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Aiful Corporation (JP:8515)
:8515

Aiful Corporation (8515) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8515

Aiful Corporation

(8515)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
¥456.00
▼(-17.84% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is held back primarily by weak cash generation (negative operating and free cash flow) and meaningful leverage, despite solid profitability. Technical signals are also bearish with the stock trading below key moving averages and negative MACD. These risks are partially offset by an attractive valuation (low P/E) and a modest dividend.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained ~14% revenue growth indicates durable demand for consumer lending and successful customer acquisition. Over 2-6 months this supports credit book expansion and top-line stability, enabling reinvestment in distribution and technology to compound loan origination volumes.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Leverage near 3x+ equity materially reduces financial flexibility and amplifies risk from interest-rate moves or funding stress. Over months this tightens capital options for growth, raises refinancing needs, and increases vulnerability to deteriorating credit or higher funding costs.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained ~14% revenue growth indicates durable demand for consumer lending and successful customer acquisition. Over 2-6 months this supports credit book expansion and top-line stability, enabling reinvestment in distribution and technology to compound loan origination volumes.
Read all positive factors

Aiful Corporation (8515) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Aiful Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Aiful Corporation engages in consumer finance and credit guarantee business in Japan. It offers unsecured, secured, and small business loans; and credit card, prepaid card, credit guarantee, debt collection, venture capital, receiving agent, corpo...
How the Company Makes Money
Aiful primarily makes money by earning interest income on the unsecured consumer loans it extends to individual borrowers. When customers borrow, Aiful charges interest over the life of the loan, and this interest spread (interest revenue net of i...

Aiful Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement is solid (steady revenue growth and healthy margins), but the overall financial profile is constrained by high leverage (debt ~3.1–3.6x equity) and persistently negative operating and free cash flow (including TTM), increasing funding and credit-cycle risk.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
48
Neutral
Cash Flow
22
Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue208.25B182.34B155.68B136.66B124.60B121.08B
Gross Profit177.09B142.67B127.33B110.53B101.55B97.21B
EBITDA40.73B37.75B31.96B33.88B21.99B28.17B
Net Income30.11B22.52B21.82B22.34B12.33B18.44B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.61T1.45T1.27T1.07T935.64B863.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments58.09B60.61B56.92B43.25B46.76B40.95B
Total Debt848.94B789.62B664.90B561.24B476.69B457.64B
Total Liabilities1.37T1.23T1.06T890.89B779.12B715.66B
Stockholders Equity236.84B217.92B197.91B176.07B153.90B145.55B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-87.28B-101.06B-76.50B-71.58B-16.09B18.56B
Operating Cash Flow-68.65B-82.87B-74.21B-70.59B-15.63B20.28B
Investing Cash Flow-24.67B-35.10B-12.76B-8.95B-2.22B-9.27B
Financing Cash Flow93.42B119.82B100.93B78.19B21.03B-18.81B

Aiful Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price555.00
Price Trends
50DMA
520.54
Negative
100DMA
520.67
Negative
200DMA
486.66
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-17.37
Positive
RSI
35.68
Neutral
STOCH
9.52
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8515, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 555 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 480.00, above the 50-day MA of 520.54, and above the 200-day MA of 486.66, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -17.37 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.52 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:8515.

Aiful Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
¥631.90B7.049.13%2.79%20.96%22.58%
69
Neutral
¥730.67B10.937.97%3.48%6.65%-4.35%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
¥180.05B9.944.42%2.13%-25.62%
66
Neutral
¥332.82B14.653.46%3.04%10.31%-40.64%
61
Neutral
¥551.94B21.8311.30%3.66%8.02%19.35%
56
Neutral
¥220.08B6.8113.08%1.25%15.37%26.00%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8515
Aiful Corporation
455.00
93.35
25.81%
JP:8572
ACOM Co
473.60
89.28
23.23%
JP:8570
AEON Financial Service Co
1,570.00
249.95
18.93%
JP:8253
Credit Saison Co
4,159.00
502.13
13.73%
JP:8252
Marui Group Co
3,075.00
458.82
17.54%
JP:8584
Jaccs Co., Ltd.
4,110.00
229.09
5.90%

Aiful Corporation Corporate Events

Aiful Wins TSE Prime Approval for New Muninova Holdings Listing
Mar 2, 2026
Aiful Corporation will shift to a holding company structure, creating Muninova Holdings Inc., which has received approval for an initial technical listing on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Market. The new holding company, scheduled to be establish...
Aiful Posts Strong Profit Surge and Hikes Dividend as Group Expands
Feb 10, 2026
Aiful Corporation reported strong consolidated results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with operating revenue rising 13.7% year on year to ¥159.7 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent jumping 50.8% to ¥22.5 bil...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026