Toyota Tsusho (8015) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $4.09T
• Dividend Yield: 2.66%
• Average Volume (3M): 2.17M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 11.2
• Beta (1Y): 1.47
• Revenue Growth: 1.69%
• EPS Growth: 9.10%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 69,517
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 79
• Industry: Conglomerates
• EPS (TTM): 93.16
• Shares Outstanding: 1,062,169,600
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,330,740
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,172,426
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.14
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.45
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 4.17
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 6.90
• 1Y Price Target: $4,549.62
• Price Target Upside: 15.12% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 80 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥3,766.00 ▼(-4.71% Downside)

Toyota Tsusho's stock is strong, primarily driven by its robust financial performance and attractive valuation. The technical analysis indicates bullish momentum, though caution is advised due to possible overbought conditions. The absence of recent earnings call data and corporate events does not impact the score.

Toyota Tsusho Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Toyota Tsusho Corporation engages in the metals, parts and logistics, automotive, machinery, energy and project, chemicals and electronics, and food and consumer services businesses worldwide. The company manufactures steel products, steel construction materials, non-ferrous metal ingots, precious metals, aluminum products, copper and ferro-alloy products, waste catalysts, pig iron, and rare earth resources and metals; and iron, steel, and nonferrous metals scraps, as well as recycles vehicles and auto parts. It also offers component parts for automotives; runs logistics, and tire and wheel assembly business; and sells passenger, commercial, and light vehicles, as well as motorcycles, trucks, buses, and automotive parts. In addition, the company is sells machine tools; medical and environmental equipment; develops and operates infrastructure projects; sells fuels, including LPG and biodiesel; and construction, industrial, and textile machinery, as well as engages in water treatment, infrastructure projects, and energy and electric power supply businesses. Further, it offers semiconductors, plastics and rubber products, modular products, batteries and electronic materials, electronic equipment, specialty and inorganic chemicals, fat and oil products, chemical additives, and pharmaceuticals and pharmaceutical ingredients; PCs, and PC peripherals and software; intelligent transport systems; automotive embedded software development; network integration and support services; property, casualty, and life insurance; and securities brokerage services. Additionally, the company manufactures agricultural, marine, and livestock products; feed and oilseeds; grains, processed foods, and food ingredients; and alcoholic beverages. It also sells textile products, construction and housing materials, apparel, and furniture; develops nursing care facilities; and operates general hospitals and hotels. The company was incorporated in 1948 and is headquartered in Nagoya, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Toyota Tsusho makes money through a diversified revenue model that encompasses trading, manufacturing, and investments across various industries. Key revenue streams include the sale and distribution of metals, automotive components, and machinery. The company also earns significant income from its energy and chemical sectors, which involve the trade of petroleum products, natural gas, and renewable energy solutions. Additionally, Toyota Tsusho benefits from its strategic investments and partnerships in emerging markets, particularly in Africa, where it focuses on infrastructure, health, and technology sectors. The company's global logistics operations further contribute to its earnings by providing comprehensive supply chain solutions.

Toyota Tsusho Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Toyota Tsusho presents a strong financial position with consistent revenue and profit growth, efficient operations, and adequate leverage. However, the high debt level and substantial capital expenditures require careful management.

Income Statement

Toyota Tsusho has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a consistent increase over the years, especially with a significant jump from 2022 to 2023. The company maintains robust gross and net profit margins, indicating efficient cost management and profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have been steadily improving, showcasing operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet indicates a strong equity base with a healthy equity ratio. The debt-to-equity ratio is manageable, reflecting a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity has shown improvement, signifying effective use of shareholders' equity to generate profits. However, the total debt level is relatively high, which could pose a risk in fluctuating market conditions.

Cash Flow

Toyota Tsusho's cash flow statements reflect positive trends in operating cash flow, with a solid operating cash flow to net income ratio. The free cash flow has shown significant growth from 2022 to 2023, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. However, the substantial capital expenditures could impact free cash flow if not managed carefully.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	10.31T	10.31T	10.19T	9.85T	8.03T	6.31T
Gross Profit	1.12T	1.12T	1.05T	968.85B	759.24B	607.63B
EBITDA	677.36B	729.65B	652.28B	533.00B	410.76B	317.50B
Net Income	362.51B	362.51B	331.44B	284.15B	222.24B	134.60B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	7.06T	7.06T	7.06T	6.38T	6.14T	5.23T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	951.88B	951.88B	878.71B	897.53B	807.71B	816.85B
Total Debt	1.85T	1.85T	1.99T	2.02T	1.86T	1.64T
Total Liabilities	4.31T	4.31T	4.44T	4.31T	4.20T	3.57T
Stockholders Equity	2.62T	2.62T	2.47T	1.91T	1.74T	1.47T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	331.01B	331.01B	343.23B	263.44B	-117.15B	107.34B
Operating Cash Flow	511.87B	511.87B	542.13B	444.29B	50.14B	245.06B
Investing Cash Flow	-115.26B	-155.91B	-219.59B	-139.92B	-157.33B	-102.18B
Financing Cash Flow	-317.61B	-276.95B	-263.25B	-206.67B	44.90B	24.07B

Toyota Tsusho Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 3952.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8015, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3952 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3793.90, above the 50-day MA of 3468.48, and above the 200-day MA of 2849.26, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 127.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 71.40 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8015.

Toyota Tsusho Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
8015	80 Outperform	$4.09T	11.17	14.15%	2.66%	1.69%	9.10%
Sector *	64 Neutral	$10.96B	16.35	8.89%	1.96%	2.68%	-15.17%
ITOCF	―	$80.11B	12.36	17.06%	2.42%	―	―
MARUF	―	$37.83B	10.92	14.30%	2.77%	―	―
MITSF	―	$65.00B	11.48	10.69%	2.86%	―	―
MSBHF	―	$86.18B	16.45	8.85%	2.95%	―	―
SSUMF	―	$33.56B	8.25	13.26%	3.17%	―	―

Toyota Tsusho Corporate Events

Toyota Tsusho Reports Steady Q1 2025 Financial Results

Toyota Tsusho Corporation reported its consolidated financial results for the three months ended June 30, 2025, showing a slight increase in revenue and profits compared to the previous year. Despite a decrease in total comprehensive income, the company maintained stable financial positioning with a slight increase in total assets and equity. The results indicate a steady performance in a challenging market environment, with no changes made to the dividend and earnings forecasts, reflecting confidence in future stability.

Toyota Tsusho Announces Share Repurchase Plan

Toyota Tsusho Corporation has announced a resolution to repurchase its own shares through a tender offer, contingent on the successful completion of a related offer by Toyota Industries. This move is part of Toyota Tsusho’s strategy to enhance shareholder value, aligning with its mid-term business plan to maintain a return on equity of 13% or higher and to return over 300 billion yen to shareholders. The company also plans to pay a total annual dividend of 105 yen per share for FY2024, reflecting its commitment to progressive dividends and flexible return measures.

Toyota Tsusho to Tender Shares in Toyota Industries for Strategic Gain

Toyota Tsusho Corporation has decided to tender all its shares in Toyota Industries Corporation as part of a strategic move to reduce cross-shareholdings. This decision is expected to result in an extraordinary gain of 212.8 billion yen in Toyota Tsusho’s non-consolidated financial statements for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, although it will not affect the consolidated financial results due to the adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards.

Toyota Tsusho Affirms Independence Amid Close Ties with Toyota Motor

Toyota Tsusho Corporation, with 21.8% of its voting stock held by Toyota Motor Corporation, maintains a significant portion of its sales with the Toyota Group, accounting for 39.7% of its total net sales. Despite this close relationship, Toyota Tsusho asserts its operational independence, with transaction terms determined through individual negotiations, ensuring no undue influence from its parent company.