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KNOT Offshore Partners (KNOP)
NYSE:KNOP

KNOT Offshore Partners (KNOP) AI Stock Analysis

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KNOT Offshore Partners

(NYSE:KNOP)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$7.50
▲(9.33%Upside)
KNOT Offshore Partners' overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, highlighting growth opportunities and operational efficiency. The technical analysis and valuation indicate stability with moderate potential for returns. The main challenges are managing debt and interest rate risks, but the company's strategic focus on growth in the Brazilian market provides a positive outlook.

KNOT Offshore Partners (KNOP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

KNOT Offshore Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKNOT Offshore Partners LP owns, acquires, and operates shuttle tankers under long-term charters in the North Sea and Brazil. The company provides loading, transportation, discharge, and storage of crude oil under time charters and bareboat charters. As of March 17, 2022, it operated a fleet of seventeen shuttle tankers. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Aberdeen, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyKNOT Offshore Partners generates revenue primarily through long-term charters of its fleet of shuttle tankers. These charters are typically fixed-rate contracts with major oil companies, providing a steady and predictable income stream. The company's earnings are largely influenced by its ability to maintain high utilization rates of its vessels and secure new contracts. Significant partnerships with leading oil and gas companies play a critical role in sustaining its revenue model. Additionally, KNOP may engage in strategic acquisitions to expand its fleet and enhance its service offerings, further contributing to its financial performance.

KNOT Offshore Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 21, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.38%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
KNOT Offshore Partners has delivered strong revenue and utilization rates, supported by a positive market outlook and successful operational strategies. However, the need to manage significant debt levels and expiring interest rate hedges, along with modest dividend payments, present challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Utilization
KNOT Offshore Partners reported Q1 2025 revenues of $84 million with an impressive 99.5% utilization rate, excluding dry dockings.
Positive Market Outlook
The company anticipates significant growth in shuttle tanker demand, driven by new FPSO projects in Brazil and the North Sea.
Strong Contracted Revenue
KNOT has a strong contracted revenue position of $854 million with an average contract duration of 2.3 years.
Successful Vessel Swap
The swap of Dan Sabia for Live Knutsen was completed, enhancing the fleet and operational capacity.
Negative Updates
Debt Levels and Refinancing Needs
The company took on $73 million in debt from a vessel acquisition, raising long-term debt by $47 million. Refinancing is needed for significant balloon payments due in 2025 and 2026.
Interest Rate Hedge Expiry
Interest rate hedges will expire over the next 1.5 years, potentially increasing interest expenses.
Limited Dividend Increase
Cash distribution remains low at $0.026 per common unit, with no immediate plans for significant increases.
Company Guidance
During KNOT Offshore Partners' First Quarter 2025 earnings call, guidance was provided on various financial metrics and operational updates. The partnership reported revenues of $84 million, an operating income of $23.4 million, and a net income of $7.6 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $52.2 million, with available liquidity closing at $101 million, comprising $67 million in cash and cash equivalents, plus $34 million in undrawn capacity on credit facilities. The utilization rate was 99.5%, considering two dry dockings, leading to an overall utilization of 96.9%. A cash distribution of $0.026 per common unit was declared, paid in early May. The contracted revenue position was strong at $854 million at the end of Q1, with fixed contracts averaging 2.3 years and additional options averaging 4.7 years. The partnership anticipates a $90 million debt paydown annually and sees potential growth opportunities in the Brazilian market due to the demand for shuttle tankers. Additionally, KNOT is focused on refinancing several facilities due this year while maintaining a robust financial and operational performance.

KNOT Offshore Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
KNOT Offshore Partners shows solid revenue growth and strong cash flow performance, which contribute to a stable financial outlook. However, high leverage and a low net profit margin highlight potential risks that could affect financial health and profitability.
Income Statement
70
Positive
KNOT Offshore Partners experienced a strong revenue growth of 7.55% in 2024. Gross profit margin improved significantly due to higher gross profit, reaching approximately 64.14%. However, net profit margin remains low at 4.5%, indicating potential efficiency issues despite overall revenue growth. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 23.33% and 61.91%, respectively, showing good operational health.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company exhibits a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.48, suggesting significant leverage that could pose financial risks. However, the return on equity (ROE) is relatively low at 2.3%, indicating limited returns on equity investment. The equity ratio stands at 38.88%, showing moderate capital structure stability but with room for improvement in reducing leverage.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow statements reveal healthy free cash flow growth of 5.69% in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high at 9.75, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is exceptionally high at 9.68, reflecting effective cash management and operational efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue326.00M312.63M290.72M268.58M281.13M279.22M
Gross Profit125.97M200.51M80.93M72.32M109.46M128.47M
EBITDA187.71M190.68M144.64M210.19M183.00M187.63M
Net Income14.21M14.06M-34.33M58.67M53.88M65.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.65B1.57B1.60B1.73B1.68B1.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments67.26M66.93M63.92M47.58M62.29M52.58M
Total Debt948.36M906.00M958.91M1.06B969.87M1.03B
Total Liabilities1.04B961.03M989.01M1.08B1.00B1.08B
Stockholders Equity616.11M611.13M607.48M566.28M599.12M631.08M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow109.47M136.20M128.86M97.63M154.88M168.90M
Operating Cash Flow110.35M137.15M131.64M100.94M166.41M169.24M
Investing Cash Flow-268.00K-338.00K-2.78M-35.51M-11.54M-21.43M
Financing Cash Flow-93.02M-133.32M-112.51M-79.97M-145.15M-139.26M

KNOT Offshore Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.86
Price Trends
50DMA
6.52
Positive
100DMA
6.24
Positive
200DMA
6.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
59.70
Neutral
STOCH
57.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KNOP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.56, above the 50-day MA of 6.52, and above the 200-day MA of 6.12, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KNOP.

KNOT Offshore Partners Risk Analysis

KNOT Offshore Partners disclosed 68 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. KNOT Offshore Partners reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

KNOT Offshore Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$244.80M3.5410.95%14.08%28.84%
73
Outperform
$239.67M16.562.33%1.55%10.07%
72
Outperform
$136.07M5.1810.11%3.07%17.53%58.04%
SBSB
70
Neutral
$386.73M5.659.82%5.36%-2.98%-0.96%
63
Neutral
$337.29M15.064.05%3.94%13.10%-54.75%
59
Neutral
AU$1.63B9.6011.29%3.70%6.59%5.93%
DSDSX
58
Neutral
$175.97M22.092.79%2.63%-8.74%-70.04%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KNOP
KNOT Offshore Partners
6.86
-0.96
-12.28%
DSX
Diana Shipping
1.52
-1.15
-43.07%
SB
Safe Bulkers
3.78
-1.59
-29.61%
SHIP
Seanergy Maritime
6.47
-2.89
-30.88%
GASS
StealthGas
6.44
-0.62
-8.78%
PANL
Pangaea Logistics Solutions
5.14
-1.84
-26.36%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2025