emphasizing the financial instability and potential solvency risks.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Karyopharm Therapeutics has negative free cash flow, which deteriorated by 37.66% from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash flow challenges. Although there was a positive financing cash flow, it is insufficient to offset the negative operating cash flow, indicating reliance on external financing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue137.27M145.24M146.03M157.07M209.82M108.08M
Gross Profit132.29M139.23M141.09M151.86M206.42M105.38M
EBITDA-76.92M-38.60M-118.42M-139.31M-96.98M-167.85M
Net Income-123.57M-76.42M-143.10M-165.29M-124.09M-196.27M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets104.88M164.42M240.44M358.17M305.31M313.05M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments38.73M108.71M191.44M277.97M228.62M249.24M
Total Debt94.80M194.52M177.02M179.07M180.58M131.13M
Total Liabilities343.81M350.44M376.64M374.83M384.98M262.50M
Stockholders Equity-238.93M-186.02M-136.21M-16.66M-79.67M50.55M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-102.89M-127.63M-92.72M-149.67M-112.83M-160.38M
Operating Cash Flow-102.94M-127.49M-92.72M-149.55M-107.12M-160.23M
Investing Cash Flow55.84M95.47M7.94M-104.26M141.84M-53.69M
Financing Cash Flow1.04M41.65M1.12M193.74M73.65M172.08M

Karyopharm Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.66
Price Trends
50DMA
5.50
Positive
100DMA
5.13
Positive
200DMA
6.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.21
Positive
RSI
54.51
Neutral
STOCH
65.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KPTI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.66 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.52, above the 50-day MA of 5.50, and above the 200-day MA of 6.58, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KPTI.

Karyopharm Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Karyopharm Therapeutics disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Karyopharm Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Karyopharm Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
54
Neutral
$59.66M41.08%-5.77%-22.78%
49
Neutral
-5.97
48
Neutral
94.89M-1.23-96.08%-100.00%-22.09%
44
Neutral
80.14M-0.235721.31%-671.01%
40
Underperform
87.25M-1.9810.04%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KPTI
Karyopharm Therapeutics
6.66
-4.20
-38.67%
XFOR
X4 Pharmaceuticals
3.38
-16.27
-82.80%
CNTB
Connect Biopharma Holdings
1.69
0.34
25.19%
HOWL
Werewolf Therapeutics
2.02
-0.10
-4.72%
PEPG
PepGen Inc.
5.88
-2.94
-33.33%
CAMP
CAMP4 Therapeutics Corporation
3.00
-6.75
-69.23%

Karyopharm Therapeutics Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Karyopharm Therapeutics Board Member Resigns Amid Career Shift
Neutral
Sep 11, 2025

On September 5, 2025, Mansoor Raza Mirza, M.D., a member of the Board of Directors of Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc., announced his resignation effective September 8, 2025, due to competing professional demands. Dr. Mirza’s resignation is not related to any disagreements with the company, and he is also stepping down from his role as Chief Oncologist at Copenhagen University National Medical Center to pursue a new executive role in the industry. Consequently, the consulting agreement between Karyopharm and Mirza Consulting was terminated as of September 8, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (KPTI) stock is a Hold with a $7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Karyopharm Therapeutics stock, see the KPTI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 24, 2025