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Matsui Securities Co Ltd (JP:8628)
:8628

Matsui Securities Co (8628) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8628

Matsui Securities Co

(8628)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,057.00
▲(23.63% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:10/30/25
Matsui Securities Co's overall stock score is driven primarily by its solid financial performance and attractive valuation. The company shows strong revenue growth and profitability, although cash flow volatility is a concern. The technical analysis suggests a lack of short-term momentum, but the valuation is compelling with a reasonable P/E ratio and high dividend yield. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events means these factors do not influence the score.
Positive Factors
Diversified retail brokerage model
Matsui's business mixes transaction fees, margin financing income and distribution fees via a digital retail platform. This diversified fee base cushions revenue against single-stream shocks and leverages scalable digital distribution, supporting durable cash generation and lower incremental costs.
Negative Factors
Cash flow volatility
Periodic negative operating cash flow and swings in free cash flow create liquidity uncertainty and can constrain investment or dividend policy. Over a multi-month horizon, inconsistent cash generation raises funding and operational risk, especially if markets soften and trading volumes decline.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified retail brokerage model
Matsui's business mixes transaction fees, margin financing income and distribution fees via a digital retail platform. This diversified fee base cushions revenue against single-stream shocks and leverages scalable digital distribution, supporting durable cash generation and lower incremental costs.
Read all positive factors

Matsui Securities Co (8628) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Matsui Securities Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Matsui Securities Co., Ltd. provides online securities brokerage services to retail investors in Japan. It offers brokerage services of stocks, futures, and options; services for underwriting, offering, and secondary distribution and solicitation ...
How the Company Makes Money
Matsui Securities primarily makes money by earning fees and financial income associated with operating a securities brokerage platform for retail customers. Key revenue streams generally include: (1) brokerage-related commissions and transaction f...

Matsui Securities Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Matsui Securities Co demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, backed by efficient operations. The balance sheet indicates financial stability but highlights potential risks due to high leverage. Cash flow management shows volatility, requiring focus on improving cash generation. Overall, the company is in a stable financial position but should address cash flow challenges to ensure long-term sustainability.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
65
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue46.80B39.20B36.84B31.09B33.21B32.08B
Gross Profit36.31B30.85B29.04B23.47B27.51B26.47B
EBITDA22.44B19.83B17.50B14.01B19.16B17.03B
Net Income13.09B10.50B9.79B7.82B11.44B10.28B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.28T1.12T1.17T976.03B879.39B961.79B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments100.60B105.70B104.47B79.33B57.30B620.96B
Total Debt268.40B313.93B281.81B489.66B175.38B217.36B
Total Liabilities1.21T1.05T1.10T899.67B800.67B882.58B
Stockholders Equity77.63B76.60B76.33B76.35B78.72B79.21B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-113.86B143.74B7.45B21.71B3.65B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-113.43B144.40B7.95B22.01B4.08B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-8.68B-8.82B-5.95B-33.00M-1.78B
Financing Cash Flow0.0053.20B8.62B41.92B-50.37B117.99B

Matsui Securities Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price855.00
Price Trends
50DMA
926.08
Positive
100DMA
869.90
Positive
200DMA
797.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
8.98
Positive
RSI
61.68
Neutral
STOCH
59.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8628, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 855 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 947.05, below the 50-day MA of 926.08, and above the 200-day MA of 797.34, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 8.98 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8628.

Matsui Securities Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
¥85.15B6.635.75%10.85%30.77%
80
Outperform
¥183.43B6.744.01%-2.39%-4.54%
76
Outperform
¥1.98T10.199.37%4.13%-0.87%6.88%
73
Outperform
¥3.49T10.4210.23%3.93%-2.45%35.60%
69
Neutral
¥248.06B12.1414.00%5.13%3.27%-1.81%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
43
Neutral
¥175.73B13.277.26%4.16%14.69%-114.36%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8628
Matsui Securities Co
965.00
215.19
28.70%
JP:8601
Daiwa
1,465.50
446.89
43.87%
JP:8698
Monex Group
696.00
-19.23
-2.69%
JP:8604
Nomura Holdings
1,213.50
278.98
29.85%
JP:8609
Okasan Securities Group Inc.
830.00
172.88
26.31%
JP:8707
IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc.
3,625.00
1,259.13
53.22%

Matsui Securities Co Corporate Events

Matsui Securities Posts Double-Digit Profit Growth and Hikes Interim Dividend
Feb 3, 2026
Matsui Securities reported strong non-consolidated results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with operating revenue rising 25.6% year on year to ¥37.3 billion and ordinary profit climbing 36.0% to ¥16.9 billion, while profit i...
Matsui Securities Posts Double-Digit Profit Growth for Nine Months to December 2025
Jan 28, 2026
Matsui Securities reported strong non-consolidated results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with operating revenue rising 25.6% year on year to ¥37.3 billion and net operating revenue up 23.4%. Operating profit climbed 32.3% to &#...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025