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Komatsu Ltd. (KMTUY)
OTHER OTC:KMTUY
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Komatsu (KMTUY) AI Stock Analysis

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KMTUY

Komatsu

(OTC:KMTUY)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$48.00
▲(45.41% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/30/26
The score is driven primarily by strong underlying financial performance (revenue growth and improved profitability) and supportive valuation (low P/E with a dividend). This is tempered by cash-flow variability and only neutral technical momentum in the near term.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained multi-year top-line expansion indicates durable demand for Komatsu’s equipment across construction, mining and industrial end markets. Persistent revenue growth supports economies of scale, funds reinvestment in products/services, and underpins long-term market share gains and capacity to back aftermarket programs.
Negative Factors
Recent Net Income Weakness
A decline in net income while revenue rises signals margin pressure from costs, pricing, or product mix shifts. If structural rather than transient, this can erode return on capital, limit retained earnings for reinvestment, and weaken the company’s ability to sustainably fund dividends or reduce leverage over time.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained multi-year top-line expansion indicates durable demand for Komatsu’s equipment across construction, mining and industrial end markets. Persistent revenue growth supports economies of scale, funds reinvestment in products/services, and underpins long-term market share gains and capacity to back aftermarket programs.
Read all positive factors

Komatsu (KMTUY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Komatsu Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Komatsu Ltd. manufactures and sells construction, mining, and utility equipment; and forest and industrial machinery worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Construction, Mining and Utility Equipment; Retail Finance; and Industrial...
How the Company Makes Money
Komatsu primarily makes money by selling heavy equipment used in construction, mining, and industrial applications, typically through a mix of direct sales and dealer/distributor networks. A major recurring revenue stream comes from aftermarket su...

Komatsu Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 30, 2026
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with record high net sales and income, growth in Retail Finance and Industrial Machinery & Others, and new product introductions. However, challenges included profit declines in the Construction, Mining & Utility Equipment segment, decreased demand in key markets, and higher production costs.
Positive Updates
Record High Net Sales and Income
Net sales increased by 5.8% year-on-year to ¥2,957.3 billion, and net income increased by 1.9% to ¥310.1 billion, marking record highs for Q3 on a cumulative basis.
Negative Updates
Construction, Mining & Utility Equipment Profit Decline
Segment profit decreased by 1.1% to ¥425 billion, and the segment profit ratio decreased by 0.9 points to 15.5%.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Negative
Record High Net Sales and Income
Net sales increased by 5.8% year-on-year to ¥2,957.3 billion, and net income increased by 1.9% to ¥310.1 billion, marking record highs for Q3 on a cumulative basis.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
In the fiscal 2024 Q3 call, Komatsu reported a 4% increase in operating income to ¥162.6 billion, with a 0.3-point rise in the operating income ratio to 16.4%. Net sales reached ¥989.2 billion, marking a 1.8% year-on-year growth, while net income surged by 9.7% to ¥108.3 billion. The Construction, Mining & Utility Equipment segment saw net sales of ¥918.2 billion, with a slight segment profit decrease of 1.4% to ¥147 billion. Retail Finance and Industrial Machinery & Others showed robust growth, with sales increases of 11.1% and 7.5%, respectively. The yen strengthened against the dollar but weakened against the euro and Australian dollar, influencing financial outcomes. The company completed a ¥100 billion treasury stock acquisition and canceled 22,857,500 shares. Looking forward, fiscal 2024 demand projections remained aligned with October forecasts, while fiscal 2024 Q3 demand for major products decreased by 2% year-on-year, with full-year demand expected to drop by 5% to 10%.

Komatsu Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth and improved profitability versus 2021–2022 support the score. Offsets include net income declining in the most recent year despite higher revenue, rising debt recently, and cash flow volatility with uneven free-cash-flow conversion.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
76
Positive
Cash Flow
68
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.10T4.38T4.10T3.87T3.54T2.80T
Gross Profit627.11B1.34T1.32T1.21T1.04T779.58B
EBITDA787.97B777.20B825.44B787.00B658.49B473.14B
Net Income402.41B399.09B439.61B393.43B326.40B224.93B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.31T6.45T5.77T5.64T4.88T4.35T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments429.03B441.61B385.57B403.18B294.46B316.67B
Total Debt1.58T1.43T1.22T1.27T1.12T1.01T
Total Liabilities2.76T2.73T2.43T2.44T2.20T1.99T
Stockholders Equity3.36T3.53T3.17T3.03T2.54T2.23T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow247.37B250.98B311.31B231.83B22.94B138.01B
Operating Cash Flow469.53B476.04B517.17B434.78B206.47B300.97B
Investing Cash Flow-95.95B-211.25B-210.67B-204.42B-169.52B-143.57B
Financing Cash Flow-171.79B-221.11B-321.42B-122.04B-66.61B-93.87B

Komatsu Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price33.01
Price Trends
50DMA
44.30
Negative
100DMA
39.13
Positive
200DMA
36.73
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.23
Negative
RSI
50.52
Neutral
STOCH
66.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KMTUY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 33.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.03, below the 50-day MA of 44.30, and below the 200-day MA of 36.73, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KMTUY.

Komatsu Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$376.91B30.1245.10%0.98%4.29%-14.76%
74
Outperform
$62.17B25.1312.57%3.83%-15.50%-42.99%
73
Outperform
$38.61B11.7512.42%4.03%1.56%-11.64%
73
Outperform
$151.27B54.8318.93%1.34%-2.66%-21.47%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$8.29B20.1517.36%1.10%-13.55%
56
Neutral
$12.51B22.566.58%2.67%-8.81%-60.95%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KMTUY
Komatsu
42.82
14.07
48.93%
AGCO
Agco
114.43
30.46
36.28%
CAT
Caterpillar
810.05
504.09
164.76%
CNH
CNH Industrial
10.08
-1.28
-11.27%
DE
Deere
560.02
102.46
22.39%
PCAR
Paccar
118.14
30.19
34.32%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 30, 2026