Toyota Tsusho (8015) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $3.30T
• Dividend Yield: 3.53%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.81M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 9.1
• Beta (1Y): 1.46
• Revenue Growth: 1.18%
• EPS Growth: 9.37%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 69,517
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Conglomerates
• EPS (TTM): 80.20
• Shares Outstanding: 1,062,169,600
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,138,030
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,808,126
• PEG Ratio: 0.25
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.03
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 7.51
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: $4,562.42
• Price Target Upside: 40.99% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1

• Rating: 82 Outperform
• Price Target: ―

Toyota Tsusho's strong financial performance, highlighted by consistent revenue and profit growth, forms a solid base for its stock score. The attractive valuation with a low P/E ratio and reasonable dividend yield further enhances its investment potential. Technical indicators show positive momentum, although caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. Overall, the company's robust fundamentals and appealing valuation metrics make it a compelling investment opportunity.

Toyota Tsusho Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Toyota Tsusho Corporation engages in the metals, parts and logistics, automotive, machinery, energy and project, chemicals and electronics, and food and consumer services businesses worldwide. The company manufactures steel products, steel construction materials, non-ferrous metal ingots, precious metals, aluminum products, copper and ferro-alloy products, waste catalysts, pig iron, and rare earth resources and metals; and iron, steel, and nonferrous metals scraps, as well as recycles vehicles and auto parts. It also offers component parts for automotives; runs logistics, and tire and wheel assembly business; and sells passenger, commercial, and light vehicles, as well as motorcycles, trucks, buses, and automotive parts. In addition, the company is sells machine tools; medical and environmental equipment; develops and operates infrastructure projects; sells fuels, including LPG and biodiesel; and construction, industrial, and textile machinery, as well as engages in water treatment, infrastructure projects, and energy and electric power supply businesses. Further, it offers semiconductors, plastics and rubber products, modular products, batteries and electronic materials, electronic equipment, specialty and inorganic chemicals, fat and oil products, chemical additives, and pharmaceuticals and pharmaceutical ingredients; PCs, and PC peripherals and software; intelligent transport systems; automotive embedded software development; network integration and support services; property, casualty, and life insurance; and securities brokerage services. Additionally, the company manufactures agricultural, marine, and livestock products; feed and oilseeds; grains, processed foods, and food ingredients; and alcoholic beverages. It also sells textile products, construction and housing materials, apparel, and furniture; develops nursing care facilities; and operates general hospitals and hotels. The company was incorporated in 1948 and is headquartered in Nagoya, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Toyota Tsusho makes money through a multifaceted revenue model that involves trading, investment, and the provision of services across different sectors. Key revenue streams include the trading of metals and global production parts, which are essential components for the automotive and manufacturing industries. The company also earns significant income from its automotive division by supplying parts and providing logistics services. Additionally, Toyota Tsusho generates revenue from its chemicals and electronics division by trading and distributing chemical products and electronic components. The company's power projects and infrastructure division contribute to earnings through investments in renewable energy and infrastructure projects. Strategic partnerships with other companies within the Toyota Group and various global enterprises also play a crucial role in enhancing Toyota Tsusho's market reach and profitability.

Toyota Tsusho Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Toyota Tsusho presents a strong financial position with consistent revenue and profit growth, efficient operations, and adequate leverage. The company's ability to generate cash flow and maintain profitability provides a solid foundation for future growth. Nonetheless, careful management of debt and capital expenditures is crucial to sustain this trajectory.

Income Statement

Toyota Tsusho has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a consistent increase over the years, especially with a significant jump from 2022 to 2023. The company maintains robust gross and net profit margins, indicating efficient cost management and profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have been steadily improving, showcasing operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet indicates a strong equity base with a healthy equity ratio. The debt-to-equity ratio is manageable, reflecting a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity has shown improvement, signifying effective use of shareholders' equity to generate profits. However, the total debt level is relatively high, which could pose a risk in fluctuating market conditions.

Cash Flow

Toyota Tsusho's cash flow statements reflect positive trends in operating cash flow, with a solid operating cash flow to net income ratio. The free cash flow has shown significant growth from 2022 to 2023, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. However, the substantial capital expenditures could impact free cash flow if not managed carefully.

Breakdown	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	10.31T	10.19T	9.85T	8.03T	6.31T
Gross Profit	1.12T	1.05T	968.85B	759.24B	607.63B
EBITDA	729.65B	652.28B	533.00B	410.76B	317.50B
Net Income	362.51B	331.44B	284.15B	222.24B	134.60B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	7.06T	7.06T	6.38T	6.14T	5.23T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	951.88B	878.71B	897.53B	807.71B	816.85B
Total Debt	1.85T	1.99T	2.02T	1.86T	1.64T
Total Liabilities	4.31T	4.44T	4.31T	4.20T	3.57T
Stockholders Equity	2.62T	2.47T	1.91T	1.74T	1.47T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	331.01B	343.23B	263.44B	-117.15B	107.34B
Operating Cash Flow	511.87B	542.13B	444.29B	50.14B	245.06B
Investing Cash Flow	-155.91B	-219.59B	-139.92B	-157.33B	-102.18B
Financing Cash Flow	-276.95B	-263.25B	-206.67B	44.90B	24.07B

Toyota Tsusho Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 3236.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8015, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3236 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3059.10, above the 50-day MA of 2904.86, and above the 200-day MA of 2648.30, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 62.96 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8015.

Toyota Tsusho Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
8015	82 Outperform	$3.30T	9.06	14.04%	3.53%	1.18%	9.37%
Sector *	58 Neutral	$1.34B	4.08	-2.93%	10.79%	3.41%	-51.76%
ITOCF		$72.81B	12.44	15.55%	2.66%	―	―
MARUF		$32.89B	10.07	13.98%	3.33%	―	―
MITSF		$56.69B	9.79	11.74%	3.39%	―	―
MSBHF		$74.59B	12.24	10.17%	3.41%	―	―
SSUMF		$29.97B	8.23	12.19%	3.46%	―	―

Toyota Tsusho Corporate Events

Toyota Tsusho Announces Share Repurchase Plan

Toyota Tsusho Corporation has announced a resolution to repurchase its own shares through a tender offer, contingent on the successful completion of a related offer by Toyota Industries. This move is part of Toyota Tsusho’s strategy to enhance shareholder value, aligning with its mid-term business plan to maintain a return on equity of 13% or higher and to return over 300 billion yen to shareholders. The company also plans to pay a total annual dividend of 105 yen per share for FY2024, reflecting its commitment to progressive dividends and flexible return measures.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8015) stock is a Sell with a Yen2500.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyota Tsusho stock, see the JP:8015 Stock Forecast page.

Toyota Tsusho to Tender Shares in Toyota Industries for Strategic Gain

Toyota Tsusho Corporation has decided to tender all its shares in Toyota Industries Corporation as part of a strategic move to reduce cross-shareholdings. This decision is expected to result in an extraordinary gain of 212.8 billion yen in Toyota Tsusho’s non-consolidated financial statements for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, although it will not affect the consolidated financial results due to the adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8015) stock is a Sell with a Yen2500.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyota Tsusho stock, see the JP:8015 Stock Forecast page.

Toyota Tsusho Affirms Independence Amid Close Ties with Toyota Motor

Toyota Tsusho Corporation, with 21.8% of its voting stock held by Toyota Motor Corporation, maintains a significant portion of its sales with the Toyota Group, accounting for 39.7% of its total net sales. Despite this close relationship, Toyota Tsusho asserts its operational independence, with transaction terms determined through individual negotiations, ensuring no undue influence from its parent company.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8015) stock is a Sell with a Yen2500.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyota Tsusho stock, see the JP:8015 Stock Forecast page.

Toyota Tsusho Revises Board Compensation to Boost Performance and Value

Toyota Tsusho Corporation announced a significant revision to its board compensation structure, aiming to align with its growth and performance objectives. The revision includes an increase in the stock compensation limit and the total number of shares allotted, reflecting a stock split, and an adjustment in cash compensation to enhance incentives for improving the company’s medium- to long-term performance and corporate value.

Toyota Tsusho Increases Year-End Dividend Amid Strong Financial Performance

Toyota Tsusho Corporation announced a resolution to pay a year-end dividend of 55.00 Yen per share, an increase from the previously forecasted 50.00 Yen, reflecting a total annual dividend of 105.00 Yen per share. This decision aligns with the company’s policy to maintain a progressive dividend payout ratio of 30% or more, supported by an increase in profit attributable to the owners of the parent company, which rose to 362,506 Million Yen.

Toyota Tsusho Reports Strong Operating Profit Growth Amid Modest Revenue Increase

Toyota Tsusho reported a modest increase in revenue and significant growth in operating profit for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025. Despite a decline in total comprehensive income, the company showed improved return on assets and equity, reflecting strong operational performance. The announcement indicates a stable financial position with a slight increase in dividends, suggesting confidence in future earnings. The company’s strategic stock split and improved equity ratio highlight its commitment to enhancing shareholder value.