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Toyota Tsusho Corp. (JP:8015)
:8015
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Toyota Tsusho (8015) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8015

Toyota Tsusho

(OTC:8015)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
¥3,766.00
▼(-1.65% Downside)
Toyota Tsusho's stock is strong, primarily driven by its robust financial performance and attractive valuation. The technical analysis indicates bullish momentum, though caution is advised due to possible overbought conditions. The absence of recent earnings call data and corporate events does not impact the score.

Toyota Tsusho (8015) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Toyota Tsusho Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionToyota Tsusho Corporation engages in the metals, parts and logistics, automotive, machinery, energy and project, chemicals and electronics, and food and consumer services businesses worldwide. The company manufactures steel products, steel construction materials, non-ferrous metal ingots, precious metals, aluminum products, copper and ferro-alloy products, waste catalysts, pig iron, and rare earth resources and metals; and iron, steel, and nonferrous metals scraps, as well as recycles vehicles and auto parts. It also offers component parts for automotives; runs logistics, and tire and wheel assembly business; and sells passenger, commercial, and light vehicles, as well as motorcycles, trucks, buses, and automotive parts. In addition, the company is sells machine tools; medical and environmental equipment; develops and operates infrastructure projects; sells fuels, including LPG and biodiesel; and construction, industrial, and textile machinery, as well as engages in water treatment, infrastructure projects, and energy and electric power supply businesses. Further, it offers semiconductors, plastics and rubber products, modular products, batteries and electronic materials, electronic equipment, specialty and inorganic chemicals, fat and oil products, chemical additives, and pharmaceuticals and pharmaceutical ingredients; PCs, and PC peripherals and software; intelligent transport systems; automotive embedded software development; network integration and support services; property, casualty, and life insurance; and securities brokerage services. Additionally, the company manufactures agricultural, marine, and livestock products; feed and oilseeds; grains, processed foods, and food ingredients; and alcoholic beverages. It also sells textile products, construction and housing materials, apparel, and furniture; develops nursing care facilities; and operates general hospitals and hotels. The company was incorporated in 1948 and is headquartered in Nagoya, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyToyota Tsusho makes money through a diversified revenue model that encompasses trading, manufacturing, and investments across various industries. Key revenue streams include the sale and distribution of metals, automotive components, and machinery. The company also earns significant income from its energy and chemical sectors, which involve the trade of petroleum products, natural gas, and renewable energy solutions. Additionally, Toyota Tsusho benefits from its strategic investments and partnerships in emerging markets, particularly in Africa, where it focuses on infrastructure, health, and technology sectors. The company's global logistics operations further contribute to its earnings by providing comprehensive supply chain solutions.

Toyota Tsusho Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Toyota Tsusho presents a strong financial position with consistent revenue and profit growth, efficient operations, and adequate leverage. However, the high debt level and substantial capital expenditures require careful management.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Toyota Tsusho has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a consistent increase over the years, especially with a significant jump from 2022 to 2023. The company maintains robust gross and net profit margins, indicating efficient cost management and profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have been steadily improving, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a strong equity base with a healthy equity ratio. The debt-to-equity ratio is manageable, reflecting a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity has shown improvement, signifying effective use of shareholders' equity to generate profits. However, the total debt level is relatively high, which could pose a risk in fluctuating market conditions.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Toyota Tsusho's cash flow statements reflect positive trends in operating cash flow, with a solid operating cash flow to net income ratio. The free cash flow has shown significant growth from 2022 to 2023, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. However, the substantial capital expenditures could impact free cash flow if not managed carefully.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.31T10.19T9.85T8.03T6.31T
Gross Profit1.12T1.05T968.85B759.24B607.63B
EBITDA729.65B652.28B533.00B410.76B317.50B
Net Income362.51B331.44B284.15B222.24B134.60B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.06T7.06T6.38T6.14T5.23T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments951.88B878.71B897.53B807.71B816.85B
Total Debt1.85T1.99T2.02T1.86T1.64T
Total Liabilities4.31T4.44T4.31T4.20T3.57T
Stockholders Equity2.62T2.47T1.91T1.74T1.47T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow331.01B343.23B263.44B-117.15B107.34B
Operating Cash Flow511.87B542.13B444.29B50.14B245.06B
Investing Cash Flow-155.91B-219.59B-139.92B-157.33B-102.18B
Financing Cash Flow-276.95B-263.25B-206.67B44.90B24.07B

Toyota Tsusho Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3829.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3235.00
Positive
100DMA
2947.66
Positive
200DMA
2761.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
146.70
Negative
RSI
85.06
Negative
STOCH
97.93
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8015, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3829 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3428.75, above the 50-day MA of 3235.00, and above the 200-day MA of 2761.76, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 146.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 85.06 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.93 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8015.

Toyota Tsusho Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (71)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$3.89T10.6114.15%2.74%1.69%9.10%
71
Outperform
¥258.28B14.578.48%2.82%6.30%11.95%
$75.17B11.9017.06%2.52%
$35.76B10.2814.30%3.15%
$60.36B11.2510.69%3.19%
$81.61B15.598.85%3.23%
$31.99B7.8613.26%3.48%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8015
Toyota Tsusho
3,829.00
1,468.27
62.20%
ITOCF
Itochu
53.98
6.60
13.93%
MARUF
Marubeni
21.50
5.79
36.86%
MITSF
Mitsui & Co
21.25
1.79
9.20%
MSBHF
Mitsubishi
20.98
2.38
12.80%
SSUMF
Sumitomo
26.94
6.18
29.77%

Toyota Tsusho Corporate Events

Toyota Tsusho Reports Steady Q1 2025 Financial Results
Jul 31, 2025

Toyota Tsusho Corporation reported its consolidated financial results for the three months ended June 30, 2025, showing a slight increase in revenue and profits compared to the previous year. Despite a decrease in total comprehensive income, the company maintained stable financial positioning with a slight increase in total assets and equity. The results indicate a steady performance in a challenging market environment, with no changes made to the dividend and earnings forecasts, reflecting confidence in future stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8015) stock is a Sell with a Yen2500.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyota Tsusho stock, see the JP:8015 Stock Forecast page.

Toyota Tsusho Announces Share Repurchase Plan
Jun 3, 2025

Toyota Tsusho Corporation has announced a resolution to repurchase its own shares through a tender offer, contingent on the successful completion of a related offer by Toyota Industries. This move is part of Toyota Tsusho’s strategy to enhance shareholder value, aligning with its mid-term business plan to maintain a return on equity of 13% or higher and to return over 300 billion yen to shareholders. The company also plans to pay a total annual dividend of 105 yen per share for FY2024, reflecting its commitment to progressive dividends and flexible return measures.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8015) stock is a Sell with a Yen2500.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyota Tsusho stock, see the JP:8015 Stock Forecast page.

Toyota Tsusho to Tender Shares in Toyota Industries for Strategic Gain
Jun 3, 2025

Toyota Tsusho Corporation has decided to tender all its shares in Toyota Industries Corporation as part of a strategic move to reduce cross-shareholdings. This decision is expected to result in an extraordinary gain of 212.8 billion yen in Toyota Tsusho’s non-consolidated financial statements for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, although it will not affect the consolidated financial results due to the adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8015) stock is a Sell with a Yen2500.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyota Tsusho stock, see the JP:8015 Stock Forecast page.

Toyota Tsusho Affirms Independence Amid Close Ties with Toyota Motor
May 30, 2025

Toyota Tsusho Corporation, with 21.8% of its voting stock held by Toyota Motor Corporation, maintains a significant portion of its sales with the Toyota Group, accounting for 39.7% of its total net sales. Despite this close relationship, Toyota Tsusho asserts its operational independence, with transaction terms determined through individual negotiations, ensuring no undue influence from its parent company.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8015) stock is a Sell with a Yen2500.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyota Tsusho stock, see the JP:8015 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 23, 2025