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Japan Securities Finance Co Ltd (JP:8511)
:8511

Japan Securities Finance Co (8511) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8511

Japan Securities Finance Co

(8511)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,585.00
▲(27.72% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/26/26
The score is driven primarily by improved revenue/profitability and strong trend strength (price above major moving averages with positive MACD). Offsetting this are meaningful risks from high leverage and volatile/negative recent free cash flow, with overbought momentum signals and a mid-range valuation keeping the overall score in the low-70s.
Positive Factors
Revenue and profit improvement
The company shows large recent revenue growth and materially improved gross and EBIT/EBITDA margins, indicating expanding core volumes and better operational efficiency. Those trends support sustainably higher earnings capacity over the medium term if volumes remain healthy.
Negative Factors
High leverage and low equity ratio
Elevated leverage and a low equity ratio weaken financial flexibility and raise solvency risk if market stress or margin calls increase. High debt levels amplify interest-rate and refinancing exposure and can constrain the company's ability to expand or absorb shocks over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue and profit improvement
The company shows large recent revenue growth and materially improved gross and EBIT/EBITDA margins, indicating expanding core volumes and better operational efficiency. Those trends support sustainably higher earnings capacity over the medium term if volumes remain healthy.
Read all positive factors

Japan Securities Finance Co (8511) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Japan Securities Finance Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Japan Securities Finance Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in securities finance, trust banking, and real estate leasing businesses in Japan. The company offers loans for margin transactions comprising funds loans and stock loans;...
How the Company Makes Money
Japan Securities Finance generates revenue primarily through interest income from margin loans provided to investors and brokerage firms, as well as fees from securities lending transactions. The company charges interest on the loans it extends, w...

Japan Securities Finance Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue and profitability improvement with robust EBIT/EBITDA margins, but elevated leverage (high debt-to-equity, low equity ratio) and inconsistent/negative recent free cash flow increase financial risk.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
68
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue71.62B60.15B50.27B42.52B30.12B30.88B
Gross Profit62.05B50.17B30.04B27.70B18.37B15.59B
EBITDA51.80B42.01B21.64B16.00B12.70B10.59B
Net Income9.36B10.38B8.03B5.97B5.17B3.97B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.06T13.77T13.74T14.06T14.17T12.14T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.04T5.85T1.98T1.67T1.41T1.42T
Total Debt12.37T10.97T3.75T8.62T9.17T7.80T
Total Liabilities14.93T13.64T13.60T13.92T14.03T12.00T
Stockholders Equity131.80B134.35B144.61B135.73B138.00B135.17B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-517.57B383.27B302.91B-123.10B163.87B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-517.48B383.41B303.55B-122.30B164.46B
Investing Cash Flow0.001.75B4.58B3.45B4.91B2.23B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-672.60B-6.62B-5.79B-5.09B-2.03B

Japan Securities Finance Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2024.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2197.56
Negative
100DMA
2068.52
Positive
200DMA
1923.06
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-23.64
Positive
RSI
42.45
Neutral
STOCH
11.83
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8511, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2024 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2206.45, below the 50-day MA of 2197.56, and above the 200-day MA of 1923.06, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -23.64 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.83 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:8511.

Japan Securities Finance Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
¥404.58B8.493.65%21.22%-2.77%
72
Outperform
¥173.50B13.866.77%3.66%54.96%-0.61%
72
Outperform
¥2.08T10.198.92%3.20%3.42%22.06%
71
Outperform
¥5.01T10.6610.32%3.30%6.21%11.62%
69
Neutral
¥441.24B16.3514.42%4.80%10.39%12.77%
68
Neutral
¥189.57B11.643.30%7.36%-3.80%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8511
Japan Securities Finance Co
2,174.00
389.50
21.83%
JP:8593
Mitsubishi UFJ Lease & Finance Company
1,448.00
439.86
43.63%
JP:8591
ORIX
4,807.00
1,680.32
53.74%
JP:7164
Zenkoku Hosho Co
3,207.00
326.01
11.32%
JP:8425
Mizuho Leasing Company, Limited
1,441.00
416.48
40.65%
JP:8566
Ricoh Leasing Company,Ltd.
6,150.00
867.01
16.41%

Japan Securities Finance Co Corporate Events

Japan Securities Finance Raises FY2026 Dividend Forecast After Upgrading Earnings Outlook
Feb 12, 2026
Japan Securities Finance Co., Ltd. has revised its dividend forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, following an upward revision to its consolidated full-year earnings outlook. The company now plans a year-end dividend of ¥46 per ...
Japan Securities Finance Sets New Director Slate and Leadership Shift for 2026
Feb 12, 2026
Japan Securities Finance has announced a slate of director candidates to be voted on at its 116th Ordinary General Meeting of Shareholders scheduled for late June 2026, following deliberations by its Nominating Committee based on a board skills ma...
Japan Securities Finance Expands Share Buyback After Upgrading Earnings Outlook
Feb 12, 2026
Japan Securities Finance has expanded its ongoing share repurchase limit after upgrading its consolidated full-year earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026. The board approved an increase in the maximum buyback to 2 million sha...
Japan Securities Finance Lifts FY2026 Profit Forecast on Strong Margin Lending
Feb 12, 2026
Japan Securities Finance has raised its consolidated full-year forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, reflecting stronger-than-expected performance in its core securities financing business. The company now projects operating profit o...
Japan Securities Finance Doubles Revenue and Lifts Full-Year Profit, Dividend Outlook
Feb 12, 2026
Japan Securities Finance reported consolidated operating revenues of ¥79.15 billion for the third quarter of fiscal 2025, nearly doubling year on year, with operating and ordinary profits rising around 10%. Profit attributable to owners of th...
Japan Securities Finance Nears Completion of Share Buyback Program
Feb 3, 2026
Japan Securities Finance Co., Ltd. has disclosed the latest progress of its ongoing share buyback program authorized under Japan’s Companies Act, as part of its capital management strategy. The company repurchased 145,100 of its own shares o...
Japan Securities Finance Names New CEO and Co-CEO in Planned Leadership Transition
Jan 22, 2026
Japan Securities Finance Co., Ltd. has announced a leadership reshuffle effective April 1, 2026, appointing Senior Managing Executive Officers Morikuni Shimoyamada and Yutaka Okada as Representative Executive Officer CEO and Representative Execut...
Japan Securities Finance Reports Progress on Ongoing Share Buyback Program
Jan 6, 2026
Japan Securities Finance has disclosed the latest status of its ongoing share repurchase program, confirming that it bought back 140,000 of its own common shares on the Tokyo Stock Exchange between December 1 and December 31, 2025, for a total of ...
Japan Securities Finance to Cancel 5 Million Treasury Shares
Dec 18, 2025
Japan Securities Finance Co., Ltd. announced its decision to cancel 5,000,000 shares of its treasury stock, equivalent to 5.7% of the total outstanding shares before the cancellation. This move, set to be completed by February 20, 2026, reduces th...
Japan Securities Finance Announces Share Repurchase Progress
Dec 2, 2025
Japan Securities Finance Co., Ltd. announced the status of its share repurchase program, revealing that it has repurchased 159,300 shares at a total price of 291,094,200 yen between November 1 and November 30, 2025. This repurchase is part of a br...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 26, 2026