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NOVARESE,Inc. (JP:9160)
:9160
Japanese Market

NOVARESE,Inc. (9160) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9160

NOVARESE,Inc.

(9160)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
¥305.00
▼(-2.56% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance (recovery in revenue and profitability) but constrained by still-elevated leverage and a recent decline in free cash flow. Valuation is a positive contributor due to the low P/E, while technicals are mixed with negative MACD and the price sitting below key longer-term moving averages.
Positive Factors
Premium, integrated wedding & events business
NOVARESE's vertically integrated wedding and events model—venues, catering, gown rentals and coordination—creates cross-sell opportunities and higher average transaction values. This premium, service-led model supports pricing power and customer loyalty, providing durable margin support in a stable demand segment.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage limits flexibility
A debt-to-equity ratio near 1.22x indicates a meaningfully leveraged capital structure. Elevated leverage raises interest and refinancing risk and constrains capital allocation choices, reducing resilience to demand shocks and limiting ability to invest aggressively or absorb cost inflation over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Premium, integrated wedding & events business
NOVARESE's vertically integrated wedding and events model—venues, catering, gown rentals and coordination—creates cross-sell opportunities and higher average transaction values. This premium, service-led model supports pricing power and customer loyalty, providing durable margin support in a stable demand segment.
Read all positive factors

NOVARESE,Inc. (9160) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

NOVARESE,Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Novarese, Inc. engages in the wedding and restaurant businesses in Japan and internationally. The company provides wedding-related services, including venue guidance, wedding day planning, food and gift selection, and day-of operations; operates d...
How the Company Makes Money
NOVARESE, Inc. generates revenue by offering comprehensive wedding and event services through its network of venues and facilities. The company earns money primarily through venue rentals, catering services, and sales of associated services, such ...

NOVARESE,Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Improving operating results and steady revenue growth (2025 revenue up ~5.3% YoY) support the score, but earnings quality is tempered by margin volatility versus the 2022 peak. The balance sheet is gradually de-risking, yet leverage remains elevated (2025 debt-to-equity ~1.22x). Cash flow is positive, though 2025 free cash flow declined (~-13.8% YoY) and trails net income, indicating weaker cash conversion.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
64
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue22.04B19.30B18.27B17.22B11.19B
Gross Profit12.24B10.86B10.18B10.14B6.40B
EBITDA4.73B3.82B3.91B4.93B2.93B
Net Income1.26B663.90M942.27M1.66B374.02M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets36.82B37.13B34.81B32.51B32.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.42B3.55B1.72B2.80B2.25B
Total Debt12.37B19.35B18.03B18.71B22.31B
Total Liabilities26.71B28.29B26.63B25.27B27.04B
Stockholders Equity10.11B8.85B8.18B7.23B5.59B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.27B2.50B1.02B3.26B2.15B
Operating Cash Flow4.76B3.89B3.00B4.62B2.37B
Investing Cash Flow-2.65B-1.45B-2.03B-1.34B-253.64M
Financing Cash Flow-2.22B-621.47M-2.04B-2.73B-2.21B

NOVARESE,Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price313.00
Price Trends
50DMA
306.44
Positive
100DMA
317.29
Negative
200DMA
321.69
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.91
Negative
RSI
58.03
Neutral
STOCH
73.36
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9160, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 313 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 300.35, above the 50-day MA of 306.44, and below the 200-day MA of 321.69, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.91 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9160.

NOVARESE,Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
¥31.82B5.6321.87%2.14%15.35%45.10%
65
Neutral
¥11.99B6.2412.19%28.25%
63
Neutral
¥3.44B3.111.24%6.77%40.10%
62
Neutral
¥18.53B37.682.53%4.71%-0.41%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
¥33.75B5.662.48%-4.39%31.40%
52
Neutral
¥10.32B5.245.06%0.36%81.58%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9160
NOVARESE,Inc.
314.00
23.00
7.90%
JP:2418
TSUKADA GLOBAL HOLDINGS Inc
667.00
135.34
25.46%
JP:2305
Studio Alice Co., Ltd.
1,987.00
-36.59
-1.81%
JP:2424
Brass Corp.
609.00
58.28
10.58%
JP:4331
Take and Give. Needs Co., Ltd.
710.00
-119.39
-14.39%
JP:6571
QB Net Holdings Co., Ltd.
1,378.00
347.75
33.75%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026