Monex Group (8698) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥201.23B
• Dividend Yield: 3.15%
• Average Volume (3M): 2.45M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 9.6
• Beta (1Y): 0.78
• Revenue Growth: -6.91%
• EPS Growth: -116.20%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 1,052
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 70
• Industry: Financial - Capital Markets
• EPS (TTM): N/A
• Shares Outstanding: 253,647,100
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,634,440
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,449,410
• PEG Ratio: 0.28
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.57
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -7.07
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: ¥713.34
• Price Target Upside: -10.50% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 54 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥829.00 ▲(4.02%Upside)

The overall stock score reflects a company with strong technical momentum but significant financial challenges. The negative net income and cash flow issues are major concerns. While the dividend yield offers some value, the negative P/E ratio highlights profitability issues that overshadow positive technical trends.

Monex Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Monex Group, Inc. (8698) is a diversified financial services company headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. The company operates in the brokerage and financial services sector, providing a wide range of investment and trading services to individual and institutional investors. Monex offers online trading platforms for stocks, bonds, mutual funds, and cryptocurrencies, as well as asset management, investment advisory, and related financial services. The company is known for its technological innovation and customer-centric approach, catering to a global clientele through its subsidiaries in the United States, Hong Kong, and other regions.

How the Company Makes Money

Monex Group makes money primarily through its brokerage services, where it earns commissions and fees on trade executions for its clients across various financial instruments, including equities, fixed income, and derivatives. The company also generates revenue from asset management services, earning management and performance fees based on the assets under management. Additionally, Monex benefits from interest income on margin trading and loans provided to clients. The company's strategic partnerships and acquisitions, such as the acquisition of Coincheck for its cryptocurrency operations, contribute to its revenue streams by expanding its market presence and service offerings in the digital asset space. Monex's revenue is further supported by its global operations, allowing it to tap into diverse markets and customer bases.

Monex Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

The company shows robust revenue growth but faces significant profitability challenges, with a net profit margin turning negative. The balance sheet indicates reduced leverage, providing some stability, yet cash flow issues highlight operational inefficiencies.

Income Statement

The company's income statement reveals mixed performance. The gross profit margin remains robust, with a slight decrease from 98.81% in 2024 to 99.25% in 2025. However, the net profit margin significantly deteriorated from 51.17% in 2024 to -6.72% in 2025, indicating a shift to losses. Revenue growth is volatile, with a recent increase of 23.23% from 2024 to 2025. EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, but the negative net income is concerning.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a solid equity base with an equity ratio of 17.47% in 2025, down from 17.29% in 2024, indicating some stability. The debt-to-equity ratio decreased from 0.76 in 2024 to 0.35 in 2025, reflecting reduced leverage. Despite these strengths, the return on equity has turned negative due to the net loss, signaling a need for operational improvements.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis highlights significant challenges, with operating cash flow turning negative in 2025, indicating operational inefficiencies. The free cash flow also declined sharply. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative due to the net loss, and free cash flow to net income is also negative, suggesting cash management difficulties. The free cash flow growth rate shows a sharp decline, underscoring these challenges.

Breakdown	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	75.36B	61.15B	57.57B	96.31B	77.39B
Gross Profit	72.75B	84.37B	57.36B	86.98B	70.81B
EBITDA	13.47B	41.45B	18.99B	34.40B	33.66B
Net Income	-5.07B	31.29B	3.39B	13.02B	14.35B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	709.64B	761.64B	1.50T	1.61T	1.40T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	430.25B	97.94B	181.02B	261.30B	168.45B
Total Debt	43.82B	100.16B	415.71B	421.94B	363.48B
Total Liabilities	583.39B	628.52B	1.40T	1.50T	1.31T
Stockholders Equity	123.98B	131.71B	99.64B	104.29B	89.57B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-13.14B	1.36B	-38.78B	45.09B	-63.24B
Operating Cash Flow	-12.23B	8.05B	-30.98B	51.70B	-57.70B
Investing Cash Flow	-32.18B	-86.35B	-21.87B	-6.03B	-7.16B
Financing Cash Flow	-25.19B	-5.11B	-34.16B	13.76B	95.48B

Monex Group Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 797.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8698, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 797 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 769.80, above the 50-day MA of 735.72, and above the 200-day MA of 780.59, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 18.72 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8698.

Monex Group Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
8707	78 Outperform	¥57.62B	8.13		5.93%	5.08%	17.07%
8628	75 Outperform	¥187.65B	17.93	14.70%	5.48%	0.12%	1.45%
8614	71 Outperform	¥35.86B	13.19		3.91%	11.72%	158.52%
Sector *	67 Neutral	$17.78B	11.60	9.11%	3.88%	10.92%	-3.96%
8708	67 Neutral	¥40.54B	16.33		3.60%	0.74%	-5.46%
8609	65 Neutral	¥145.19B	13.17		4.24%	-5.10%	-9.68%
8698	54 Neutral	¥201.23B	9.61	-4.56%	3.15%	-6.91%	-116.20%

Monex Group Corporate Events

Monex Group Completes Treasury Stock Disposition for Remuneration

Monex Group, Inc. has completed the payment procedure for the disposition of its treasury stock as restricted stock remuneration, following a resolution made by its board of directors. This move involves the disposal of 213,000 shares of common stock at JPY 720 per share, totaling JPY 153,360,000, and is aimed at compensating members of the board and executive officers, potentially impacting the company’s financial strategy and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8698) stock is a Hold with a Yen1380.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Monex Group stock, see the JP:8698 Stock Forecast page.

Monex Group Aligns Management Incentives with Shareholders through Stock Remuneration

Monex Group has announced the disposition of its treasury stock as part of a restricted stock remuneration system aimed at aligning management interests with shareholders and enhancing corporate value. This move is intended to incentivize top management and directors by linking part of their remuneration to the company’s stock performance, thereby reinforcing their commitment to the company’s sustainable growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8698) stock is a Hold with a Yen1380.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Monex Group stock, see the JP:8698 Stock Forecast page.

Monex Group Maintains Independence Despite Major Shareholder

Monex Group, Inc. announced its relationship with Shizuoka Financial Group, Inc., which holds a 20.21% voting rights stake, categorizing it as an ‘other affiliated company.’ Despite Shizuoka being the largest shareholder, Monex maintains operational independence, and there are no significant transactions requiring disclosure for the fiscal year ending March 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8698) stock is a Hold with a Yen1380.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Monex Group stock, see the JP:8698 Stock Forecast page.

Monex Group Completes Share Repurchase Program

Monex Group, Inc. has completed a share repurchase program, buying back 77,900 shares for 54,737,400 yen as part of a plan approved by its Board of Directors in July 2024. This move is part of a larger strategy to repurchase up to 14,000,000 shares, reflecting the company’s commitment to enhancing shareholder value and optimizing its capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8698) stock is a Hold with a Yen1380.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Monex Group stock, see the JP:8698 Stock Forecast page.

Monex Group Announces Year-End Dividend and Strategic Growth Plans

Monex Group has announced its year-end dividend for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, with a dividend per share of 15.20 yen and a special dividend of 10.00 yen, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns. The company aims to balance profit distribution with growth investments, setting a new return on equity target of 15% to ensure stable profit growth and appropriate shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8698) stock is a Hold with a Yen1380.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Monex Group stock, see the JP:8698 Stock Forecast page.

Monex Group Announces Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results

Monex Group has announced its financial results for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025. The company emphasizes its commitment to innovation and professionalism in the financial sector, aiming to enhance its market position and stakeholder value through cutting-edge technology and a forward-thinking approach.

Monex Group Announces Year-End Dividend Forecast for FY 2025

Monex Group has announced its year-end dividend forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, highlighting a commitment to enhance total shareholder return. The company plans to pay a minimum annual dividend of 30 yen per share, with additional dividends if profits exceed this amount, and may conduct share buybacks. The forecast includes a total year-end dividend of 40.30 yen per share, reflecting a focus on capital costs, stock price, and a new ROE target of 15% to ensure stable profit growth and appropriate shareholder returns.

Monex Group Reports Profit Decline Due to Strategic Expenses

Monex Group, Inc. reported a significant decrease in profits for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, compared to the previous year. The decline is attributed to one-time expenses related to the De-SPAC listing of Coincheck Group N.V., contrasting with the previous year’s gains from revaluation of shares. This financial shift highlights the impact of strategic decisions on Monex’s financial performance and may influence stakeholder perceptions.

Monex Group Reports Progress on Share Repurchase Program

Monex Group, Inc. has announced the progress of its share repurchase program, having bought back 1,463,900 shares for approximately 985,957,100 yen during April 2025. This initiative is part of a broader strategy approved in July 2024, aiming to repurchase up to 14 million shares by June 2025, reflecting the company’s commitment to enhancing shareholder value.