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Okasan Securities Group Inc. (JP:8609)
:8609
Japanese Market
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Okasan Securities Group Inc. (8609) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8609

Okasan Securities Group Inc.

(8609)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,026.00
▲(36.44% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/30/26
The score is driven by strong technical trend signals and attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). These positives are tempered by uneven financial quality, especially the multi-year history of negative operating cash flow and leverage volatility despite the latest-year earnings and cash flow rebound.
Positive Factors
Revenue & Earnings Rebound
A material revenue and net income rebound through 2026 indicates the core brokerage and capital markets businesses regained traction. Durable revenue expansion improves capacity to invest in sales, technology and product distribution, supporting longer-term earnings stability if market activity remains healthy.
Negative Factors
Historic Cash Generation Weakness
Multi-year negative operating cash flow prior to 2026 signals structural earnings quality issues tied to timing of trading gains, client flows or working capital. Such patterns raise questions about the repeatability of recent cash recovery and the firm's ability to fund operations without episodic external financing.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue & Earnings Rebound
A material revenue and net income rebound through 2026 indicates the core brokerage and capital markets businesses regained traction. Durable revenue expansion improves capacity to invest in sales, technology and product distribution, supporting longer-term earnings stability if market activity remains healthy.
Read all positive factors

Okasan Securities Group Inc. (8609) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Okasan Securities Group Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Okasan Securities Group Inc., a securities company, provides securities investment and asset management services for individual, institutional, and corporate clients in Japan and internationally. The company operates through Securities Business, A...
How the Company Makes Money
Okasan Securities Group Inc. makes money primarily through the earnings generated by its securities-related subsidiaries and then reflected at the holding-company level. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Brokerage commissions: fees earned...

Okasan Securities Group Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement momentum improved (revenue +31.6% YoY and net income up to 21.36B in 2026), but results have been volatile historically. Balance sheet equity has grown, yet leverage swung sharply (debt spike in 2025 then drop in 2026). Cash flow quality is the main drag, with negative operating cash flow in 2021–2025 before a strong rebound in 2026.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue77.50B101.97B79.87B82.52B64.89B72.56B
Gross Profit77.50B91.37B79.87B82.52B64.89B72.56B
EBITDA13.50B31.28B18.98B20.15B4.71B16.57B
Net Income10.06B21.36B11.65B13.17B529.00M10.07B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.37T1.40T1.38T1.21T876.06B816.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments557.58B604.27B51.50B514.07B91.71B90.06B
Total Debt156.55B136.33B685.80B166.09B177.05B165.12B
Total Liabilities1.17T1.17T1.17T993.63B690.42B626.71B
Stockholders Equity201.27B230.97B208.23B199.16B173.44B168.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0041.00B-24.21B-6.48B-8.85B-5.74B
Operating Cash Flow0.0043.33B-20.69B-4.76B-1.36B-4.20B
Investing Cash Flow0.0043.39B6.18B2.39B1.67B7.04B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-35.01B-18.50B-4.41B16.58B13.26B

Okasan Securities Group Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price752.00
Price Trends
50DMA
865.30
Positive
100DMA
799.20
Positive
200DMA
722.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
19.66
Negative
RSI
60.61
Neutral
STOCH
65.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8609, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 752 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 865.10, below the 50-day MA of 865.30, and above the 200-day MA of 722.44, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 19.66 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8609.

Okasan Securities Group Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
¥85.73B6.965.75%30.59%55.29%
70
Outperform
¥200.00B4.294.01%21.03%85.36%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
¥1.97T10.149.37%4.13%6.95%15.03%
65
Neutral
¥233.66B13.7714.00%5.13%34.33%47.34%
59
Neutral
¥3.51T11.8110.23%3.93%0.46%6.87%
43
Neutral
¥167.32B13.277.26%4.16%9.77%-52.42%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8609
Okasan Securities Group Inc.
905.00
288.36
46.76%
JP:8601
Daiwa
1,453.00
562.10
63.09%
JP:8698
Monex Group
668.00
4.59
0.69%
JP:8628
Matsui Securities Co
909.00
227.42
33.37%
JP:8604
Nomura Holdings
1,220.00
461.32
60.80%
JP:8707
IwaiCosmo Holdings, Inc.
3,650.00
1,733.59
90.46%

Okasan Securities Group Inc. Corporate Events

Okasan Securities Group Posts Record Profit on Strong Markets and Higher Rates
Apr 28, 2026
Okasan Securities Group reported a strong improvement in results for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, with operating revenue rising 16.7% year on year to 95.6 billion yen and profit attributable to owners of parent jumping 83.3% to 21.4 billi...
Okasan Securities Profit Jumps as Revenue Grows and Dividend Raised
Apr 28, 2026
Okasan Securities Group reported strong results for the year ended March 31, 2026, with operating revenue rising 16.7% to ¥95.6 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent surging 83.3% to ¥21.4 billion, reflecting improved profi...
Okasan Securities Shifts to Special Dividends and Hikes Payout for FY 2026
Mar 26, 2026
Okasan Securities Group Inc. has revised its shareholder return policy, shifting from a focus on share buybacks to cash distributions through special dividends of at least 10 billion yen annually from the fiscal year ending March 2026 to the fisca...
Okasan Securities Books ¥4.0 Billion Extraordinary Gain from Cross-Shareholding Sale
Mar 11, 2026
Okasan Securities Group Inc. has booked extraordinary income of 4,043 million yen from selling part of its cross-shareholdings in a listed stock between February and March 2026. The move is intended to reduce cross-shareholdings, improve the effic...
Okasan Securities Group Posts Strong Nine-Month Earnings and Strengthens Balance Sheet
Feb 6, 2026
Okasan Securities Group reported solid growth for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with operating revenue rising 11.4% year-on-year to ¥69.3 billion and net operating revenue up 9.5% to ¥66.7 billion. Operating profit climbed 25....
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 30, 2026