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Royal KPN NV (KKPNY)
:KKPNY

Royal KPN (KKPNY) AI Stock Analysis

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Royal KPN

(OTC:KKPNY)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
KPN benefits from strong financial performance, with consistent growth and profitability supported by strategic initiatives. Technical indicators show positive momentum, enhancing the stock's attractiveness. While valuation is fair, the solid dividend yield adds appeal. The recent earnings call highlights growth potential despite short-term challenges, supporting an overall positive outlook.

Royal KPN (KKPNY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Royal KPN Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKoninklijke KPN N.V. provides telecommunications and information technology (IT) services in the Netherlands. It operates through Consumer; Business; Wholesale; and Network, Operations & IT segments. The company offers fixed and mobile telephony, fixed and mobile broadband internet, and television services to retail consumers; infrastructure and network related IT solutions to business customers; and wholesale network services to third parties. It also provides IT services, includes cloud and workspace, and cybersecurity; and interconnect traffic, visitor roaming, digital products, and NL-ix, an interconnect exchange, as well as sells handsets and peripheral equipment, and software licenses. The company was founded in 1881 and is headquartered in Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
How the Company Makes MoneyRoyal KPN generates revenue through a diversified portfolio of telecommunications services. The company's primary revenue streams include fixed-line services, such as broadband internet and television subscriptions, and mobile services, including voice, data, and messaging. KPN also earns income from business solutions, offering ICT services such as cloud computing, cybersecurity, and data management to corporate clients. Additionally, KPN leverages strategic partnerships and investments in infrastructure to enhance its service offerings and expand its market presence. The combination of these revenue streams allows KPN to maintain a strong financial performance and support its ongoing business growth and innovation efforts.

Royal KPN Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.05%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call reflected a balanced performance with strong growth in service revenues and EBITDA, but challenges in free cash flow and net profits due to specific one-off costs. The company showed resilience in the face of economic uncertainties and highlighted strategic efforts to improve customer satisfaction and reduce churn.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Group Service Revenue Growth
Service revenues increased by 3.8% year-on-year, with Consumer service revenues up by 4.6% and Business segment revenues growing by 5.1%.
EBITDA Growth and Margin Expansion
Adjusted EBITDA after leases grew by 4.7%, with an EBITDA margin increase of 72 basis points to 44.7%.
Fiber Expansion
Fiber footprint expanded by 100,000 homes, now covering 64% of Dutch households.
Operational Free Cash Flow Increase
Operational free cash flow increased by 12% year-on-year, supported by contributions from Althio and Youfone.
Award for Best Mobile Network
KPN received an award from Umlaut for having the Best Mobile Network in the Netherlands.
Negative Updates
Free Cash Flow Decline
Free cash flow decreased by 70% or €26 million compared to last year, due to higher interest payments and phasing of working capital.
Net Profit Decrease
Reported net profits decreased despite EBITDA growth, due to one-off costs related to the Althio transaction.
Consumer Net Promoter Score Decline
Consumer Net Promoter Score declined, influenced by challenging consumer sentiment at the start of the year.
Challenges in LCE Service Revenue Growth
LCE service revenues remain stable, with some price pressure in mobile.
Company Guidance
During KPN's Q1 2025 earnings call, the company reported a 3.8% increase in group service revenues, with notable contributions from Youfone and mobile services in both the Consumer and Business segments. EBITDA grew by 4.7%, driven by higher service revenues, while free cash flow declined due to increased interest and tax payments, expected to recover in the second half of the year. KPN expanded its fiber footprint by adding 100,000 homes, covering 64% of Dutch households, and maintained a stable business net promoter score despite economic uncertainties. The company aims for a 3% CAGR in service revenues and adjusted EBITDA, and a 7% CAGR in free cash flow in the coming years, supported by its Connect, Activate & Grow strategy. KPN also upgraded its full-year 2025 outlook to over €2.6 billion in adjusted EBITDA after leases and €920 million in free cash flow, with stable CapEx at around €1.25 billion.

Royal KPN Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Royal KPN shows consistent revenue and profit growth with strong margins and efficient cash flow management. Despite high leverage typical for the industry, the company maintains solid equity returns and operational efficiency, positioning it well in the telecommunications sector.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the years, with a 3.01% increase in 2024, following a 2.18% increase in 2023. Gross profit margin remains strong at 73.0% in 2024, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin is stable at 15.1%, and EBIT margin at 24.8% shows solid operational performance. The EBITDA margin is robust at 46.4%, reflecting strong earnings before non-cash expenses.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is 2.01, indicating high leverage but typical for the telecommunications industry. Return on equity is strong at 24.0%, showing effective use of equity. The equity ratio is 28.1%, suggesting a moderate reliance on debt. Despite high leverage, the company maintains a solid equity base and returns.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Free cash flow has shown stability, though slightly declining by 4.33% in 2024. Operating cash flow is strong at 2.67x net income, indicating good cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.12, highlighting effective cash flow management and ability to cover dividends or reinvest in the business.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
5.60B5.44B5.32B5.27B5.28B
Gross Profit
4.09B2.92B4.08B4.09B4.00B
EBIT
1.39B1.34B1.21B1.86B912.00M
EBITDA
2.60B2.56B2.55B3.31B2.44B
Net Income Common Stockholders
848.00M844.00M760.00M1.29B560.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
802.00M828.00M527.00M1.11B867.00M
Total Assets
12.55B12.25B11.96B12.74B12.08B
Total Debt
7.10B6.79B6.29B7.62B7.44B
Net Debt
6.43B6.18B5.89B6.82B6.84B
Total Liabilities
9.01B8.69B8.31B9.51B9.46B
Stockholders Equity
3.53B3.56B3.65B3.23B2.62B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
950.00M993.00M982.00M908.00M479.00M
Operating Cash Flow
2.26B2.24B2.19B2.13B2.04B
Investing Cash Flow
-1.44B-1.43B-1.08B-1.21B-1.54B
Financing Cash Flow
-769.00M-606.00M-1.50B-717.00M-670.00M

Royal KPN Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.78
Price Trends
50DMA
4.60
Positive
100DMA
4.20
Positive
200DMA
4.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Positive
RSI
57.20
Neutral
STOCH
43.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KKPNY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.77, above the 50-day MA of 4.60, and above the 200-day MA of 4.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KKPNY.

Royal KPN Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TLTLK
79
Outperform
$16.65B11.3816.28%5.97%-5.14%-7.47%
78
Outperform
$18.36B20.2233.56%3.88%3.07%2.35%
VIVIV
78
Outperform
$17.86B17.677.95%1.93%-5.69%-0.05%
AMAMX
71
Outperform
$53.05B32.018.54%5.60%0.19%-49.68%
TETEF
64
Neutral
$30.71B-0.55%4.49%1.18%
61
Neutral
$14.74B5.97-3.99%6.57%2.79%-32.84%
VOVOD
57
Neutral
$25.05B9.21-7.17%4.94%0.89%-494.16%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KKPNY
Royal KPN
4.78
1.07
28.84%
AMX
America Movil
17.23
0.96
5.90%
TLK
PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk
16.58
0.30
1.84%
VIV
Telefonica Brasil
10.89
3.18
41.25%
TEF
Telefonica
5.34
1.18
28.37%
VOD
Vodafone
10.04
1.38
15.94%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.