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KNOT Offshore Partners (KNOP)
NYSE:KNOP

KNOT Offshore Partners (KNOP) AI Stock Analysis

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KNOP

KNOT Offshore Partners

(NYSE:KNOP)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$11.50
▲(8.39% Upside)
KNOT Offshore Partners' strong valuation and technical indicators are the primary drivers of its score. Financial performance is solid, but high leverage and cash conversion issues are risks. Earnings call insights are mixed, with strategic successes offset by uncertainties.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The company has shown positive revenue growth, indicating expanding market reach and increasing demand for its services, which is crucial for long-term sustainability.
Contractual Backlog
A strong contractual backlog with major clients like Shell and Equinor ensures stable future revenue streams and enhances market position.
High Utilization Rates
High fleet utilization rates reflect operational efficiency and strong demand for services, supporting consistent cash flow and profitability.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, especially in volatile markets, potentially impacting long-term stability.
Declining Cash Conversion
Declining cash conversion efficiency may hinder the company's ability to reinvest in growth opportunities and manage debt effectively.
Uncertainty from Buyout Proposal
The buyout proposal introduces uncertainty, which could affect strategic decision-making and stakeholder confidence in the near term.

KNOT Offshore Partners (KNOP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

KNOT Offshore Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKNOT Offshore Partners LP owns, acquires, and operates shuttle tankers under long-term charters in the North Sea and Brazil. The company provides loading, transportation, discharge, and storage of crude oil under time charters and bareboat charters. As of March 17, 2022, it operated a fleet of seventeen shuttle tankers. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Aberdeen, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyKNOT Offshore Partners generates revenue primarily through long-term contracts and time charters for its fleet of shuttle tankers. The company typically enters into contracts with major oil and gas companies, ensuring stable and predictable cash flows. These contracts often span multiple years and include provisions for fixed rates, which help mitigate market volatility. Additionally, KNOT may benefit from operational efficiencies and cost controls that enhance profitability. The partnership structure allows for tax-efficient distributions to unitholders, and the company’s strategic focus on expanding its fleet through acquisitions can lead to increased revenue opportunities. Significant partnerships with leading oil companies also play a critical role in securing contracts and enhancing the company's market position.

KNOT Offshore Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong financial performance with high utilization rates and successful refinancing efforts. However, there are concerns about the limited execution of the buyback program and uncertainties related to the unsolicited offer from KNOT. Additionally, anticipated dry dockings present operational challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Revenues for Q3 were $96.9 million, operating income was $30.6 million, and net income was $15.1 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $61.6 million. Available liquidity at the end of Q3 was $125.2 million, which is $20.4 million higher than at June 30.
High Utilization Rates
Operated with 99.9% utilization, accounting for scheduled drydocking, which results in 96.5% overall utilization.
Successful Refinancing and Capital Management
Completed two refinancings, including a $25 million revolving credit facility and sale and leaseback for Tove Knutsen, raising a net $32 million. Additional refinancing in Q4 secured with a $71 million loan for the Synnøve Knutsen.
Extended Contractual Backlog
Secured extensions with Shell and Equinor, contributing to a backlog of $963 million in fixed contracts.
Positive Market Trends
Tightening shuttle tanker market in Brazil and the North Sea due to FPSO start-ups and ramp-ups.
Negative Updates
Limited Buyback Program Execution
The unit buyback program was concluded after purchasing just under 385,000 common units for over $3 million, rather than utilizing the full $10 million authorization.
Uncertainty Around Unsolicited Offer
Unsolicited and nonbinding offer from KNOT to buy publicly owned common units for $10 per unit is under evaluation, adding uncertainty.
Upcoming Dry Dockings
Expecting a busy year in 2026 with potentially 4 to 5 dry dockings, which may affect utilization and incur CapEx costs.
Company Guidance
During the KNOP third quarter 2025 earnings call, several key metrics and developments were highlighted. The partnership reported revenues of $96.9 million, an operating income of $30.6 million, and a net income of $15.1 million, with an adjusted EBITDA of $61.6 million. As of September 30, 2025, KNOP had $125.2 million in available liquidity, comprising $77.2 million in cash and cash equivalents and $48 million in undrawn credit facilities. The fleet operated at 99.9% utilization, accounting for the scheduled drydocking of Tove Knutsen, resulting in an overall utilization rate of 96.5%. Additionally, they declared a cash distribution of $0.026 per common unit, paid in November. The call also covered strategic moves such as acquiring the Daqing Knutsen, implementing a buyback program, and completing two refinancings. Contractually, they extended agreements with Shell and Equinor, and secured a new time charter with KNOT for the Fortaleza Knutsen. The partnership's backlog extended to $963 million of fixed contracts averaging 2.6 years, with robust vessel coverage for 2026 and 2027.

KNOT Offshore Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
KNOT Offshore Partners demonstrates strong profitability with robust EBIT and EBITDA margins. Revenue growth is positive, but high leverage and declining cash conversion are concerns.
Income Statement
72
Positive
KNOT Offshore Partners shows a solid performance in its income statement with a strong gross profit margin of 40.31% and a net profit margin of 14.69% for the TTM. The revenue growth rate of 6.08% indicates a positive trajectory. However, the gross profit margin has decreased from previous years, suggesting potential cost pressures. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 31.56% and 63.21%, respectively, indicating efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.58, which is typical for the marine shipping industry but suggests significant leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is moderate at 8.58%, reflecting decent profitability. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's leverage could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a healthy free cash flow growth rate of 6.70% and a strong free cash flow to net income ratio of 99.85%, indicating effective cash generation relative to earnings. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 42.28%, which is lower than previous periods, suggesting room for improvement in converting earnings to cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue359.21M312.63M290.72M268.58M281.13M279.22M
Gross Profit144.79M200.51M80.93M72.32M109.46M128.47M
EBITDA227.04M190.68M144.64M210.19M183.00M187.63M
Net Income52.76M14.06M-34.33M58.67M53.88M65.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.72B1.57B1.60B1.73B1.68B1.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments77.21M66.93M63.92M47.58M62.29M52.58M
Total Debt983.60M906.00M958.91M1.06B969.87M1.03B
Total Liabilities1.09B961.03M989.01M1.08B1.00B1.08B
Stockholders Equity621.44M611.13M607.48M652.21M673.01M697.55M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow155.26M136.20M128.86M97.63M154.88M168.90M
Operating Cash Flow155.50M137.15M131.64M100.94M166.41M169.24M
Investing Cash Flow-25.97M-338.00K-2.78M-35.51M-11.54M-21.43M
Financing Cash Flow-119.30M-133.32M-112.51M-79.97M-145.15M-139.26M

KNOT Offshore Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.61
Price Trends
50DMA
9.88
Positive
100DMA
9.02
Positive
200DMA
7.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.18
Positive
RSI
59.03
Neutral
STOCH
48.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KNOP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.61 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.41, above the 50-day MA of 9.88, and above the 200-day MA of 7.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KNOP.

KNOT Offshore Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$1.73B3.7813.16%3.64%3.82%-13.73%
78
Outperform
kr1.16B13.726.50%-12.47%-34.41%
76
Outperform
$1.48B5.878.36%0.39%-1.33%-33.66%
74
Outperform
$364.47M6.828.71%1.00%19.59%
67
Neutral
$2.17B36.092.50%1.59%-13.87%-82.48%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
58
Neutral
$1.12B-0.15%12.24%-11.10%-101.57%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KNOP
KNOT Offshore Partners
10.61
5.32
100.57%
DAC
Danaos
94.67
18.74
24.68%
NMM
Navios Maritime Partners
51.26
7.60
17.41%
SFL
SFL Corporation
7.79
-1.23
-13.64%
SBLK
Star Bulk Carriers
19.43
4.83
33.08%
ECO
Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp.
33.48
14.02
72.05%

KNOT Offshore Partners Corporate Events

KNOT Offshore Partners Adjourns 2025 Annual Meeting Due to Lack of Quorum
Dec 15, 2025

KNOT Offshore Partners LP announced the adjournment of its 2025 Annual Meeting of limited partners due to a lack of quorum. The meeting has been rescheduled to December 22, 2025, with no changes to the proposals to be voted on. The company encourages unitholders who have not yet voted to do so in favor of all proposals. This adjournment may impact the company’s operational timelines but maintains the integrity of the voting process.

KNOT Offshore Partners Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results Amid Market Growth
Dec 4, 2025

KNOT Offshore Partners LP reported its financial results for Q3 2025, showing total revenues of $96.9 million and a net income of $15.1 million. The company achieved a fleet utilization rate of 99.87% for scheduled operations. Significant events included the acquisition of a new shuttle tanker, the establishment of a buyback program, and several refinancing and charter agreements. The company also received a non-binding proposal from KNOT to acquire all publicly held common units. The shuttle tanker market, particularly in Brazil, is experiencing growth, with new production start-ups and increasing demand expected to outpace supply in the coming years.

KNOT Offshore Partners Announces 2025 Annual Meeting Details
Nov 13, 2025

KNOT Offshore Partners LP announced its 2025 Annual Meeting of Limited Partners scheduled for December 15, 2025, in Aberdeen, UK. The meeting will include the election of Ms. Pernille Østensjø as a Class IV Director and the ratification of Ernst & Young AS as the independent public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. This meeting is significant as it involves key decisions impacting the governance and financial oversight of the company, which could influence its strategic direction and stakeholder confidence.

KNOT Offshore Partners Receives Buyout Proposal from Knutsen NYK
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, KNOT Offshore Partners LP announced that it received an unsolicited non-binding buyout proposal from Knutsen NYK Offshore Tankers AS. The proposal involves acquiring all publicly held common units of the Partnership for $10 per unit through a merger. The offer is subject to approval by the KNOP Conflicts Committee, the KNOP Board, and the KNOT board of directors, along with other customary conditions. The outcome of this proposal could significantly impact the company’s operations and its stakeholders, although there is no certainty that the transaction will be completed.

KNOT Offshore Partners Announces 2025 Annual Meeting and Board Nomination
Oct 27, 2025

KNOT Offshore Partners LP announced its 2025 Annual Meeting will be held on December 15, 2025, with a record date for voting set for November 6, 2025. The Board has nominated Pernille Østensjø to serve as an Independent Director, subject to a vote by the Partnership’s unitholders. Østensjø brings extensive experience in financial management and investment in the energy sector, which is expected to strengthen the Board’s oversight capabilities. The announcement also marks the retirement of Hans Petter Aas, whose contributions have been pivotal to the Partnership’s history.

KNOT Offshore Partners Completes Strategic Share Sale in July 2025
Sep 29, 2025

On July 2, 2025, KNOT Offshore Partners LP completed a significant transaction involving the sale of shares in KNOT Shuttle Tankers 37 AS to KNOT Shuttle Tankers AS. This move is part of a strategic realignment, potentially impacting the company’s operational focus and financial structure. The transaction, valued at USD 95 million, reflects KNOT’s efforts to optimize its asset portfolio and strengthen its market position in the shuttle tanker sector.

KNOT Offshore Partners Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results and Strategic Developments
Sep 25, 2025

KNOT Offshore Partners LP reported strong financial performance for Q2 2025, with revenues of $87.1 million and a net income of $6.8 million. The company achieved nearly full fleet utilization and declared cash distributions for common and preferred units. Significant events included the acquisition of a new shuttle tanker, a unit buyback program, and various charter extensions. The company is optimistic about future growth, driven by increased offshore oil production in Brazil and the North Sea, and anticipates that new shuttle tanker orders will meet rising demand.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025