Toyota Tsusho (8015) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $4.98T
• Dividend Yield: 2.49%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.94M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 13.5
• Beta (1Y): 1.44
• Revenue Growth: 5.32%
• EPS Growth: 9.73%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 69,517
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Conglomerates
• EPS (TTM): 83.90
• Shares Outstanding: 1,062,169,600
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,116,040
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,943,730
• PEG Ratio: 0.85
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.07
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.26
• P/FCF Ratio: 7.17
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.94
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.46
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 4.36
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 7.11
• 1Y Price Target: $5,265.92
• Price Target Upside: 10.63% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 78 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥5,575.00 ▲(17.12% Upside)

Toyota Tsusho's stock is supported by strong financial performance and bullish technical indicators, despite a decline in free cash flow growth. The valuation is reasonable, making it an attractive investment, though caution is advised due to overbought technical signals.

Toyota Tsusho Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Toyota Tsusho Corporation engages in the metals, parts and logistics, automotive, machinery, energy and project, chemicals and electronics, and food and consumer services businesses worldwide. The company manufactures steel products, steel construction materials, non-ferrous metal ingots, precious metals, aluminum products, copper and ferro-alloy products, waste catalysts, pig iron, and rare earth resources and metals; and iron, steel, and nonferrous metals scraps, as well as recycles vehicles and auto parts. It also offers component parts for automotives; runs logistics, and tire and wheel assembly business; and sells passenger, commercial, and light vehicles, as well as motorcycles, trucks, buses, and automotive parts. In addition, the company is sells machine tools; medical and environmental equipment; develops and operates infrastructure projects; sells fuels, including LPG and biodiesel; and construction, industrial, and textile machinery, as well as engages in water treatment, infrastructure projects, and energy and electric power supply businesses. Further, it offers semiconductors, plastics and rubber products, modular products, batteries and electronic materials, electronic equipment, specialty and inorganic chemicals, fat and oil products, chemical additives, and pharmaceuticals and pharmaceutical ingredients; PCs, and PC peripherals and software; intelligent transport systems; automotive embedded software development; network integration and support services; property, casualty, and life insurance; and securities brokerage services. Additionally, the company manufactures agricultural, marine, and livestock products; feed and oilseeds; grains, processed foods, and food ingredients; and alcoholic beverages. It also sells textile products, construction and housing materials, apparel, and furniture; develops nursing care facilities; and operates general hospitals and hotels. The company was incorporated in 1948 and is headquartered in Nagoya, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Toyota Tsusho generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by acting as a trading company that facilitates the import and export of goods, particularly in the automotive sector where it leverages its affiliation with Toyota Motor Corporation. Key revenue streams include the sale of automotive parts and materials, machinery, and industrial equipment, as well as commodity trading in sectors such as metals and chemicals. Additionally, the company earns income through logistics and supply chain management services, financial services, and investments in joint ventures and subsidiaries. Strategic partnerships with various manufacturers and suppliers further enhance its revenue potential by allowing access to new markets and technologies.

Toyota Tsusho Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Toyota Tsusho demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by efficient operations and a stable balance sheet. However, the decline in free cash flow growth is a potential risk. Continued focus on cash flow management and debt reduction could enhance financial stability.

Income Statement

Toyota Tsusho's income statement shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 50.8%. The company maintains healthy margins, with a gross profit margin of 10.87% and a net profit margin of 3.52%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also solid at 5.09% and 6.57%, respectively. These metrics indicate robust profitability and operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.71, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity is strong at 14.05%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio of 37.86% suggests a balanced capital structure, though there is room for improvement in reducing debt levels.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 12.84% TTM, which is a concern. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.20, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.65, indicating good cash conversion. The company needs to focus on improving free cash flow generation.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	10.19T	10.19T	9.85T	8.03T	6.31T	6.69T
Gross Profit	1.07T	992.39B	909.18B	706.71B	554.88B	585.50B
EBITDA	657.55B	652.28B	572.14B	449.74B	346.43B	364.80B
Net Income	334.56B	331.44B	284.16B	222.24B	134.60B	135.55B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	7.34T	7.06T	6.38T	6.14T	5.23T	4.55T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	856.98B	878.71B	771.61B	653.01B	677.48B	496.37B
Total Debt	2.06T	2.13T	2.15T	1.97T	1.75T	1.63T
Total Liabilities	4.61T	4.44T	4.31T	4.20T	3.57T	3.17T
Stockholders Equity	2.58T	2.47T	1.91T	1.74T	1.47T	1.20T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	360.42B	367.09B	283.31B	-85.63B	120.73B	164.00B
Operating Cash Flow	529.34B	542.13B	444.29B	50.14B	245.06B	267.81B
Investing Cash Flow	-178.62B	-222.92B	-329.20B	-157.30B	-104.37B	-193.47B
Financing Cash Flow	-357.63B	-259.92B	-17.39B	44.87B	26.27B	-34.12B

Toyota Tsusho Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 4760.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8015, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4760 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4725.60, above the 50-day MA of 4399.56, and above the 200-day MA of 3305.27, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 134.26 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.39 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8015.

Toyota Tsusho Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
8015	78 Outperform	$4.98T	13.48	13.49%	2.49%	5.32%	9.73%
8053	78 Outperform	¥5.66T	9.29	12.86%	2.90%	3.19%	72.26%
8002	76 Outperform	$6.43T	11.13	15.34%	2.50%	9.62%	25.71%
8031	74 Outperform	$10.72T	13.36	11.47%	2.80%	-1.33%	-7.40%
8058	73 Outperform	$13.61T	20.46	7.39%	2.69%	-7.54%	-35.70%
8001	70 Outperform	$12.91T	13.34	15.80%	2.23%	0.93%	15.80%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%

Toyota Tsusho Corporate Events

Toyota Tsusho Revises Earnings Forecast and Increases Dividends

Toyota Tsusho has revised its consolidated earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, due to better-than-expected financial results in the second quarter, largely driven by the weak Japanese yen against the US dollar. The company has also announced an increase in both interim and year-end dividends, reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns and a target payout ratio of 40% or more, including share repurchases.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8015) stock is a Buy with a Yen4930.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyota Tsusho stock, see the JP:8015 Stock Forecast page.

Toyota Tsusho Reports Revenue Growth and Dividend Forecast Revisions

Toyota Tsusho reported a 6.9% increase in revenue for the six months ending September 30, 2025, with operating profit rising by 5.3%. The company revised its dividend forecasts, indicating a positive outlook despite a slight decrease in the full-year profit forecast. These results reflect Toyota Tsusho’s robust performance and strategic adjustments in response to market conditions, potentially impacting stakeholder confidence and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8015) stock is a Buy with a Yen4930.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyota Tsusho stock, see the JP:8015 Stock Forecast page.

Toyota Tsusho Expands African Mobility Business with Increased Investment in Ghana Subsidiary

Toyota Tsusho Corporation has announced an additional capital contribution to its subsidiary, Toyota Tsusho Manufacturing Ghana Co. Limited (TTMG), making it a specified subsidiary. This move, involving a USD 55 million investment, aims to expand its mobility business in Ghana, leveraging CFAO’s network in Africa. The impact on Toyota Tsusho’s financial performance for the fiscal year ending March 2026 is expected to be negligible.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8015) stock is a Buy with a Yen4930.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyota Tsusho stock, see the JP:8015 Stock Forecast page.

Toyota Tsusho Plans Share Repurchase Following Toyota Industries Tender Offer

Toyota Tsusho Corporation has announced its intention to commence a tender offer for its own shares following the successful completion of a related tender offer for Toyota Industries Corporation by Toyota Fudosan. The process involves various regulatory procedures and is expected to begin in or after March 2026, impacting Toyota Tsusho’s share repurchase strategy and potentially influencing its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8015) stock is a Buy with a Yen4527.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyota Tsusho stock, see the JP:8015 Stock Forecast page.

Toyota Tsusho Expands Renewable Energy Footprint in Africa

Toyota Tsusho Corporation has announced an additional capital contribution to its subsidiary AEOLUS SAS, which will now become a specified subsidiary. This move aims to accelerate renewable energy projects in Africa by leveraging CFAO’s business network and Eurus Energy’s expertise. The capital increase to EUR 50.2 million will enhance AEOLUS’s capacity to develop solar and wind power projects across the continent. The financial impact on Toyota Tsusho for the fiscal year ending March 2026 is expected to be negligible.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8015) stock is a Buy with a Yen4527.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyota Tsusho stock, see the JP:8015 Stock Forecast page.