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Okasan Securities Group Inc. (JP:8609)
:8609
Japanese Market

Okasan Securities Group Inc. (8609) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8609

Okasan Securities Group Inc.

(8609)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,044.00
▲(38.83% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/04/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial fundamentals (robust equity position and improving free cash flow) and bullish technicals (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). Valuation is supportive with a moderate P/E and a solid dividend yield, while revenue and net margin inconsistency temper the overall rating.
Positive Factors
Strong Capital Structure
Low leverage and a strong equity ratio provide durable financial resiliency for a securities firm. This supports regulatory capital requirements, underpins underwriting capacity, allows opportunistic market-making, and preserves financial flexibility during market downturns without needing urgent external financing.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent Revenue Trends
Volatile and recently declining revenues reduce earnings predictability and constrain strategic planning. For a capital-markets franchise, unstable fee and trading income complicates investment timing, hiring, and product development, limiting sustainable growth unless revenue streams are diversified.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Capital Structure
Low leverage and a strong equity ratio provide durable financial resiliency for a securities firm. This supports regulatory capital requirements, underpins underwriting capacity, allows opportunistic market-making, and preserves financial flexibility during market downturns without needing urgent external financing.
Read all positive factors

Okasan Securities Group Inc. (8609) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Okasan Securities Group Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Okasan Securities Group Inc., a securities company, provides securities investment and asset management services for individual, institutional, and corporate clients in Japan and internationally. The company operates through Securities Business, A...
How the Company Makes Money
Okasan Securities Group generates revenue primarily through brokerage fees from trading activities in stocks, bonds, and other financial instruments. The company charges commissions for executing trades on behalf of clients, which constitutes a si...

Okasan Securities Group Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall financial health supported by a solid balance sheet (low debt-to-equity, strong equity ratio) and improving free cash flow. Offsetting factors include fluctuating revenue and a recent decline in net profit margin despite healthy EBIT/EBITDA margins.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue77.50B79.87B82.52B64.89B72.56B66.11B
Gross Profit77.50B79.87B82.52B64.89B72.56B66.11B
EBITDA13.50B18.98B20.15B4.71B16.57B9.37B
Net Income10.06B11.65B13.17B529.00M10.07B6.02B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.37T1.38T1.21T876.06B816.57B783.44B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments557.58B51.50B514.07B91.71B90.06B71.07B
Total Debt156.55B685.80B166.09B177.05B165.12B142.19B
Total Liabilities1.17T1.17T993.63B690.42B626.71B593.14B
Stockholders Equity201.27B208.23B199.16B173.44B168.33B168.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-24.21B-6.48B-8.85B-5.74B-42.99B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-20.69B-4.76B-1.36B-4.20B-40.94B
Investing Cash Flow0.006.18B2.39B1.67B7.04B-3.72B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-18.50B-4.41B16.58B13.26B42.60B

Okasan Securities Group Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price752.00
Price Trends
50DMA
899.12
Negative
100DMA
820.04
Positive
200DMA
751.00
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-9.26
Negative
RSI
53.14
Neutral
STOCH
69.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8609, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 752 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 869.80, below the 50-day MA of 899.12, and above the 200-day MA of 751.00, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -9.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8609.

Okasan Securities Group Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
¥88.20B6.635.75%10.85%30.77%
80
Outperform
¥198.45B6.744.01%-2.39%-4.54%
76
Outperform
¥2.13T10.199.37%4.13%-0.87%6.88%
74
Outperform
¥253.71B12.1414.00%5.13%3.27%-1.81%
69
Neutral
¥3.61T10.4210.23%3.93%-2.45%35.60%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
43
Neutral
¥178.25B13.277.26%4.16%14.69%-114.36%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8609
Okasan Securities Group Inc.
898.00
235.00
35.44%
JP:8601
Daiwa
1,577.00
606.66
62.52%
JP:8698
Monex Group
706.00
15.14
2.19%
JP:8628
Matsui Securities Co
987.00
248.96
33.73%
JP:8604
Nomura Holdings
1,255.00
368.67
41.60%
JP:8707
IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc.
3,755.00
1,401.27
59.53%

Okasan Securities Group Inc. Corporate Events

Okasan Securities Group Posts Strong Nine-Month Profit, Keeps Dividend Outlook Uncertain
Jan 29, 2026
Okasan Securities Group reported solid growth for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with operating revenue rising 11.4% year on year to ¥69.3 billion, net operating revenue up 9.5%, and profit attributable to owners of parent climbing ...
Okasan Securities Unveils New Shareholder Benefit Program
Nov 21, 2025
Okasan Securities Group Inc. has announced the introduction of a two-tiered shareholder benefit program aimed at encouraging long-term shareholding. The program offers digital gifts and promotional fixed deposit rates, with benefits increasing bas...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 04, 2026