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Matsui Securities Co Ltd (JP:8628)
:8628
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Matsui Securities Co (8628) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8628

Matsui Securities Co

(8628)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,016.00
▲(18.83% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:04/29/26
The score is driven primarily by solid profitability but tempered by elevated leverage and volatile cash flows. Valuation is a positive contributor due to the high dividend yield and reasonable P/E. Technically, the longer-term trend is constructive (above 100/200-day averages), but near-term momentum is soft (below the 20-day and low Stoch).
Positive Factors
Profitability & Margins
Sustained high net margins (mid-20s to mid-30s) indicate durable earning power and operational efficiency in core brokerage operations. This margin strength supports internal reinvestment, dividend capacity and buffers earnings through market cycles, enhancing long-term resilience.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
High and variable debt-to-equity (often 2.4x–4.5x) raises funding and solvency risk in stress scenarios and limits strategic flexibility. Elevated leverage can amplify earnings volatility, constrain capital return policies, and increase refinancing risk if market conditions deteriorate around the banking or wholesale funding cycle.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Profitability & Margins
Sustained high net margins (mid-20s to mid-30s) indicate durable earning power and operational efficiency in core brokerage operations. This margin strength supports internal reinvestment, dividend capacity and buffers earnings through market cycles, enhancing long-term resilience.
Read all positive factors

Matsui Securities Co (8628) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Matsui Securities Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Matsui Securities Co., Ltd. provides online securities brokerage services to retail investors in Japan. It offers brokerage services of stocks, futures, and options; services for underwriting, offering, and secondary distribution and solicitation ...
How the Company Makes Money
Matsui Securities primarily makes money by earning fees and financial income associated with operating a securities brokerage platform for retail customers. Key revenue streams generally include: (1) brokerage-related commissions and transaction f...

Matsui Securities Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and improving recent revenue support the score (income statement strength), but elevated leverage (debt-to-equity ~2.4x–4.5x, ~4.5x in 2026) and highly volatile operating/free cash flow (including a large negative year in 2025) meaningfully increase risk and reduce earnings/cash-flow reliability.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
49
Neutral
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue52.66B39.20B36.84B31.09B33.21B
Gross Profit52.66B30.85B29.04B23.47B27.51B
EBITDA22.15B19.83B17.50B14.01B19.16B
Net Income15.48B10.50B9.79B7.82B11.44B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.35T1.12T1.17T976.03B879.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments107.71B105.70B104.47B79.33B57.30B
Total Debt370.80B313.93B281.81B489.66B175.38B
Total Liabilities1.27T1.05T1.10T899.67B800.67B
Stockholders Equity82.35B76.60B76.33B76.35B78.72B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow108.92B-113.86B143.74B7.45B21.71B
Operating Cash Flow109.35B-113.43B144.40B7.95B22.01B
Investing Cash Flow-6.17B-8.68B-8.82B-5.95B-33.00M
Financing Cash Flow2.88B53.20B8.62B41.92B-50.37B

Matsui Securities Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price855.00
Price Trends
50DMA
935.38
Positive
100DMA
880.67
Positive
200DMA
801.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
11.77
Positive
RSI
57.91
Neutral
STOCH
56.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8628, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 855 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 963.49, below the 50-day MA of 935.38, and above the 200-day MA of 801.55, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 11.77 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8628.

Matsui Securities Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
¥85.73B7.805.75%30.59%55.29%
70
Outperform
¥200.00B7.694.01%21.03%85.36%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
¥1.97T11.589.37%4.13%6.95%15.03%
65
Neutral
¥233.66B15.6914.00%5.13%34.33%47.34%
59
Neutral
¥3.51T9.7810.23%3.93%0.46%6.87%
43
Neutral
¥167.32B13.277.26%4.16%9.77%-52.42%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8628
Matsui Securities Co
909.00
227.42
33.37%
JP:8601
Daiwa
1,453.00
562.10
63.09%
JP:8698
Monex Group
668.00
4.59
0.69%
JP:8604
Nomura Holdings
1,220.00
461.32
60.80%
JP:8609
Okasan Securities Group Inc.
905.00
288.36
46.76%
JP:8707
IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc.
3,650.00
1,733.59
90.46%

Matsui Securities Co Corporate Events

Matsui Securities Delivers Strong FY2026 Earnings and Raises Dividend
Apr 27, 2026
Matsui Securities reported strong non-consolidated results for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, with operating revenue rising 34.3% to ¥52.66 billion and operating profit surging 50.1% to ¥23.46 billion. Net profit climbed 47.4% to ...
Matsui Securities Posts Double-Digit Profit Growth and Hikes Interim Dividend
Feb 3, 2026
Matsui Securities reported strong non-consolidated results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with operating revenue rising 25.6% year on year to ¥37.3 billion and ordinary profit climbing 36.0% to ¥16.9 billion, while profit i...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 29, 2026