Kestrel Group (KG)
NASDAQ:KG
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Kestrel Group
(NASDAQ:KG)
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Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
▲(11.70% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/14/26
The score is primarily held back by weak cash-flow conversion (materially negative operating/free cash flow) and meaningful leverage despite a strong recent earnings rebound. Technicals are mixed-to-neutral (short-term strength but weaker longer-term trend), while valuation is difficult to assess due to a negative P/E and no stated dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified Business Model
KG's operations span technology, logistics and consulting, providing multiple revenue streams and cross-selling opportunities. This structural diversification reduces dependence on any single end market, smoothing cyclicality and helping sustain revenue over a 2–6 month horizon and beyond.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash Generation
Materially negative operating and free cash flows (~-$85.7M) signal poor earnings quality and inability to self-fund growth or debt service. Over months this raises reliance on external financing, increasing liquidity and refinancing risk and limiting durable investment capacity.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified Business Model
KG's operations span technology, logistics and consulting, providing multiple revenue streams and cross-selling opportunities. This structural diversification reduces dependence on any single end market, smoothing cyclicality and helping sustain revenue over a 2–6 month horizon and beyond.
Read all positive factors
Kestrel Group (KG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$82.23M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)16.87K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.51
Revenue Growth4.38%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees42
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength70
IndustryInsurance - Reinsurance
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)11.15
Shares Outstanding7,824,030
10 Day Avg. Volume18,544
30 Day Avg. Volume16,868
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.00
Price to Book (P/B)0.46
Price to Sales (P/S)1.72
P/FCF Ratio-0.61
Enterprise Value/Market Cap2.52
Enterprise Value/Revenue5.02
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit7.43
Enterprise Value/Ebitda3.67
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Kestrel Group Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Kestrel Group Ltd. engages in provides reinsurance products and services to regional and specialty property and casualty insurers. It operates through the following segments: Legacy Reinsurance, Insurance Programs, and Corporate. The Legacy Reinsu...
How the Company Makes Money
Kestrel Group generates revenue through its diverse operations by offering technology solutions such as software development and IT services, logistics services including supply chain management and transportation, and consulting services that pro...
Kestrel Group Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
48
Neutral
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 41.25M | 34.05M | 5.25M | 1.33M | 58.13M | 98.72M |
| Gross Profit | 27.89M | 25.06M | 1.85M | -2.20M | 58.13M | 98.72M |
| EBITDA | 56.53M | 59.56M | 141.76K | -4.45M | -41.06M | 38.24M |
| Net Income | 39.69M | 46.73M | 324.27K | -4.22M | -60.35M | 25.62M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 527.85M | 548.76M | 4.70M | 954.60M | 1.85B | 2.32B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 62.21M | 16.95M | 4.29M | 5.55M | 46.62M | 66.09M |
| Total Debt | 176.72M | 176.46M | 255.28M | 314.00K | 255.57M | 255.35M |
| Total Liabilities | 406.41M | 420.47M | 699.48M | 705.44M | 1.56B | 1.94B |
| Stockholders Equity | 121.44M | 128.28M | 45.19M | 249.16M | 284.58M | 384.26M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -85.74M | -96.14M | -67.45M | -2.49M | -195.93M | -394.43M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -85.74M | -96.14M | -67.45M | -2.49M | -195.93M | -394.43M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 170.47M | 146.94M | 77.74M | 0.00 | 188.79M | 464.06M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -40.49M | -40.00M | -3.73M | 0.00 | -10.98M | -138.90M |
Kestrel Group Technical Analysis
Positive
9.40
Price Trends
12.11
Negative
11.57
Positive
18.28
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.10
Negative
51.10
Neutral
36.18
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.12, below the 50-day MA of 12.11, and below the 200-day MA of 18.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KG.
Kestrel Group Risk Analysis
Kestrel Group disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kestrel Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Kestrel Group Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
78 Outperform | $581.08M | 4.06 | 11.68% | ― | 0.10% | 77.35% | |
77 Outperform | $3.16B | 5.67 | 23.38% | ― | 20.32% | 98.92% | |
75 Outperform | $2.70B | 6.15 | 22.02% | ― | 22.94% | 317.95% | |
68 Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% | |
51 Neutral | $191.88M | -8.14 | 4.48% | 0.63% | -1.78% | ― | |
50 Neutral | $7.86M | 95.87 | -50.32% | ― | 84.01% | 19.53% | |
49 Neutral | $82.23M | -2.82 | 33.48% | ― | 4.38% | ― |
* Financial Sector Average
KG
Kestrel Group
10.51
-13.49
-56.21%
GLRE
Greenlight Capital Re
17.52
3.89
28.54%
SPNT
SiriusPoint
22.96
3.31
16.84%
JRVR
James River Group
4.15
-1.17
-22.05%
OXBR
Oxbridge Re Holdings
0.97
-0.95
-49.48%
HG
Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B
31.84
11.98
60.34%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.