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Daiwa (JP:8601)
:8601
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Daiwa (8601) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8601

Daiwa

(OTC:8601)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,077.00
▼(-7.39% Downside)
Daiwa's stock is supported by strong financial performance, with significant revenue growth and profitability improvements. Technical indicators suggest short-term upward momentum, while valuation metrics show the stock is attractively priced with a high dividend yield. However, concerns over high leverage and negative cash flow present risks that need addressing.

Daiwa (8601) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Daiwa Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDaiwa Securities Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, primarily operates as a securities broker-dealer in Japan and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Retail, Wholesale, Asset management, and Investment. It provides services, such as brokerage, trading, underwriting, strategic advice, product development, and structured finance. The Retail segment offers online and telephone-based securities-related services through a network of 177 branches and sales offices, as well as non-face-to-face channels comprising the Internet and a call center. The Wholesale segment offers sales and trading services of equities and bonds, as well as of foreign exchange and derivative products, primarily for institutional investors and corporations; and investment banking services, such as underwriting of securities, M&A advisory, etc. The Asset Management segment structures and manages investment trusts primarily for individual investors and financial institutions; provides investment advisory services; and manages assets. The Investment segment is involved in the loans, private equity, and real estate, as well as energy, infrastructure, and resource investment activities. It also offers research and consulting, information systems, banking, insurance, wrap account, inheritance-related, and other support services; and engages in the securities-related, investment advisory and agency, and investment management businesses, as well as lending and borrowing of real estate properties. The company was formerly known as Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. and changed its name to Daiwa Securities Group Inc. in 1999. Daiwa Securities Group Inc. was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyDaiwa Securities Group Inc. generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from its core activities in brokerage services, investment banking, asset management, and trading. The brokerage segment earns income from commissions and fees charged on securities transactions executed on behalf of clients. In investment banking, the company generates revenue through advisory fees from mergers and acquisitions, underwriting fees from capital raising activities, and other corporate finance services. The asset management division contributes to revenue by managing investment funds and portfolios, earning management and performance fees based on assets under management. Additionally, Daiwa engages in proprietary trading activities, which involve trading securities for its own account, further contributing to its revenue. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with other financial institutions and corporations also play a role in enhancing its market position and revenue generation capabilities.

Daiwa Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong performance in asset-based revenue, overseas operations, and the investment division, but faced challenges in global markets, profit reduction, and wholesale division performance. Despite these challenges, the company shows resilience and potential for growth, particularly in the Retail Division.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record High Asset-Based Revenue in Retail Division
Daiwa Securities Group posted record high asset-based revenue in the Retail Division due to increased sales of equity investment trusts and a high level of wrap account contracts.
Positive Performance in Overseas Operations
Ordinary income from overseas operations was JPY 6.4 billion, up 67.1% from the previous quarter, driven by revenue growth in Europe and strong performance in the Americas.
Significant Increase in Investment Division Revenue
Net operating revenues in the Investment Division were JPY 8.3 billion, up 83.1%, with ordinary income up 12.8%.
Retail Division's Strong Start in January
In January, Retail Division's performance expanded significantly with an approximately 40% increase in income from equity transactions and investment trust sales compared to Q3.
Negative Updates
Decline in Global Markets Revenue
Global Markets saw a decline in net operating revenues by 8.6% and ordinary income by 44.4% due to lower customer flows and a decrease in trading of Japanese equities.
Decrease in Profit Attributable to Owners
Profit attributable to owners of the parent company was JPY 28.4 billion, down 4.5% from the previous quarter.
Challenges in Wholesale Division
The Wholesale Division reported a decrease in revenues from the debt underwriting business due to a rise in interest rates and a reduced number of long-term bond issuances.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of fiscal year 2023, Daiwa Securities Group Inc. reported net operating revenues of JPY 147.8 billion, a 2.5% increase from the previous quarter, and ordinary income of JPY 40.8 billion, reflecting a marginal 0.1% rise. However, profit attributable to owners of the parent company decreased by 4.5% to JPY 28.4 billion, leading to an annualized ROE of 7.7%. The Retail Division saw a 1% increase in net operating revenues to JPY 49.8 billion, with ordinary income rising 4.6% to JPY 12.5 billion, driven by high wrap account contracts and investment trust sales. Meanwhile, the Wholesale Division experienced an 8.6% decline in net operating revenues, totaling JPY 33.7 billion, and a 44.4% drop in ordinary income to JPY 5 billion, attributed to reduced customer flows and interest rate hikes. The Asset Management Division reported a 3.3% increase in net operating revenues, reaching JPY 18.6 billion, and ordinary income rose by 0.8% to JPY 11.6 billion. The company noted strong performance in overseas operations, especially in the Americas and Europe, with a remarkable 67.1% increase in ordinary income to JPY 6.4 billion. The group continues to focus on improving its income structure's sustainability and diversity, with a strategic emphasis on wealth management and expanding its business portfolio. Looking ahead, Daiwa aims to achieve an ROE exceeding its 8% to 9% cost of capital by the end of the fiscal year and is optimistic about maintaining growth in its Retail and Wholesale Divisions under favorable market conditions.

Daiwa Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Daiwa shows strong revenue growth and improved profitability, but high leverage and negative cash flow indicate financial risk. Effective debt and cash flow management are critical for long-term health.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Daiwa has shown substantial revenue growth over the past year, increasing from 773 billion to 1.37 trillion yen, representing a significant growth trajectory. The gross profit margin improved to 52.8%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin also increased to 11.2%, showcasing enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT margin decreased slightly, suggesting potential pressure on operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is notably high, reflecting considerable leverage which poses a risk if not managed well. However, the return on equity has improved to 9.4%, signifying improved profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio remains low at 4.6%, indicating heavy reliance on debt to finance assets, which could be a concern if market conditions worsen.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The free cash flow has turned negative, indicating potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative due to significant outflows, suggesting cash management challenges. However, the company has managed its investing and financing activities to support strategic initiatives.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.37T773.02B606.48B585.97B527.05B
Gross Profit725.17B268.57B292.21B495.09B430.23B
EBITDA214.30B204.16B0.000.000.00
Net Income154.37B121.56B63.88B94.89B108.40B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets36.02T32.03T26.41T27.53T26.10T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.72T4.40T3.87T4.59T4.76T
Total Debt5.39T5.17T12.98T14.98T13.20T
Total Liabilities34.10T30.24T24.74T25.89T24.51T
Stockholders Equity1.65T1.53T1.42T1.38T1.34T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-622.91B640.63B-264.99B-439.05B332.38B
Operating Cash Flow-576.09B705.12B-183.75B-353.47B390.98B
Investing Cash Flow-353.44B-223.99B7.46B-218.53B-91.64B
Financing Cash Flow199.02B-2.85B-565.88B377.09B438.07B

Daiwa Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1163.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1075.80
Positive
100DMA
1015.97
Positive
200DMA
1009.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
23.75
Positive
RSI
63.41
Neutral
STOCH
43.30
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8601, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1163 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1141.83, above the 50-day MA of 1075.80, and above the 200-day MA of 1009.49, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 23.75 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 63.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8601.

Daiwa Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$1.57T10.0910.33%4.84%1.09%33.43%
68
Neutral
$18.06B11.9710.24%3.74%9.75%1.30%
$1.37B9.85-5.08%4.25%
€1.19B18.1714.70%
$20.87B8.7411.06%3.71%
78
Outperform
¥63.30B8.94
5.46%5.08%17.07%
74
Outperform
¥149.84B13.59
4.40%-5.10%-9.68%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8601
Daiwa
1,163.00
196.12
20.28%
MNXBF
Monex Group
6.15
2.07
50.74%
DE:MTW
Matsui Securities Co
4.60
-0.09
-1.92%
NRSCF
Nomura Holdings
7.30
2.15
41.75%
JP:8609
Okasan Securities Group Inc.
682.00
80.52
13.39%
JP:8707
IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc.
2,707.00
817.33
43.25%

Daiwa Corporate Events

Daiwa Securities Announces Terms for Series 22 Stock Options
Aug 15, 2025

Daiwa Securities Group Inc. announced the terms for its Series 22 Share Acquisition Rights, which involve issuing 78,220 stock options to employees of its wholly owned subsidiaries. This move is part of a strategic initiative to enhance employee engagement and align interests with the company’s long-term growth objectives, potentially impacting its market position and shareholder value.

Daiwa Securities Completes Interim Financial Review with Stable Results
Aug 4, 2025

Daiwa Securities Group Inc. announced the completion of an interim review of its quarterly consolidated financial statements for the period ending June 30, 2025, with no revisions made. The company’s financial performance showed a slight decrease in operating revenue compared to the previous year, but an increase in net operating revenue and ordinary income, indicating a stable financial position.

Daiwa Securities Updates Capital Alliance Amid ACA Group Restructuring
Jul 31, 2025

Daiwa Securities Group Inc. has announced a change in its capital and business alliance partner due to the restructuring of the ACA Group. The new partner, Felicity Global Holding Pte. Ltd., replaces ACA Investments Pte Ltd. Despite the change, Daiwa maintains its voting rights and collaborative relationship, continuing to provide high-quality investment opportunities through the Felicity Group.

Daiwa Securities Group Reports 1Q FY2025 Financial Results
Jul 30, 2025

Daiwa Securities Group Inc. has released its financial results for the first quarter of FY2025, highlighting its performance across various segments. The announcement provides insights into the company’s financial management, overseas operations, and segment information, which could have implications for its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Daiwa Securities Issues Stock Options to Enhance Employee Incentives
Jul 30, 2025

Daiwa Securities Group Inc. announced the issuance of Series 22 Share Acquisition Rights to grant stock options as incentive compensation. This move is part of the company’s strategy to align employee interests with corporate performance, potentially enhancing its competitive position in the financial services industry.

Daiwa Securities Reports Strong Liquidity Management for FY 2024
Jul 30, 2025

Daiwa Securities Group Inc. has released a report detailing its liquidity management soundness for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2024. The report, in compliance with the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act, highlights the company’s robust liquidity coverage and stable funding ratios, indicating effective risk management strategies. This announcement underscores Daiwa’s commitment to maintaining financial stability and could positively influence stakeholder confidence in its operational resilience.

Daiwa Securities Reports on Capital Adequacy and Leverage Ratios
Jul 30, 2025

Daiwa Securities Group Inc. has released a report detailing its consolidated capital adequacy and leverage ratios as of March 31, 2025, in compliance with regulatory requirements. The report provides insights into the company’s risk management strategies and financial soundness, which are crucial for stakeholders to assess the company’s stability and operational efficiency.

Daiwa Securities Reports Decline in FY 2025 Revenue Amid Market Challenges
Jul 30, 2025

Daiwa Securities Group reported a decline in operating revenue for FY 2025 compared to the previous year, with a notable decrease in profit attributable to owners of the parent. Despite this, the company has set a minimum dividend per share for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, to March 31, 2027, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns.

Daiwa Securities Completes Treasury Share Disposal for Stock Compensation
Jul 15, 2025

Daiwa Securities Group Inc. has completed the disposal of treasury shares as part of their restricted stock compensation plan, which was resolved in June 2025. The disposal involved a total of 2,119,400 common shares at a price of 970 JPY per share, allocated to directors and executive officers of the company and its subsidiaries, with a total value of approximately 2.06 billion JPY. This move is part of Daiwa’s strategy to incentivize and retain key personnel, potentially impacting the company’s operational dynamics and stakeholder interests.

Daiwa Securities Announces Progress in Share Repurchase Program
Jul 1, 2025

Daiwa Securities Group Inc. announced the status of its share repurchase program, which was resolved by the Board of Directors on April 28, 2025. During the period from June 1 to June 30, 2025, the company repurchased 10,500,000 shares of common stock for approximately JPY 10.36 billion. This move is part of a broader plan to repurchase up to 50 million shares by March 2026, reflecting the company’s strategy to enhance shareholder value and optimize its capital structure.

Daiwa Securities Announces Approval of Director Elections at Shareholders Meeting
Jun 23, 2025

Daiwa Securities Group Inc. announced the results of its 88th Ordinary General Meeting of Shareholders, where the election of fourteen directors was approved. All nominees received the required majority of votes, ensuring their positions on the board, which may influence the company’s strategic direction and governance.

Daiwa Securities Announces Disposal of Treasury Shares for Executive Compensation
Jun 20, 2025

Daiwa Securities Group Inc. announced the disposal of 2,119,400 treasury shares as part of its Restricted Stock Compensation Plan, aimed at aligning the interests of its executives and shareholders. This move is part of a strategic initiative to enhance long-term performance and includes performance-based compensation introduced in 2024.

Daiwa Securities Announces Share Repurchase Status
Jun 2, 2025

Daiwa Securities Group Inc. announced the status of its share repurchase program, which was resolved by the Board of Directors on April 28, 2025. The company repurchased 7.7 million shares of its common stock for approximately JPY 7.37 billion between May 16 and May 31, 2025, as part of a larger plan to repurchase up to 50 million shares by March 2026. This move is likely aimed at enhancing shareholder value and optimizing the company’s capital structure.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 29, 2025