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Karyopharm Therapeutics (KPTI)
NASDAQ:KPTI
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Karyopharm Therapeutics (KPTI) AI Stock Analysis

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KPTI

Karyopharm Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:KPTI)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$5.50
▲(6.59% Upside)
Karyopharm Therapeutics' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, characterized by declining revenues, persistent losses, and high leverage. While the earnings call provided some positive insights into revenue growth and clinical progress, the company's valuation and technical indicators suggest caution. The absence of a dividend yield and negative P/E ratio further detract from its investment appeal.
Positive Factors
Clinical Progress
Completing enrollment in a pivotal trial indicates progress in drug development, potentially leading to new market opportunities and revenue streams.
Financial Flexibility
Enhanced financial flexibility supports ongoing operations and strategic initiatives, reducing the risk of liquidity constraints.
Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue growth reflects successful product adoption and market expansion, contributing to long-term financial health.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenues
Declining revenues signal potential challenges in maintaining market share and competitiveness, impacting future profitability.
High Leverage
High leverage and negative equity pose solvency risks, limiting financial flexibility and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns.
Persistent Losses
Ongoing losses highlight operational inefficiencies and may necessitate cost-cutting or restructuring to achieve profitability.

Karyopharm Therapeutics (KPTI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Karyopharm Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKaryopharm Therapeutics Inc. (KPTI) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company dedicated to the discovery and development of innovative therapies for the treatment of cancer and other serious diseases. The company focuses on leveraging its proprietary SINE compound technology platform to develop oral drugs that inhibit the nuclear export of proteins, thereby targeting key pathways involved in various malignancies. Karyopharm's core product candidates include Xpovio (selinexor), an FDA-approved treatment for multiple myeloma and certain types of lymphoma, along with a robust pipeline of investigational therapies aimed at diverse oncology indications.
How the Company Makes MoneyKaryopharm Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through the sale of its approved drug Xpovio, which is marketed for the treatment of multiple myeloma and certain lymphomas. The company also earns revenue from collaborations and partnerships with other pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies, which may include upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on future sales. Additionally, Karyopharm may receive funding from government grants or research initiatives focused on cancer therapies. The company's ability to successfully navigate clinical trials and gain further regulatory approvals for its pipeline products will be pivotal in expanding its revenue streams.

Karyopharm Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant progress in clinical trials and financial fortification, along with positive revenue growth and cost management. However, the net loss and the challenge of innovating within a stagnant market were concerns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Completion of Phase III SENTRY Trial Enrollment
Karyopharm completed enrollment in the Phase III SENTRY trial for frontline myelofibrosis, marking a pivotal moment for the company with top-line results expected in March 2026.
Strengthened Financial Flexibility
Karyopharm secured approximately $100 million through refinancing and capital restructuring, extending their cash runway into the second quarter of 2026.
Revenue Growth
Total revenue for Q3 2025 was $44 million, an increase of 13.4% compared to Q3 2024. U.S. net product revenue for XPOVIO grew 8.5% year-over-year.
Cost Reduction Achievements
Research and development expenses decreased by 16%, and selling, general, and administrative expenses decreased by 4% compared to Q3 2024.
High Physician Intent for Combination Therapy
75% of U.S. physicians showed intent to treat with selinexor plus ruxolitinib combination therapy for myelofibrosis, indicating strong market potential.
Negative Updates
Net Loss Increase
Karyopharm reported a net loss of $33.1 million for Q3 2025, with more than half driven by non-operational items such as non-cash interest expense and mark-to-market adjustments.
Limited Innovation Beyond JAK Inhibitors
The myelofibrosis market has seen little innovation beyond JAK inhibitors over the past 14 years, emphasizing the challenge for new entrants.
Exclusion of Fatigue in TSS Analysis
In the Phase III SENTRY trial, the fatigue domain is excluded from the TSS analysis due to the ambiguity of patients' assessment of their fatigue.
Company Guidance
During the Karyopharm Therapeutics Q3 2025 Earnings Call, significant guidance was provided on both the company's clinical and financial trajectory. Key clinical progress included the completion of enrollment in the Phase III SENTRY trial for frontline myelofibrosis, with top-line results anticipated in March 2026. Financially, the company bolstered its position by securing $100 million, extending its cash runway into Q2 2026. Karyopharm reported Q3 total revenue of $44 million, a 13% year-over-year increase, with U.S. net product revenue from XPOVIO growing 8.5% to $32 million. The company's R&D and SG&A expenses were $30.5 million and $26.6 million, respectively, reflecting disciplined cost management. Karyopharm also narrowed its 2025 expense guidance range to $235-$245 million, down from $240-$250 million.

Karyopharm Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Karyopharm Therapeutics faces significant financial challenges, including declining revenues, persistent losses, high leverage, and negative equity. The company's cash flow is insufficient, leading to reliance on external financing.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Karyopharm Therapeutics has experienced declining revenue over recent years, with a negative revenue growth rate of -0.55% from 2023 to 2024. The company also faces significant profitability challenges, as indicated by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins. Despite a relatively high gross profit margin of 95.87% in 2024, the persistent net losses highlight ongoing operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
20
Very Negative
The balance sheet shows a concerning financial position with negative stockholders' equity, indicating liabilities exceed assets. The debt-to-equity ratio cannot be calculated due to negative equity, but the high total debt relative to assets suggests significant leverage. The equity ratio is negative, further emphasizing the financial instability and potential solvency risks.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Karyopharm Therapeutics has negative free cash flow, which deteriorated by 37.66% from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash flow challenges. Although there was a positive financing cash flow, it is insufficient to offset the negative operating cash flow, indicating reliance on external financing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue142.53M145.24M146.03M157.07M209.82M108.08M
Gross Profit136.73M139.23M141.09M151.86M206.42M105.38M
EBITDA-73.01M-38.60M-118.42M-139.31M-96.98M-167.85M
Net Income-124.62M-76.42M-143.10M-165.29M-124.09M-196.27M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets96.23M164.42M240.44M358.17M305.31M313.05M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments45.88M108.71M191.44M277.97M228.62M249.24M
Total Debt196.42M194.52M177.02M179.07M180.58M131.13M
Total Liabilities365.49M350.44M376.64M374.83M384.98M262.50M
Stockholders Equity-269.26M-186.02M-136.21M-16.66M-79.67M50.55M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-83.44M-127.63M-92.72M-149.67M-112.83M-160.38M
Operating Cash Flow-83.49M-127.49M-92.72M-149.55M-107.12M-160.23M
Investing Cash Flow48.37M95.47M7.94M-104.26M141.84M-53.69M
Financing Cash Flow1.04M41.65M1.12M193.74M73.65M172.08M

Karyopharm Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.16
Price Trends
50DMA
6.18
Negative
100DMA
5.47
Negative
200DMA
5.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.19
Positive
RSI
35.99
Neutral
STOCH
6.65
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KPTI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.95, below the 50-day MA of 6.18, and below the 200-day MA of 5.89, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.65 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KPTI.

Karyopharm Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Karyopharm Therapeutics disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Karyopharm Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Karyopharm Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$48.36M-10.78%5489.03%86.23%
45
Neutral
$89.01M-0.35-3.98%-29.94%
45
Neutral
$39.20M-2.03-88.59%-8.47%
41
Neutral
$42.11M-1.03-130.59%-100.00%13.14%
37
Underperform
$36.54M-0.15-63.88%77.72%
35
Underperform
$47.08M-340.46%4.01%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KPTI
Karyopharm Therapeutics
5.16
-8.67
-62.69%
ATNM
Actinium Pharmaceuticals
1.26
-0.67
-34.72%
BTAI
Bioxcel Therapeutics
1.83
-9.69
-84.11%
LTRN
Lantern Pharma
3.42
-0.09
-2.56%
IPSC
Century Therapeutics
0.53
-0.94
-63.95%
MDCX
Medicus Pharma Ltd
2.39
-2.35
-49.58%

Karyopharm Therapeutics Corporate Events

Karyopharm Therapeutics Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 4, 2025

Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc. is a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company focused on developing novel cancer therapies, particularly through its lead compound, XPOVIO (selinexor), which is approved for multiple oncology indications. The company operates in the biotechnology sector and is known for its pioneering work in nuclear export dysregulation.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Karyopharm Therapeutics Completes Financing Transactions for Growth
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

On October 10, 2025, Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc. completed a series of financing transactions, including the issuance of convertible senior notes due in 2028 and 2029, and borrowed $12.5 million under its credit agreement. These transactions are aimed at strengthening the company’s financial position and supporting its strategic initiatives, potentially impacting its market standing and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (KPTI) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Karyopharm Therapeutics stock, see the KPTI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Karyopharm Secures $100M Financing for Clinical Trials
Positive
Oct 8, 2025

On October 7, 2025, Karyopharm Therapeutics announced a series of strategic financing transactions designed to provide $100 million in financial flexibility and additional capital, extending its cash runway into the second quarter of 2026. These transactions include new term loan borrowings, convertible notes, and a private placement of common stock, aimed at supporting ongoing and planned clinical trials. The company expects to generate approximately $36 million in cash proceeds from these transactions, which are set to close around October 10, 2025. This move is anticipated to strengthen Karyopharm’s balance sheet, equitize near-term debt maturities, and support its Phase 3 myelofibrosis program, potentially redefining treatment standards for the condition.

The most recent analyst rating on (KPTI) stock is a Hold with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Karyopharm Therapeutics stock, see the KPTI Stock Forecast page.

Selinexor Study Withdrawal: Implications for Karyopharm Therapeutics
Oct 3, 2025

Study Overview: The study titled A Multicenter, Phase 1/2 Study of Selinexor in Combination With Backbone Treatments or Novel Therapies in Patients With Relapsed or Refractory (RR) Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma (DLBCL) aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of selinexor combinations in treating RR DLBCL. This study was significant as it explored new therapeutic combinations for a challenging lymphoma subtype.

Executive/Board Changes
Karyopharm Therapeutics Board Member Resigns Amid Career Shift
Neutral
Sep 11, 2025

On September 5, 2025, Mansoor Raza Mirza, M.D., a member of the Board of Directors of Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc., announced his resignation effective September 8, 2025, due to competing professional demands. Dr. Mirza’s resignation is not related to any disagreements with the company, and he is also stepping down from his role as Chief Oncologist at Copenhagen University National Medical Center to pursue a new executive role in the industry. Consequently, the consulting agreement between Karyopharm and Mirza Consulting was terminated as of September 8, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (KPTI) stock is a Hold with a $7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Karyopharm Therapeutics stock, see the KPTI Stock Forecast page.

Karyopharm’s Earnings Call: Clinical Wins Amid Financial Strain
Aug 13, 2025

Karyopharm Therapeutics Faces Mixed Fortunes Amid Clinical Success and Financial Strain

Karyopharm Therapeutics Reports Q2 2025 Earnings
Aug 12, 2025

Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc. is a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company focused on developing innovative cancer therapies, particularly through its pioneering work in nuclear export inhibition. In its latest earnings report for the second quarter of 2025, Karyopharm reported total revenue of $37.9 million, with U.S. net product revenue for its lead drug, XPOVIO, reaching $29.7 million, marking a 6% increase from the previous year. The company is on the brink of completing patient enrollment for its Phase 3 SENTRY trial in myelofibrosis, with top-line results expected in March 2026.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2025