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Marusan Securities Co., Ltd. (JP:8613)
:8613

Marusan Securities Co., Ltd. (8613) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8613

Marusan Securities Co., Ltd.

(8613)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,194.00
▲(17.64% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:10/30/25
Marusan Securities Co., Ltd. has a solid financial foundation with strong revenue growth and profitability. The stock's valuation is attractive, supported by a high dividend yield. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to potential bearish momentum. Improving cash flow management is crucial for sustaining long-term growth.
Positive Factors
Consistent revenue growth
Sustained revenue expansion from 2024 to 2025 indicates improving core business traction in Japan's capital markets. Persistent top-line growth over multiple years supports scale, reinvestment capacity and strategic initiatives, making earnings and cash generation more predictable over the medium term.
Healthy margins and profitability
Above-average gross and improving net margins reflect effective cost control and pricing power in brokerage operations. Durable profitability metrics bolster internal cash generation potential, help absorb market cyclicality, and support long-term shareholder returns and capital allocation flexibility.
Robust balance sheet and low leverage
High equity ratio and low leverage provide resilience to market stress and greater strategic optionality for investments or M&A. For a securities firm, conservative financing reduces solvency risk, helps meet regulatory capital needs, and preserves ability to support clients through market cycles.
Negative Factors
Negative free cash flow
A recent negative free cash flow reading driven by capex and weak operating cash flow undermines the firm's ability to self-fund growth, dividends or buybacks without using reserves or external financing. Persistent FCF deficits would constrain strategic flexibility and return of capital.
Negative free cash flow growth rate
Declining free cash flow growth signals weakening cash conversion which can pressure liquidity and capital planning. Over months, this trend can force tighter investment, reduce buffer for trading business volatility, and increase reliance on balance sheet reserves or external funding.
Revenue volatility in earlier years
Historical revenue declines across 2021–2023 point to sensitivity to market cycles and episodic business setbacks. such volatility complicates long-term forecasting and capital allocation, making earnings and cash flow less predictable and increasing execution risk in planning multi-quarter initiatives.

Marusan Securities Co., Ltd. (8613) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Marusan Securities Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMarusan Securities Co., Ltd. trades in securities and derivatives in Japan. It is involved in the brokerage, and financial instruments exchange market activities. The company also engages in the underwriting and sale of securities; handling sale, solicitation, and private placement of securities; the provision of safe deposit services; and acceptance of payments of public and corporate bonds. In addition, it is involved in the agency business of payment of proceeds, redemptions and partial cancellations of investment trust beneficiary certificates; proxy activities for securities; stock office operations; lending money with custody securities as collateral; and trading of certificates of deposit and Yen-denominated bank underwriting, as well as the provision of brokerage and agency services. Further, the company engages in the buying and selling of gold bullion; storage business; and custody, lending, and borrowing of securities and other operations. Additionally, it is involved in the life insurance solicitation and non-life insurance agency businesses. Marusan Securities Co., Ltd. was founded in 1897 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyMarusan Securities generates revenue through several key streams including commissions from brokerage services for both retail and institutional clients, fees from asset management services, and advisory fees for providing financial planning assistance. The company also earns income from proprietary trading, where it buys and sells securities to capitalize on market opportunities. Additionally, Marusan Securities may form partnerships with other financial institutions to expand its service offerings, which can lead to increased revenue through joint ventures or referral agreements. The firm's performance is influenced by market conditions, trading volumes, and the overall demand for financial services in Japan.

Marusan Securities Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Marusan Securities Co., Ltd. demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and profitability, supported by a robust balance sheet with low leverage. However, cash flow management poses challenges, particularly in maintaining positive free cash flow.
Income Statement
78
Positive
The company has shown consistent revenue growth, with a notable increase in revenue from 2024 to 2025. The gross profit margin remains strong, and the net profit margin has improved, reflecting effective cost management. However, there was a decline in revenue from 2021 to 2023, indicating some volatility. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, supporting profitability.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a high equity ratio, indicating financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, showcasing a conservative leverage strategy. However, the total assets have fluctuated, with a decrease from 2024 to 2025. The return on equity has improved, reflecting efficient use of equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow performance is mixed, with negative free cash flow in the latest period due to high capital expenditures and negative operating cash flow. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, indicating challenges in generating cash surplus. However, the company has had periods of strong operating cash flow, providing some positive outlook.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.85B18.61B14.93B18.67B19.18B
Gross Profit19.61B18.55B14.87B18.60B19.07B
EBITDA5.32B4.15B901.00M3.72B4.09B
Net Income3.79B2.92B778.00M2.83B4.16B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets73.36B84.08B67.60B90.89B99.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments31.50B36.42B33.97B29.68B32.96B
Total Debt2.02B3.14B3.01B4.16B3.83B
Total Liabilities24.35B31.55B21.52B43.75B52.99B
Stockholders Equity49.01B52.52B46.09B47.13B46.40B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.10B6.99B10.64B-1.14B-3.23B
Operating Cash Flow-160.00M7.56B10.99B-371.00M-2.74B
Investing Cash Flow509.00M-734.00M-4.60B-911.00M1.57B
Financing Cash Flow-5.05B-1.89B-1.56B-2.05B-1.43B

Marusan Securities Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1015.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1048.16
Positive
100DMA
997.86
Positive
200DMA
940.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
13.61
Positive
RSI
53.42
Neutral
STOCH
56.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8613, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1015 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1076.15, below the 50-day MA of 1048.16, and above the 200-day MA of 940.74, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 13.61 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8613.

Marusan Securities Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
¥91.25B9.915.75%10.85%30.77%
80
Outperform
¥211.49B13.774.01%-2.39%-4.54%
71
Outperform
¥73.17B14.039.22%6.15%7.45%45.25%
69
Neutral
¥241.38B18.4714.00%5.13%3.27%-1.81%
68
Neutral
¥54.18B13.954.86%6.40%41.18%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
43
Neutral
¥181.79B20.63-3.97%4.16%14.69%-114.36%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8613
Marusan Securities Co., Ltd.
1,081.00
166.45
18.20%
JP:8698
Monex Group
718.00
-63.63
-8.14%
JP:8628
Matsui Securities Co
936.00
175.77
23.12%
JP:8609
Okasan Securities Group Inc.
956.00
367.95
62.57%
JP:8614
Toyo Securities Co., Ltd.
767.00
240.99
45.81%
JP:8707
IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc.
3,945.00
1,637.76
70.98%

Marusan Securities Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Marusan Securities Posts Higher Nine-Month Profits and Raises Dividend Outlook
Jan 29, 2026

Marusan Securities reported higher non-consolidated results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with operating revenue rising to ¥15,555 million and ordinary profit reaching ¥3,947 million, both reflecting year-on-year growth. Net assets increased to ¥49,352 million, total assets expanded to ¥99,442 million, and the equity ratio improved to 49.5%, while basic earnings per share rose to ¥54.90, underscoring strengthened financial stability. The company plans a total annual dividend of ¥60.00 per share for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, up from the prior year’s level, signaling a continued focus on shareholder returns in line with its improving earnings and capital position.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8613) stock is a Hold with a Yen1135.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Marusan Securities Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:8613 Stock Forecast page.

Marusan Securities Posts Double-Digit Profit Growth in Nine-Month Preliminary Results
Jan 20, 2026

Marusan Securities reported preliminary financial results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, showing solid year-on-year growth across key metrics. Operating revenue rose 8.4% to ¥15,555 million, operating profit increased 19.0% to ¥3,425 million, ordinary profit climbed 16.7% to ¥3,947 million, and profit surged 24.0% to ¥3,634 million, lifting earnings per share to ¥54.90 and book value per share to ¥742.75. The performance indicates improved profitability and operational efficiency compared with the same period a year earlier, suggesting a stronger earnings base ahead of the full fiscal year and reinforcing the company’s position in Japan’s securities industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8613) stock is a Hold with a Yen1161.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Marusan Securities Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:8613 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025