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Karyopharm Therapeutics (KPTI)
NASDAQ:KPTI

Karyopharm Therapeutics (KPTI) AI Stock Analysis

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KPTI

Karyopharm Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:KPTI)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
▲(0.86% Upside)
Karyopharm Therapeutics' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, which is a major concern. While there is some positive momentum in technical analysis and earnings call highlights, the negative valuation metrics and financial instability weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The 13.4% revenue growth indicates strong demand for Karyopharm's products, suggesting potential for sustained market expansion and financial improvement.
Clinical Progress
Advancing to Phase III trials positions Karyopharm to potentially introduce new therapies, enhancing its product pipeline and long-term growth prospects.
Financial Flexibility
Securing $100 million in financing strengthens Karyopharm's financial position, providing resources for strategic initiatives and reducing liquidity risk.
Negative Factors
Financial Instability
Negative equity highlights financial instability, posing risks to sustainability and limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Cash Flow Challenges
Persistent negative cash flow indicates operational inefficiencies and reliance on external financing, which could hinder long-term financial health.
Profitability Issues
Ongoing net losses reflect challenges in achieving profitability, impacting the company's ability to self-fund operations and invest in growth.

Karyopharm Therapeutics (KPTI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Karyopharm Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKaryopharm Therapeutics Inc. (KPTI) is a clinical-stage pharmaceutical company focused on the development and commercialization of novel therapies for the treatment of cancer and other serious diseases. The company specializes in the discovery and development of small molecule drugs that target the nuclear transport system, with a primary emphasis on its lead product, Xpovio (selinexor), which is designed to treat multiple myeloma and other malignancies. Karyopharm's innovative approach aims to address unmet medical needs in oncology, leveraging its proprietary SINE (Selective Inhibitor of Nuclear Export) technology platform.
How the Company Makes MoneyKaryopharm Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through the commercialization of its lead product, Xpovio, which has received approval from regulatory authorities for treating certain types of cancers. The company earns money through direct product sales to healthcare providers and patients. In addition, Karyopharm may also generate revenue from collaborations and partnerships with other pharmaceutical companies, which could include licensing agreements, research and development collaborations, and milestone payments. These partnerships often enable Karyopharm to share the costs and risks associated with drug development while providing additional financial resources that contribute to the company's overall earnings.

Karyopharm Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant progress in clinical trials and financial fortification, along with positive revenue growth and cost management. However, the net loss and the challenge of innovating within a stagnant market were concerns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Completion of Phase III SENTRY Trial Enrollment
Karyopharm completed enrollment in the Phase III SENTRY trial for frontline myelofibrosis, marking a pivotal moment for the company with top-line results expected in March 2026.
Strengthened Financial Flexibility
Karyopharm secured approximately $100 million through refinancing and capital restructuring, extending their cash runway into the second quarter of 2026.
Revenue Growth
Total revenue for Q3 2025 was $44 million, an increase of 13.4% compared to Q3 2024. U.S. net product revenue for XPOVIO grew 8.5% year-over-year.
Cost Reduction Achievements
Research and development expenses decreased by 16%, and selling, general, and administrative expenses decreased by 4% compared to Q3 2024.
High Physician Intent for Combination Therapy
75% of U.S. physicians showed intent to treat with selinexor plus ruxolitinib combination therapy for myelofibrosis, indicating strong market potential.
Negative Updates
Net Loss Increase
Karyopharm reported a net loss of $33.1 million for Q3 2025, with more than half driven by non-operational items such as non-cash interest expense and mark-to-market adjustments.
Limited Innovation Beyond JAK Inhibitors
The myelofibrosis market has seen little innovation beyond JAK inhibitors over the past 14 years, emphasizing the challenge for new entrants.
Exclusion of Fatigue in TSS Analysis
In the Phase III SENTRY trial, the fatigue domain is excluded from the TSS analysis due to the ambiguity of patients' assessment of their fatigue.
Company Guidance
During the Karyopharm Therapeutics Q3 2025 Earnings Call, significant guidance was provided on both the company's clinical and financial trajectory. Key clinical progress included the completion of enrollment in the Phase III SENTRY trial for frontline myelofibrosis, with top-line results anticipated in March 2026. Financially, the company bolstered its position by securing $100 million, extending its cash runway into Q2 2026. Karyopharm reported Q3 total revenue of $44 million, a 13% year-over-year increase, with U.S. net product revenue from XPOVIO growing 8.5% to $32 million. The company's R&D and SG&A expenses were $30.5 million and $26.6 million, respectively, reflecting disciplined cost management. Karyopharm also narrowed its 2025 expense guidance range to $235-$245 million, down from $240-$250 million.

Karyopharm Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Karyopharm Therapeutics faces significant financial challenges, including declining revenues, persistent losses, high leverage, and negative equity. The company's cash flow is insufficient, leading to reliance on external financing.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Karyopharm Therapeutics has experienced declining revenue over recent years, with a negative revenue growth rate of -0.55% from 2023 to 2024. The company also faces significant profitability challenges, as indicated by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins. Despite a relatively high gross profit margin of 95.87% in 2024, the persistent net losses highlight ongoing operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
20
Very Negative
The balance sheet shows a concerning financial position with negative stockholders' equity, indicating liabilities exceed assets. The debt-to-equity ratio cannot be calculated due to negative equity, but the high total debt relative to assets suggests significant leverage. The equity ratio is negative, further emphasizing the financial instability and potential solvency risks.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Karyopharm Therapeutics has negative free cash flow, which deteriorated by 37.66% from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash flow challenges. Although there was a positive financing cash flow, it is insufficient to offset the negative operating cash flow, indicating reliance on external financing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue142.53M145.24M146.03M157.07M209.82M108.08M
Gross Profit136.73M139.23M141.09M151.86M206.42M105.38M
EBITDA-80.42M-38.60M-118.42M-139.31M-96.98M-167.85M
Net Income-124.62M-76.42M-143.10M-165.29M-124.09M-196.27M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets96.23M164.42M240.44M358.17M305.31M313.05M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments45.88M108.71M191.44M277.97M228.62M249.24M
Total Debt196.42M194.52M177.02M179.07M180.58M131.13M
Total Liabilities365.49M350.44M376.64M374.83M384.98M262.50M
Stockholders Equity-269.26M-186.02M-136.21M-16.66M-79.67M50.55M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-83.44M-127.63M-92.72M-149.67M-112.83M-160.38M
Operating Cash Flow-83.49M-127.49M-92.72M-149.55M-107.12M-160.23M
Investing Cash Flow48.37M95.47M7.94M-104.26M141.84M-53.69M
Financing Cash Flow1.04M41.65M1.12M193.74M73.65M172.08M

Karyopharm Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.94
Price Trends
50DMA
5.95
Positive
100DMA
5.92
Positive
200DMA
5.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.22
Negative
RSI
61.30
Neutral
STOCH
40.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KPTI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.94 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.07, above the 50-day MA of 5.95, and above the 200-day MA of 5.46, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KPTI.

Karyopharm Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Karyopharm Therapeutics disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Karyopharm Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Karyopharm Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$78.66M-2.89-14.23%4121.12%83.30%
49
Neutral
$118.33M-0.48-3.98%-29.94%
45
Neutral
$36.46M-1.86-104.58%1.18%
41
Neutral
$52.72M-1.52-133.09%11.11%20.65%
37
Underperform
$37.83M-0.18-66.96%71.83%
35
Underperform
$37.23M-0.80-2237.54%-55.95%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KPTI
Karyopharm Therapeutics
6.94
-2.30
-24.89%
ATNM
Actinium Pharmaceuticals
1.69
0.45
36.29%
BTAI
Bioxcel Therapeutics
1.73
-3.81
-68.77%
LTRN
Lantern Pharma
3.26
0.24
7.95%
IPSC
Century Therapeutics
0.90
-0.12
-11.76%
MDCX
Medicus Pharma Ltd
1.69
-1.08
-38.99%

Karyopharm Therapeutics Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Karyopharm Therapeutics Completes Financing Transactions for Growth
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

On October 10, 2025, Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc. completed a series of financing transactions, including the issuance of convertible senior notes due in 2028 and 2029, and borrowed $12.5 million under its credit agreement. These transactions are aimed at strengthening the company’s financial position and supporting its strategic initiatives, potentially impacting its market standing and investor relations.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Karyopharm Secures $100M Financing for Clinical Trials
Positive
Oct 8, 2025

On October 7, 2025, Karyopharm Therapeutics announced a series of strategic financing transactions designed to provide $100 million in financial flexibility and additional capital, extending its cash runway into the second quarter of 2026. These transactions include new term loan borrowings, convertible notes, and a private placement of common stock, aimed at supporting ongoing and planned clinical trials. The company expects to generate approximately $36 million in cash proceeds from these transactions, which are set to close around October 10, 2025. This move is anticipated to strengthen Karyopharm’s balance sheet, equitize near-term debt maturities, and support its Phase 3 myelofibrosis program, potentially redefining treatment standards for the condition.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 20, 2025