James River Group Holdings Ltd (JRVR)
NASDAQ:JRVR
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James River Group
(NASDAQ:JRVR)
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Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
▲(11.29% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/07/26
JRVR scores mid-range: the main support is attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield) alongside a positive operational turnaround and upbeat 2026 return guidance. The largest constraint is financial quality, with unstable multi-year profitability and especially weak, inconsistent cash flow that reduces confidence in the sustainability of reported earnings; technicals are also only neutral-to-soft.
Positive Factors
Underwriting turnaround
A sustained improvement in the combined ratio to 96.6% (86% in E&S Q4) signals that underwriting discipline and pricing actions are producing durable underwriting profitability. If maintained, this lowers volatility of earnings, improves capital returns and supports reinvestment or cautious growth over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Weak cash generation
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow in 2024–2025 indicates earnings have not reliably converted to cash. Weak, volatile cash generation limits ability to self-fund growth, pay sustainable dividends, or absorb losses without tapping capital markets, raising medium-term financing and liquidity risk.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Underwriting turnaround
A sustained improvement in the combined ratio to 96.6% (86% in E&S Q4) signals that underwriting discipline and pricing actions are producing durable underwriting profitability. If maintained, this lowers volatility of earnings, improves capital returns and supports reinvestment or cautious growth over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
James River Group (JRVR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$289.14M
Dividend Yield0.63%
Average Volume (3M)262.99K
Price to Earnings (P/E)6.2
Beta (1Y)0.90
Revenue Growth-19.08%
EPS Growth56.21%
CountryUS
Employees645
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength70
IndustryInsurance - Specialty
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.53
Shares Outstanding45,968,582
10 Day Avg. Volume246,814
30 Day Avg. Volume262,986
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.05
Price to Book (P/B)0.44
Price to Sales (P/S)0.43
P/FCF Ratio-12.39
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.24
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.52
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit0.52
Enterprise Value/Ebitda4.88
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$7.00Price Target Upside11.29% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)1.13
Revenue Forecast (FY)$625.10M
James River Group Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
James River Group Holdings, Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides specialty insurance and reinsurance services in the United States. It operates through Excess and Surplus Lines, Specialty Admitted Insurance, and Casualty Reinsurance segments. ...
How the Company Makes Money
James River Group generates revenue primarily through the underwriting of insurance policies and collecting premiums from policyholders. The company employs a diversified approach to its revenue model, which includes writing both direct insurance ...
James River Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down total revenue by business segment — including earned premiums, fee income, and investment-related income — to show what actually drives the company’s top line. Comparing segments helps investors understand whether earnings are coming from core underwriting, investment returns, or ancillary fees, and where concentration or scalability risks exist.
Breaks down total revenue by business segment — including earned premiums, fee income, and investment-related income — to show what actually drives the company’s top line. Comparing segments helps investors understand whether earnings are coming from core underwriting, investment returns, or ancillary fees, and where concentration or scalability risks exist.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyJames River Group Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Mar 02, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call reflects a clear positive turnaround driven by underwriting discipline, expense reductions, reserve protection and technology investments. Management delivered materially improved profitability (net income vs. prior-year loss), a substantially better combined ratio, strong returns on tangible equity and significant book value growth. Offsetting items include moderated top-line growth (GWP down ~5%), meaningful declines in Property (-27%) and Manufacturers & Contractors (-11%), and continued legacy development that required the use of an adverse development cover. Management emphasized a deliberate trade-off of growth for profitability, expects low- to mid-teens returns on tangible equity in 2026, and highlighted structural and technology initiatives to support future scalable growth. Overall, the positive operational and financial improvements outweigh the headwinds from select product-line declines and market competition.Positive Updates
Return to Profitability
Full-year 2025 net income of $47.4M ($39.6M available to common shareholders) versus a net loss of $81.1M in 2024; operating earnings of $54.1M or $0.79 per diluted share for 2025.
Negative Updates
Top-Line Pressure and Declines in Certain Lines
Gross written premium down approximately 5% for 2025. Two divisions drove most of the decline: Property down 27% year-over-year and Manufacturers & Contractors down 11% year-over-year due to refined underwriting guidelines and reduced exposure.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Return to Profitability
Full-year 2025 net income of $47.4M ($39.6M available to common shareholders) versus a net loss of $81.1M in 2024; operating earnings of $54.1M or $0.79 per diluted share for 2025.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's guidance for 2026 centers on delivering low‑ to mid‑teens returns on average tangible common equity and an effective tax rate in line with the U.S. statutory rate, driven by profitable top‑line growth enabled by technology (Guidewire completion in 2026 and a Kalepa AI underwriting workbench), disciplined underwriting (refocused appetite toward smaller, higher‑retention accounts, pushing rate in Excess Casualty and parts of General Casualty while selectively relaxing rate to scale other lines), and continued expense vigilance. That outlook builds on 2025 results including a 96.6% full‑year combined ratio (86% E&S in Q4), $54.1M of operating earnings ($0.79 per diluted share), $47.4M of net income ($39.6M to common), a 15.3% operating return on tangible common equity, tangible book value per share up 34% to $8.94, a 30.2% expense ratio, ~4% submission growth, +9% average rate change, ~5% decline in gross written premium (Property -27%, Manufacturers & Contractors -11%), average policy size down 9.6% in Q4 (8.4% for the year), roughly $13M of expense savings (G&A -9%) with headcount down over 60 to 578, investment new‑money yields near 5% versus a 4.5% book yield, and a conservatively positioned portfolio (A+ average rating, 3.5‑year duration); management also cited reserve protection (E&S adverse‑development cover aggregate limit $23M) and the expectation that these actions will create room for profitable scale.James River Group Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
67
Positive
Cash Flow
32
Negative
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 687.61M | 707.63M | 812.01M | 661.51M | 609.03M |
| Gross Profit | 687.25M | 87.29M | 239.22M | 171.06M | -5.03M |
| EBITDA | 73.36M | -47.16M | 111.07M | 68.19M | -94.49M |
| Net Income | 47.43M | -81.12M | -107.68M | 30.97M | -172.80M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 2.53B | 5.01B | 5.32B | 5.14B | 4.95B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.67B | 979.45M | 1.67B | 1.43B | 2.00B |
| Total Debt | 329.86M | 304.86M | 326.36M | 326.36M | 366.36M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.86B | 4.41B | 4.64B | 4.44B | 4.22B |
| Stockholders Equity | 671.27M | 594.03M | 679.52M | 698.66M | 725.36M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -23.59M | -251.97M | 81.52M | 214.51M | -919.85M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -18.79M | -247.09M | 87.95M | 222.73M | -913.55M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -116.04M | 307.03M | 16.73M | -328.15M | 35.82M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 13.20M | -28.85M | -21.11M | 89.67M | 147.67M |
James River Group Technical Analysis
Negative
6.29
Price Trends
6.63
Negative
6.32
Negative
5.93
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.12
Positive
44.66
Neutral
43.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JRVR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.46, below the 50-day MA of 6.63, and above the 200-day MA of 5.93, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JRVR.
James River Group Risk Analysis
James River Group disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. James River Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
James River Group Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | $410.00M | 13.39 | 13.19% | 4.20% | 13.47% | 26.15% | |
68 Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% | |
63 Neutral | $289.14M | 6.16 | 7.44% | 0.63% | -19.08% | 56.21% | |
63 Neutral | $619.86M | 15.46 | 17.91% | 6.64% | -1.73% | -18.36% | |
50 Neutral | $290.44M | -1.73 | ― | ― | ― | 67.72% | |
49 Neutral | $635.20M | 19.65 | 4.37% | 1.31% | 4.44% | 22.40% |
* Financial Sector Average
JRVR
James River Group
6.29
1.96
45.23%
AMSF
Amerisafe
32.98
-16.62
-33.50%
ITIC
Investors Title Company
217.21
-16.44
-7.04%
MBI
MBIA
5.75
0.49
9.32%
TIPT
Tiptree Financial
16.77
-6.72
-28.60%
James River Group Corporate Events
Executive/Board Changes
James River Group Boosts CEO Incentive Compensation Structure
Positive
Mar 6, 2026
On March 2, 2026, James River Group Holdings, Inc. amended the target short-term incentive plan award for Chief Executive Officer Frank D’Orazio, increasing his target bonus opportunity from 100% to 150% of his base salary. On the same date,...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
James River Group Announces Dividend Amid Strong Turnaround
Positive
Mar 2, 2026
James River Group announced on March 2, 2026, that its board declared a cash dividend of $0.01 per common share, payable March 31, 2026 to shareholders of record as of March 13, 2026. The company also reported a sharp turnaround in fourth-quarter ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.