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GOLDCREST Co
(8871)
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Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
¥3,380.00
▲(1.50% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/16/26
The score is held back primarily by weaker financial quality signals—especially the sharp rise in 2026 leverage and very large negative free cash flow—despite solid historical margins. Technicals are supportive with the stock trading above key moving averages, but elevated RSI suggests limited near-term upside without consolidation. Valuation is reasonable (moderate P/E and ~2.74% yield) but not compelling enough to offset the balance sheet and cash flow risks.
Positive Factors
Sustained high margins
Consistent net margins of roughly 15%–26% across 2022–2025 signal durable profitability for a developer. These margins create a structural earnings buffer through project cycles, enabling reinvestment and supporting long-term cash generation even amid top-line volatility.
Negative Factors
Sharp 2026 debt step-up
A near doubling of total debt in 2026 materially raises leverage and refinancing risk. Elevated borrowings increase interest expense sensitivity, reduce liquidity cushions and amplify vulnerability to real estate cycles, making capital structure a key medium-term risk.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Sustained high margins
Consistent net margins of roughly 15%–26% across 2022–2025 signal durable profitability for a developer. These margins create a structural earnings buffer through project cycles, enabling reinvestment and supporting long-term cash generation even amid top-line volatility.
Read all positive factors
GOLDCREST Co (8871) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥110.70B
Dividend Yield3.08%
Average Volume (3M)36.22K
Price to Earnings (P/E)11.8
Beta (1Y)0.30
Revenue Growth10.56%
EPS Growth44.81%
CountryJP
Employees199
SectorReal Estate
Sector Strength53
IndustryReal Estate - Development
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)276.46
Shares Outstanding35,784,000
10 Day Avg. Volume25,590
30 Day Avg. Volume36,223
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.12
Price to Book (P/B)0.82
Price to Sales (P/S)3.64
P/FCF Ratio-1.02
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)302.4
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥42.55B
GOLDCREST Co Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
GOLDCREST Co.,Ltd., a company founded in 1968 and based in Tokyo, Japan, specializes in the conceptualization, construction, and marketing of new residential condominiums across the Japanese market....
GOLDCREST Co Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
29
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 36.83B | 30.45B | 29.29B | 24.84B | 27.45B | 34.24B |
| Gross Profit | 20.48B | 14.87B | 14.27B | 11.81B | 16.04B | 16.04B |
| EBITDA | 15.29B | 10.50B | 8.58B | 6.79B | 11.71B | 12.71B |
| Net Income | 9.19B | 5.86B | 5.01B | 3.75B | 7.03B | 7.60B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 324.62B | 323.03B | 222.69B | 203.81B | 189.24B | 200.47B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 63.17B | 58.42B | 77.64B | 78.20B | 74.71B | 82.71B |
| Total Debt | 168.50B | 168.53B | 76.13B | 47.66B | 46.85B | 43.35B |
| Total Liabilities | 184.46B | 187.05B | 88.92B | 72.39B | 58.80B | 73.32B |
| Stockholders Equity | 140.16B | 135.98B | 133.77B | 131.41B | 130.44B | 127.15B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | -108.14B | -8.77B | 4.89B | -4.21B | 18.24B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | -5.02B | -8.46B | 5.09B | -4.11B | 18.35B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -102.94B | -15.37B | -179.00M | 2.13B | -2.33B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | 88.75B | 23.27B | -1.43B | -3.79B | -4.53B |
GOLDCREST Co Technical Analysis
Negative
3330.00
Price Trends
3305.50
Negative
3360.02
Negative
3317.55
Negative
Market Momentum
-26.92
Positive
44.28
Neutral
15.91
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8871, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3330 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3313.75, above the 50-day MA of 3305.50, and above the 200-day MA of 3317.55, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -26.92 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.91 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:8871.
GOLDCREST Co Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
77 Outperform | ¥49.38B | 7.69 | ― | 3.01% | 14.95% | 58.56% | |
65 Neutral | $2.17B | 12.19 | 3.79% | 4.94% | 3.15% | 1.96% | |
63 Neutral | ¥40.28B | 8.45 | ― | 6.02% | -2.46% | -26.95% | |
62 Neutral | ¥2.96T | 7.90 | 12.88% | 3.32% | 4.66% | 16.74% | |
59 Neutral | ¥58.94B | 8.16 | 5.86% | 7.35% | 24.52% | 5.03% | |
59 Neutral | ¥6.21B | 12.12 | 2.94% | 4.53% | -12.15% | -27.60% | |
58 Neutral | ¥110.70B | 11.76 | 4.34% | 3.00% | 10.56% | 44.81% |
* Real Estate Sector Average
JP:8871
GOLDCREST Co
3,265.00
-108.69
-3.22%
JP:1925
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Azuma House Co., Ltd.
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JP:3299
Mugen Estate Co., Ltd.
1,681.00
-216.41
-11.41%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.