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Kbc Group (KBCSY)
:KBCSY
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KBC Group (KBCSY) AI Stock Analysis

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KBCSY

KBC Group

(OTC:KBCSY)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$69.00
â–˛(19.48% Upside)
KBC Group's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call results and a solid valuation, indicating confidence in future performance. Financial performance is stable but faces challenges with cash flow volatility and revenue growth. Technical indicators support a positive trend, enhancing the stock's attractiveness.

KBC Group (KBCSY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

KBC Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKBC Group is a leading integrated bank-insurer headquartered in Brussels, Belgium. The company operates primarily in Belgium and Central and Eastern Europe, providing a wide range of financial services including retail banking, insurance, and asset management. KBC offers products such as personal loans, mortgages, credit cards, investment funds, life and non-life insurance, as well as corporate banking services. The group's focus is on delivering comprehensive financial solutions that cater to the needs of both individual and corporate clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyKBC Group generates revenue through various channels, primarily from its banking and insurance operations. The bank earns interest income from loans and advances made to customers, which constitutes a significant portion of its revenue. Additionally, KBC receives fees and commissions from services such as asset management, investment advisory, and transaction services. The insurance segment contributes through premiums collected from policyholders and investment income from the management of insurance funds. Furthermore, KBC has established partnerships with various businesses and financial institutions, enhancing its ability to cross-sell products and expand its customer base, which further strengthens its revenue streams.

KBC Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance with significant increases in net results, loan growth, and insurance performance. The company has adjusted its guidance upward, indicating confidence in its operations. However, challenges such as the impact of inflation-linked bonds and potential regulatory changes are noted. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Results
KBC reported a net result of EUR 1.02 billion for the third quarter of 2025, driven by balanced income from both net interest income and non-interest income.
Increased Guidance
Guidance for net interest income increased from at least EUR 5.85 billion to at least EUR 5.95 billion, with total income expected to grow by at least 7.5%.
Solid Loan Growth
Loan growth was reported at 1.6% for the quarter and 8% year-on-year, with a year-to-date growth of 6.3%.
Strong Insurance Performance
The insurance business showed strong performance with a combined ratio of 87% and life insurance up by 29% for the quarter.
Technological Advancements
The launch of Kate 2.0, a large language model, is expected to further increase efficiency and customer interactions.
Robust Cost Management
Costs are under control with a cost-to-income ratio of 41%, down from 43% the previous year.
Solid Solvency and Liquidity
The solvency position is strong at 14.9%, with liquidity ratios at 158% and 134% for LCR and NSFR respectively.
Negative Updates
Impact of Inflation-Linked Bonds
Lower net interest income from inflation-linked bonds, though partially offset by other factors.
Challenges in Hungary
Extended windfall tax in Hungary due to high policy rates, potentially impacting future earnings.
Potential Regulatory Changes
Uncertainty around potential government measures that could impact earnings, including bank taxes and loyalty premiums.
Company Guidance
During KBC Group's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided robust guidance by increasing its income expectations. The guidance for net interest income was raised to at least EUR 5.95 billion, reflecting a strong performance in net interest income despite lower returns on inflation-linked bonds. The company also projected a 7.5% total income growth, maintaining cost growth at a maximum of 2.5%, which would result in a superior 'jaw' of at least 5%. This indicates strong income growth outpacing cost increases. The credit cost ratio was recorded at an excellent 12 basis points, significantly better than the long-term average, and the solvency position remained solid at 14.9%. Additionally, KBC highlighted the performance of its digital strategy, with its digital assistant Kate achieving 70% autonomy and expecting further improvements with the launch of Kate 2.0.

KBC Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
KBC Group demonstrates a mixed financial performance. The income statement shows strong net profit margins but some volatility in revenue and net income. The balance sheet is robust with no debt, indicating low financial risk, though the ROE suggests room for improvement. Cash flow challenges with negative operating cash flow highlight potential liquidity constraints.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The income statement demonstrates moderate performance with a net profit margin of 27.26% in TTM and consistent revenue growth over the years. However, the recent decline in total revenue and net income compared to the previous annual data indicates some volatility. The gross profit margin remains strong, but the absence of EBITDA data limits the analysis of operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet is robust, marked by a strong equity position with an equity ratio of 6.6% in TTM. The company maintains a healthy debt position with no total debt in TTM, indicating low financial risk. However, the relatively low return on equity (ROE) of 12.77% in TTM suggests room for improvement in generating shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals challenges with negative operating cash flow in TTM, indicating potential liquidity constraints. Despite this, the company managed a positive free cash flow in previous years. The free cash flow to net income ratio is currently negative, highlighting pressures on cash generation from operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue24.19B25.32B25.47B16.13B9.35B8.95B
Gross Profit11.59B11.15B10.77B10.06B7.48B7.15B
EBITDA4.57B4.40B4.83B4.02B3.90B2.43B
Net Income3.55B3.42B3.40B2.82B2.61B1.44B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets390.67B373.05B346.92B354.55B340.35B320.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments36.04B46.83B34.53B51.43B40.66B24.59B
Total Debt26.41B27.96B26.21B18.98B20.09B18.92B
Total Liabilities364.44B348.74B322.66B332.73B317.27B299.21B
Stockholders Equity26.20B24.31B24.26B21.82B23.08B21.53B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.23B8.47B-21.55B10.85B13.11B25.37B
Operating Cash Flow7.62B9.85B-20.19B11.77B14.04B26.37B
Investing Cash Flow-4.31B-86.00M1.98B-4.96B822.00M-7.25B
Financing Cash Flow-2.23B-1.69B5.02B-3.38B-448.00M451.00M

KBC Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price57.75
Price Trends
50DMA
59.39
Positive
100DMA
57.67
Positive
200DMA
51.62
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.48
Positive
RSI
52.50
Neutral
STOCH
16.91
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KBCSY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 57.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 60.79, below the 50-day MA of 59.39, and above the 200-day MA of 51.62, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.48 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.91 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KBCSY.

KBC Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$73.93B12.1611.31%3.50%1.79%30.93%
75
Outperform
$74.27B10.9411.69%4.23%2.91%33.77%
74
Outperform
$74.83B10.1819.90%6.13%11.82%3.41%
74
Outperform
$50.70B12.1215.22%4.76%-5.87%28.80%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$67.11B15.337.85%3.67%-20.94%-18.71%
62
Neutral
$85.51B14.929.14%2.96%-2.84%25.48%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KBCSY
KBC Group
60.73
25.68
73.27%
ITUB
Itau Unibanco
7.38
2.45
49.70%
LYG
Lloyds Banking
4.62
1.99
75.67%
MFG
Mizuho Financial
6.70
1.75
35.35%
PNC
PNC Financial
188.52
-16.37
-7.99%
USB
US Bancorp
47.75
-3.57
-6.96%

KBC Group Corporate Events

KBC Group Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings
Nov 14, 2025

KBC Group is a prominent financial institution operating in the banking and insurance sectors, known for its innovative digital solutions and strong presence in European markets.

KBC Group’s Earnings Call: Strong Growth and Optimism
Nov 14, 2025

KBC Group’s recent earnings call showcased a robust financial performance, marked by significant increases in net results, loan growth, and insurance performance. The company has expressed confidence in its operations by adjusting its guidance upward. Despite challenges such as the impact of inflation-linked bonds and potential regulatory changes, the positive aspects of the earnings call significantly outweigh the challenges, reflecting an overall optimistic sentiment.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025