Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals (KNSA)
NASDAQ:KNSA
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Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals (KNSA) AI Stock Analysis

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KNSA

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:KNSA)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$44.00
▲(8.43% Upside)
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals' strong financial performance and positive earnings call outlook are major strengths, supported by bullish technical indicators. However, high valuation and limited market penetration present risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant year-over-year revenue growth for ARCALYST demonstrates strong product demand and market acceptance, which is crucial for sustaining long-term financial health and supporting further investment in product development.
Orphan Drug Designation
Receiving Orphan Drug Designation for KPL-387 can provide market exclusivity and regulatory support, enhancing Kiniksa's competitive position in treating pericarditis and potentially driving future revenue growth.
Strong Financial Position
The shift from a net loss to a net income reflects improved profitability and financial management, providing a solid foundation for future growth initiatives and operational stability.
Negative Factors
Limited Market Penetration
Limited market penetration for ARCALYST indicates challenges in expanding its market share, which could hinder revenue potential and necessitate increased marketing and sales efforts.
Decreased Gross Profit Margin
A significant drop in gross profit margin suggests increased costs or pricing pressures, which could impact profitability if not addressed through cost management or pricing strategies.
Rising Operating Expenses
The increase in operating expenses may strain profitability and cash flow, requiring careful management to ensure sustainable growth and financial health.

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals (KNSA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKiniksa Pharmaceuticals, Ltd., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on discovering, acquiring, developing, and commercializing therapeutic medicines for patients suffering from debilitating diseases with significant unmet medical needs worldwide. Its product candidates include ARCALYST, an interleukin-1alpha and interleukin-1beta, for the treatment of recurrent pericarditis, which is an inflammatory cardiovascular disease; Mavrilimumab, a monoclonal antibody inhibitor that completed Phase II clinical trials for the treatment of giant cell arteritis; Vixarelimab, a monoclonal antibody, which is in Phase 2a clinical trial for the treatment of prurigo nodularis, a chronic inflammatory skin condition; and KPL-404, a monoclonal antibody inhibitor of the CD40- CD154 interaction, a T-cell co-stimulatory signal critical for B-cell maturation, immunoglobulin class switching, and type 1 immune response. Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals, Ltd. was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.
How the Company Makes MoneyKiniksa Pharmaceuticals generates revenue primarily through the commercialization of its therapeutic products, including etokimab, once they receive market approval. The company also explores partnerships and collaborations with larger pharmaceutical firms to co-develop or market their therapies, which can provide upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on sales. Additionally, Kiniksa may receive funding through grants or investments aimed at supporting research and development efforts. The success of its revenue model heavily relies on the efficacy and market acceptance of its product candidates, as well as the strategic alliances it forms within the industry.

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how revenue is distributed across different business segments, highlighting which areas are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsKiniksa Pharmaceuticals is experiencing robust growth in its Product segment, driven by ARCALYST's strong performance, which saw a 52% year-over-year increase. The company has raised its full-year sales guidance, reflecting confidence in sustained demand and market penetration. However, potential competition from emerging oral treatments poses a risk to future growth. The License and Collaboration segment shows volatility, with recent quarters seeing no revenue, highlighting a strategic focus on ARCALYST. Continued pipeline advancement, particularly with KPL-387, could diversify revenue streams if successful.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong positive outlook for Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals with significant revenue growth, increased sales guidance, and a robust financial position. The company highlights the increased adoption of ARCALYST and its FDA Orphan Drug Designation for KPL-387. However, challenges remain with limited market penetration and increased operating expenses.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
ARCALYST revenue grew 61% year-over-year in the third quarter to $180.9 million.
Increased Guidance for ARCALYST Sales
Full year 2025 ARCALYST net sales guidance raised from $625 million-$640 million to $670 million-$675 million.
Orphan Drug Designation
FDA granted KPL-387 Orphan Drug Designation for the treatment of pericarditis, including recurrent pericarditis.
Strong Financial Position
Net income of $18.4 million in Q3 2025 compared to a net loss of $12.7 million a year ago. Cash balance increased by approximately $44 million to $352.1 million.
Growing Prescriber Base
The number of prescribers increased by over 350 in Q3, leading to a total of more than 3,825 prescribers.
Negative Updates
Limited Penetration
As of the end of the second quarter, ARCALYST was only 15% penetrated into the multiple recurrence opportunity.
Operating Expenses Increase
Operating expenses grew 29% year-over-year in the third quarter to $156.8 million.
Company Guidance
During the Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided updated guidance, highlighting significant growth in ARCALYST revenue, which reached $180.9 million, representing a $24 million increase over the previous quarter and a $69 million increase compared to the third quarter of 2024. The company revised its full-year net sales guidance for ARCALYST, raising it to between $670 million and $675 million from a previous range of $625 million to $640 million. This adjustment reflects robust adoption and growth in the treatment of recurrent pericarditis, with the company noting a 61% year-over-year revenue growth. Kiniksa also emphasized its strong financial position, noting a net income of $18.4 million in Q3 2025 compared to a net loss of $12.7 million a year ago, and a cash balance increase of approximately $44 million to $352.1 million. The company remains focused on further penetrating the market, with current penetration at 15% in the multiple recurrence patient population, and on advancing its clinical portfolio, including the development of KPL-387, which received Orphan Drug Designation from the FDA for the treatment of pericarditis.

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals shows strong revenue growth and improved profitability, with a solid cash flow position. However, the decrease in gross profit margin and past negative equity are concerns.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals has shown a strong revenue growth rate of 12.97% TTM, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin has decreased from 85.61% in 2024 to 30.90% TTM, which may suggest increased costs or pricing pressures. The net profit margin improved significantly from -10.21% in 2024 to 6.01% TTM, reflecting better cost management or increased efficiency. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins remain relatively low, indicating room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.018 TTM, suggesting conservative leverage and financial stability. The return on equity has improved to 13.99% TTM from negative values in previous years, indicating better profitability. The equity ratio stands at 75.17% TTM, reflecting a strong equity base relative to total assets. However, the company has experienced negative equity in the past, which could pose a risk if financial conditions worsen.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals has demonstrated a robust free cash flow growth rate of 53.00% TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.83 TTM, showing a healthy conversion of income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, suggesting efficient cash management. These metrics highlight the company's strong cash flow position, which is crucial for sustaining operations and funding growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue597.97M423.24M270.26M220.18M38.54M0.00
Gross Profit443.94M362.33M213.74M173.21M29.44M-3.81M
EBITDA43.38M-43.92M-22.86M9.77M-154.28M-152.42M
Net Income35.92M-43.19M14.08M183.36M-157.92M-161.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets712.33M580.55M526.32M459.67M232.80M349.46M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments352.10M243.63M206.37M190.61M182.20M323.48M
Total Debt9.72M9.86M12.26M5.92M6.05M6.99M
Total Liabilities176.95M142.12M87.48M63.52M47.76M37.53M
Stockholders Equity535.38M438.44M438.84M-492.03M-675.40M-517.47M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow101.73M25.41M13.17M5.70M-146.71M-136.81M
Operating Cash Flow102.86M25.69M13.30M5.81M-126.30M-136.53M
Investing Cash Flow-52.89M37.67M-29.56M-8.08M128.63M-23.44M
Financing Cash Flow27.51M12.27M1.50M2.52M5.88M227.09M

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price40.58
Price Trends
50DMA
37.76
Positive
100DMA
34.17
Positive
200DMA
28.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.59
Negative
RSI
63.13
Neutral
STOCH
89.41
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KNSA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 40.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.83, above the 50-day MA of 37.76, and above the 200-day MA of 28.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.59 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.41 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KNSA.

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$1.93B10.5625.93%21.13%50.86%
74
Outperform
$2.99B90.487.39%55.68%
56
Neutral
$3.07B-20.95%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
43
Neutral
$3.16B-34.78%-34.96%
40
Neutral
$2.22B-4.93-47.19%-84.07%-157.71%
33
Underperform
$3.00B-60.45%117.83%-18.91%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KNSA
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals
40.58
18.77
86.06%
BEAM
Beam Therapeutics
21.87
-4.44
-16.88%
IRON
Disc Medicine
86.02
25.35
41.78%
HRMY
Harmony Biosciences Holdings
33.54
0.54
1.64%
CNTA
Centessa Pharmaceuticals
26.70
9.20
52.57%
CGON
CG Oncology, Inc.
39.41
3.91
11.01%

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Reports Strong Q3 2025 Growth
Oct 29, 2025

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Ltd. Class A is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing novel therapies for diseases with unmet needs, particularly in the cardiovascular sector. The company recently announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting significant growth in its ARCALYST product revenue and strategic advancements in its portfolio.

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals’ Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Optimism
Oct 29, 2025

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Ltd. recently held its third-quarter 2025 earnings call, revealing a strong positive outlook for the company. The call highlighted significant revenue growth, increased sales guidance, and a robust financial position. Notably, the company emphasized the increased adoption of ARCALYST and the FDA Orphan Drug Designation for KPL-387. However, challenges such as limited market penetration and rising operating expenses were also discussed.

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals’ Promising Study on KPL-387 for Recurrent Pericarditis
Oct 27, 2025

Study Overview: Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Ltd. is conducting a Phase 2/3 study titled A Phase 2/3 Efficacy and Safety Study of KPL-387 Treatment in Participants With Recurrent Pericarditis. The study aims to evaluate the effectiveness and safety of KPL-387 for treating recurrent pericarditis, a condition characterized by the inflammation of the pericardium. This research is significant as it addresses a need for effective treatments for this painful and recurrent condition.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Highlights Cardiovascular Focus and Growth
Positive
Sep 3, 2025

On September 3, 2025, Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals released an investor presentation detailing its strategic focus on cardiovascular therapies and its financial health. The company reported strong cash reserves and projected continued revenue growth, particularly from its ARCALYST product, which has generated over $1 billion in revenue since its launch. Kiniksa is also advancing clinical trials for KPL-387 in recurrent pericarditis and maintaining a strong financial position to support ongoing and future developments.

The most recent analyst rating on (KNSA) stock is a Buy with a $55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals stock, see the KNSA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025