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Totenko Co., Ltd.
(8181)
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Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,185.00
▲(4.96% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:04/15/26
The score is driven primarily by a credible financial turnaround (profits and positive cash flow sustained over recent years, and materially lower leverage in 2026) and very attractive valuation (low P/E with a solid dividend). Technical indicators are mixed, with neutral-to-positive price positioning but a slightly negative MACD and elevated Stoch limiting near-term technical conviction.
Positive Factors
Sustained positive cash flow
The company generated positive operating and free cash flow for three straight years (2024–2026), reversing prior cash deficits. Durable cash generation supports reinvestment, dividend coverage, and ongoing deleveraging, improving operational resilience and funding optionality over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Historic earnings volatility
The company experienced severe profit volatility, with heavy losses through 2021–2023 before the recent recovery. Such swings signal operational or demand sensitivity and raise the risk that earnings and cash flow could revert under stress, complicating forecasting and long-term planning.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Sustained positive cash flow
The company generated positive operating and free cash flow for three straight years (2024–2026), reversing prior cash deficits. Durable cash generation supports reinvestment, dividend coverage, and ongoing deleveraging, improving operational resilience and funding optionality over the medium term.
Read all positive factors
Totenko Co., Ltd. (8181) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥2.70B
Dividend Yield1.33%
Average Volume (3M)2.06K
Price to Earnings (P/E)4.4
Beta (1Y)0.29
Revenue Growth2.06%
EPS Growth43.78%
CountryJP
Employees314
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryRestaurants
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-200.53
Shares Outstanding2,572,871
10 Day Avg. Volume2,530
30 Day Avg. Volume2,060
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.10
Price to Book (P/B)0.38
Price to Sales (P/S)0.58
P/FCF Ratio5.82
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Totenko Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Totenko Co., Ltd. is a Japanese hospitality firm primarily involved in the operation of restaurants and event spaces across the country. They cater to a variety of functions, supplying food and beverages for special occasions such as weddings and ...
How the Company Makes Money
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Totenko Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
75
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Feb 2025 | Feb 2024 | Feb 2023 | Feb 2022 | Feb 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.51B | 4.81B | 4.71B | 4.68B | 3.70B | 2.00B |
| Gross Profit | 2.63B | 2.66B | 2.61B | 2.61B | 1.71B | 705.84M |
| EBITDA | -260.78M | 810.82M | 746.76M | 111.01M | -507.46M | -592.50M |
| Net Income | -515.04M | 618.34M | 430.07M | -134.75M | -828.40M | -946.93M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 10.49B | 11.29B | 10.90B | 10.51B | 10.76B | 11.22B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.02B | 1.87B | 1.66B | 1.22B | 727.28M | 549.52M |
| Total Debt | 3.22B | 2.79B | 3.02B | 3.19B | 3.24B | 2.72B |
| Total Liabilities | 4.44B | 3.90B | 4.21B | 4.31B | 4.44B | 4.09B |
| Stockholders Equity | 6.04B | 7.39B | 6.69B | 6.21B | 6.32B | 7.12B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 480.39M | 633.90M | 491.61M | -253.50M | -501.41M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 627.13M | 726.77M | 522.76M | -252.47M | -497.44M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -150.23M | -111.66M | 18.60M | -87.35M | 260.23M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -262.05M | -177.53M | -47.28M | 517.58M | 177.50M |
Totenko Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Positive
1129.00
Price Trends
1010.50
Positive
1023.45
Positive
1070.61
Negative
Market Momentum
8.34
Negative
63.29
Neutral
67.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8181, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1129 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1032.75, above the 50-day MA of 1010.50, and above the 200-day MA of 1070.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 8.34 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8181.
Totenko Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 Outperform | ¥2.70B | 4.37 | ― | 1.33% | 2.06% | 43.78% | |
62 Neutral | ¥5.73B | 16.95 | ― | ― | ― | ― | |
60 Neutral | ¥3.03B | 23.39 | ― | 1.59% | 13.18% | 51.15% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% | |
54 Neutral | ¥4.04B | 51.36 | ― | ― | -3.67% | ― | |
48 Neutral | ¥3.65B | 54.14 | ― | ― | 25.09% | 203.78% | |
45 Neutral | ¥3.69B | -113.27 | ― | 1.99% | -0.86% | 53.59% |
* General Sector Average
JP:8181
Totenko Co., Ltd.
1,038.00
141.17
15.74%
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-3.52%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.