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Uematsu Shokai Co., Ltd. (JP:9914)
:9914
Japanese Market

Uematsu Shokai Co., Ltd. (9914) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9914

Uematsu Shokai Co., Ltd.

(9914)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,250.00
▲(30.07% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:10/29/25
Uematsu Shokai Co., Ltd. has a solid financial foundation with strong profitability and low leverage, but recent revenue declines and cash flow challenges are concerning. The technical indicators suggest a neutral trend, and the valuation indicates potential overvaluation, balanced by a decent dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong balance sheet
Low leverage and a high equity ratio provide durable financial flexibility. This strength supports continued supplier credit, capital spending or targeted investments, and preserves the company's ability to sustain dividends and weather sector downturns without urgent refinancing.
Stable profit margins
Persistent gross and operating margins indicate effective cost control and pricing power in distribution. Stable margins allow predictable cash generation and reinvestment capacity, supporting long-term profitability even if top-line growth slows.
Durable distribution model
A B2B wholesale and logistics model serving builders and contractors creates recurring demand and sticky relationships. Integrated distribution services raise switching costs and support steady revenue streams, forming a structural advantage versus commoditized suppliers.
Negative Factors
Recent revenue decline
Falling revenue reduces operating leverage and constrains margin expansion. Sustained top-line weakness can erode supplier terms, limit reinvestment in logistics or product mix, and increase reliance on price or volume recoveries to restore growth momentum.
Negative free cash flow in 2025
A recent swing to negative free cash flow weakens internal funding for capex, working capital and dividends. If persistent, it forces external financing or asset sales, reducing strategic optionality and increasing vulnerability to interest rate or financing market shocks.
Cyclical end-market exposure
Concentration in construction and housing subjects revenue to cyclical activity and macro sensitivity. Downturns in building activity can quickly depress orders and margins; without diversification, the business faces recurring demand volatility that challenges steady growth.

Uematsu Shokai Co., Ltd. (9914) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Uematsu Shokai Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUematsu Shokai Co.,Ltd., a trading company, provides machine tools and industrial machinery in Japan. The company offers metal machine tools, forging machines, automatic programming, and can and steel making frame machines. It also provides cutting tool, work tool, measuring tool, touring work equipment, power tool, and air tool; industrial machinery prime movers, hydraulic and pneumatic equipment, compressors, labor-saving and rationalization equipment, cargo handling and transport equipment, welding machines, and pipework equipment; plumbing equipment, environmental improvement equipment, ME equipment, chemical product, and construction machinery; and transmission equipment bearing, transmission machine, transmission supply, transmission/reduction gear, etc. It offers steel material, QA equipment, food related equipment, and home appliance, as well as seasonal product. The company was incorporated in 1955 and is headquartered in Sendai, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyUematsu Shokai generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from the wholesale distribution of seafood and food products. The company purchases seafood products from various suppliers and fisheries, then sells these products to restaurants, supermarkets, and other food service establishments at a markup. The business benefits from economies of scale, allowing it to negotiate favorable pricing with suppliers. Furthermore, the company may engage in import and export activities, leveraging global supply chains to access diverse markets and enhance its product offerings. Significant partnerships with local and overseas suppliers, as well as established customer relationships, contribute to a steady revenue flow. Additionally, Uematsu Shokai may explore value-added services, such as customized product offerings or logistics solutions, to enhance customer satisfaction and increase profitability.

Uematsu Shokai Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Uematsu Shokai Co., Ltd. presents a generally strong financial position with solid profitability and low leverage. However, recent revenue declines and cash flow challenges pose potential risks. Continued focus on revenue growth and cash flow stability will be crucial for future success.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Uematsu Shokai Co., Ltd. demonstrates a solid gross profit margin and decent net profit margin over the years, indicating effective cost management. However, the revenue has shown fluctuations, with a significant decline from 2024 to 2025, affecting overall growth trajectory. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, contributing to profitability.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The company's balance sheet is robust with a strong equity position, as evidenced by a high equity ratio. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, reflecting low leverage and financial stability. Return on equity shows positive performance despite some fluctuations in net income.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows variability, with negative free cash flow in 2025, indicating potential liquidity challenges. Despite past years of positive operating cash flows, the recent downturn highlights a need for better cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.36B6.31B7.25B6.46B6.12B5.09B
Gross Profit903.74M893.01M1.02B907.56M855.56M725.38M
EBITDA115.17M163.33M199.79M100.91M111.88M22.86M
Net Income79.13M86.20M112.01M39.87M52.92M-21.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.68B5.00B5.43B4.50B4.70B4.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments375.95M599.22M1.01B363.84M494.30M597.02M
Total Debt42.85M45.82M58.25M9.05M7.32M27.79M
Total Liabilities1.72B1.91B2.40B1.67B1.84B1.60B
Stockholders Equity2.96B3.09B3.03B2.83B2.86B2.87B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-320.44M709.96M-61.42M25.78M82.25M
Operating Cash Flow0.00-317.61M716.05M-61.22M28.89M82.25M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-11.69M43.72M-23.48M-113.48M280.77M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-79.69M-108.21M-52.95M-18.14M-80.51M

Uematsu Shokai Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price961.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1075.26
Positive
100DMA
1022.65
Positive
200DMA
987.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
22.05
Negative
RSI
61.51
Neutral
STOCH
69.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9914, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 961 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1109.95, below the 50-day MA of 1075.26, and below the 200-day MA of 987.21, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 22.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9914.

Uematsu Shokai Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
¥2.64B27.073.28%-6.09%-19.74%
66
Neutral
¥2.43B10.707.95%2.50%3.64%17.76%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
¥2.18B13.092.46%-2.17%126.99%
57
Neutral
¥4.15B-15.85-5.76%-120.95%
56
Neutral
¥4.54B38.3521.54%
54
Neutral
¥3.89B429.941.67%-13.82%81.18%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9914
Uematsu Shokai Co., Ltd.
1,152.00
157.06
15.79%
JP:6400
Fuji Seiki Co., Ltd.
305.00
71.00
30.34%
JP:6217
TSUDAKOMA Corp.
650.00
270.00
71.05%
JP:6233
KLASS Corporation
405.00
11.04
2.80%
JP:6347
Placo Co., Ltd.
398.00
195.72
96.76%
JP:7719
Tokyo Koki Co. Ltd.
635.00
454.00
250.83%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025