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Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd. (JP:9539)
:9539
Japanese Market

Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd. (9539) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9539

Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd.

(9539)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,356.00
▲(14.92% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance and a stable balance sheet, offset by persistently weak free cash flow. Technically the stock is in an uptrend, but overbought signals elevate near-term risk. Valuation is moderate with a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Regulated utility business model
As a regulated city‑gas provider serving households, businesses and industry in the Keiyo region, the company benefits from predictable, contract‑based demand and tariff frameworks. That underpins stable recurring revenue and long‑term cash visibility versus commoditized peers.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative free cash flow
Repeated negative free cash flow constrains internal funding for dividends, debt paydown and network capex, forcing reliance on external financing or equity. Over time, weak cash conversion limits strategic flexibility and increases vulnerability to funding cost increases.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Regulated utility business model
As a regulated city‑gas provider serving households, businesses and industry in the Keiyo region, the company benefits from predictable, contract‑based demand and tariff frameworks. That underpins stable recurring revenue and long‑term cash visibility versus commoditized peers.
Read all positive factors

Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd. (9539) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd. engages in the production, supply, and sale of gas in northwest of Chiba Prefecture, Japan. It is also involved in the sale of gas equipment; and provision of gas fitting services. It provides its services to residential, comme...
How the Company Makes Money
Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the sale of liquefied natural gas (LNG) and city gas to its diverse customer base, which includes households, businesses, and industrial facilities. The company has established long-term cont...

Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and revenue improved in 2025 (rebound after 2024 softness) and leverage is manageable, but margins remain modest and cash-flow quality is the main weakness: free cash flow has been negative in most years, limiting financial flexibility despite better recent operating cash flow.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue116.98B117.67B115.61B122.85B118.76B89.71B
Gross Profit37.01B37.61B25.85B27.66B26.46B28.19B
EBITDA13.84B14.31B11.90B12.00B9.59B10.89B
Net Income3.35B3.21B1.62B1.46B219.00M1.74B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets161.00B178.05B168.25B163.67B149.38B132.99B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.27B22.03B20.24B26.28B16.12B14.74B
Total Debt26.53B31.48B24.69B25.46B27.98B17.68B
Total Liabilities61.84B73.52B69.37B71.13B59.85B47.56B
Stockholders Equity95.75B101.10B95.62B89.40B86.88B82.85B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-697.00M-6.21B15.32B-4.86B-5.10B
Operating Cash Flow0.0013.70B10.01B28.33B6.91B8.67B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-13.09B-9.65B-25.06B-15.63B-17.18B
Financing Cash Flow0.002.28B-1.02B-2.63B10.10B6.68B

Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1180.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1294.58
Negative
100DMA
1229.09
Positive
200DMA
1187.57
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.51
Positive
RSI
38.23
Neutral
STOCH
9.28
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9539, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1180 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1350.65, below the 50-day MA of 1294.58, and below the 200-day MA of 1187.57, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -4.51 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.28 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:9539.

Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥95.05B8.949.07%3.61%9.39%77.24%
75
Outperform
¥113.01B8.997.99%3.89%1.08%37.11%
73
Outperform
¥477.24B28.196.03%1.81%7.08%43.50%
72
Outperform
¥2.72T14.4111.05%1.53%5.72%148.08%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
63
Neutral
¥2.58T11.5810.44%1.98%1.99%95.71%
62
Neutral
¥41.75B11.821.81%0.93%1212.45%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9539
Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd.
1,281.00
385.55
43.06%
JP:9532
Osaka Gas Co
6,498.00
3,391.08
109.15%
JP:9533
TOHO GAS Co
1,303.00
356.26
37.63%
JP:9531
TOKYO GAS Co
7,356.00
2,954.04
67.11%
JP:9536
SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
2,567.00
1,011.49
65.03%
JP:9543
SHIZUOKA GAS CO. LTD.
1,525.00
490.75
47.45%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026