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James River Group Holdings Ltd (JRVR)
NASDAQ:JRVR
US Market
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James River Group (JRVR) AI Stock Analysis

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JRVR

James River Group

(NASDAQ:JRVR)

Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$5.50
▼(-1.79% Downside)
The overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including negative profitability and cash flow issues. While technical analysis and valuation present concerns, recent earnings call highlights and positive corporate events provide some optimism for future performance.
Positive Factors
Risk Management
James River completed two reinsurance agreements that should protect against any development in their 2010-2023 casualty reserves.
Strategic Actions
Management emphasized that their strategic actions should position the company for future growth and profitability.
Underwriting Improvements
Significant underwriting, claims and CRM improvements put in place over the past few years should result in the core E&S franchise remaining highly relevant to distribution and producing attractive results for investors going forward.
Negative Factors
Combined Ratio
The aggregate company-wide combined ratio was 155.1%, which was higher than expected.
Financial Performance
James River reported adjusted 4Q operating EPS of ($0.99), impacted mainly by the $53 million consideration paid in connection with the E&S adverse development reinsurance contract.
Investor Confidence
It will likely take some time for management to regain the confidence of investors and prove the effectiveness of their recent actions.

James River Group (JRVR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

James River Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJames River Group Holdings, Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides specialty insurance and reinsurance services in the United States. It operates through Excess and Surplus Lines, Specialty Admitted Insurance, and Casualty Reinsurance segments. The Excess and Surplus Lines segment underwrites liability and property insurance on an excess and surplus commercial lines basis in all states and the District of Columbia. This segment distributes its insurance policies primarily through wholesale insurance brokers. The Specialty Admitted Insurance segment provides workers' compensation coverage for building trades, healthcare employees, goods and services, light manufacturing, specialty transportation, and agriculture, as well as fronting and program business. The Casualty Reinsurance segment offers proportional and working layer casualty reinsurance to third parties and other insurance companies. James River Group Holdings, Ltd. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Pembroke, Bermuda.
How the Company Makes MoneyJames River Group makes money primarily through underwriting insurance policies and earning premiums from its customers. The Excess and Surplus Lines segment focuses on insuring risks that traditional insurers avoid due to their complexity or higher risk, thus often commanding higher premiums. The Specialty Admitted Insurance segment deals with specific risks that require regulatory approval, offering products like workers' compensation and providing coverage for niche markets. The Casualty Reinsurance segment involves providing insurance to other insurance companies, which allows James River Group to diversify its risk and income streams. Additionally, the company invests the premiums it collects, generating investment income that contributes to its overall earnings.

James River Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.45%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive trajectory for the James River Group, with strong performance in key segments and effective expense management contributing to growth and profitability. However, challenges such as the decline in net income and adverse impacts from prior year developments present areas for improvement. The redomicile plan is expected to further enhance operational efficiency and reduce costs.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Annualized Adjusted Net Operating Return
The company reported an annualized adjusted net operating return on tangible common equity of 14%, aligning with their mid-teens return target.
Increase in Gross Written Premiums
Gross written premium for casualty E&S increased 4% compared to the prior year quarter, with the E&S segment growing 3% over the same period. This marks the first time surpassing $300 million in E&S gross written premiums in a single quarter.
Significant Growth in Specific Segments
There was 25% growth in Allied Health and 12% growth in energy during the quarter, demonstrating strong performance in these areas.
Improved Combined Ratio
The combined ratio in the E&S segment was 91.7%, nearly 4 points lower than the prior year quarter.
Reduction in Segment Expenses
Segment expenses in specialty admitted declined over 20% compared to the same period last year, showcasing effective expense management.
Redomicile Expected to Bring Cost Savings
The planned redomicile to the United States is expected to bring operational efficiencies as well as significant onetime and ongoing cost savings.
Negative Updates
Decline in Net Income
Net income from continuing operations available to common shareholders was $3.2 million or $0.07 per diluted share.
Adverse Impact from Prior Year Development
There was $3 million of adverse impact from prior year development, with $2.3 million attributable to E&S and about $700,000 attributable to specialty admitted.
Decline in Fronting Premiums
Overall fronting premiums declined 31%, reflective of the shift to reduce commercial auto exposure in the segment.
Company Guidance
During the James River Group's Q2 2025 earnings call, CEO Frank D'Orazio discussed the company's notable performance, highlighting an annualized adjusted net operating return on tangible common equity of 14% and adjusted net operating income of $0.23 per share. The E&S segment saw a 3% growth in gross written premiums compared to the prior year, marking the first time surpassing $300 million in a single quarter. Significant growth was also noted in Allied Health (25%) and Energy (12%). The company maintained a combined ratio of 91.7% in the E&S segment, with overall casualty rates up 14.5% in the quarter. James River reduced its quota share retention to keep more underwriting profits, boosting its E&S premium retention closer to 60%. Operational efficiency improved, with a 5.3% increase in tangible common book value per share, and the company anticipates a $10-13 million tax benefit from redomiciling to the U.S. later this year. The call emphasized strategic growth, operational efficiency, and strong broker relationships as key contributors to the company's ongoing success.

James River Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
James River Group is facing financial challenges, with declining revenues and negative profitability impacting the income statement and cash flow. Despite a stable balance sheet with manageable debt, operational inefficiencies and negative cash flow are significant concerns.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
James River Group's income statement reflects a challenging period, marked by declining revenues and profitability issues. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data shows a negative EBIT and net income, indicating operational inefficiencies and profitability challenges. The gross profit margin remains relatively strong, but the net profit margin is negative due to substantial losses. Revenue growth has been negative, indicating a need for strategic improvements to reverse the downward trend.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The balance sheet of James River Group indicates moderate financial stability with some concerns. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively low, showing manageable leverage levels. However, the equity ratio has declined, which could indicate a weakening financial position. Return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's struggle to generate profits for shareholders. Overall, the balance sheet suggests stability, but with potential risks if profitability does not improve.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals significant challenges, with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow in the TTM period. This indicates that the company is facing difficulties generating cash from its core operations, which could impact its liquidity position. The company needs to enhance cash generation to sustain operations and fund future growth. The free cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, reflecting the need for effective cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue678.79M707.63M812.01M661.51M772.88M668.69M
Gross Profit450.87M707.26M617.99M661.51M607.83M502.65M
EBITDA-70.51M-71.83M111.07M54.32M-103.42M26.99M
Net Income-86.95M-81.12M-107.68M30.97M-172.80M4.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.95B5.01B5.32B5.14B4.95B5.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.54B979.45M1.67B2.06B2.00B2.08B
Total Debt329.86M304.86M326.36M326.36M366.36M366.36M
Total Liabilities4.33B4.41B4.64B4.44B4.22B4.27B
Stockholders Equity617.60M594.03M679.52M698.66M725.36M795.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-327.99M-251.97M81.52M214.51M-919.85M-274.38M
Operating Cash Flow-322.63M-247.09M87.95M222.73M-913.55M-273.83M
Investing Cash Flow206.51M307.03M16.73M-328.15M35.82M-175.99M
Financing Cash Flow-1.50M-28.85M-21.11M89.67M147.67M65.92M

James River Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.60
Price Trends
50DMA
5.74
Positive
100DMA
5.12
Positive
200DMA
5.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
52.62
Neutral
STOCH
57.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JRVR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.69, below the 50-day MA of 5.74, and above the 200-day MA of 5.03, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JRVR.

James River Group Risk Analysis

James River Group disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. James River Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

James River Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$422.69M12.8212.55%7.15%15.22%19.19%
72
Outperform
$853.06M17.0417.80%10.13%-2.51%-22.68%
67
Neutral
$17.04B11.609.79%3.95%10.64%1.80%
55
Neutral
$793.45M-3.27%77.44%85.53%
53
Neutral
$257.13M-13.01%1.43%-21.13%1.34%
45
Neutral
$396.49M76.55-2.23%10.50%-92.02%
28
Underperform
$332.45M26.69%583.33%6.59%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JRVR
James River Group
5.60
-1.53
-21.46%
AMSF
Amerisafe
44.79
2.53
5.99%
ITIC
Investors Title Company
221.12
29.99
15.69%
MBI
MBIA
5.83
2.18
59.73%
AMBC
Ambac Financial
6.94
-4.13
-37.31%
HIPO
Hippo Holdings
28.83
10.87
60.52%

James River Group Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
James River Group Announces Cash Dividend and Growth
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

On August 4, 2025, James River Group announced a cash dividend of $0.01 per common share, payable on September 30, 2025. The company reported a net income of $3.2 million for the second quarter of 2025, with significant growth in its E&S segment, achieving a milestone with quarterly gross written premiums exceeding $300 million. The company also noted a decline in expenses, reflecting strategic priorities to grow its casualty E&S business and manage expenses effectively.

The most recent analyst rating on (JRVR) stock is a Buy with a $11.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on James River Group stock, see the JRVR Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
James River Group Appoints New Board Director
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

On July 21, 2025, James River Group Holdings appointed Joel D. Cavaness as a director on its Board, filling a vacancy and joining the Compensation & Human Capital Committee. Cavaness brings nearly four decades of experience in specialty property-and-casualty distribution, having held significant roles at Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. His appointment is expected to enhance the Board’s perspective with his entrepreneurial mindset and extensive industry relationships.

The most recent analyst rating on (JRVR) stock is a Buy with a $11.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on James River Group stock, see the JRVR Stock Forecast page.

Legal Proceedings
James River Group Lawsuit Dismissed by Court
Neutral
Jul 21, 2025

On July 17, 2025, the U.S. District Court, Southern District of New York dismissed a lawsuit filed by Fleming Intermediate Holdings LLC against James River Group Holdings, Ltd. and certain officers. The lawsuit, initiated on July 15, 2024, involved claims of securities fraud and breaches of contract related to Fleming’s purchase of JRG Reinsurance Company Ltd., a former subsidiary of James River Group.

The most recent analyst rating on (JRVR) stock is a Buy with a $11.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on James River Group stock, see the JRVR Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
James River Group Enters New Credit Agreement
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

On June 12, 2025, James River Group Holdings, Ltd. entered into a new Credit Agreement with KeyBank and other financial institutions, replacing its previous credit agreement. The new agreement provides a $212.5 million unsecured revolving credit facility for general corporate purposes, maturing in 2028, and reflects the company’s reduced need for secured credit following the sale of its reinsurance business.

The most recent analyst rating on (JRVR) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on James River Group stock, see the JRVR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
James River Group Reports Strong Q1 2025 Performance
Positive
May 12, 2025

James River Group Holdings, Ltd. presented its first quarter 2025 investor presentation, highlighting a strong start to the year with an adjusted net operating income of $9.1 million and an annualized adjusted net operating return on tangible common equity of 11.5%. The company has taken significant steps to refocus its business, including expense management, technology implementation for underwriting efficiency, and the sale of sub-scale businesses. These measures have positioned James River well for profitable growth in the E&S market, with a combined ratio of 91.5% and a renewal rate change of 7.8%.

The most recent analyst rating on (JRVR) stock is a Buy with a $11.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on James River Group stock, see the JRVR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2025