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Jeronimo Martins, Sgps (JRONY)
:JRONY
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Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA (JRONY) AI Stock Analysis

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JRONY

Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA

(OTC:JRONY)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$58.00
▲(21.14% Upside)
Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors contributing to the score. The company's robust revenue growth and cash flow generation, along with successful expansion efforts, are key strengths. However, high leverage and competitive market conditions pose risks. The technical indicators suggest a positive trend, but caution is advised due to potential overvaluation and near-overbought RSI levels.

Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA (JRONY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A. operates in the food distribution and specialized retail sectors in Portugal, Poland, and Colombia. The company operates through Portugal Retail; Portugal Cash & Carry; Poland Retail; Colombia Retail; and Others, Eliminations and Adjustments segments. It operates 3,250 food stores under the Biedronka name; and a chain of 290 health and beauty stores under the Hebe banner in Poland, as well as 819 food stores under the Ara name in Colombia. The company also operates 460 supermarkets under the Pingo Doce banner; and 38 stores and 4 platforms under the Recheio name in Portugal. In addition, it operates restaurants under the Pingo Doce name; Bem-Estar stores; and petrol stations and clothing under Code brand. Further, the company operates 20 kiosks and coffee shops under the Jeronymo name; and 21 chocolates and confectionary retail stores under Hussel name. Additionally, the company engages in human resources top management, real estate management and administration, training, and saline brackish waters aquaculture; wholesale of fruit and vegetables; retail management, consultancy, and logistics activities; the purchase and sale of real estate; growing of crops and farming of animals; retail sale of health and beauty products; manufacture of milk and dairy products; and provision of economic and accounting, business portfolio management, financial, and sea passenger water transport services. It is also involved in the trading and distribution of consumer goods; retail and wholesale of non-food products; other business support service activities; and provision of services in the area of wholesale and retail distribution. The company was founded in 1792 and is headquartered in Lisbon, Portugal. Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A. is a subsidiary of Sociedade Francisco Manuel dos Santos, SGPS, S.E.
How the Company Makes MoneyJeronimo Martins generates revenue through its extensive network of retail stores, primarily through the sale of food and non-food items to consumers. The company has a strong presence in Poland and Portugal, with its Biedronka and Pingo Doce chains being the main contributors to its revenue. Key revenue streams include direct sales from retail operations, private label products, and partnerships with local suppliers. The company also benefits from economies of scale due to its large purchasing power, allowing it to negotiate favorable terms with suppliers. Additionally, Jeronimo Martins invests in digital transformation and e-commerce, expanding its reach and enhancing customer convenience, which further contributes to its revenue growth.

Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a solid financial performance with strong revenue and EBITDA growth, successful expansion, and a robust cash position. However, the company continues to face challenges from geopolitical uncertainties, competitive market conditions, and cautious consumer behavior, which have impacted pricing strategies and sales in certain segments.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Robust Revenue Growth
Group sales grew by 7.1% or 6.6% at constant exchange rates to EUR 26.5 billion, with a notable like-for-like growth of 2.4% and significant contributions from expansion.
Strong EBITDA Performance
EBITDA reached EUR 1.8 billion, marking a 10.9% increase over the same period last year, or 9.9% growth at constant exchange rates, with an EBITDA margin increase of 23 basis points to 6.8%.
Expansion and Investment Success
The company executed its ambitious CapEx program, opening 274 new stores and renovating 170 locations, with a total CapEx of EUR 816 million.
Market Share Gains in Poland
Biedronka added EUR 1 billion of sales at constant exchange rates, gaining 0.2 percentage points in market share up to August.
Solid Cash Position
The balance sheet ended with a net cash position, excluding capitalized leases, of EUR 467 million.
Negative Updates
Challenging Market Conditions
The ongoing global geopolitical uncertainty and a highly competitive market environment are impacting consumer sentiment and price competition.
Low Basket Inflation Impact
The Polish market's low basket inflation combined with high cost inflation has intensified competition, impacting pricing strategies.
Pressure on Consumer Demand
In both Poland and Portugal, consumer behavior remains cautious and promotion-oriented, affecting like-for-like growth dynamics.
Weather-Related Sales Impact
Adverse weather conditions in Q3 affected certain high-margin categories, impacting overall sales performance.
Company Guidance
During the Jerónimo Martins Group's first nine months results conference call for fiscal year 2025, Chief Financial Officer Ana Luisa Virginia highlighted several key metrics underpinning the group's performance amidst ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. The group's top line grew by 7.1% (6.6% at constant exchange rates) to EUR 26.5 billion, with robust contributions from all banners, notably Biedronka in Poland, which added EUR 1 billion in sales at constant exchange rates. Consolidated EBITDA increased by 10.9% to EUR 1.8 billion, achieving a margin improvement of 23 basis points to 6.8%, driven by effective cost management and productivity measures. The group executed a CapEx program of EUR 816 million, opening 274 new stores and renovating 170 locations. The balance sheet remained strong, closing with a net cash position of EUR 467 million. Additionally, cash flow, excluding dividends, was EUR 128 million, reflecting improved funds from operations and enhanced working capital flows. Despite challenges, such as low basket inflation and competitive pressures, the group maintained its price leadership and market share, particularly in Poland, where it gained 0.2 percentage points of market share up to August.

Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA demonstrates strong revenue growth and cash flow generation, with stable gross margins. However, the company faces challenges with its high leverage and relatively low net profit margins. Continued focus on cost management and debt reduction could enhance financial stability and profitability.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA shows consistent revenue growth with a TTM revenue growth rate of 2.33%. The gross profit margin remains stable around 20.5%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 1.78%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are modest, reflecting operational efficiency but also highlighting potential areas for cost optimization.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.80, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. Return on equity is strong at 20.64%, demonstrating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the balance sheet shows a solid asset base supporting equity.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Free cash flow has grown significantly by 110.13% TTM, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.25, indicating adequate cash flow relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.48 suggests a healthy conversion of net income into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue34.56B33.46B30.61B25.39B20.89B19.29B
Gross Profit7.10B6.85B6.25B5.33B4.50B4.23B
EBITDA2.27B2.16B2.15B1.76B1.54B1.34B
Net Income615.00M599.00M756.00M590.00M463.00M312.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.30B15.30B14.30B11.85B10.37B9.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.45B1.88B2.07B1.80B1.53B1.04B
Total Debt5.23B4.92B4.15B3.15B2.85B2.80B
Total Liabilities12.17B12.04B11.23B9.26B7.84B7.17B
Stockholders Equity2.90B3.01B2.81B2.33B2.28B2.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow954.00M649.00M837.00M1.21B1.17B935.17M
Operating Cash Flow1.98B1.65B2.02B2.10B1.76B1.45B
Investing Cash Flow-1.03B-896.00M-1.18B-825.00M-617.00M-488.29M
Financing Cash Flow-817.00M-866.00M-691.00M-950.00M-676.00M-807.39M

Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price47.88
Price Trends
50DMA
49.09
Positive
100DMA
49.71
Negative
200DMA
47.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.32
Positive
RSI
48.91
Neutral
STOCH
22.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JRONY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 47.88 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 50.17, below the 50-day MA of 49.09, and above the 200-day MA of 47.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JRONY.

Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$15.62B21.8220.14%2.65%9.29%3.24%
71
Outperform
$36.70B20.5384.89%2.81%2.92%-4.06%
65
Neutral
$15.85B29.5912.29%4.80%3.49%
64
Neutral
$2.38B33.8614.12%8.88%54.12%
63
Neutral
$15.16B46.467.42%10.55%-23.38%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
52
Neutral
$2.12B-7.39%2.60%-3.23%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JRONY
Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA
49.60
12.80
34.78%
SYY
Sysco
76.63
1.80
2.41%
CHEF
The Chefs' Warehouse
58.56
13.61
30.28%
UNFI
United Natural Foods
35.00
10.05
40.28%
PFGC
Performance Food Group
96.65
7.89
8.89%
USFD
US Foods Holding
71.10
1.21
1.73%

Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA Corporate Events

Jerónimo Martins Reports Strong Sales and Profit Growth
Oct 31, 2025

Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A. is a multinational retail group based in Portugal, primarily operating in the food distribution sector with a significant presence in Poland, Portugal, and Colombia. The company is known for its focus on price leadership and efficiency in its operations.

Jeronimo Martins Reports Strong Growth Amid Challenges
Oct 31, 2025

The recent earnings call for Jeronimo Martins, Sgps painted a picture of solid financial health, marked by strong revenue and EBITDA growth, successful expansion efforts, and a robust cash position. However, the company is navigating challenges posed by geopolitical uncertainties, competitive market conditions, and cautious consumer behavior, which have influenced pricing strategies and sales in certain segments.

Jerónimo Martins Reports Strong H1 2025 Performance
Aug 2, 2025

Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A. is a multinational company based in Portugal, primarily operating in the food retail and distribution sector with a significant presence in Poland, Portugal, and Colombia.

Jeronimo Martins Reports Resilient Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 2, 2025

The recent earnings call for Jeronimo Martins, Sgps, painted a picture of resilience and strategic growth amidst a challenging operating environment. The company reported solid sales growth and an improvement in EBITDA, maintaining its market leadership in several regions. However, concerns were raised about rising labor costs and cash flow outflow. Despite these hurdles, Jeronimo Martins managed to improve its margins and sustain a strong cash position.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025