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Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA (JRONY)
OTHER OTC:JRONY

Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA (JRONY) AI Stock Analysis

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JRONY

Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA

(OTC:JRONY)

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Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$51.00
▲(4.38% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/18/25
JRONY's overall score of 65 reflects a balanced but cautious outlook, driven primarily by solid financial performance (score: 72) with strong cash flow and revenue growth, tempered by profitability and leverage concerns. Positive earnings call insights (score: 78) add optimism, but neutral-to-bearish technical indicators (score: 50) suggest limited near-term upside momentum.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates effective market strategies and expansion, particularly in Poland, enhancing long-term market position.
Negative Factors
Rising Debt Levels
Increased leverage could strain financial resources, affecting future investment capacity and risk profile if not managed effectively.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates effective market strategies and expansion, particularly in Poland, enhancing long-term market position.
Read all positive factors

Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA (JRONY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A. operates in the food distribution and specialized retail sectors in Portugal, Poland, and Colombia. The company operates through Portugal Retail; Portugal Cash & Carry; Poland Retail; Colombia Retail; and Others, Elimi...
How the Company Makes Money
Jeronimo Martins generates revenue primarily through the sale of food and non-food products in its retail stores. The company's key revenue streams include sales from its supermarket chains, which account for a significant portion of its earnings,...

Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a solid financial performance with strong revenue and EBITDA growth, successful expansion, and a robust cash position. However, the company continues to face challenges from geopolitical uncertainties, competitive market conditions, and cautious consumer behavior, which have impacted pricing strategies and sales in certain segments.
Positive Updates
Robust Revenue Growth
Group sales grew by 7.1% or 6.6% at constant exchange rates to EUR 26.5 billion, with a notable like-for-like growth of 2.4% and significant contributions from expansion.
Negative Updates
Challenging Market Conditions
The ongoing global geopolitical uncertainty and a highly competitive market environment are impacting consumer sentiment and price competition.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Negative
Robust Revenue Growth
Group sales grew by 7.1% or 6.6% at constant exchange rates to EUR 26.5 billion, with a notable like-for-like growth of 2.4% and significant contributions from expansion.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the Jerónimo Martins Group's first nine months results conference call for fiscal year 2025, Chief Financial Officer Ana Luisa Virginia highlighted several key metrics underpinning the group's performance amidst ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. The group's top line grew by 7.1% (6.6% at constant exchange rates) to EUR 26.5 billion, with robust contributions from all banners, notably Biedronka in Poland, which added EUR 1 billion in sales at constant exchange rates. Consolidated EBITDA increased by 10.9% to EUR 1.8 billion, achieving a margin improvement of 23 basis points to 6.8%, driven by effective cost management and productivity measures. The group executed a CapEx program of EUR 816 million, opening 274 new stores and renovating 170 locations. The balance sheet remained strong, closing with a net cash position of EUR 467 million. Additionally, cash flow, excluding dividends, was EUR 128 million, reflecting improved funds from operations and enhanced working capital flows. Despite challenges, such as low basket inflation and competitive pressures, the group maintained its price leadership and market share, particularly in Poland, where it gained 0.2 percentage points of market share up to August.

Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Jeronimo Martins shows a solid financial profile with strong cash flow growth (37.9% Free Cash Flow Growth Rate) and decent revenue growth (6.4%). However, a low Net Profit Margin (1.8%) and moderate leverage (Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 1.8) temper the overall strength, indicating risks in profitability efficiency and financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Cash Flow
80
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue35.23B33.46B30.61B25.39B20.89B19.29B
Gross Profit7.25B6.85B6.25B5.33B4.50B4.23B
EBITDA2.33B2.16B2.15B1.76B1.54B1.34B
Net Income642.00M599.00M756.00M590.00M463.00M312.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.57B15.30B14.30B11.85B10.37B9.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.70B1.88B2.07B1.80B1.53B1.04B
Total Debt5.26B4.92B4.15B3.15B2.85B2.80B
Total Liabilities12.22B12.04B11.23B9.26B7.84B7.17B
Stockholders Equity3.11B3.01B2.81B2.33B2.28B2.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.25B649.00M933.00M1.21B1.17B935.17M
Operating Cash Flow2.25B1.65B2.02B2.10B1.76B1.45B
Investing Cash Flow-1.01B-896.00M-1.18B-825.00M-617.00M-488.29M
Financing Cash Flow-933.00M-866.00M-691.00M-950.00M-676.00M-807.39M

Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price48.86
Price Trends
50DMA
49.24
Negative
100DMA
48.93
Negative
200DMA
49.25
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.57
Positive
RSI
34.09
Neutral
STOCH
5.47
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JRONY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 48.86 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 50.00, below the 50-day MA of 49.24, and below the 200-day MA of 49.25, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.57 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.47 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JRONY.

Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$19.70B25.6415.01%4.80%3.49%
69
Neutral
$2.37B28.3612.69%8.88%54.12%
65
Neutral
$14.55B10.2221.21%2.78%9.29%3.47%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
62
Neutral
$39.08B22.8788.72%2.84%2.92%-4.06%
62
Neutral
$2.42B28.34-4.97%1.45%-5.49%
57
Neutral
$13.07B57.897.66%10.55%-23.38%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JRONY
Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA
46.25
4.65
11.18%
SYY
Sysco
81.60
13.13
19.17%
CHEF
The Chefs' Warehouse
58.16
4.58
8.55%
UNFI
United Natural Foods
39.84
12.82
47.45%
PFGC
Performance Food Group
83.18
6.38
8.31%
USFD
US Foods Holding
89.33
24.13
37.01%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 18, 2025