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SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO. LTD. (JP:9536)
:9536
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SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO. LTD. (9536) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9536

SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO. LTD.

(9536)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,613.00
▲(19.32% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/04/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial quality: improving profitability is offset by high leverage and volatile free cash flow. Technicals add support with a clear uptrend versus key moving averages and positive momentum indicators. Valuation also helps, with a low P/E and a near-3% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Regulated city-gas business model
Operating as a regional, regulated city-gas group creates enduring structural advantages: stable, contract-driven demand, limited entrant pressure due to infrastructure needs, and predictable revenue streams for core distribution and service businesses. These traits support multi-month resilience in cash flow and customer base.
Negative Factors
High leverage
Persistently high absolute debt and elevated debt-to-equity ratios constrain financial flexibility and increase sensitivity to rising funding costs. This leverage level limits capacity for discretionary investment, raises refinancing risk, and could pressure credit metrics if cash flow weakens.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Regulated city-gas business model
Operating as a regional, regulated city-gas group creates enduring structural advantages: stable, contract-driven demand, limited entrant pressure due to infrastructure needs, and predictable revenue streams for core distribution and service businesses. These traits support multi-month resilience in cash flow and customer base.
Read all positive factors

SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO. LTD. (9536) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO. LTD. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO., LTD. (9536) is a Japan-based holding company whose group primarily operates in the city gas business, supplying gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers, and providing related energy services. Through its su...
How the Company Makes Money
SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS generates earnings primarily through consolidated subsidiary operations. The core revenue model is the sale of city gas to end customers (e.g., households, commercial facilities, and industrial users), where revenue is typically...

SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO. LTD. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Earnings have recovered versus the weak 2022 base and net income improved in 2026, but the balance sheet remains a key constraint with consistently high debt and elevated debt-to-equity in 2024–2025. Cash generation is also uneven, with free cash flow swinging back to negative in 2026, reducing confidence in steady self-funding.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
48
Neutral
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue254.92B261.82B254.44B256.33B266.32B215.27B
Gross Profit80.82B81.27B66.48B66.58B67.05B57.50B
EBITDA29.16B31.25B31.47B32.45B40.63B24.27B
Net Income8.77B7.15B6.36B6.16B13.22B495.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets460.80B465.85B447.77B431.79B414.27B395.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.68B23.48B29.48B27.40B36.78B25.54B
Total Debt278.29B284.81B280.33B283.06B282.36B275.20B
Total Liabilities330.58B342.51B336.06B326.21B320.64B315.02B
Stockholders Equity122.34B115.25B103.83B98.35B86.79B74.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-4.42B14.72B-1.88B2.45B-4.66B
Operating Cash Flow0.0025.33B38.56B22.12B21.75B10.54B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-33.81B-29.95B-28.15B-15.97B-14.13B
Financing Cash Flow0.002.90B-6.70B-4.02B2.96B7.63B

SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO. LTD. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
¥93.44B8.918.20%3.89%-2.47%15.81%
73
Outperform
¥68.37B7.002.88%1.28%-11.88%
66
Neutral
¥87.42B9.716.54%3.61%-3.23%12.39%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
63
Neutral
¥2.07T13.0713.96%1.75%6.07%11.20%
62
Neutral
¥47.52B11.351.81%1.29%27.31%
59
Neutral
¥425.41B17.536.82%1.86%-5.50%-8.68%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9536
SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
2,359.00
490.45
26.25%
JP:9533
TOHO GAS Co
1,123.00
3.19
0.29%
JP:9531
TOKYO GAS Co
5,967.00
510.03
9.35%
JP:9543
SHIZUOKA GAS CO. LTD.
1,210.00
67.92
5.95%
JP:9534
Hokkaido Gas Co., Ltd.
777.00
166.57
27.29%
JP:9539
Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd.
1,385.00
209.80
17.85%

SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO. LTD. Corporate Events

Saibu Gas Holdings Boosts Earnings Despite Revenue Decline and Confirms Stable Dividend
Jul 31, 2026
Saibu Gas Holdings reported consolidated net sales of ¥60.6 billion for the three months ended June 30, 2026, down 10.2% year on year, with operating profit falling 26.0% to ¥4.1 billion even as ordinary profit rose 18.3% and profit attr...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026