Osaka Gas Co (9532) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥2.59T
• Dividend Yield: 1.98%
• Average Volume (3M): 828.48K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 14.0
• Beta (1Y): 0.70
• Revenue Growth: 1.99%
• EPS Growth: 95.71%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 21,159
• Sector: Utilities
• Sector Strength: 65
• Industry: Regulated Gas
• EPS (TTM): 117.28
• Shares Outstanding: 397,881,800
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 826,580
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 828,480
• PEG Ratio: 2.56
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.81
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.66
• P/FCF Ratio: 22.27
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): 411.65
• Revenue Forecast (FY): ¥2.05T

• Rating: 63 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥6,923.00 ▲(27.03% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 11/28/25
• Date: Action: Reiterated 11/28/25

Osaka Gas Co's overall stock score is driven primarily by its stable financial performance and reasonable valuation. The technical analysis indicates strong momentum but also highlights overbought conditions, suggesting caution. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events means these factors do not influence the score.

Positive Factors

Regulated utility business model

Operating as a regulated city-gas utility with integrated LNG procurement, distribution and retail electricity provides durable, predictable cash flows and customer stickiness. Residential, commercial and industrial diversification and bundled services support stable demand and lower revenue cyclicality over months.

Strong balance sheet and equity base

A roughly 50% equity ratio and moderate leverage afford financial flexibility for capex, LNG procurement and weathering commodity shocks. Solid balance-sheet positioning supports sustained investment in network upkeep and energy transition projects without immediate refinancing pressures.

Consistent operating cash generation and healthy margins

Consistent OCF greater than net income and stable gross margins indicate strong cash conversion from operations. This supports funding operations, maintenance and selective investments, underpinning long-term dividend and reinvestment capacity despite occasional FCF variability.

Negative Factors

Revenue volatility and slow growth

Revenue fluctuations and only modest multi-year growth highlight limited top-line momentum. A decline in 2023 underscores sensitivity to demand and industrial activity; persistent slow growth constrains upside from scale and increases reliance on margin or efficiency gains for earnings expansion.

Free cash flow volatility

Material swings in free cash flow reduce predictability for capital allocation, dividends and transition investments. A significant 2023 dip indicates risks around timing of capex, working capital or commodity pass-throughs that can limit sustained reinvestment or require balance-sheet flexibility.

Exposure to fuel procurement and retail competition

Dependence on LNG procurement and exposure to fuel/FX volatility creates structural margin risk even with some pass-throughs. Intensifying retail competition pressures spreads, requiring continued investment in customer acquisition and services, which can compress long-term profitability if procurement costs rise.

Osaka Gas Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Osaka Gas Co., Ltd. provides gas, electricity, and other energy products and services in Japan and internationally. It operates through four segments: Domestic Energy/Gas, Domestic Energy/Electricity, International Energy, and Life & Business Solutions. The Domestic Energy/Gas segment manufactures, supplies, sells, and maintains gas; engages in the gas piping works, call center operation, temporary staffing, various research and consulting, engineering and construction, leasing, installment payments assistance, energy service, and other activities, as well as insurance agency business; operates and maintains LNG terminals and power plants; supplies heat; and generates, sells, and maintains electricity. This segment also sells liquefied nitrogen, liquefied oxygen, and liquefied argon; gas appliances, and housing equipment and appliances; LNG and LPG; and others. The Domestic Energy/Electricity segment supplies electric power. It generates and sells electricity from natural gas, wind, biomass, and solar resources. The International Energy segment engages in the LNG transport; development and investment of petroleum and natural gas; investment relating to energy supply business; and energy supply business. The Life & Business Solutions segment manufactures and sells fine materials, carbon material products, activated carbon, wood protective coatings, absorbent functional materials, and resin additives; develops, leases, manages, and sells real estate properties; develops software products; and provides computer-based data processing services. This segment is also involved in the operation, management, and maintenance of buildings and facilities, and others. The company was founded in 1897 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Osaka Gas generates revenue primarily through the sale of natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company operates a robust gas distribution network, which allows it to maintain a significant market share in the Kansai region. Additionally, Osaka Gas has diversified its revenue streams by venturing into electricity generation and supply, capitalizing on Japan's energy market reforms. The company also earns income from providing energy management services, including energy efficiency solutions and consulting for businesses. Strategic partnerships with various stakeholders, including collaborations in the renewable energy sector, further bolster its earnings potential. Furthermore, Osaka Gas invests in overseas natural gas projects and liquefied natural gas (LNG) ventures, contributing to its international revenue sources.

Osaka Gas Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Osaka Gas Co exhibits a stable financial profile with consistent profitability and a strong balance sheet. Income statement metrics demonstrate efficient operations, while balance sheet integrity is supported by a solid equity position and manageable debt levels. Cash flow shows operational strength but indicates potential improvement areas in capital management.

Income Statement

Osaka Gas Co demonstrates moderate income statement performance. The company shows healthy gross profit margins around 19-20% over the years. However, revenue has seen fluctuations, with a notable decrease in 2023. Net profit margins remain stable, indicating consistent profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong, reflecting efficient management of operating expenses.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Osaka Gas Co shows a robust equity base with a solid equity ratio around 50% in recent years, indicating a strong financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, suggesting manageable leverage levels. Return on Equity (ROE) reflects consistent shareholder returns, though slightly variable across years. Overall, the company maintains a stable financial structure with reasonable leverage.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals some volatility in free cash flow, with growth in recent periods but a significant dip in 2023. Operating cash flow consistently exceeds net income, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio shows occasional weaknesses but remains positive overall. The company's cash flow performance supports operational stability but highlights areas for improvement in capital expenditure management.

Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.07T	2.07T	2.08T	2.28T	1.59T	1.36T
Gross Profit	427.71B	405.58B	410.37B	282.22B	314.77B	442.33B
EBITDA	335.49B	332.13B	334.02B	224.74B	246.41B	228.66B
Net Income	152.15B	134.41B	132.68B	57.11B	130.42B	80.86B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	3.19T	3.20T	2.98T	2.82T	2.59T	2.31T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	155.98B	82.81B	77.67B	85.09B	131.09B	167.08B
Total Debt	835.14B	972.42B	913.00B	811.53B	787.28B	785.38B
Total Liabilities	1.51T	1.46T	1.38T	1.40T	1.29T	1.20T
Stockholders Equity	1.63T	1.69T	1.58T	1.39T	1.27T	1.08T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	61.27B	125.24B	-160.58B	-42.65B	37.04B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	283.68B	312.61B	33.57B	145.35B	219.80B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-255.63B	-215.94B	-203.94B	-152.16B	-198.35B
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-34.09B	-110.12B	119.62B	-30.48B	-1.64B

Osaka Gas Co Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 5450.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9532, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5450 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6419.00, below the 50-day MA of 5887.06, and above the 200-day MA of 4627.39, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 173.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 64.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.98 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9532.

Osaka Gas Co Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
9536	76 Outperform	¥96.23B	9.60	9.07%	3.61%	9.39%	77.24%
9534	74 Outperform	¥81.03B	6.47	―	2.88%	2.77%	10.64%
9533	73 Outperform	¥552.76B	19.60	6.03%	1.81%	7.08%	43.50%
9531	72 Outperform	¥2.83T	13.37	11.05%	1.53%	5.72%	148.08%
Sector *	66 Neutral	$17.65B	18.10	5.60%	3.62%	6.62%	11.55%
8174	64 Neutral	¥341.36B	25.71	21.07%	3.28%	4.45%	53.88%
9532	63 Neutral	¥2.59T	13.96	10.44%	1.98%	1.99%	95.71%