Kestrel Group (KG)
NASDAQ:KG
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Kestrel Group
(NASDAQ:KG)
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Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$10.00
▲(6.38% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is held back mainly by weak cash fundamentals (persistent negative operating/free cash flow) and bearish technicals (below major moving averages with negative MACD). These risks are partly offset by very cheap valuation (low P/E) and improved 2025 reported profitability.
Positive Factors
Profitability rebound in 2025
A strong 2025 rebound with double-digit revenue growth and very high reported margins indicates the company can generate substantial underwriting or investment-driven earnings when conditions align, supporting longer‑term earnings power if the drivers persist.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow
Chronic cash burn despite accounting profits increases reliance on external financing and liquidity lines, raising medium‑term funding and solvency risk for a reinsurer and calling earnings quality into question if claims or working‑capital trends persist.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Profitability rebound in 2025
A strong 2025 rebound with double-digit revenue growth and very high reported margins indicates the company can generate substantial underwriting or investment-driven earnings when conditions align, supporting longer‑term earnings power if the drivers persist.
Read all positive factors
Kestrel Group (KG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$81.99M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)16.87K
Price to Earnings (P/E)1.3
Beta (1Y)1.40
Revenue Growth-66.75%
EPS Growth-50.53%
CountryUS
Employees42
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength70
IndustryInsurance - Reinsurance
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-2.29
Shares Outstanding7,741,943
10 Day Avg. Volume18,544
30 Day Avg. Volume16,868
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.00
Price to Book (P/B)0.46
Price to Sales (P/S)1.72
P/FCF Ratio-0.61
Enterprise Value/Market Cap2.95
Enterprise Value/Revenue5.35
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit5.80
Enterprise Value/Ebitda4.86
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Kestrel Group Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Kestrel Group Ltd. engages in provides reinsurance products and services to regional and specialty property and casualty insurers. It operates through the following segments: Legacy Reinsurance, Insurance Programs, and Corporate. The Legacy Reinsu...
Kestrel Group Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 34.05M | 5.25M | 1.33M | 58.13M | 98.72M |
| Gross Profit | 25.06M | 1.85M | -2.20M | 58.13M | 98.72M |
| EBITDA | 59.56M | 141.76K | -4.45M | -41.06M | 38.24M |
| Net Income | 46.73M | 324.27K | -4.22M | -60.35M | 25.62M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 548.76M | 4.70M | 954.60M | 1.85B | 2.32B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 16.95M | 4.29M | 5.55M | 46.62M | 66.09M |
| Total Debt | 176.46M | 255.28M | 314.00K | 255.57M | 255.35M |
| Total Liabilities | 420.47M | 699.48M | 705.44M | 1.56B | 1.94B |
| Stockholders Equity | 128.28M | 45.19M | 249.16M | 284.58M | 384.26M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -96.14M | -67.45M | -2.49M | -195.93M | -394.43M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -96.14M | -67.45M | -2.49M | -195.93M | -394.43M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 146.94M | 77.74M | 0.00 | 188.79M | 464.06M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -40.00M | -3.73M | 0.00 | -10.98M | -138.90M |
Kestrel Group Technical Analysis
Negative
9.40
Price Trends
11.88
Negative
12.46
Negative
19.26
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.65
Positive
41.17
Neutral
76.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.07, below the 50-day MA of 11.88, and below the 200-day MA of 19.26, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.65 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KG.
Kestrel Group Risk Analysis
Kestrel Group disclosed 128 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kestrel Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Kestrel Group Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
82 Outperform | $2.84B | 4.91 | 22.09% | ― | 22.79% | -5.17% | |
71 Outperform | $569.57M | 6.59 | 11.10% | ― | 5.83% | -101.38% | |
71 Outperform | $2.43B | 5.55 | 20.87% | ― | 7.87% | -4.68% | |
68 Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% | |
61 Neutral | $282.71M | 6.16 | 7.44% | 0.63% | -19.08% | 56.21% | |
55 Neutral | $81.99M | 1.26 | 33.48% | ― | -66.75% | -50.53% | |
44 Neutral | $6.82M | -18.54 | -50.32% | ― | ― | 55.30% |
* Financial Sector Average
KG
Kestrel Group
10.59
-0.82
-7.19%
GLRE
Greenlight Capital Re
16.76
3.21
23.69%
SPNT
SiriusPoint
20.81
3.52
20.36%
JRVR
James River Group
6.15
1.98
47.41%
OXBR
Oxbridge Re Holdings
0.89
-1.00
-53.02%
HG
Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B
28.61
9.24
47.69%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.