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Centessa Pharmaceuticals (CNTA)
NASDAQ:CNTA

Centessa Pharmaceuticals (CNTA) AI Stock Analysis

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CNTA

Centessa Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:CNTA)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$24.50
▲(10.26% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (large ongoing losses and significant cash burn on limited revenue) and bearish/weak technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Corporate events add some support via improved capital-raising flexibility and leadership/strategy updates, but they do not fully offset the underlying profitability and cash-consumption risks.
Positive Factors
Unique Research Model
The 'asset-centric' model allows Centessa to focus on high-potential drug candidates, potentially accelerating development and improving success rates.
Strong Equity Position
A strong equity position provides financial resilience, enabling Centessa to withstand operational challenges and invest in R&D.
Revenue Growth Potential
High revenue growth potential suggests expanding market opportunities and successful drug development, crucial for long-term success.
Negative Factors
Ongoing Losses
Persistent losses indicate operational inefficiencies and challenge the company's ability to achieve profitability in the near term.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative cash flow stresses liquidity, limiting Centessa's ability to fund operations and R&D without additional financing.
Increasing Debt Levels
Rising debt levels can strain financial resources, increasing risk and potentially impacting future investment and growth capabilities.

Centessa Pharmaceuticals (CNTA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Centessa Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCentessa Pharmaceuticals plc, a clinical-stage pharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and delivers medicines to patients. Its registrational pipeline products include Lixivaptan, a vasopressin V2 receptor small molecule inhibitor that is in Phase III clinical development for the treatment of autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease; and SerpinPC, an activated protein C inhibitor, which is in Phase IIa clinical development for the treatment of hemophilia A and B. The company also has emerging pipeline products under clinical proof of concept stage comprising LB101, a PD-L1xCD47 LockBody, as well as LB201, a PD-L1xCD3 LockBody, which are designed to selectively drive potent CD47 and CD3 effector function activity while avoiding systemic toxicity; ZF874, a small molecule pharmacological chaperone folding corrector of the Z variant of alpha-1-antitrypsin in Phase I clinical development for the treatment of alpha-1-antitrypsin deficiency; MGX292, a recombinant modified BMP9 replacement protein designed to overcome the deficiency in BMP9 signaling in Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension; and OX2R Agonists that are oral and intranasal selective orexin receptor 2 agonists designed to leverage structural insights and to directly target the underlying pathophysiology of orexin neuron loss in Narcolepsy Type 1. In addition, the company has exploratory pipeline products under clinical proof of concept stage containing CBS001, an anti-LIGHT antibody, which preferentially binds the inflammatory membrane form of LIGHT in inflammatory/fibrotic diseases; and CBS004, a humanized mAb specific to BDCA2, expressed exclusively on plasmacytoid dendritic cells in systemic sclerosis, systemic lupus erythematosus, and other autoimmune diseases. Centessa Pharmaceuticals plc was incorporated in 2020 and is based in Altrincham, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyCentessa Pharmaceuticals generates revenue primarily through the research and development of novel drug candidates, which it aims to bring to market either independently or through strategic partnerships. The company invests in early-stage and clinical development of drug candidates, seeking to advance them through the pipeline to commercialization. Revenue streams are expected to include sales of approved therapies, milestone payments, and royalties from collaborations with larger pharmaceutical companies. Additionally, Centessa may engage in licensing agreements that provide upfront payments and future royalties, contingent upon the success of its drug candidates in clinical trials and eventual market approval.

Centessa Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Centessa Pharmaceuticals faces significant financial challenges, with ongoing losses and negative cash flow. The company has struggled to generate revenue, and its profitability metrics are poor. Despite a relatively strong equity position, the company's increasing debt and negative cash flows pose risks to its financial stability. The biotechnology industry is capital-intensive, and Centessa may need to secure additional funding to sustain operations and achieve growth.
Income Statement
Centessa Pharmaceuticals has struggled to generate revenue consistently, with zero revenue in multiple years and a significant decline from 2023 to 2024. The company has consistently recorded negative EBIT and net income, indicating persistent operational challenges. The net profit margin remains negative, reflecting ongoing losses.
Balance Sheet
The company's balance sheet shows a relatively strong equity position with stockholders' equity exceeding liabilities, resulting in a positive equity ratio. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is concerning due to increasing total debt over the years. The company maintains a solid cash and short-term investments position, but overall financial stability is compromised by ongoing losses.
Cash Flow
Centessa Pharmaceuticals exhibits negative operating and free cash flows, highlighting liquidity challenges. Although there was a significant inflow from financing activities, the free cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, and cash flow from operations continues to be negative, indicating potential cash management issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.00M0.006.85M0.000.000.00
Gross Profit14.77M0.006.85M0.000.000.00
EBITDA-227.27M-221.88M-165.43M-209.55M-139.30M-10.29M
Net Income-242.70M-235.76M-151.09M-216.21M-381.90M-10.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets448.30M576.80M360.25M444.31M629.63M11.72M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments246.21M482.18M256.55M393.64M595.08M7.23M
Total Debt118.26M117.23M84.59M69.80M75.70M5.63M
Total Liabilities146.73M175.25M124.00M108.14M138.08M8.62M
Stockholders Equity301.57M401.55M236.24M336.17M491.55M3.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-181.17M-142.09M-160.51M-201.68M-136.33M-10.63M
Operating Cash Flow-180.81M-142.06M-160.34M-200.55M-136.14M-10.63M
Investing Cash Flow-175.40M31.27M-127.00M-931.00K63.25M0.00
Financing Cash Flow11.09M364.75M21.12M457.00K660.07M1.36M

Centessa Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price22.22
Price Trends
50DMA
25.82
Negative
100DMA
23.67
Negative
200DMA
18.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.19
Positive
RSI
31.57
Neutral
STOCH
14.40
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CNTA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 22.22 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.18, below the 50-day MA of 25.82, and above the 200-day MA of 18.77, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.40 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CNTA.

Centessa Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Centessa Pharmaceuticals disclosed 109 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Centessa Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Centessa Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
59
Neutral
$3.19B-10.39-45.14%-38.30%
56
Neutral
$5.20B-9.25-95.93%-27.70%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$2.94B71.8414.10%42.11%
50
Neutral
$4.44B-218.04%-31.71%
48
Neutral
$2.96B-12.21-60.45%117.83%-18.91%
46
Neutral
$2.35B-4.06-325.76%20.63%8.09%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CNTA
Centessa Pharmaceuticals
22.22
6.82
44.29%
RARE
Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical
24.11
-16.87
-41.17%
XENE
Xenon
40.36
0.23
0.57%
APLS
Apellis Pharmaceuticals
21.33
-7.70
-26.52%
SRRK
Scholar Rock Holding
43.75
-0.57
-1.29%
IMVT
Immunovant
26.18
1.78
7.30%

Centessa Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Centessa Pharmaceuticals Appoints New CEO Amid Strategic Shift
Positive
Dec 11, 2025

On December 11, 2025, Centessa Pharmaceuticals announced the appointment of Dr. Mario Alberto Accardi as the new Chief Executive Officer, effective January 1, 2026. Dr. Accardi, who has been instrumental in leading Centessa’s Orexin Program, will succeed Dr. Saurabh Saha, who will transition to an advisory role. This leadership change marks a strategic shift for Centessa, as it intensifies its focus on advancing its orexin portfolio, particularly OX2R agonists, which are poised to address a range of neurological disorders. The company aims to capitalize on the promising growth opportunities in neuroscience, with key milestones expected in 2026, positioning itself at the forefront of this emerging therapeutic class.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNTA) stock is a Buy with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Centessa Pharmaceuticals stock, see the CNTA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Centessa Pharmaceuticals Amends Sales Agreement for Flexibility
Positive
Nov 24, 2025

On November 24, 2025, Centessa Pharmaceuticals amended its Sales Agreement with Leerink Partners LLC, allowing the company to issue and sell up to $250 million of its American Depositary Shares through ‘at the market offerings.’ This strategic move, facilitated by Leerink as the sales agent, aims to provide Centessa with flexibility in raising capital for working capital, capital expenditures, and general corporate purposes. The agreement includes customary representations, warranties, and covenants, and does not obligate the company to sell any shares, nor does it specify a minimum offering amount. The impact of this agreement could enhance Centessa’s financial resources, potentially strengthening its market position and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNTA) stock is a Buy with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Centessa Pharmaceuticals stock, see the CNTA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Centessa Pharmaceuticals Announces Underwriting Agreement for ADS Offering
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

On November 11, 2025, Centessa Pharmaceuticals announced an underwriting agreement to issue and sell 11,627,907 American Depositary Shares (ADSs) at $21.50 per share, with an option for underwriters to purchase an additional 1,744,186 ADSs. The offering is expected to close on November 14, 2025, and aims to raise approximately $234.4 million, potentially increasing to $269.6 million if the over-allotment option is exercised. The proceeds will fund the development of product candidates and general corporate purposes, potentially supporting operations until 2028. This move is part of Centessa’s strategy to bolster its financial resources for ongoing and future projects, thereby strengthening its position in the pharmaceutical industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNTA) stock is a Buy with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Centessa Pharmaceuticals stock, see the CNTA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Centessa Pharmaceuticals Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

Centessa Pharmaceuticals reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025 and provided updates on its orexin receptor 2 (OX2R) agonist program. The company highlighted significant progress in its clinical trials, particularly with ORX750, which showed promising results in treating narcolepsy and idiopathic hypersomnia. The Phase 2a study of ORX750 demonstrated statistically significant improvements in wakefulness and daily functioning for patients, with plans to initiate a registrational program in early 2026. Additionally, ORX142 showed a highly differentiated profile in Phase 1 trials, and ORX489 is advancing in IND-enabling studies. Financially, Centessa reported a net loss of $54.9 million for the quarter, with cash reserves expected to fund operations into mid-2027.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNTA) stock is a Buy with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Centessa Pharmaceuticals stock, see the CNTA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025