tiprankstipranks
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals (KNSA)
NASDAQ:KNSA
US Market

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals (KNSA) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
553 Followers

Top Page

KNSA

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:KNSA)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$52.00
▲(11.16% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/25/26
Score is driven primarily by improved fundamentals and a strong, low-leverage balance sheet, reinforced by upbeat earnings-call guidance and commercial momentum. Offsetting the outlook are weaker/volatile cash-flow conversion, only mixed near-term technicals, and a high P/E valuation with no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Strong ARCALYST revenue growth
Sustained double‑digit, multi‑year revenue scale-up from ARCALYST indicates durable commercial adoption in recurrent pericarditis. Growing sales provide predictable cash flow for reinvestment, support margin expansion via operating leverage, and underpin near‑term profitability assuming continued uptake.
Negative Factors
Volatile cash‑flow conversion
Weak and volatile cash conversion despite positive net income signals earnings quality issues and variability in working capital or noncash items. Persistent weak conversion could constrain funding for R&D or commercialization unless operational conversion improves.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong ARCALYST revenue growth
Sustained double‑digit, multi‑year revenue scale-up from ARCALYST indicates durable commercial adoption in recurrent pericarditis. Growing sales provide predictable cash flow for reinvestment, support margin expansion via operating leverage, and underpin near‑term profitability assuming continued uptake.
Read all positive factors

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals (KNSA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals, Ltd., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on discovering, acquiring, developing, and commercializing therapeutic medicines for patients suffering from debilitating diseases with significant unmet medical needs worldwide. ...
How the Company Makes Money
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals generates revenue primarily through the commercialization of its therapeutic products, including etokimab, once they receive market approval. The company also explores partnerships and collaborations with larger pharmaceuti...

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how revenue is distributed across different business segments, highlighting which areas are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsKiniksa Pharmaceuticals is experiencing robust growth in its Product segment, driven by ARCALYST's strong performance, which saw a 52% year-over-year increase. The company has raised its full-year sales guidance, reflecting confidence in sustained demand and market penetration. However, potential competition from emerging oral treatments poses a risk to future growth. The License and Collaboration segment shows volatility, with recent quarters seeing no revenue, highlighting a strategic focus on ARCALYST. Continued pipeline advancement, particularly with KPL-387, could diversify revenue streams if successful.
Data provided by:The Fly

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 24, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong commercial and financial momentum driven by ARCALYST, with robust revenue growth (+65% Q4, +62% full year), rapidly expanding collaboration profit (+83% Q4, +96% full year), restored profitability, and meaningful cash generation. Management reiterated confident 2026 guidance ($900–$920M) and highlighted advancing pipeline programs (KPL-387 data expected H2 2026, KPL-1161 clinic entry by year-end). Offsetting items include rising operating expenses, seasonal Q1 headwinds, reliance on ARCALYST concentration, and uncertainty on peak market penetration and future product mix. Overall, positives materially outweigh the negatives, reflecting a constructive outlook contingent on continued execution.
Positive Updates
Strong ARCALYST Revenue Growth
ARCALYST product revenue grew 65% year-over-year to $202.1 million in Q4 2025 and 62% year-over-year to $677.6 million for full-year 2025, driven by expanding adoption of IL‑1 alpha and beta inhibition in recurrent pericarditis.
Negative Updates
Higher Operating Expenses
Operating expenses grew year-over-year in Q4 and full-year 2025 due to higher cost of goods sold from ARCALYST volume, increased collaboration expenses tied to collaboration profit, and additional SG&A investments to support commercialization.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong ARCALYST Revenue Growth
ARCALYST product revenue grew 65% year-over-year to $202.1 million in Q4 2025 and 62% year-over-year to $677.6 million for full-year 2025, driven by expanding adoption of IL‑1 alpha and beta inhibition in recurrent pericarditis.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Kiniksa reiterated full‑year 2026 ARCALYST net revenue guidance of $900–920 million and said it expects to remain cash‑flow positive under its current plan after ending 2025 with $414.1 million in cash and $170.4 million of net cash generation for the year; ARCALYST product revenue grew 65% YoY to $202.1 million in Q4 and 62% to $677.6 million for full‑year 2025, ARCALYST collaboration profit rose 83% YoY to $140 million in Q4 and 96% to $459 million for the year, and the company reported Q4 net income of $14.2 million (FY net income $59.0 million vs. a $43.2 million loss in 2024). Commercial metrics highlighted >4,150 prescribers (≈29% or >1,200 wrote for ≥2 patients), average therapy duration approaching ~3 years, penetration in the 2+ recurrence target ≈18% (vs ~15% mid‑2025 and 13% end‑2024) of a ~14,000 patient pool, ~20% of prescriptions in first recurrence (≈26,000 annual first‑recurrence population), and an expectation to continue expanding utilization in 2026 despite typical Q1 seasonal headwinds; clinical guidance included ongoing KPL‑387 Phase II enrollment with data due H2 2026, plans to be in clinic with KPL‑1161 by year‑end, and an anticipated KPL‑387 patient launch timeframe in 2028–2029.

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue scale-up (2025 revenue $677.6M, +13.3% YoY) and improved profitability versus 2024, supported by a very low-debt balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.017). Offsetting factors are historically choppy earnings and weaker cash-flow conversion/volatility (2025 FCF growth -75% and operating cash flow modest relative to net income).
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Cash Flow
54
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue677.56M423.24M270.26M220.18M38.54M
Gross Profit370.15M362.33M213.74M197.28M29.44M
EBITDA90.42M-43.92M-22.86M12.18M-154.28M
Net Income59.01M-43.19M14.08M183.36M-157.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets763.63M580.55M526.32M459.67M232.80M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments414.07M243.63M206.37M190.61M182.20M
Total Debt9.50M9.86M12.26M5.92M6.05M
Total Liabilities196.03M142.12M87.48M63.52M47.76M
Stockholders Equity567.61M438.44M438.84M396.15M185.04M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow25.41M25.41M13.17M5.70M-146.71M
Operating Cash Flow25.69M25.69M13.30M5.81M-126.30M
Investing Cash Flow37.67M37.67M-29.56M-8.08M128.63M
Financing Cash Flow12.27M12.27M1.50M2.52M5.88M

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price46.78
Price Trends
50DMA
44.44
Positive
100DMA
42.75
Positive
200DMA
37.96
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.28
Positive
RSI
51.60
Neutral
STOCH
35.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KNSA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 46.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.90, above the 50-day MA of 44.44, and above the 200-day MA of 37.96, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.28 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KNSA.

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$3.58B51.8711.48%55.68%
69
Neutral
$1.59B13.5619.84%21.13%50.86%
61
Neutral
$5.63B-19.94-22.87%217.84%-85.53%
54
Neutral
$2.41B-34.27-7.31%-84.07%-157.71%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
48
Neutral
$3.95B-14.82-67.68%117.83%-18.91%
43
Neutral
$2.37B-13.21-32.80%-34.96%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KNSA
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals
46.78
23.42
100.26%
BEAM
Beam Therapeutics
23.62
1.43
6.44%
IRON
Disc Medicine
62.01
9.54
18.18%
HRMY
Harmony Biosciences Holdings
27.44
-5.91
-17.72%
CNTA
Centessa Pharmaceuticals
29.40
14.89
102.62%
CGON
CG Oncology, Inc.
66.67
39.73
147.48%

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Reshapes Leadership With New COO, CSO
Positive
Jan 14, 2026
On January 10, 2026, Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals appointed Ross Moat as Chief Operating Officer and principal operating officer, formalizing his leadership over commercial operations and expanding his remit to broader functional operations without cha...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 25, 2026