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Bioxcel Therapeutics Inc (BTAI)
NASDAQ:BTAI
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Bioxcel Therapeutics (BTAI) AI Stock Analysis

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BTAI

Bioxcel Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:BTAI)

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Underperform 40 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:
$0.85
▼(-0.47% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:08/18/26
The score is primarily driven by weak financial performance (minimal revenue, large losses, negative equity, and ongoing cash burn). Technicals add modest pressure given the stock remains below key longer-term moving averages, while valuation is constrained by a negative P/E and no dividend data. Recent credit amendments provide temporary liquidity relief but highlight refinancing/financing risk, keeping the overall score near the low end of the range.
Positive Factors
Commercial Product Base
An FDA-approved commercial product gives BioXcel an established route to revenue and clinical-market experience. Success in expanding utilization, reimbursement, and adoption could provide a foundation for broader neuroscience commercialization.
Negative Factors
Minimal Revenue and Deep Losses
Very limited revenue relative to ongoing operating expenses shows that commercialization has not yet reached meaningful scale. The large net loss reduces internal funding capacity and leaves future growth highly dependent on product adoption or additional capital.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Commercial Product Base
An FDA-approved commercial product gives BioXcel an established route to revenue and clinical-market experience. Success in expanding utilization, reimbursement, and adoption could provide a foundation for broader neuroscience commercialization.
Read all positive factors

Bioxcel Therapeutics (BTAI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bioxcel Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
BioXcel Therapeutics, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical firm that has reached the commercial phase, distinguishing itself by leveraging artificial intelligence to advance the creation of transformative therapies in the fields of neuroscience and immuno-...
How the Company Makes Money
BioXcel Therapeutics primarily seeks to generate revenue from (1) product sales of IGALMI in the United States and (2) collaboration-related income when applicable. Product revenue is earned by selling IGALMI for its FDA-approved indication; the c...

Bioxcel Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 14, 2024
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted progress in clinical trials and significant financial improvements, such as reduced net loss and increased revenue over the nine-month period. However, challenges remain with decreased quarterly revenue, increased costs, and uncertainties regarding cash runway and financing.
Positive Updates
Phase III Trials Progress
BioXcel announced milestones with two pivotal Phase III trials for BXCL501, targeting agitation in bipolar disorder, schizophrenia, and Alzheimer's dementia.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Quarterly Revenue
Net revenue from IGALMI decreased to $214,000 in Q3 2024 from $341,000 in Q3 2023, primarily due to the timing of reorders.
Read all updates
Q3-2024 Updates
Negative
Phase III Trials Progress
BioXcel announced milestones with two pivotal Phase III trials for BXCL501, targeting agitation in bipolar disorder, schizophrenia, and Alzheimer's dementia.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the recent BioXcel Therapeutics Q3 2024 earnings call, the company provided guidance on its ongoing clinical trials and financial performance. Vimal Mehta, CEO, highlighted the advancement of two pivotal Phase III trials for BXCL501, targeting agitation associated with bipolar disorder, schizophrenia in the home setting, and Alzheimer's dementia. The SERENITY At-Home trial aims for a 9 to 12-month duration with 26 active sites enrolling 200 patients. Financially, the company reported $214,000 in net revenue from IGALMI, marking a decline from $341,000 in Q3 2023, but a 89% year-over-year increase in net revenue for the nine months ended September 30, 2024. Operating expenses saw a reduction, with research and development expenses at $5.1 million, down from $19.6 million the previous year, and selling, general, and administrative expenses reduced to $7.7 million from $24.3 million. The company recorded a net loss of $13.7 million, significantly improved from $50.5 million in Q3 2023, and ended the quarter with $40.4 million in cash and cash equivalents. BioXcel is focused on strengthening its balance sheet and exploring strategic financing alternatives to support its trials through to data readout.

Bioxcel Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial profile is weak: very small TTM revenue (~$0.7M), deeply negative profitability (TTM net loss ~-$70.9M), negative equity (TTM ~-$115.5M), and heavy cash burn (TTM operating/free cash flow ~-$50.9M). Positives include improved revenue versus the prior year and a meaningful reduction in losses and cash burn versus 2023–2024, but the balance sheet strain and ongoing funding reliance remain the dominant risks.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
9
Very Negative
Cash Flow
14
Very Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue742.00K642.00K2.27M1.38M375.00K0.00
Gross Profit336.00K478.00K123.00K120.00K355.00K0.00
EBITDA-53.41M-52.61M-44.16M-165.42M-157.22M-106.59M
Net Income-70.86M-69.90M-59.60M-179.05M-165.76M-106.93M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets28.80M44.92M38.34M73.70M205.85M239.44M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.84M28.41M29.85M65.22M193.72M232.97M
Total Debt104.45M109.66M102.95M101.38M94.16M1.40M
Total Liabilities144.26M140.38M131.44M130.21M129.08M17.77M
Stockholders Equity-115.46M-95.46M-93.10M-56.51M76.78M221.67M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-50.90M-57.62M-72.03M-155.03M-135.48M-82.60M
Operating Cash Flow-50.90M-57.62M-72.03M-155.01M-135.34M-82.15M
Investing Cash Flow0.000.000.00-20.00K-139.00K-445.00K
Financing Cash Flow46.13M56.52M36.66M26.52M96.24M102.45M

Bioxcel Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.85
Price Trends
50DMA
1.01
Negative
100DMA
1.08
Negative
200DMA
1.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
42.01
Neutral
STOCH
5.80
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BTAI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.89, below the 50-day MA of 1.01, and below the 200-day MA of 1.42, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.80 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BTAI.

Bioxcel Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Bioxcel Therapeutics disclosed 86 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bioxcel Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bioxcel Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
52
Neutral
$35.53M3.1183.42%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
47
Neutral
$382.07M-1.94-52.76%-100.00%-219.52%
44
Neutral
$5.45M-0.12166.67%-22.73%53.53%
40
Underperform
$25.90M-0.1769.92%-14.52%66.63%
31
Underperform
$78.82M-0.99-685.96%11.96%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BTAI
Bioxcel Therapeutics
0.80
-4.43
-84.74%
ATNM
Actinium Pharmaceuticals
1.12
-0.59
-34.50%
ANVS
Annovis Bio
1.79
-0.59
-24.79%
BCAB
BioAtla
3.18
-14.70
-82.21%
IPSC
Century Therapeutics
2.02
1.48
273.38%

Bioxcel Therapeutics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
BioXcel Therapeutics Amends Credit Agreement, Eases Liquidity Terms
Negative
Aug 11, 2026
On August 10, 2026, BioXcel Therapeutics entered into a Twelfth Amendment to its existing credit and guaranty agreements with lenders led by Oaktree Fund Administration LLC. The amendment extends to August 21, 2026 the deadline for BioXcel to sign...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
BioXcel Therapeutics Amends Credit Agreement, Extends Debt Deadline
Negative
Aug 3, 2026
On July 31, 2026, BioXcel Therapeutics entered into an eleventh amendment to its 2022 credit agreement with lenders led by Oaktree Fund Administration, securing a further deferral of a principal payment originally due June 30, 2026 to August 31, 2...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
BioXcel Therapeutics Amends Credit Agreement, Tightens Liquidity
Negative
Jul 6, 2026
On July 3, 2026, BioXcel Therapeutics entered into a tenth amendment to its 2022 credit agreement, allowing payment-in-kind of all accrued interest through June 30, 2026 and deferring a June 30 principal payment to July 31, 2026, when about $9.0 m...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 18, 2026