Kestrel Group (KG)
NASDAQ:KG
Want to see KG full AI Analyst Report?
Top Page
Kestrel Group
(NASDAQ:KG)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
▲(27.66% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/16/26
The score is held back primarily by weak cash-flow generation and leverage risk despite strong reported profitability. Technicals are neutral (stabilizing but below the 200-day trend), while a very low P/E provides valuation support. Corporate events are a mild positive, but the arbitration’s ultimate financial impact is still uncertain.
Positive Factors
Strong reported profitability
Reported TTM net income near parity with revenue indicates the business can generate high accounting profits and operational margins when underwriting and pricing align. Sustained profitability supports reinvestment and credit capacity, improving long-term strategic flexibility if cash conversion stabilizes.
Negative Factors
Materially negative cash generation
Large negative operating and free cash flows imply weak earnings quality and reliance on financing or balance-sheet adjustments to fund operations. Over 2–6 months this raises refinancing and liquidity risk, constraining strategic investments and exposing the company to funding cost shocks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong reported profitability
Reported TTM net income near parity with revenue indicates the business can generate high accounting profits and operational margins when underwriting and pricing align. Sustained profitability supports reinvestment and credit capacity, improving long-term strategic flexibility if cash conversion stabilizes.
Read all positive factors
Kestrel Group (KG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$91.38M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)16.87K
Price to Earnings (P/E)2.2
Beta (1Y)1.47
Revenue Growth4.38%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees42
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength70
IndustryInsurance - Reinsurance
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)11.15
Shares Outstanding7,824,030
10 Day Avg. Volume18,544
30 Day Avg. Volume16,868
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.00
Price to Book (P/B)0.46
Price to Sales (P/S)1.72
P/FCF Ratio-0.61
Enterprise Value/Market Cap2.24
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.97
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit7.35
Enterprise Value/Ebitda3.63
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Kestrel Group Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Kestrel Group Ltd. specializes in offering reinsurance solutions and related services to regional and niche property and casualty (P&C) insurers. The company organizes its operations across three primary segments: Legacy Reinsurance, Insurance Pro...
How the Company Makes Money
Kestrel Group generates revenue through its diverse operations by offering technology solutions such as software development and IT services, logistics services including supply chain management and transportation, and consulting services that pro...
Kestrel Group Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
48
Neutral
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 41.25M | 34.05M | 5.25M | 1.33M | 58.13M | 98.72M |
| Gross Profit | 27.89M | 25.06M | 1.85M | -2.20M | 58.13M | 98.72M |
| EBITDA | 56.53M | 59.56M | 141.76K | -4.45M | -41.06M | 38.24M |
| Net Income | 39.69M | 46.73M | 324.27K | -4.22M | -60.35M | 25.62M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 527.85M | 548.76M | 4.70M | 954.60M | 1.85B | 2.32B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 62.21M | 16.95M | 4.29M | 5.55M | 46.62M | 66.09M |
| Total Debt | 176.72M | 176.46M | 255.28M | 314.00K | 255.57M | 255.35M |
| Total Liabilities | 406.41M | 420.47M | 699.48M | 705.44M | 1.56B | 1.94B |
| Stockholders Equity | 121.44M | 128.28M | 45.19M | 249.16M | 284.58M | 384.26M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -85.74M | -96.14M | -67.45M | -2.49M | -195.93M | -394.43M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -85.74M | -96.14M | -67.45M | -2.49M | -195.93M | -394.43M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 170.47M | 146.94M | 77.74M | 0.00 | 188.79M | 464.06M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -40.49M | -40.00M | -3.73M | 0.00 | -10.98M | -138.90M |
Kestrel Group Technical Analysis
Negative
9.40
Price Trends
11.14
Negative
11.58
Negative
15.26
Negative
Market Momentum
0.06
Positive
48.06
Neutral
35.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.47, below the 50-day MA of 11.14, and below the 200-day MA of 15.26, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KG.
Kestrel Group Risk Analysis
Kestrel Group disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kestrel Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Kestrel Group Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
77 Outperform | $3.17B | 5.08 | 23.38% | ― | 20.32% | 98.92% | |
73 Outperform | $2.75B | 5.41 | 22.02% | ― | 22.94% | 317.95% | |
72 Outperform | $534.31M | 6.67 | 11.68% | ― | 0.10% | 77.35% | |
68 Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% | |
55 Neutral | $193.73M | 6.64 | 4.48% | 0.63% | -1.78% | ― | |
52 Neutral | $91.38M | 2.17 | 29.20% | ― | 4.38% | ― | |
47 Neutral | $7.79M | -2.00 | -50.32% | ― | 84.01% | 19.53% |
* Financial Sector Average
KG
Kestrel Group
11.10
-12.31
-52.58%
GLRE
Greenlight Capital Re
16.06
1.65
11.45%
SPNT
SiriusPoint
23.17
3.83
19.80%
JRVR
James River Group
4.17
-1.58
-27.44%
OXBR
Oxbridge Re Holdings
0.91
-0.69
-43.13%
HG
Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B
31.53
12.05
61.83%
Kestrel Group Corporate Events
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Kestrel Group Shareholders Endorse Governance and Pay Policies
Positive
Jun 15, 2026
At Kestrel Group Ltd.’s Annual General Meeting of Shareholders on June 10, 2026, investors voted on four key proposals, including the election of seven directors to serve until the 2027 meeting and approval of a non-binding advisory resoluti...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresLegal Proceedings
Kestrel Group Wins Favorable Reinsurance Arbitration Award
Positive
Jun 8, 2026
On June 2, 2026, an arbitration panel issued a final award in a dispute between a Kestrel Group subsidiary and a ceding insurer over a reinsurance agreement, rejecting the bid to rescind the contract and leaving its attachment points and limits un...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.