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Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals (KNSA)
NASDAQ:KNSA
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Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals (KNSA) AI Stock Analysis

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KNSA

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:KNSA)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$33.00
▼(-2.22% Downside)
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals is positioned well for future growth with strong financial performance and positive technical indicators. However, the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation, while competition and trial uncertainties pose risks. The positive earnings call and corporate event announcements further bolster the outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
The company expects to remain cash flow positive on an annual basis with $308M cash available.
Market Growth
Arcalyst market share should continue to grow in earlier lines of treatment, with encouraging trends in expected utilization in 1st and 2nd recurrence points.
Product Pipeline
The company's pipeline includes promising developments such as KPL-387, which has initiated Ph2/3 study and aims for a future launch.
Negative Factors
Product Discontinuation
The company announced the discontinuation of its abiprubart development plans in Sjögren’s disease, which is viewed as a rational decision given the competitive landscape.
Strategic Focus
Abiprubart's discontinuation was a surprise, but it was noted as a strategic decision to focus on the cardiovascular pipeline.
Treatment Duration
Average upside looks limited on treatment duration, despite some room for growth.

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals (KNSA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKiniksa Pharmaceuticals, Ltd., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on discovering, acquiring, developing, and commercializing therapeutic medicines for patients suffering from debilitating diseases with significant unmet medical needs worldwide. Its product candidates include ARCALYST, an interleukin-1alpha and interleukin-1beta, for the treatment of recurrent pericarditis, which is an inflammatory cardiovascular disease; Mavrilimumab, a monoclonal antibody inhibitor that completed Phase II clinical trials for the treatment of giant cell arteritis; Vixarelimab, a monoclonal antibody, which is in Phase 2a clinical trial for the treatment of prurigo nodularis, a chronic inflammatory skin condition; and KPL-404, a monoclonal antibody inhibitor of the CD40- CD154 interaction, a T-cell co-stimulatory signal critical for B-cell maturation, immunoglobulin class switching, and type 1 immune response. Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals, Ltd. was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.
How the Company Makes MoneyKiniksa Pharmaceuticals generates revenue primarily through the commercialization of its pharmaceutical products, particularly those that receive regulatory approval and enter the market. The company may also pursue partnerships and collaborations with larger pharmaceutical firms for joint development and marketing efforts, which can provide upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on sales. Additionally, Kiniksa may receive funding through grants or research contracts, especially for exploratory studies or clinical trials. The success of its revenue model hinges on successfully bringing its products to market and ensuring they meet the needs of healthcare providers and patients.

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how revenue is distributed across different business segments, highlighting which areas are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsKiniksa Pharmaceuticals is experiencing robust growth in its Product segment, driven by ARCALYST's strong performance, which saw a 52% year-over-year increase. The company has raised its full-year sales guidance, reflecting confidence in sustained demand and market penetration. However, potential competition from emerging oral treatments poses a risk to future growth. The License and Collaboration segment shows volatility, with recent quarters seeing no revenue, highlighting a strategic focus on ARCALYST. Continued pipeline advancement, particularly with KPL-387, could diversify revenue streams if successful.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 24.82%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was largely positive, with significant revenue growth for ARCALYST, successful milestone achievements, and promising pipeline developments. However, there is some competitive pressure and uncertainty regarding future patient retention strategies.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong ARCALYST Revenue Growth
ARCALYST achieved $156.8 million in net revenue for Q2 2025, a 52% year-over-year increase and a $19 million increase over the previous quarter. The company raised its full-year revenue guidance to between $625 million and $640 million.
Milestone Achievement
Kiniksa surpassed $1 billion in cumulative net sales for ARCALYST, marking significant commercial success since its launch.
Pipeline Progress with KPL-387
Initiated and began recruiting for a Phase II/III clinical trial of KPL-387 for recurrent pericarditis, with data expected in the second half of next year.
Increase in Prescriber Base
More than 325 additional healthcare professionals wrote their first ARCALYST prescription in Q2, bringing the total number of prescribers to over 3,475.
Financial Performance
Net income was $17.8 million in Q2 2025 compared to a net loss of $3.9 million a year ago. Cash balance increased by approximately $40 million to $307.8 million.
Negative Updates
Potential Competition
Emerging competition from potential oral competitors in the recurrent pericarditis treatment space, with data expected from competitors in the near future.
Uncertainty in Patient Retention
Questions remain about the duration of patient therapy and the potential switch rate to new therapies like KPL-387 once available.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals reported a net revenue of $156.8 million, marking a $19 million increase from the first quarter and a 52% year-over-year growth. The company surpassed $1 billion in cumulative net sales for ARCALYST, the first FDA-approved therapy for recurrent pericarditis, and adjusted its full-year 2025 net sales guidance for ARCALYST to between $625 million and $640 million. The penetration into the multiple recurrence population increased to 15%, up from 13% at the end of 2024. The payer approval rate remained above 90%, with patient compliance over 85% and an average therapy duration of approximately 30 months. Kiniksa also initiated Phase II/III clinical trials for KPL-387, aiming for a potential launch in the 2028-2029 timeframe. Financially, the company reported a net income of $17.8 million, compared to a net loss of $3.9 million a year ago, with a cash balance increase to $307.8 million.

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals has shown strong financial performance with impressive revenue growth and improving profitability. While the company is still operating at a net loss, the financial trajectory is positive, supported by a strong cash flow and a stable balance sheet with low debt levels.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals has shown impressive revenue growth, with significant increases over the past few years, including a 13.7% growth from 2024 to 2025 TTM. Gross profit margin is strong at approximately 93.8% in the TTM period. However, the company is still operating at a net loss, though it has improved significantly from previous years, reducing the net loss from $43.19 million in 2024 to $2.9 million in the TTM period. This indicates a positive trajectory towards profitability.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet shows a healthy equity position with stockholders' equity growing to $457.49 million. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at approximately 0.02, indicating low leverage and reduced financial risk. However, the company's equity ratio of 76.3% highlights stability, but the historical negative equity in 2021 and prior years is a concern, pointing to past financial instability.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals positive trends with free cash flow growing by 72% from 2024 to the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is exceptionally strong, indicating efficient cash management. Free cash flow to net income ratio also reflects a robust cash-generating ability. These metrics suggest strong operational efficiency and cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue529.33M423.24M270.26M220.18M38.54M0.00
Gross Profit409.45M362.33M213.74M173.21M29.44M-3.81M
EBITDA5.62M-45.62M-22.86M9.77M-154.28M-152.42M
Net Income4.79M-43.19M14.08M183.36M-157.92M-161.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets661.15M580.55M526.32M459.67M232.80M349.46M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments307.78M243.63M206.37M190.61M182.20M323.48M
Total Debt9.77M9.86M12.26M5.92M6.05M6.99M
Total Liabilities166.14M142.12M87.48M63.52M47.76M37.53M
Stockholders Equity495.01M438.44M438.84M-492.03M-675.40M-517.47M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow66.49M25.41M13.17M5.70M-146.71M-136.81M
Operating Cash Flow66.95M25.69M13.30M5.81M-126.30M-136.53M
Investing Cash Flow3.52M37.67M-29.56M-8.08M128.63M-23.44M
Financing Cash Flow22.30M12.27M1.50M2.52M5.88M227.09M

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price33.75
Price Trends
50DMA
29.78
Positive
100DMA
27.28
Positive
200DMA
24.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.22
Positive
RSI
65.78
Neutral
STOCH
60.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KNSA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 33.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.35, above the 50-day MA of 29.78, and above the 200-day MA of 24.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 65.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KNSA.

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$2.15B12.2027.58%17.74%59.96%
71
Outperform
$2.49B821.171.03%56.18%
51
Neutral
$7.82B-0.16-39.78%2.19%21.38%-1.56%
46
Neutral
$1.95B-20.95%
43
Neutral
$2.08B-26.36%-22.19%
41
Neutral
$1.65B-41.94%-82.90%-155.64%
33
Underperform
$2.32B-72.95%117.83%-14.45%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KNSA
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals
33.75
6.20
22.50%
BEAM
Beam Therapeutics
16.64
-10.47
-38.62%
IRON
Disc Medicine
60.35
10.62
21.36%
HRMY
Harmony Biosciences Holdings
37.86
1.70
4.70%
CNTA
Centessa Pharmaceuticals
17.01
3.09
22.20%
CGON
CG Oncology, Inc.
26.92
-10.82
-28.67%

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Unveils Phase 2/3 Trial Plans
Positive
Jun 5, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals announced the design and timeline for its Phase 2/3 clinical trial of KPL-387, a monoclonal antibody for treating recurrent pericarditis. The trial is set to begin in mid-2025, with Phase 2 data expected in the second half of 2026. This trial aims to evaluate the efficacy and safety of KPL-387, which is administered subcutaneously, and could potentially expand treatment options for patients with recurrent pericarditis. The announcement underscores Kiniksa’s commitment to advancing its therapeutic options and strengthening its position in the cardiovascular treatment market.

The most recent analyst rating on (KNSA) stock is a Buy with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals stock, see the KNSA Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Annual Shareholders Meeting Decisions
Neutral
Jun 3, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders where several proposals were voted on and passed. Key decisions included the re-election of directors across three classes, the appointment and remuneration of auditors, and the approval of various financial and governance measures. These resolutions are likely to impact the company’s governance structure and financial operations, potentially influencing its strategic direction and stakeholder relationships.

The most recent analyst rating on (KNSA) stock is a Buy with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals stock, see the KNSA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025