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Totenko Co., Ltd. (JP:8181)
:8181
Japanese Market

Totenko Co., Ltd. (8181) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8181

Totenko Co., Ltd.

(8181)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,126.00
▼(-0.27% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:11/13/25
Totenko Co., Ltd. demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and profitability, supported by robust cash flow generation. The stock's technical indicators show a positive trend, and its valuation metrics suggest it is undervalued. These factors contribute to a favorable overall stock score.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow generation
Sustained FCF growth (28.9%) indicates the business converts profits into cash reliably. Durable cash generation supports reinvestment, debt reduction, dividends or store expansion without needing frequent external financing, strengthening strategic optionality over months to years.
Improved and healthy margins
Marked margin recovery across gross, EBIT and EBITDA reflects structural cost controls and pricing power. Higher margins increase resilience to input cost shocks and support sustainable profitability, improving free cash flow and ability to fund long‑term strategic initiatives.
Balance-sheet resilience
A strong equity ratio and moderate leverage provide financial flexibility and lower default risk. Combined with improving ROE, this balance-sheet posture supports capital deployment or cushioning during downturns, enabling steady execution of strategic plans over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Very slow revenue growth
Revenue expansion is essentially flat despite margin gains, indicating limited top‑line momentum. Over 2–6 months this constrained growth can cap scalability, restrict operating leverage benefits, and leave the company vulnerable to share loss versus faster‑growing competitors.
Earnings per share weakness
Negative EPS growth signals that per‑share profitability has not stabilized despite improved margins and cash flow. Persistent EPS declines can constrain internal funding, reduce strategic flexibility, and signal lingering operational or capital structure issues that may persist months ahead.
Industry cyclicality and margin pressure risk
Operating in the restaurants sector exposes the company to consumer spending cycles, labor and input‑cost inflation, and discretionary demand swings. These structural industry pressures can erode margins or revenue durability, challenging sustained improvement absent diversification or scale gains.

Totenko Co., Ltd. (8181) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Totenko Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTotenko Co., Ltd. (8181) is a Japanese company specializing in the development and manufacturing of advanced electronic components and systems. The company operates primarily in the electronics sector, focusing on products such as semiconductors, circuit boards, and other related technologies. Totenko aims to provide innovative solutions for various industries, including telecommunications, automotive, and consumer electronics, enhancing performance and reliability in electronic devices.

Totenko Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Totenko Co., Ltd. has shown a commendable turnaround in its financial performance with significant revenue growth, improved profit margins, and strong cash flow generation. The balance sheet is stable with reasonable leverage and a strong equity base.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Totenko Co., Ltd. has demonstrated a strong recovery in its financial performance. The company reported a significant revenue growth rate of 0.67% in 2025 compared to 2024, recovering from prior years of declining revenue. Gross profit margin improved as well, reaching 55.38% in 2025. The net profit margin also turned positive at 9.13%, indicating profitability after multiple years of losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins improved to 10.40% and 15.86%, respectively, showing effective cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet displays moderate strength with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.45 in 2025, indicating a reasonable level of leverage. Return on equity (ROE) improved to 6.43%, reflecting better utilization of shareholder funds compared to previous losses. The equity ratio stands at 61.38%, signifying a strong equity position relative to total assets, which supports financial stability. Despite improvements, potential risks include the company's ability to maintain this performance trend.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow metrics reflect strong cash generation capabilities. Operating cash flow to net income ratio improved, indicating efficient conversion of profits into cash. The free cash flow growth rate was robust at 28.88%, driven by improved operational performance and disciplined capital expenditure. The free cash flow to net income ratio suggests strong cash generation relative to reported profits, providing a solid base for future investments or debt reduction.
BreakdownTTMFeb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022Feb 2021Feb 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.51B4.71B4.68B3.70B2.00B1.61B
Gross Profit2.63B2.61B2.61B1.71B705.84M331.11M
EBITDA440.99M759.59M664.17M-326.57M-694.96M-1.29B
Net Income-515.04M430.07M-134.75M-828.40M-946.93M-1.94B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.49B10.90B10.51B10.76B11.22B12.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.02B1.66B1.22B727.28M549.52M609.23M
Total Debt3.22B3.02B3.19B3.24B2.72B2.54B
Total Liabilities4.44B4.21B4.31B4.44B4.09B4.11B
Stockholders Equity6.04B6.69B6.21B6.32B7.12B8.07B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00633.90M491.61M-253.50M-501.41M-1.42B
Operating Cash Flow0.00726.77M522.76M-252.47M-497.44M-1.33B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-111.66M18.60M-87.35M260.23M-178.78M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-177.53M-47.28M517.58M177.50M1.48B

Totenko Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1129.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1079.92
Negative
100DMA
1097.04
Negative
200DMA
1038.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-25.75
Positive
RSI
32.99
Neutral
STOCH
23.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8181, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1129 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1044.42, above the 50-day MA of 1079.92, and above the 200-day MA of 1038.06, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -25.75 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:8181.

Totenko Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
¥2.58B4.681.33%5.03%129.14%
72
Outperform
¥3.69B11.396.16%86.76%
67
Neutral
¥2.87B25.951.59%11.33%-21.04%
63
Neutral
¥4.26B12.533.85%-59.79%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
52
Neutral
¥4.09B26.171.99%-0.91%
51
Neutral
¥4.17B6.85-2.70%98.30%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8181
Totenko Co., Ltd.
1,003.00
133.80
15.39%
JP:138A
Hikari Food Service Co. Ltd.
2,897.00
736.22
34.07%
JP:3067
Tokyo Ichiban Foods Co., Ltd.
466.00
-7.00
-1.48%
JP:3077
Horiifoodservice Co., Ltd.
533.00
199.00
59.58%
JP:3358
Y.S. FOOD CO., LTD.
115.00
26.00
29.21%
JP:9969
Shokubun Co., Ltd.
265.00
4.60
1.77%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2025