IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc. (8707) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥85.15B
• Dividend Yield: 5.75%
• Average Volume (3M): 93.04K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 6.6
• Beta (1Y): 1.15
• Revenue Growth: 10.85%
• EPS Growth: 30.77%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 788
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 70
• Industry: Financial - Capital Markets
• EPS (TTM): 123.31
• Shares Outstanding: 25,012,800
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 106,760
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 93,036
• PEG Ratio: 0.40
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.83
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.19
• P/FCF Ratio: -8.82
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 81 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥4,146.00 ▲(26.79% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 11/28/25
• Date: Action: Reiterated 11/28/25

IwaiCosmo Holdings scores well due to its strong technical momentum and attractive valuation. While financial performance is solid, the negative cash flow trend is a concern. The lack of earnings call data and corporate events did not impact the score.

Positive Factors

High profitability and margins

IwaiCosmo's very high gross and healthy net margins reflect strong pricing power and low incremental costs in core brokerage and advisory services. Durable margins support internal reinvestment, dividend capacity and resilience to moderate revenue swings over the next several quarters.

Low leverage and solid ROE

The company's very low leverage and near-10% ROE provide balance-sheet flexibility and lower default risk. This financial strength enables opportunistic investments or buybacks and reduces refinancing pressure, making capital structure durable through market cycles.

Consistent revenue and EPS growth

Solid top-line and EPS growth indicate ongoing market share gains or higher fee capture in core businesses. When paired with high margins, this growth trend supports sustainable earnings expansion and provides room for strategic reinvestment or shareholder returns over the medium term.

Negative Factors

Operating cash flow turned negative

A material decline to negative operating cash flow signals weakened cash generation despite accounting profits. This reduces liquidity cushions, may force reliance on financing, and constrains the firm's ability to fund growth or dividends without altering capital structure within months.

Negative free cash flow conversion

Negative FCF-to-net-income indicates earnings are not converting into cash, raising questions on earnings quality and sustainability of payouts. Persistent conversion shortfalls can necessitate external funding or spending cuts, pressuring strategic options over the medium term.

Exposure to capital-markets cyclicality

Being primarily a securities broker/advisor ties revenue to trading volumes and market conditions. This structural cyclicality can cause meaningful revenue and fee volatility across market cycles, making results sensitive to macro/market shifts over the coming quarters.

IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, primarily engages in the securities business in Japan. The company sells securities; and offers public stocks and ETFs/REITs, margin, foreign stocks, bonds, FX exchange, CFD exchange, and futures/options trading services, as well as investment trust and asset management services. The company was formerly known as Iwai Securities Co., Ltd. and changed its name to IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc. in July 2010. IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1944 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

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IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

IwaiCosmo Holdings shows strong profitability with high margins and a solid balance sheet with low leverage. However, the negative trend in operating cash flow raises liquidity concerns that need to be addressed.

Income Statement

IwaiCosmo Holdings has demonstrated robust revenue growth from 2024 to 2025, with a revenue increase of 7.15%. The company maintains a high gross profit margin of 96.36% and a net profit margin of 26.11%, indicating strong profitability and efficient cost management. Additionally, EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 33.62% and 36.34%, respectively, showcasing strong operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company has a solid equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity is impressive at 9.93%, reflecting effective use of shareholders' funds. The equity ratio stands at 36.50%, underscoring a healthy balance between liabilities and equity.

Cash Flow

IwaiCosmo Holdings experienced a significant decline in operating cash flow in 2025, turning negative, which is a concern. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. However, the company is managing capital expenditures efficiently, which could help alleviate cash flow pressures in the future.

Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	26.36B	25.75B	24.04B	19.69B	20.71B	22.99B
Gross Profit	25.25B	25.52B	23.78B	19.43B	20.51B	23.07B
EBITDA	9.92B	9.36B	8.32B	5.46B	6.10B	7.94B
Net Income	7.08B	6.72B	5.55B	3.56B	3.76B	5.36B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	192.50B	185.45B	208.11B	183.51B	182.48B	193.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	6.96B	10.23B	10.17B	10.27B	16.58B	13.18B
Total Debt	17.53B	26.01B	30.40B	33.40B	29.04B	30.12B
Total Liabilities	126.19B	117.75B	141.77B	125.95B	125.98B	136.83B
Stockholders Equity	66.31B	67.70B	66.34B	57.56B	56.50B	56.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	-6.41B	1.05B	-5.89B	5.93B	3.13B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	3.13B	1.58B	-5.80B	6.36B	3.96B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-666.00M	3.02B	-2.39B	-1.14B	-1.02B
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-2.82B	-1.89B	-1.73B	-2.75B	-2.47B

IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 3270.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8707, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3270 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3686.00, below the 50-day MA of 3664.40, and above the 200-day MA of 2911.41, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -30.78 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.10 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:8707.

IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
8707	81 Outperform	¥85.15B	6.63	―	5.75%	10.85%	30.77%
8609	80 Outperform	¥183.43B	6.74	―	4.01%	-2.39%	-4.54%
8601	76 Outperform	¥1.98T	10.19	9.37%	4.13%	-0.87%	6.88%
8604	73 Outperform	$3.49T	10.42	10.23%	3.93%	-2.45%	35.60%
8628	69 Neutral	¥248.06B	12.14	14.00%	5.13%	3.27%	-1.81%
Sector *	68 Neutral	$18.00B	11.42	9.92%	3.81%	9.73%	1.22%
8698	43 Neutral	¥175.73B	13.27	7.26%	4.16%	14.69%	-114.36%

IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc. Corporate Events

IwaiCosmo Plans Record Year-End Dividend, Lifts Payout Policy Targets

IwaiCosmo Holdings has set a planned year-end dividend of 165 yen per share for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, with a record date of March 31. This reflects the company’s policy of prioritizing stable, performance-linked shareholder returns.

Under its Sixth Medium-Term Management Plan covering FY2026 to FY2028, the company is targeting a minimum dividend on equity of about 3% and a consolidated total return ratio of at least 50%. Based on this framework, the planned total annual dividend, including an interim payout of 60 yen, will reach a record 225 yen per share for FY2026, marking the highest year-end and full-year dividends in the company’s history.

The dividend allocation is structured so that interim dividends correspond to roughly 2% DOE and year-end dividends to about 1%, allowing flexibility to link payouts to earnings performance. The final decision on the year-end dividend will be made by the Board of Directors in May 2026, underscoring the board-driven governance of capital policy and its implications for shareholder income.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8707) stock is a Buy with a Yen3952.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc. stock, see the JP:8707 Stock Forecast page.

IwaiCosmo Confirms Strong Nine-Month Results and Sharp Dividend Hike After Interim Audit Review

IwaiCosmo Holdings announced that certified public accountants have completed their interim review of the company’s consolidated financial summary for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with no revisions required to the figures disclosed on January 30, 2026, effectively confirming the previously reported results. For the period, the group posted strong year-on-year growth, with operating revenues rising 16.2% to ¥22.9 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent surging 49.3% to ¥7.5 billion, pushing basic earnings per share to ¥319.98 and comprehensive income nearly doubling. Total assets expanded to ¥226.8 billion and equity increased to ¥70.9 billion, though the equity-to-asset ratio declined to 31.2%, while the company significantly lifted its interim dividend to ¥60 per share compared with ¥20 in the prior year, underscoring robust profitability even as it refrained from providing a full-year earnings forecast due to market-dependent performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8707) stock is a Buy with a Yen4129.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc. stock, see the JP:8707 Stock Forecast page.

IwaiCosmo Holdings Delivers Strong Nine-Month Profit Surge and Hikes Interim Dividend

IwaiCosmo Holdings reported strong results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with operating revenues rising 16.2% year on year to ¥22.88 billion and net operating revenues up 15.8%. Operating profit increased 32.2% to ¥8.99 billion, ordinary profit climbed 30.7% to ¥9.51 billion, and profit attributable to owners of parent surged 49.3% to ¥7.52 billion, lifting basic earnings per share to ¥319.98. Total assets expanded to ¥226.83 billion from ¥185.45 billion at the prior fiscal year-end, while net assets edged up to ¥70.85 billion, resulting in a lower equity-to-asset ratio of 31.2% versus 36.5%, reflecting balance-sheet growth. The company maintained a conservative stance on full-year guidance due to the high sensitivity of its business to market conditions and reiterated that it will disclose quarterly earnings and dividend forecasts only when reasonable estimates are available; it has already raised its interim dividend to ¥60 per share for the year ending March 31, 2026, signaling management’s confidence in current earnings momentum despite wider market uncertainty.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8707) stock is a Buy with a Yen3944.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc. stock, see the JP:8707 Stock Forecast page.

IwaiCosmo’s Q3 Preliminary Results Surpass Prior Full-Year Record Profits

IwaiCosmo Holdings announced preliminary consolidated results for the third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, reporting strong year-on-year growth driven mainly by higher revenue from U.S. equity business. Operating revenue rose 16.2% to ¥22.9 billion, while operating profit and ordinary profit increased 32.2% and 30.7% respectively, and profit attributable to owners of parent jumped 49.3% to ¥7.5 billion, lifting earnings per share to ¥319.98. The company noted that, as of the end of the third quarter, both operating profit and ordinary profit have already exceeded the full-year record highs achieved in the previous fiscal year, and ordinary profit has now remained positive for 53 consecutive quarters, underscoring the resilience of its earnings despite market volatility and reinforcing its robust operational and profitability trend.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8707) stock is a Buy with a Yen4031.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc. stock, see the JP:8707 Stock Forecast page.