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Kbc Group (KBCSY)
:KBCSY

KBC Group (KBCSY) AI Stock Analysis

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KBCSY

KBC Group

(OTC:KBCSY)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$71.00
â–˛(15.04% Upside)
KBC Group's overall stock score reflects strong technical momentum and positive earnings call guidance, which are the most significant factors. Financial performance is solid but faces challenges with declining revenue and cash flow. The valuation is reasonable, and the attractive dividend yield adds to the stock's appeal.
Positive Factors
Strong Profitability
KBC's strong profitability and efficient operations, as evidenced by healthy profit margins and return on equity, indicate a robust business model capable of sustaining growth and competitive positioning over the long term.
Technological Advancements
The introduction of Kate 2.0 enhances KBC's digital strategy, improving operational efficiency and customer service. This technological advancement supports long-term competitiveness in the financial services industry.
Solid Solvency and Liquidity
KBC's strong solvency and liquidity positions provide a stable financial foundation, ensuring the company can withstand economic fluctuations and pursue growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
Potential Regulatory Changes
Potential regulatory changes pose a risk to KBC's future earnings, as new government measures could increase costs or limit revenue growth, impacting long-term financial performance.
Declining Revenue
A decline in revenue suggests potential challenges in maintaining market share or pricing power, which could impact long-term growth and profitability if not addressed.
Cash Flow Challenges
Significant decline in free cash flow growth indicates potential liquidity issues, which could limit KBC's ability to invest in growth initiatives or manage debt effectively over time.

KBC Group (KBCSY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

KBC Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKBC Group NV, together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated bank-insurance services primarily for retail, private banking, small and medium sized enterprises, and mid-cap clients. The company offers demand deposits and savings accounts; home and mortgage loans; consumer finance and SME funding services; credit, investment fund and asset management, and life and non-life insurance; and cash management, payments, trade finance, lease, money market, capital market products, and stockbroking services. It also provides Internet and mobile banking services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 439 bank branches and 310 insurance agencies in Belgium; 208 bank branches in the Czech Republic; 123 bank branches in Slovakia; 198 bank branches in Hungary; 168 bank branches in Bulgaria; and 12 bank branches in Ireland. KBC Group NV serves customers through agents, brokers, and various electronic channels. The company was formerly known as KBC Bank and Insurance Holding Company NV and changed its name to KBC Group NV in March 2005. KBC Group NV was incorporated in 1935 and is headquartered in Brussels, Belgium.
How the Company Makes MoneyKBC Group generates revenue through various channels, primarily from its banking and insurance operations. The bank earns interest income from loans and advances made to customers, which constitutes a significant portion of its revenue. Additionally, KBC receives fees and commissions from services such as asset management, investment advisory, and transaction services. The insurance segment contributes through premiums collected from policyholders and investment income from the management of insurance funds. Furthermore, KBC has established partnerships with various businesses and financial institutions, enhancing its ability to cross-sell products and expand its customer base, which further strengthens its revenue streams.

KBC Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance with significant increases in net results, loan growth, and insurance performance. The company has adjusted its guidance upward, indicating confidence in its operations. However, challenges such as the impact of inflation-linked bonds and potential regulatory changes are noted. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Results
KBC reported a net result of EUR 1.02 billion for the third quarter of 2025, driven by balanced income from both net interest income and non-interest income.
Increased Guidance
Guidance for net interest income increased from at least EUR 5.85 billion to at least EUR 5.95 billion, with total income expected to grow by at least 7.5%.
Solid Loan Growth
Loan growth was reported at 1.6% for the quarter and 8% year-on-year, with a year-to-date growth of 6.3%.
Strong Insurance Performance
The insurance business showed strong performance with a combined ratio of 87% and life insurance up by 29% for the quarter.
Technological Advancements
The launch of Kate 2.0, a large language model, is expected to further increase efficiency and customer interactions.
Robust Cost Management
Costs are under control with a cost-to-income ratio of 41%, down from 43% the previous year.
Solid Solvency and Liquidity
The solvency position is strong at 14.9%, with liquidity ratios at 158% and 134% for LCR and NSFR respectively.
Negative Updates
Impact of Inflation-Linked Bonds
Lower net interest income from inflation-linked bonds, though partially offset by other factors.
Challenges in Hungary
Extended windfall tax in Hungary due to high policy rates, potentially impacting future earnings.
Potential Regulatory Changes
Uncertainty around potential government measures that could impact earnings, including bank taxes and loyalty premiums.
Company Guidance
During KBC Group's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided robust guidance by increasing its income expectations. The guidance for net interest income was raised to at least EUR 5.95 billion, reflecting a strong performance in net interest income despite lower returns on inflation-linked bonds. The company also projected a 7.5% total income growth, maintaining cost growth at a maximum of 2.5%, which would result in a superior 'jaw' of at least 5%. This indicates strong income growth outpacing cost increases. The credit cost ratio was recorded at an excellent 12 basis points, significantly better than the long-term average, and the solvency position remained solid at 14.9%. Additionally, KBC highlighted the performance of its digital strategy, with its digital assistant Kate achieving 70% autonomy and expecting further improvements with the launch of Kate 2.0.

KBC Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
KBC Group demonstrates strong profitability and effective cost management, as seen in its income statement. The balance sheet indicates a stable financial position with manageable leverage. However, cash flow volatility and recent revenue decline pose challenges.
Income Statement
75
Positive
KBC Group's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin and consistent net profit margin, indicating effective cost management and profitability. However, the recent decline in revenue growth rate is a concern, suggesting potential challenges in revenue generation. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, but the negative revenue growth rate in the latest period requires attention.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating manageable leverage. The return on equity is strong, showcasing efficient use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly provided, which limits a full assessment of asset financing.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals volatility, with significant fluctuations in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating potential issues in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively stable, but the negative growth in free cash flow is a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue23.72B25.32B25.47B16.13B9.35B8.95B
Gross Profit11.84B11.15B10.77B10.06B7.48B7.15B
EBITDA4.76B4.40B4.83B4.02B3.90B2.43B
Net Income3.68B3.42B3.40B2.82B2.61B1.44B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets383.34B373.05B346.92B354.55B340.35B320.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments28.44B46.83B34.53B51.43B40.66B24.59B
Total Debt26.98B27.96B26.21B18.98B20.09B18.92B
Total Liabilities356.32B348.74B322.66B332.73B317.27B299.21B
Stockholders Equity26.96B24.31B24.26B21.82B23.08B21.53B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.12B8.47B-21.55B10.85B13.11B25.37B
Operating Cash Flow4.51B9.85B-20.19B11.77B14.04B26.37B
Investing Cash Flow-3.73B-86.00M1.98B-4.96B822.00M-7.25B
Financing Cash Flow-1.12B-1.69B5.02B-3.38B-448.00M451.00M

KBC Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price61.72
Price Trends
50DMA
60.98
Positive
100DMA
59.65
Positive
200DMA
53.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.30
Negative
RSI
70.27
Negative
STOCH
95.39
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KBCSY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 61.72 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 62.80, above the 50-day MA of 60.98, and above the 200-day MA of 53.55, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.27 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.39 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KBCSY.

KBC Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$84.19B12.4011.69%3.77%2.91%33.77%
75
Outperform
$54.80B13.0915.22%4.02%-5.87%28.80%
71
Outperform
$76.57B17.397.85%3.24%-20.94%-18.71%
71
Outperform
$82.43B13.5611.31%3.14%1.79%30.93%
69
Neutral
$73.28B9.8219.90%9.77%11.82%3.41%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$88.64B13.459.14%2.36%-2.84%25.48%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KBCSY
KBC Group
65.60
28.71
77.83%
ITUB
Itau Unibanco
7.12
3.11
77.56%
LYG
Lloyds Banking
5.23
2.64
101.93%
MFG
Mizuho Financial
7.31
2.48
51.35%
PNC
PNC Financial
210.20
23.97
12.87%
USB
US Bancorp
54.16
7.92
17.13%

KBC Group Corporate Events

KBC Group Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings
Nov 14, 2025

KBC Group is a prominent financial institution operating in the banking and insurance sectors, known for its innovative digital solutions and strong presence in European markets.

KBC Group’s Earnings Call: Strong Growth and Optimism
Nov 14, 2025

KBC Group’s recent earnings call showcased a robust financial performance, marked by significant increases in net results, loan growth, and insurance performance. The company has expressed confidence in its operations by adjusting its guidance upward. Despite challenges such as the impact of inflation-linked bonds and potential regulatory changes, the positive aspects of the earnings call significantly outweigh the challenges, reflecting an overall optimistic sentiment.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025