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Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA (JRONY)
OTHER OTC:JRONY
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Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA (JRONY) AI Stock Analysis

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JRONY

Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA

(OTC:JRONY)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$56.00
▲(11.11% Upside)
Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance, particularly in revenue growth and cash flow generation. The earnings call further supports this with robust sales and EBITDA growth. However, high leverage and external challenges like market competition and weather impact remain concerns. Technical indicators suggest a neutral trend, while valuation metrics indicate the stock is fairly valued.

Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA (JRONY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A. operates in the food distribution and specialized retail sectors in Portugal, Poland, and Colombia. The company operates through Portugal Retail; Portugal Cash & Carry; Poland Retail; Colombia Retail; and Others, Eliminations and Adjustments segments. It operates 3,250 food stores under the Biedronka name; and a chain of 290 health and beauty stores under the Hebe banner in Poland, as well as 819 food stores under the Ara name in Colombia. The company also operates 460 supermarkets under the Pingo Doce banner; and 38 stores and 4 platforms under the Recheio name in Portugal. In addition, it operates restaurants under the Pingo Doce name; Bem-Estar stores; and petrol stations and clothing under Code brand. Further, the company operates 20 kiosks and coffee shops under the Jeronymo name; and 21 chocolates and confectionary retail stores under Hussel name. Additionally, the company engages in human resources top management, real estate management and administration, training, and saline brackish waters aquaculture; wholesale of fruit and vegetables; retail management, consultancy, and logistics activities; the purchase and sale of real estate; growing of crops and farming of animals; retail sale of health and beauty products; manufacture of milk and dairy products; and provision of economic and accounting, business portfolio management, financial, and sea passenger water transport services. It is also involved in the trading and distribution of consumer goods; retail and wholesale of non-food products; other business support service activities; and provision of services in the area of wholesale and retail distribution. The company was founded in 1792 and is headquartered in Lisbon, Portugal. Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A. is a subsidiary of Sociedade Francisco Manuel dos Santos, SGPS, S.E.
How the Company Makes MoneyJeronimo Martins generates revenue through its extensive network of retail stores, primarily through the sale of food and non-food items to consumers. The company has a strong presence in Poland and Portugal, with its Biedronka and Pingo Doce chains being the main contributors to its revenue. Key revenue streams include direct sales from retail operations, private label products, and partnerships with local suppliers. The company also benefits from economies of scale due to its large purchasing power, allowing it to negotiate favorable terms with suppliers. Additionally, Jeronimo Martins invests in digital transformation and e-commerce, expanding its reach and enhancing customer convenience, which further contributes to its revenue growth.

Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 01, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call indicates a robust performance with strong sales and EBITDA growth, despite facing challenges such as margin pressure from rising wages and intense competition. The company has shown resilience through strategic expansion and operational efficiency, although external factors like weather and muted consumption continue to pose challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Sales Growth
Consolidated sales grew by 6.7% (6% at constant exchange rates) reaching EUR 17.4 billion, with a like-for-like increase of 1.6%.
EBITDA Improvement
EBITDA grew by 10.3% (9% at constant exchange rates) to EUR 1.1 billion, with the EBITDA margin increasing by 21 basis points to 6.6%.
Expansion and Investment
The group opened 196 stores and remodeled 71 locations. Notably, the launch of the Biedronka operation in Slovakia and the integration of 58 Colsubsidio stores in Colombia.
Operational Efficiency
Stricter cost management and productivity improvements more than offset margin pressure despite rising wages.
Positive Market Share Growth
Biedronka maintained price leadership in Poland, contributing to a market share increase of 0.2 percentage points.
Cash Position
The group maintained a cash position of EUR 213 million after the payment of EUR 371 million in dividends.
Negative Updates
Margin Pressure
The group faced significant margin pressure due to low basket inflation combined with a 9% increase in salaries.
Challenging Operating Environment
Muted food consumption and intense market competition created a challenging operating context.
Weather Impact on Sales
Adverse weather conditions in Poland affected sales in certain categories, impacting overall performance.
Cash Flow Outflow
Cash flow for the period was an outflow of EUR 157 million, primarily due to seasonality and supplier payments.
Deflation Challenges in Hebe
Hebe experienced substantial deflation in the basket, significantly pressuring EBITDA margin.
Company Guidance
In the first half of 2025, Jeronimo Martins faced a challenging operating environment characterized by muted food consumption, low basket inflation, and rising wages. Despite these pressures, the company managed to grow its top line by 6.7% (6% at constant exchange rates) to reach EUR 17.4 billion, supported by a like-for-like increase of 1.6% and contributions from store expansions. All banners delivered solid sales, with consolidated EBITDA rising by 10.3% (9% at constant exchange rates) to EUR 1.1 billion, resulting in an EBITDA margin improvement of 21 basis points to 6.6% compared to the same period in 2024. The group maintained a cash position of EUR 213 million at the end of June, even after paying EUR 371 million in dividends. The first half also saw significant progress in capital expenditure, with 196 new stores opened and 71 locations remodeled. The company highlighted the successful expansion of the Biedronka operation in Slovakia and the integration of 58 stores formerly operated by Colsubsidio under the Ara banner. Looking ahead, Jeronimo Martins remains focused on price competitiveness and margin protection amid a highly uncertain market landscape, with a minor revision in Biedronka's remodeling plan reducing the target to 200 stores and CapEx now anticipated to be slightly above EUR 1 billion.

Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA demonstrates solid revenue growth and operational efficiency with strong gross profit and EBITDA margins. However, profitability and cash generation need improvement, as indicated by the low net profit margin and declining free cash flow. The balance sheet is stable with manageable debt, but there's room for better equity utilization and profitability.
Income Statement
78
Positive
The company shows robust revenue growth, with a TTM revenue of 33.78 billion, up from 33.46 billion in the previous year, reflecting a steady growth trend. The gross profit margin is strong at 35.85% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 1.86% TTM, suggesting room for improved profitability. EBITDA margin stands at a healthy 26.03% TTM, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.64 TTM, indicating a balanced leverage with manageable risk. The equity ratio is 20.46% TTM, showing a reasonable proportion of equity financing. Return on Equity (ROE) is modest at 19.91% TTM, suggesting a decent return on shareholder investments, but there is potential for improvement.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a decline in free cash flow to 454 million TTM from 649 million, indicating a need to enhance cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable at 2.38 TTM, demonstrating strong cash conversion efficiency. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively low at 0.72, suggesting limited cash available after capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue34.56B33.46B30.61B25.39B20.89B19.29B
Gross Profit7.10B6.85B6.25B5.33B4.50B4.23B
EBITDA2.27B2.16B2.15B1.76B1.54B1.34B
Net Income615.00M599.00M756.00M590.00M463.00M312.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.30B15.30B14.30B11.85B10.37B9.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.45B1.88B2.07B1.80B1.53B1.04B
Total Debt5.23B4.92B4.15B3.15B2.85B2.80B
Total Liabilities12.17B12.04B11.23B9.26B7.84B7.17B
Stockholders Equity2.90B3.01B2.81B2.33B2.28B2.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow954.00M649.00M837.00M1.21B1.17B935.17M
Operating Cash Flow1.98B1.65B2.02B2.10B1.76B1.45B
Investing Cash Flow-1.03B-896.00M-1.18B-825.00M-617.00M-488.29M
Financing Cash Flow-817.00M-866.00M-691.00M-950.00M-676.00M-807.39M

Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price50.40
Price Trends
50DMA
50.08
Positive
100DMA
49.77
Positive
200DMA
45.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.30
Negative
RSI
52.67
Neutral
STOCH
6.49
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JRONY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 50.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 50.09, above the 50-day MA of 50.08, and above the 200-day MA of 45.30, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.49 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JRONY.

Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$15.86B23.6421.44%2.61%7.44%-5.12%
74
Outperform
39.43B22.1099.89%2.53%3.21%-4.03%
74
Outperform
17.02B49.687.61%8.61%-22.16%
73
Outperform
2.75B41.1610.32%7.90%68.05%
72
Outperform
17.74B33.5011.95%5.32%11.65%
66
Neutral
1.84B-27.030.00%6.62%53.12%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JRONY
Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA
50.40
13.87
37.97%
SYY
Sysco
81.93
9.78
13.56%
CHEF
The Chefs' Warehouse
66.69
26.14
64.46%
UNFI
United Natural Foods
30.81
15.01
95.00%
PFGC
Performance Food Group
108.04
31.02
40.28%
USFD
US Foods Holding
78.37
16.42
26.51%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 03, 2025