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Japan Securities Finance Co Ltd (JP:8511)
:8511
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Japan Securities Finance Co (8511) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8511

Japan Securities Finance Co

(8511)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,307.00
▲(13.98% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:05/15/26
The score is mainly held back by high leverage and recent negative operating/free cash flow, which increase funding and liquidity risk. These concerns are partly offset by strong revenue/profitability trends, a reasonable P/E with a solid dividend yield, and mildly positive technical momentum.
Positive Factors
Top-line Momentum
A sharp revenue increase in 2026 following steady growth demonstrates expanding core demand for securities financing services. Durable top-line momentum strengthens scale economics, underpins fee and interest income, and provides operating leverage potential across the business over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Extremely High Leverage
Debt-to-equity at roughly 81.7x signals an unusually high reliance on borrowed funding versus equity. Such structural leverage materially increases vulnerability to funding shocks, reduces the equity cushion against losses, and magnifies downside risk if markets tighten or asset values reprice.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Top-line Momentum
A sharp revenue increase in 2026 following steady growth demonstrates expanding core demand for securities financing services. Durable top-line momentum strengthens scale economics, underpins fee and interest income, and provides operating leverage potential across the business over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors

Japan Securities Finance Co (8511) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Japan Securities Finance Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Japan Securities Finance Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in securities finance, trust banking, and real estate leasing businesses in Japan. The company offers loans for margin transactions comprising funds loans and stock loans;...
How the Company Makes Money
JSF’s earnings are primarily driven by securities financing intermediation, where it provides funding and securities to market participants (notably securities firms) and earns spread-based income. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) intere...

Japan Securities Finance Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement strength (Score 82) shows strong revenue and solid profitability, but the balance sheet is extremely leveraged (Score 34; debt-to-equity ~81.7x in 2025) and recent cash generation is weak (Cash Flow Score 21; operating and free cash flow negative in 2025–2026), elevating liquidity/refinancing risk.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Cash Flow
21
Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue71.62B110.46B60.15B50.27B42.52B30.12B
Gross Profit62.05B96.31B50.17B30.04B27.70B18.37B
EBITDA51.80B88.51B42.01B21.64B16.00B12.70B
Net Income9.36B10.61B10.38B8.03B5.97B5.17B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.06T15.52T13.77T13.74T14.06T14.17T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.04T7.07T5.85T1.98T1.67T1.41T
Total Debt12.37T11.99T10.97T3.75T8.62T9.17T
Total Liabilities14.93T15.38T13.64T13.60T13.92T14.03T
Stockholders Equity131.80B137.49B134.35B144.61B135.73B138.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-360.29B-517.57B383.27B302.91B-123.10B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-360.18B-517.48B383.41B303.55B-122.30B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-403.00M1.75B4.58B3.45B4.91B
Financing Cash Flow0.001.02T-672.60B-6.62B-5.79B-5.09B

Japan Securities Finance Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2024.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2188.23
Positive
100DMA
2145.41
Positive
200DMA
1968.18
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
24.41
Negative
RSI
64.97
Neutral
STOCH
86.26
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8511, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2024 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2221.35, below the 50-day MA of 2188.23, and above the 200-day MA of 1968.18, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 24.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.26 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8511.

Japan Securities Finance Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
¥6.31T11.4910.32%3.30%15.72%30.16%
75
Outperform
¥422.94B12.8914.42%4.80%3.10%2.91%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
62
Neutral
¥1.92T12.408.92%3.20%5.96%19.95%
61
Neutral
¥380.43B8.173.65%32.52%9.94%
60
Neutral
¥183.32B15.936.77%3.66%83.65%4.34%
52
Neutral
¥188.03B13.993.30%8.46%-18.12%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8511
Japan Securities Finance Co
2,297.00
716.11
45.30%
JP:8593
Mitsubishi UFJ Lease & Finance Company
1,340.50
345.15
34.68%
JP:8591
ORIX
6,052.00
3,173.71
110.26%
JP:7164
Zenkoku Hosho Co
3,074.00
50.76
1.68%
JP:8425
Mizuho Leasing Company, Limited
1,355.00
339.78
33.47%
JP:8566
Ricoh Leasing Company,Ltd.
6,100.00
1,086.24
21.67%

Japan Securities Finance Co Corporate Events

Japan Securities Finance Exceeds Profit Targets and Highlights Capital-Efficient Management
May 14, 2026
Japan Securities Finance reported that under its long-term vision and Seventh Medium-Term Management Plan through FY2025, it has successfully diversified revenue sources and strengthened governance while supporting Japan’s securities market ...
Japan Securities Finance to Use Treasury Shares for New Employee Stock Incentive Plan
May 14, 2026
Japan Securities Finance will dispose of up to 57,800 shares of its treasury stock via a third-party allotment to its Employee Shareholding Association, with a planned disposal price of ¥2,240 per share and total value of about ¥129 mill...
Japan Securities Finance Launches Share Buyback of Up to ¥3.4 Billion
May 14, 2026
Japan Securities Finance will implement a new share repurchase program under its board-approved capital policy, aligned with its commitment to return cash to shareholders while targeting an 8% return on equity. The firm plans to buy back up to 1.8...
Japan Securities Finance Boosts Revenues, Cash Position and Dividends on Steady Earnings Growth Outlook
May 14, 2026
Japan Securities Finance reported a sharp 92% rise in operating revenues to ¥114.2 billion for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, with operating profit up 23.7% to ¥14.0 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent edging 2.3% ...
Japan Securities Finance Completes ¥3.4 Billion Share Buyback Program
Mar 25, 2026
Japan Securities Finance Co. has completed a share repurchase program authorized by its board, buying back 224,100 common shares on the Tokyo Stock Exchange between March 1 and March 24, 2026 for a total of ¥490,215,100. This latest tranche b...
Japan Securities Finance Nears Upper Limit of Share Buyback Program
Mar 3, 2026
Japan Securities Finance has reported the latest progress of its ongoing share repurchase program authorized under the Companies Act, detailing common stock purchases conducted on the Tokyo Stock Exchange during February 2026. From February 1 to 2...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 15, 2026