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KNOT Offshore Partners LP (KNOP)
NYSE:KNOP
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KNOT Offshore Partners (KNOP) AI Stock Analysis

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KNOP

KNOT Offshore Partners

(NYSE:KNOP)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
▲(1.06% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/30/26
The score is driven mainly by improving fundamentals and strong cash generation with very high EBITDA margins, partially offset by elevated leverage and low ROE. Technicals are broadly supportive but neutral near-term, valuation is only middling given a moderate P/E and low yield, and the earnings call was net-positive due to backlog/liquidity strength despite accounting headwinds and refinancing execution risk.
Positive Factors
High EBITDA margins & cash generation
Sustained ~61% EBITDA margins and TTM operating cash flow (~$154M) with free cash flow (~$153M) indicate durable charter economics and strong cash conversion. This underpins debt service, modest distributions, and reinvestment capacity, reducing reliance on volatile spot markets over several years.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio near 1.5x is high for a cashflow-driven shipping MLP and limits financial flexibility. Elevated leverage raises refinancing sensitivity, constrains capacity for opportunistic investments, and increases interest expense risk if rates rise or if cash flow weakens during cyclical downturns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High EBITDA margins & cash generation
Sustained ~61% EBITDA margins and TTM operating cash flow (~$154M) with free cash flow (~$153M) indicate durable charter economics and strong cash conversion. This underpins debt service, modest distributions, and reinvestment capacity, reducing reliance on volatile spot markets over several years.
Read all positive factors

KNOT Offshore Partners (KNOP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

KNOT Offshore Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
KNOT Offshore Partners LP is engaged in the management and expansion of a fleet of specialized shuttle tankers. These vessels are primarily utilized for the intricate logistics of crude oil, operating under extended contractual agreements predomin...
How the Company Makes Money
KNOP makes money primarily by chartering its shuttle tankers to customers (typically oil companies and energy operators) under time-charter contracts. Under this model, a customer hires a vessel for a defined period at an agreed daily rate (or sim...

KNOT Offshore Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 28, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a generally positive operational picture: strong adjusted EBITDA, high utilization excluding dry docks, a sizeable $858M backlog, improved liquidity (+$3.7M QoQ ≈ +2.7%) and successful rechartering/extensions that support multi-year cash flows. Management has resumed and modestly increased distributions and outlined a path for accretive sponsor drop-downs to grow the fleet. Key negatives include a sequential revenue dip tied to scheduled dry docks and contract timing, a significant gap between adjusted EBITDA and GAAP net income, and a prospective useful-life reduction (23 to 20 years, ≈13% shorter) that will raise non-cash depreciation and weigh on reported earnings. Upcoming refinancing milestones represent execution items to monitor. On balance, the operational strengths and backlog outweigh the near-term accounting and timing headwinds.
Positive Updates
Revenue and Profitability (Q1 FY26)
Revenues of $92.0 million, operating income of $14.7 million, net income of $2.6 million and adjusted EBITDA of $56.5 million reported for Q1 FY26, demonstrating solid underlying cash generation (adjusted EBITDA materially higher than GAAP net income).
Negative Updates
Sequential Revenue Pressure
Management acknowledged a sequential decline in revenues driven primarily by scheduled dry dock downtime and contract timing/rollovers during the quarter (no prior-quarter revenue figure provided on the call).
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Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue and Profitability (Q1 FY26)
Revenues of $92.0 million, operating income of $14.7 million, net income of $2.6 million and adjusted EBITDA of $56.5 million reported for Q1 FY26, demonstrating solid underlying cash generation (adjusted EBITDA materially higher than GAAP net income).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's guidance and Q1 2026 metrics highlighted revenues of $92.0M, operating income $14.7M, net income $2.6M and adjusted EBITDA $56.5M; available liquidity was $140.7M (cash $92.7M + $48.0M undrawn), $3.7M higher vs. Dec 31; utilization was 97.2% (92% including two scheduled drydockings); fleet = 19 vessels, average age 10.5 years; backlog = $858M of fixed contracts averaging 2.4 years (plus more if options exercised); quarterly distribution of $0.05/unit was declared and paid; average margin on floating‑rate debt was 2.22% over SOFR; the partnership is repaying ~ $90M of debt per year and expects refinancing facilities of $220M in Sept 2026 and $65M in Oct 2026; and management changed vessel useful lives from 23 to 20 years effective Jan 1, 2026 (increasing non‑cash depreciation).

KNOT Offshore Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operational improvement is supported by sharp TTM revenue growth, very strong EBITDA margins (~61%), and solid/steady operating and free cash flow. Offsetting this are elevated leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.5x), low recent ROE (~3.8%), and a history of earnings volatility (including a 2023 loss).
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
67
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue372.42M364.44M312.63M290.72M268.58M281.13M
Gross Profit104.27M110.96M200.51M80.93M72.32M109.46M
EBITDA204.05M223.27M190.68M144.64M210.19M183.00M
Net Income18.30M23.26M14.06M-34.33M58.67M53.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.66B1.68B1.57B1.60B1.73B1.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments92.66M88.98M66.93M63.92M47.58M62.29M
Total Debt929.62M955.98M906.00M958.91M1.06B969.87M
Total Liabilities1.04B1.06B961.03M989.01M1.08B1.00B
Stockholders Equity611.42M620.97M611.13M607.48M652.21M673.01M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow154.72M155.46M136.20M128.86M97.63M154.88M
Operating Cash Flow155.19M155.74M137.15M131.64M100.94M166.41M
Investing Cash Flow-26.49M-25.29M-338.00K-2.78M-35.51M-11.54M
Financing Cash Flow-103.47M-108.63M-133.32M-112.51M-79.97M-145.15M

KNOT Offshore Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.39
Price Trends
50DMA
10.74
Negative
100DMA
10.47
Negative
200DMA
10.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.24
Positive
RSI
36.10
Neutral
STOCH
22.48
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KNOP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.39 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.36, below the 50-day MA of 10.74, and above the 200-day MA of 10.11, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KNOP.

KNOT Offshore Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$2.06B6.1110.67%0.39%5.87%8.14%
80
Outperform
$2.23B4.3013.85%3.64%2.95%15.92%
74
Outperform
$2.04B9.476.50%32.94%128.18%
72
Outperform
$2.86B19.965.87%1.59%-11.62%-37.75%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
63
Neutral
$1.53B43.943.21%12.24%-16.39%-44.25%
61
Neutral
$345.18M18.942.97%1.00%14.24%29.04%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KNOP
KNOT Offshore Partners
9.99
3.13
45.54%
DAC
Danaos
122.32
35.39
40.71%
NMM
Navios Maritime Partners
72.47
33.97
88.22%
SFL
SFL Corporation
10.59
2.39
29.23%
SBLK
Star Bulk Carriers
25.15
7.70
44.13%
ECO
Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp.
53.11
31.66
147.55%

KNOT Offshore Partners Corporate Events

KNOT Offshore Partners Narrows Shuttle Tanker Acquisitions, Negotiates for Hedda Knutsen
Jun 10, 2026
KNOT Offshore Partners LP, a New York-listed owner and operator of shuttle tankers serving offshore oil fields in Brazil and the North Sea, concentrates on vessels employed under long-term charter contracts. Its structure as a publicly traded mast...
KNOT Offshore Partners Posts Solid Q1 2026 Results and Tightens Charter Coverage Amid Strong Shuttle Tanker Demand
May 28, 2026
KNOT Offshore Partners reported first-quarter 2026 revenues of $92.0 million, operating income of $14.7 million and net income of $2.6 million, with Adjusted EBITDA of $56.5 million and available liquidity rising to $140.7 million as of March 31, ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 30, 2026