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SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO. LTD. (JP:9536)
:9536
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SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO. LTD. (9536) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9536

SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO. LTD.

(9536)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,359.00
▲(7.72% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/01/26
The score is anchored by attractive valuation (low P/E and a ~3.13% dividend yield), but is held back by high leverage and inconsistent free cash flow, alongside weak technical momentum with the stock trading below key moving averages and a negative MACD.
Positive Factors
Regulated regional gas franchise
Operating as a regulated city gas supplier in Kyushu gives Saibu Gas durable, utility-like revenue streams and a captive customer base. Pipeline distribution and long-term supply relationships create barriers to entry and predictable demand, supporting steady cash flows over time.
Negative Factors
High and persistent leverage
Sustained total debt near 275–285B and elevated debt/equity (~2.7–2.9x) constrain financial flexibility. High leverage raises refinancing and interest-rate vulnerability, limits ability to fund strategic investments, and increases default risk if cash flows deteriorate.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Regulated regional gas franchise
Operating as a regulated city gas supplier in Kyushu gives Saibu Gas durable, utility-like revenue streams and a captive customer base. Pipeline distribution and long-term supply relationships create barriers to entry and predictable demand, supporting steady cash flows over time.
Read all positive factors

SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO. LTD. (9536) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO. LTD. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Saibu Gas Holdings Co.,Ltd. produces, supplies, and sells natural gas in Japan. The company also utilizes LNG cryogenic energy; and sells LNG. In addition, it produces, sells, and installs gas equipment and apparatus, as well as undertakes related...
How the Company Makes Money
The company makes money primarily through its city gas business. Key revenue streams include (1) retail sales of city gas to residential customers (usage-based billing and, where applicable, basic charges), (2) supply contracts with commercial and...

SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO. LTD. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Earnings have recovered versus the 2022 low and equity has improved, but consistently high leverage and volatile free cash flow (including negative FCF in 2026) constrain financial quality and flexibility.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
48
Neutral
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue263.43B261.82B254.44B256.33B266.32B215.27B
Gross Profit80.44B81.27B66.48B66.58B67.05B57.50B
EBITDA30.56B28.83B29.11B30.77B32.23B22.63B
Net Income8.00B7.15B6.36B6.16B13.22B495.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets442.00B465.85B447.77B431.79B414.27B395.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments24.81B23.48B29.48B27.40B36.78B25.54B
Total Debt283.71B284.81B280.33B283.06B282.36B275.20B
Total Liabilities328.74B342.51B336.06B326.21B320.64B315.02B
Stockholders Equity105.08B115.25B103.83B98.35B86.79B74.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-4.42B14.72B-1.88B2.45B-4.66B
Operating Cash Flow0.0025.33B38.56B22.12B21.75B10.54B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-33.81B-29.95B-28.15B-15.97B-14.13B
Financing Cash Flow0.002.90B-6.70B-4.02B2.96B7.63B

SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO. LTD. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2190.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2509.55
Positive
100DMA
2291.02
Positive
200DMA
2075.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
28.56
Positive
RSI
56.78
Neutral
STOCH
62.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9536, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2190 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2559.95, below the 50-day MA of 2509.55, and above the 200-day MA of 2075.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 28.56 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9536.

SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO. LTD. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
¥102.41B27.627.99%3.89%-0.51%14.01%
71
Outperform
¥69.52B3.342.88%2.48%10.65%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
63
Neutral
¥2.21T10.2911.05%1.53%7.51%232.54%
62
Neutral
¥44.33B3.721.81%1.29%27.31%
61
Neutral
¥81.75B19.649.07%3.61%2.90%13.95%
59
Neutral
¥451.24B15.576.03%1.81%-0.75%33.35%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9536
SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
2,208.00
464.47
26.64%
JP:9533
TOHO GAS Co
1,232.00
198.24
19.18%
JP:9531
TOKYO GAS Co
6,614.00
1,940.36
41.52%
JP:9543
SHIZUOKA GAS CO. LTD.
1,382.00
284.13
25.88%
JP:9534
Hokkaido Gas Co., Ltd.
785.00
266.76
51.48%
JP:9539
Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd.
1,360.00
139.02
11.39%

SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO. LTD. Corporate Events

Saibu Gas Holdings Lifts Full-Year Profit, Keeps Dividend as EPS Climbs
Apr 28, 2026
Saibu Gas Holdings reported consolidated net sales of ¥261.8 billion for the year ended March 31, 2026, up 2.9% year on year, with operating profit rising 18.4% to ¥12.5 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent climbing 12...
Saibu Gas Holdings Revamps Leadership and Board Ahead of 2026
Feb 19, 2026
Saibu Gas Holdings has announced a broad reshuffle of its leadership, promoting several executives and bringing in new officers from key group companies as of April 1, 2026. Senior roles are being elevated, including the promotion of Shogo Morita ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 01, 2026