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Sompo Holdings (JP:8630)
:8630

Sompo Holdings (8630) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8630

Sompo Holdings

(8630)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
¥7,041.00
▲(25.00% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:11/21/25
Sompo Holdings' strong financial performance, characterized by consistent revenue and profit growth, efficient operations, and robust cash flow generation, is the primary driver of its stock score. Technical analysis supports a positive outlook with bullish momentum, although valuation metrics suggest the stock is fairly valued. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events does not impact the score.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Generation
Sompo's operating cash flow consistently exceeding net income indicates strong cash conversion from core operations. This durable cash generation supports reinvestment, dividend capacity and reserve building, improving financial flexibility and resilience through insurance cycles over months.
Consistent Revenue and Margin Improvement
Repeated revenue growth and improving net margins reflect durable operational strength and pricing discipline across lines. Healthy EBIT/EBITDA margins signal efficient expense management, supporting sustainable underwriting and operating performance over the medium term.
Diversified Business Model
A multi-line, multi-geography business mixes underwriting and investment income, reducing reliance on any single product or market. This structural diversification smooths earnings, provides multiple growth levers and helps absorb localized shocks over a 2-6 month horizon.
Negative Factors
Reliance on Liabilities / Capital Structure
Sompo’s balance sheet shows manageable debt but an equity ratio that implies reliance on liabilities. In severe claim events or market stress, this leverage profile could pressure regulatory capital ratios and constrain capital allocation, requiring active liability and capital management.
Investment and FX Exposure
A material portion of earnings derives from investing the insurance float. Market volatility, rising credit spreads or adverse FX moves (from overseas operations) can materially erode investment income and realized gains, producing persistent earnings volatility and impacting solvency metrics.
Catastrophe and Underwriting Risk
P&C insurers face structural exposure to catastrophe events and reserve adequacy risk. While reinsurance limits peak losses, it increases expense and can compress underwriting margins. Rising frequency/severity of catastrophes or poor pricing cycles pose durable downside to underwriting profitability.

Sompo Holdings (8630) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Sompo Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSompo Holdings, Inc. provides property and casualty (P&C) insurance services in Japan and internationally. The company operates through Domestic P&C Insurance Business, Overseas Insurance Business, Domestic Life Insurance Business, and Nursing Care and Healthcare Business segments. It offers various P&C insurance products, including automobile, fire, personal accident, and marine, as well as security, risk management, assistance, and warranty services; and life insurance products. The company also provides nursing care and healthcare services; and customer security, health, and wellbeing support services. In addition, it offers asset management services; home remodeling services; health support services comprising health guidance and health counseling, and employee assistance programs; and wellness communication services. The company was formerly known as Sompo Japan Nipponkoa Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Sompo Holdings, Inc. in October 2016. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneySompo Holdings generates revenue primarily through its insurance premium income from both property and casualty as well as life insurance segments. The company collects premiums from policyholders, which are invested in various financial instruments to generate returns. Key revenue streams include premiums from automobile insurance, homeowners insurance, and corporate insurance solutions. In addition to underwriting income, the company earns investment income from its diversified portfolio of investments, which includes stocks, bonds, and real estate. Sompo also benefits from partnerships with other financial institutions and agencies, enhancing its distribution channels and expanding its customer base. The company's international operations further contribute to its earnings through global insurance products and services, leveraging cross-border expertise and market presence.

Sompo Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sompo Holdings demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue and profit growth, efficient operations, and solid cash flow generation. While the balance sheet indicates some reliance on liabilities, the company's ability to generate cash flow and profitability mitigates related risks.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Sompo Holdings has shown consistent revenue growth, with a notable increase from 2024 to 2025. The company maintains a strong gross profit margin, with the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) at 100% due to the nature of the insurance industry. The net profit margin has improved, reflecting better cost management and profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's balance sheet is stable with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio, demonstrating prudent financial leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is strong, highlighting effective use of equity capital. However, the equity ratio suggests a reliance on liabilities, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Sompo Holdings exhibits robust cash flow generation. Operating cash flow is consistently higher than net income, indicating strong cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, supporting the company's capability to reinvest and distribute dividends. While there was a slight decline in free cash flow growth in the most recent year, overall cash flow health remains solid.
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.29T5.38T5.35T4.34T4.13T3.80T
Gross Profit5.29T5.38T4.60T3.64T3.50T3.25T
EBITDA566.58B373.06B722.78B148.22B413.06B277.37B
Net Income241.69B243.13B529.65B26.41B224.84B142.48B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.87T15.89T14.83T14.46T13.79T13.12T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.001.03T1.23T1.25T1.17T1.07T
Total Debt780.60B691.20B1.29T614.42B539.74B992.99B
Total Liabilities11.52T11.66T11.96T11.43T11.75T11.09T
Stockholders Equity4.33T4.21T2.85T1.85T2.03T2.02T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00547.65B601.59B356.86B578.52B601.66B
Operating Cash Flow0.00573.01B634.29B381.00B600.02B626.20B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-272.24B-640.09B-257.38B-358.31B-373.72B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-481.66B-112.62B-92.36B-170.11B-94.50B

Sompo Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5633.00
Price Trends
50DMA
5630.12
Positive
100DMA
5226.78
Positive
200DMA
4828.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
148.52
Negative
RSI
75.04
Negative
STOCH
77.29
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8630, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5633 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5879.45, above the 50-day MA of 5630.12, and above the 200-day MA of 4828.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 148.52 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.04 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8630.

Sompo Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥5.76T24.892.82%11.37%27.90%
72
Outperform
¥6.43T9.0716.44%2.59%23.01%2.59%
72
Outperform
¥1.83T12.102.44%-21.38%58.05%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
¥5.93T13.1910.61%3.26%-8.02%5.21%
66
Neutral
¥12.42T11.8219.96%3.33%-2.10%-8.76%
61
Neutral
¥1.92T18.128.83%2.74%-1.96%10.32%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8630
Sompo Holdings
6,245.00
1,862.41
42.50%
JP:8750
Dai-ichi Life Holdings
1,611.00
522.86
48.05%
JP:8725
MS&AD Insurance Group Holdings
4,376.00
1,274.79
41.11%
JP:8795
T&D Holdings
4,214.00
1,117.98
36.11%
JP:8766
Tokio Marine Holdings
6,527.00
1,183.07
22.14%
JP:7181
JAPAN POST INSURANCE Co., Ltd.
5,102.00
2,231.40
77.73%

Sompo Holdings Corporate Events

Sompo Completes $3.5 Billion Acquisition of Aspen Insurance
Feb 24, 2026

Sompo Holdings has completed its acquisition of Aspen Insurance Holdings for approximately USD 3.5 billion through its subsidiary Sompo International, in a move that strengthens its global insurance platform and specialty lines capabilities. Aspen’s Class A ordinary shares will be delisted from the New York Stock Exchange, its preference shares will remain outstanding under existing terms, and Aspen’s results will be consolidated into Sompo’s financial statements from the fourth quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, with full contribution from the following fiscal year.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8630) stock is a Buy with a Yen6583.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sompo Holdings stock, see the JP:8630 Stock Forecast page.

Sompo Light Vortex to Turn Nousouken into Consolidated Subsidiary After Tender Offer
Feb 17, 2026

Sompo Holdings’ digital subsidiary Sompo Light Vortex has completed a tender offer for shares and share acquisition rights of Nousouken Corporation, which is listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Growth Market. The offer, launched in late December 2025 and concluded on February 16, 2026, is set to make Nousouken a consolidated subsidiary of both Sompo Holdings and Sompo Light Vortex.

Settlement of the transaction is scheduled for February 24, 2026, when the change in subsidiary status will formally take effect. The move signals an expansion of Sompo’s digital and growth-market footprint, potentially strengthening its capabilities in technology-driven services and enhancing group synergies with Nousouken under consolidated control.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8630) stock is a Buy with a Yen6652.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sompo Holdings stock, see the JP:8630 Stock Forecast page.

Sompo Holdings Overhauls Top Management to Bolster Transformation Strategy
Feb 13, 2026

Sompo Holdings has announced a broad reshuffle of its top management effective April 1, 2026, highlighted by the appointment of Katsuyuki Tajiri as Group CFO, Deputy President and Representative Executive Officer, and the reassignment of current Group CFO Masahiro Hamada to a Director role. The changes are intended to strengthen the group’s management structure and accelerate transformation across its insurance operations, with new appointments and role adjustments for senior executives overseeing risk management, IT, public relations, and overseas M&A likely to influence strategic direction and governance at both the holding company and key subsidiaries.

Additional senior management moves include shifting Group CRO duties from Yoshihiro Uotani to Koji Takahashi, who steps up from Sompo Japan Insurance, while Kayoko Sakai and Yoshiyasu Suzuki retain or expand key strategy and IT roles, respectively. Several executives, including Uotani and Hamada, are scheduled to retire from certain posts after the next shareholders’ meeting, signaling a generational refresh in leadership that may impact how Sompo balances domestic P&C, global expansion, and stakeholder communications going forward.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8630) stock is a Buy with a Yen6643.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sompo Holdings stock, see the JP:8630 Stock Forecast page.

Sompo Holdings Details Nine-Month Results and Issues FY2025 Earnings Outlook
Feb 13, 2026

Sompo Holdings released supplementary information on its consolidated financial results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, covering group-wide performance under IFRS and detailed results for key insurance subsidiaries. The materials outline operating results, balance sheets, income statements, solvency margin ratios and major business metrics across non-life, direct and life insurance units, providing investors with a comprehensive view of the group’s financial health.

The company also presented its consolidated earnings forecasts for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, giving guidance on expected performance and capital soundness. By disclosing granular data on premiums, claims, policies in force and adjusted consolidated profit, Sompo underscores its focus on transparency and regulatory solvency, which is central to assessing its risk profile and competitive standing in Japan’s insurance sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8630) stock is a Buy with a Yen6643.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sompo Holdings stock, see the JP:8630 Stock Forecast page.

Sompo Holdings Posts Sharp Profit Surge and Lifts Full-Year Outlook
Feb 13, 2026

Sompo Holdings reported strong consolidated results for the nine months ended Dec. 31, 2025, with insurance revenue rising 3.6% to ¥3.99 trillion and net income attributable to owners of the parent more than doubling to ¥518.4 billion. Basic earnings per share climbed to ¥564.40 from ¥257.07 a year earlier, while comprehensive income surged to ¥1.12 trillion, reflecting a sharp recovery from the prior period.

The group’s financial position also improved, with total assets expanding to ¥16.75 trillion and equity attributable to owners of the parent increasing to ¥5.01 trillion, lifting the equity ratio to 29.9%. Sompo kept its dividend forecast unchanged at an annual ¥150 per share and raised its full-year outlook, now projecting net income attributable to owners of the parent of ¥580 billion, up 138.6% year on year, underscoring robust capital strength and earnings momentum.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8630) stock is a Buy with a Yen6643.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sompo Holdings stock, see the JP:8630 Stock Forecast page.

Sompo Holdings Advances Share Buyback Program, Repurchasing ¥25.5 Billion in January
Feb 4, 2026

Sompo Holdings has reported the latest progress of its ongoing share buyback program authorized by its board in November 2025, repurchasing 4,624,900 common shares on the Tokyo Stock Exchange during January 2026 for a total of ¥25.48 billion. Cumulatively under this authorization through the end of January, the company has bought back 8,152,300 shares for approximately ¥43.53 billion, moving it more than halfway toward the upper limit of ¥77 billion and 24 million shares, a capital allocation move that is likely to support shareholder returns and potentially improve earnings per share by reducing the number of shares outstanding.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8630) stock is a Buy with a Yen6236.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sompo Holdings stock, see the JP:8630 Stock Forecast page.

Sompo Light Vortex Amends Tender Offer Filing for Nousouken After Regulatory Approval
Jan 28, 2026

Sompo Holdings and its subsidiary Sompo Light Vortex have announced amendments to their previously disclosed tender offer documentation relating to the planned acquisition of Nousouken Corporation, a company listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Growth Market. Following receipt on January 23, 2026 of regulatory approval under the Insurance Business Act to make Nousouken a subsidiary of Sompo Light Vortex, the tender offeror has filed an amended tender offer registration statement with the Kanto Local Finance Bureau and revised certain contents of the original tender offer announcement and public notice. The changes mainly concern disclosure items and the addition of the regulatory approval document as an attachment, and do not alter the core purchase terms of the tender offer, indicating that the transaction is progressing within the expected regulatory framework while maintaining the originally announced economic conditions for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8630) stock is a Buy with a Yen6236.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sompo Holdings stock, see the JP:8630 Stock Forecast page.

Sompo Holdings Reports December Progress on ¥77 Billion Share Buyback Program
Jan 7, 2026

Sompo Holdings has reported progress on its ongoing share buyback program authorized by its board in November 2025, repurchasing 3,527,400 shares of common stock for a total of ¥18.05 billion via open-market transactions on the Tokyo Stock Exchange during December 2025. The buyback is part of a larger authorization of up to 24 million shares or ¥77 billion through March 31, 2026, signaling continued emphasis on shareholder returns and capital efficiency, which may support earnings per share and equity valuation while modestly reducing the company’s free float.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8630) stock is a Buy with a Yen5587.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sompo Holdings stock, see the JP:8630 Stock Forecast page.

Sompo’s Digital Arm Moves to Take Nousouken Private via Tender Offer
Dec 26, 2025

Sompo Holdings has announced that its wholly owned digital subsidiary, Sompo Light Vortex, will launch a tender offer to acquire all outstanding common shares and share acquisition rights of Nousouken Corporation, which is listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Growth Market. The transaction is structured to ultimately make Sompo Light Vortex, together with Nousouken’s top executives and major shareholders Tomomasa Oikawa and Hiroshi Horiuchi, the sole shareholders of Nousouken and to take the company private, with tender commitments already secured from these key insiders. The move underlines Sompo’s strategy of deepening its digital technology footprint through Sompo Light Vortex and may strengthen its position in technology-enabled services, while giving Nousouken access to a larger corporate platform and more stable ownership to pursue longer-term growth initiatives outside the public markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8630) stock is a Buy with a Yen5587.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sompo Holdings stock, see the JP:8630 Stock Forecast page.

Sompo Holdings Reports Progress on Business Improvement Plans
Dec 15, 2025

Sompo Holdings and its subsidiary, Sompo Japan Insurance, have reported progress on their business improvement plans to the Financial Services Agency, following orders to address fraudulent insurance claims, premium adjustments, and customer data leaks. The company is committed to implementing these measures to regain stakeholder trust and transform its operations to be more customer-centric.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8630) stock is a Buy with a Yen5587.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sompo Holdings stock, see the JP:8630 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 21, 2025