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Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc. (KBDC)
NYSE:KBDC
US Market

Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc. (KBDC) AI Stock Analysis

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KBDC

Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc.

(NYSE:KBDC)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$15.50
▲(9.39% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by financial-statement risk signals—especially the sharp TTM revenue/margin deterioration and inconsistent TTM balance sheet figures. Valuation is a key offset (low P/E and high yield), and the earnings call was broadly constructive on income, credit quality, and dividend coverage. Technicals remain slightly bearish, limiting near-term momentum.
Positive Factors
Dividend Coverage / Cash Generation
A 108% dividend coverage ratio and undistributed net investment income (~$0.16/sh) indicate the company is currently generating more investment income than it pays out. That sustained cash coverage supports dividend durability over multiple quarters and signals underlying interest income strength.
Strategic Portfolio Repositioning and Origination Growth
Active repositioning away from legacy BSL positions into private credit, coupled with materially higher fundings (gross new private credit investments rose 48% YoY), reflects a deliberate shift to higher-yielding, originator-led assets that can sustainably lift yields and NII over the medium term.
Diversified Funding Sources
Successfully placing $200m of unsecured notes and broadening funding channels reduces reliance on any single source and supports targeted leverage (long-term target 1x–1.25x). Strong access to capital enhances the firm's ability to deploy into private credit and manage liquidity across cycles.
Negative Factors
TTM Revenue and Margin Deterioration
A sharp trailing-twelve-month decline in revenue and collapse to near-zero margins materially weakens earnings quality and reduces buffer for dividends. Persistent margin erosion would undermine long-term cash generation and make dividend policy and capital deployment more vulnerable to shocks.
Inconsistent TTM Balance Sheet Readings
Abrupt, inconsistent TTM balance-sheet changes impede reliable assessment of leverage and capital structure. This uncertainty hampers investors' ability to judge financial flexibility, credit risk and true leverage, increasing governance and reporting risk over the medium term.
Volatile Cash Flow and Weak Coverage Metrics
Irregular cash conversion and episodic weak operating cash coverage create uncertainty about sustainable free cash flow. Volatility in cash flows can force reliance on capital markets or NAV realizations to fund dividends or new investments, raising medium-term funding and payout risk.

Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc. (KBDC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKayne Anderson BDC, Inc invests in middle market companies located in the United States with an EBITDA of USD 10 - 150 million. The fund focuses on a broad range of sectors and industries. It provides financing in the form of senior secured loans and split-lien loans to buyout transactions.
How the Company Makes MoneyKBDC generates revenue primarily through interest income from its debt investments and dividend income from its equity investments in portfolio companies. The company typically invests in secured and unsecured debt, including senior loans, subordinated debt, and preferred equity. Additionally, KBDC may earn fees from advisory services or transactional activities related to its investments. Key revenue streams include interest payments from borrowers, capital gains from the sale of investments, and management fees from overseeing the capital allocation. The company’s partnerships with private equity firms and financial institutions also enhance its investment opportunities and access to potential revenue-generating deals.

Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balance between positive growth in investment income and portfolio performance against slight declines in NAV and market concerns. The strategic repositioning and strong fundamentals indicate resilience.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Growth in Portfolio and Net Investment Income
Net investment income rose $0.03 per share to $0.43 per share, representing a 10.5% annualized return on equity. Gross new private credit investments amounted to $296 million, a 48% increase over Q3 2024 fundings.
Strong Dividend Coverage
Distributed a $0.40 per share regular dividend, resulting in a dividend coverage ratio of 108%. Undistributed net investment income was approximately $0.16 per share.
Decrease in Nonaccrual Rate
Nonaccrual rate dropped from 1.6% of fair value to 1.4%, remaining well below historical averages for the sector.
Successful Portfolio Repositioning
Sold $113 million of BSL positions, with a plan to wind down the remaining $67 million, aiming to redeploy into higher-yielding private credit opportunities.
Strong Private Placement Market Activity
Closed a $200 million privately placed offering of unsecured notes, significantly oversubscribed, indicating strong investor confidence.
Negative Updates
Net Asset Value Slight Decline
NAV decreased by $0.03 to $16.34 per share, mainly due to negative fair value changes in certain investments.
Market Concerns over BDCs
BDC share prices saw pressure due to reevaluation of risk appetite and concerns over potential dividend rate cuts and spread compression.
Negative Unrealized Losses
Net unrealized losses on the portfolio were $5 million, driven by negative fair value changes in specific investments.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc. reported strong financial performance with a net investment income of $0.43 per share, up $0.03 from the previous quarter, reflecting a 10.5% annualized return on equity. The company's net income remained stable at $0.35 per share, and it distributed a regular dividend of $0.40 per share, achieving a dividend coverage ratio of 108%. The net asset value (NAV) slightly decreased to $16.34 per share. The portfolio saw $296 million in gross new private credit investments, with $274 million funded, marking a 48% increase over Q3 2024. The average spread on new floating rate loans was 568 basis points over SOFR, a 28 basis point improvement from Q2. The debt-to-equity ratio rose to 1.01x, with a long-term target range of 1x to 1.25x. Additionally, the company closed a $200 million offering of senior unsecured notes to diversify funding sources. Kayne Anderson BDC's nonaccrual rate improved to 1.4% from 1.6% of fair value, with continued emphasis on quality, senior secured, and diversified investments.

Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Annual profitability and growth through 2024 were strong with generally supportive cash generation, but confidence is capped by sharp TTM deterioration (material revenue decline and near-zero margins) and unusually inconsistent TTM balance sheet readings that raise earnings-quality and comparability/reliability concerns.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Annual results show very strong profitability, with high net margins across 2022–2024 and solid revenue growth through 2024. However, the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) profile deteriorates sharply: revenue declines materially and reported margins collapse to near-zero levels versus prior years, signaling a major earnings-quality/volatility concern and weakening momentum.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Leverage looks manageable in the latest annual period, with debt at a moderate level relative to equity (2024 debt-to-equity ~0.71), supporting balance-sheet flexibility. That said, the balance sheet shows large inconsistencies in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) figures (including an abrupt shift to zero debt and a massive jump in equity/assets), and returns on equity fall to very low levels in TTM, which raises reliability and performance concerns.
Cash Flow
63
Positive
Cash generation is generally supportive: free cash flow matches net income across periods and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) free cash flow growth is exceptionally strong. Offsetting this, cash flow trend is not consistently positive (2024 free cash flow declines year over year), and some coverage metrics are weak/erratic (including a very negative 2024 operating cash flow coverage reading), pointing to volatility in cash conversion and underlying drivers.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue178.43M181.56M132.40M68.57M28.76M
Gross Profit109.94M123.76M82.78M50.40M24.56M
EBITDA109.19M132.66M77.08M45.77M22.29M
Net Income107.19M131.94M77.08M45.77M22.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.34T2.08B1.42B1.19B586.46M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.36B22.38M46.87M8.53M2.04M
Total Debt0.00848.13M689.32M571.59M266.33M
Total Liabilities1.20T896.32M740.61M602.35M274.50M
Stockholders Equity1.14T1.19B683.06M592.04M311.97M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow83.52M105.03M79.85M46.11M9.47M
Operating Cash Flow83.52M105.03M79.85M46.11M9.47M
Investing Cash Flow-311.14M-649.53M-189.91M-587.88M-568.61M
Financing Cash Flow204.90M532.81M135.60M548.26M561.16M

Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price14.17
Price Trends
50DMA
14.88
Negative
100DMA
14.46
Negative
200DMA
14.72
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.16
Positive
RSI
40.27
Neutral
STOCH
8.42
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KBDC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.55, below the 50-day MA of 14.88, and below the 200-day MA of 14.72, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.42 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KBDC.

Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc. Risk Analysis

Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc. disclosed 4 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$240.78M7.089.43%17.28%206.13%298.86%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$239.39M7.2517.13%13.03%315.14%116.85%
62
Neutral
$3.53B9.469.42%11.70%24.12%1.09%
61
Neutral
9.379.22%13.00%22.72%-28.92%
54
Neutral
$380.68M11.636.83%16.61%-3.09%200.66%
50
Neutral
$439.48M-48.55-1.15%21.13%-91.81%78.46%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KBDC
Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc.
14.17
-1.56
-9.92%
GBDC
Golub Capital Bdc
13.39
-0.76
-5.37%
PNNT
Pennantpark Investment
5.83
-0.34
-5.57%
TCPC
BlackRock TCP Capital
5.18
-2.58
-33.25%
TPVG
TriplePoint Venture Growth
5.96
-0.77
-11.44%
LIEN
Chicago Atlantic BDC
10.49
-0.21
-1.96%

Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc. Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Kayne Anderson BDC Schedules Upcoming Q4 2025 Earnings Release
Neutral
Jan 15, 2026

On January 15, 2026, Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc. announced that it will release its financial results for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025 after U.S. markets close on March 2, 2026, and will discuss the figures on an earnings conference call scheduled for the morning of March 3, 2026. The planned release and call underscore the company’s regular financial reporting cadence and provide debt and equity investors in the middle-market credit space an upcoming checkpoint on portfolio performance and income generation trends, with a replay available through March 10, 2026 for stakeholders who cannot attend live.

The most recent analyst rating on (KBDC) stock is a Hold with a $15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc. stock, see the KBDC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Kayne Anderson BDC Appoints New President and VP
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc. announced the appointment of Frank P. Karl as President and Andy Wedderburn-Maxwell as Senior Vice President, highlighting their extensive experience in investment banking and asset management. Additionally, the company declared a fourth-quarter 2025 dividend of $0.40 per share, payable on January 16, 2026, and reported strong financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, with net investment income of $30 million and a net funded private credit and equity investment increase of $200.1 million. Despite market volatility, the company remains defensively positioned with a high-quality earnings mix and a strong portfolio performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (KBDC) stock is a Buy with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc. stock, see the KBDC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 14, 2026