Toyota Tsusho Corp. (JP:8015)
:8015
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Toyota Tsusho
(8015)
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Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
¥6,476.00
▲(16.85% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/02/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (growth into TTM, improving leverage, and stable-to-improving profitability) tempered by thin margins and volatile cash conversion. Technicals are supportive on trend (price above major moving averages) but held back by negative MACD and subdued RSI/Stoch. Valuation appears reasonable with a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified sogo shosha model & Toyota linkage
Toyota Tsusho's diversified sogo shosha model and close Toyota Group links create durable demand channels and cross-selling opportunities across metals, parts, logistics, energy and projects. This integration reduces single-market exposure, supports scale in sourcing/logistics, and underpins recurring fee and margin capture over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Structurally thin margins
Low single-digit net margins limit the company's earnings buffer and make operating profit highly sensitive to commodity prices, pricing mix and cyclical demand. For a large trading and industrial conglomerate, thin margins reduce the ability to absorb cost shocks and increase volatility in shareholder returns over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified sogo shosha model & Toyota linkage
Toyota Tsusho's diversified sogo shosha model and close Toyota Group links create durable demand channels and cross-selling opportunities across metals, parts, logistics, energy and projects. This integration reduces single-market exposure, supports scale in sourcing/logistics, and underpins recurring fee and margin capture over the medium term.
Read all positive factors
Toyota Tsusho (8015) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥6.33T
Dividend Yield2.1%
Average Volume (3M)1.94M
Price to Earnings (P/E)17.6
Beta (1Y)1.50
Revenue Growth12.15%
EPS Growth2.20%
CountryJP
Employees69,517
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryConglomerates
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)350.95
Shares Outstanding1,062,169,600
10 Day Avg. Volume2,116,040
30 Day Avg. Volume1,943,730
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio7.71
Price to Book (P/B)1.99
Price to Sales (P/S)0.54
P/FCF Ratio21.14
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)419.56
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥11.92T
Toyota Tsusho Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Toyota Tsusho Corporation, established in 1948 and headquartered in Nagoya, Japan, operates as a highly diversified global trading company. Its expansive portfolio encompasses a wide array of sectors, beginning with the metals domain, where it pro...
How the Company Makes Money
Toyota Tsusho primarily makes money through (1) trading and distribution margins, (2) logistics and supply-chain service fees, (3) earnings from manufacturing/processing and value-added operations it owns or operates, and (4) profits and dividends...
Toyota Tsusho Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
62
Positive
| Breakdown | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 11.56T | 10.19T | 9.85T | 8.03T | 6.31T |
| Gross Profit | 1.26T | 992.39B | 909.18B | 706.71B | 554.88B |
| EBITDA | 805.67B | 652.28B | 572.14B | 449.74B | 346.43B |
| Net Income | 370.52B | 331.44B | 284.16B | 222.24B | 134.60B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 8.52T | 7.06T | 6.38T | 6.14T | 5.23T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.40T | 878.71B | 771.61B | 653.01B | 677.48B |
| Total Debt | 2.17T | 2.13T | 2.15T | 1.97T | 1.75T |
| Total Liabilities | 5.22T | 4.44T | 4.31T | 4.20T | 3.57T |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.16T | 2.47T | 1.91T | 1.74T | 1.47T |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 297.20B | 367.09B | 283.31B | -85.63B | 120.73B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 461.17B | 542.13B | 444.29B | 50.14B | 245.06B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -39.30B | -222.92B | -329.20B | -157.30B | -104.37B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -22.07B | -259.92B | -17.39B | 44.87B | 26.27B |
Toyota Tsusho Technical Analysis
Neutral
5542.00
Price Trends
6529.32
Negative
6379.46
Negative
5460.78
Positive
Market Momentum
-160.74
Positive
40.52
Neutral
23.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8015, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 5542 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6612.10, below the 50-day MA of 6529.32, and above the 200-day MA of 5460.78, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -160.74 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:8015.
Toyota Tsusho Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | ¥7.38T | 12.46 | 12.86% | 2.48% | 0.62% | 7.66% | |
69 Neutral | ¥8.06T | 14.76 | 13.39% | 2.29% | 6.11% | 9.13% | |
69 Neutral | ¥15.99T | 21.58 | 8.81% | 2.94% | 1.60% | -10.27% | |
68 Neutral | ¥14.20T | 14.57 | 15.23% | 2.11% | 0.67% | 3.97% | |
67 Neutral | ¥6.33T | 17.59 | 13.49% | 2.10% | 12.15% | 2.20% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
54 Neutral | ¥13.66T | 16.67 | 11.47% | 2.28% | -4.55% | -5.16% |
* Industrials Sector Average
JP:8015
Toyota Tsusho
6,174.00
3,245.64
110.84%
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Toyota Tsusho Corporate Events
Toyota Tsusho Completes Major Share Buyback and Plans Full Cancellation of Repurchased Stock
Jun 3, 2026
Toyota Tsusho has completed a tender offer to repurchase its own common shares, launched on May 1 and concluded on June 2, 2026, at a price of ¥5,620 per share. The buyback, conducted under board approval and settled via Nomura Securities, co...
Toyota Tsusho Details Dependence and Independence Within Toyota Group
May 29, 2026
Toyota Tsusho has confirmed its status as an equity-method affiliate within the Toyota Group, with Toyota Motor Corporation holding 21.8% of its voting rights and accounting for 37.1% of Toyota Tsusho’s net sales through automotive and relat...
Toyota Tsusho Launches Large Share Buyback and Cancellation to Unwind Cross-Shareholdings
Apr 30, 2026
Toyota Tsusho has approved a major share repurchase via a tender offer for all 118,095,402 of its shares held by Toyota Industries, followed by cancellation of the acquired stock. The move is part of a broader effort to unwind cross-shareholdings ...
Toyota Tsusho Lifts Revenue and Ups Dividend on Strong Auto-Related Demand
Apr 30, 2026
Toyota Tsusho reported a 12.1% year-on-year increase in consolidated revenue to 11.56 trillion yen for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, driven mainly by stronger automobile sales and higher handling volumes linked to automobile production. Th...
Toyota Tsusho Lifts Earnings, Balance Sheet and Dividend on Asset Gains and Revenue Growth
Apr 30, 2026
Toyota Tsusho reported consolidated revenue of ¥11.56 trillion for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, up 12.1% year on year, with operating profit rising 9.7% to ¥545.2 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent up 2.2% t...
Toyota Tsusho to Shift Automotive Parts Operations to Wholly Owned Subsidiary
Mar 26, 2026
Toyota Tsusho will transfer a portion of its domestic automotive parts business to wholly owned subsidiary Toyotsu Automotive Creation Corporation via a simplified absorption-type company split effective October 1, 2026. The move is intended to in...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.