Toyota Tsusho (8015) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $3.39T
• Dividend Yield: 3.44%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.81M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 9.3
• Beta (1Y): 1.46
• Revenue Growth: 1.18%
• EPS Growth: 9.37%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 69,517
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 89
• Industry: Conglomerates
• EPS (TTM): 80.20
• Shares Outstanding: 1,062,169,600
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,686,230
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,810,673
• PEG Ratio: 1.31
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.29
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 10.21
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: $4,550.45
• Price Target Upside: 41.06% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1

• Rating: 82 Outperform
• Price Target: ―

Toyota Tsusho's strong financial performance, highlighted by consistent revenue and profit growth, forms a solid base for its stock score. The attractive valuation with a low P/E ratio and reasonable dividend yield further enhances its investment potential. Technical indicators show positive momentum, although caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. Overall, the company's robust fundamentals and appealing valuation metrics make it a compelling investment opportunity.

Toyota Tsusho Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Toyota Tsusho Corporation (8015) is a leading Japanese trading and investment company, part of the Toyota Group. It operates across multiple sectors including metals, global production parts and logistics, automotive, machinery, energy, chemicals and electronics, food and consumer services, and Africa. The company provides a wide range of products and services such as metal materials, automotive components, machinery, energy solutions, and consumer goods, while also engaging in business investments and development projects globally.

How the Company Makes Money

Toyota Tsusho makes money through a diversified revenue model that encompasses trading, manufacturing, and investments across various industries. Key revenue streams include the sale and distribution of metals, automotive components, and machinery. The company also earns significant income from its energy and chemical sectors, which involve the trade of petroleum products, natural gas, and renewable energy solutions. Additionally, Toyota Tsusho benefits from its strategic investments and partnerships in emerging markets, particularly in Africa, where it focuses on infrastructure, health, and technology sectors. The company's global logistics operations further contribute to its earnings by providing comprehensive supply chain solutions.

Toyota Tsusho Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Toyota Tsusho presents a strong financial position with consistent revenue and profit growth, efficient operations, and adequate leverage. The company's ability to generate cash flow and maintain profitability provides a solid foundation for future growth. Nonetheless, careful management of debt and capital expenditures is crucial to sustain this trajectory.

Income Statement

Toyota Tsusho has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a consistent increase over the years, especially with a significant jump from 2022 to 2023. The company maintains robust gross and net profit margins, indicating efficient cost management and profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have been steadily improving, showcasing operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet indicates a strong equity base with a healthy equity ratio. The debt-to-equity ratio is manageable, reflecting a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity has shown improvement, signifying effective use of shareholders' equity to generate profits. However, the total debt level is relatively high, which could pose a risk in fluctuating market conditions.

Cash Flow

Toyota Tsusho's cash flow statements reflect positive trends in operating cash flow, with a solid operating cash flow to net income ratio. The free cash flow has shown significant growth from 2022 to 2023, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. However, the substantial capital expenditures could impact free cash flow if not managed carefully.

Breakdown	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	10.31T	10.19T	9.85T	8.03T	6.31T
Gross Profit	1.12T	1.05T	968.85B	759.24B	607.63B
EBITDA	729.65B	652.28B	533.00B	410.76B	317.50B
Net Income	362.51B	331.44B	284.15B	222.24B	134.60B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	7.06T	7.06T	6.38T	6.14T	5.23T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	951.88B	878.71B	897.53B	807.71B	816.85B
Total Debt	1.85T	1.99T	2.02T	1.86T	1.64T
Total Liabilities	4.31T	4.44T	4.31T	4.20T	3.57T
Stockholders Equity	2.62T	2.47T	1.91T	1.74T	1.47T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	331.01B	343.23B	263.44B	-117.15B	107.34B
Operating Cash Flow	511.87B	542.13B	444.29B	50.14B	245.06B
Investing Cash Flow	-155.91B	-219.59B	-139.92B	-157.33B	-102.18B
Financing Cash Flow	-276.95B	-263.25B	-206.67B	44.90B	24.07B

Toyota Tsusho Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 3226.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8015, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3226 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3188.05, above the 50-day MA of 3075.46, and above the 200-day MA of 2692.94, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 53.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8015.

Toyota Tsusho Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
8015	82 Outperform	$3.39T	9.32	14.04%	3.44%	1.18%	9.37%
8058	80 Outperform	¥11.12T	12.08	10.17%	3.49%	-4.85%	2.78%
8053	79 Outperform	$4.46T	7.95	12.19%	3.53%	5.52%	46.81%
8002	78 Outperform	$4.93T	9.71	13.98%	3.42%	7.44%	8.25%
8001	77 Outperform	¥10.83T	12.23	15.55%	2.66%	4.95%	11.33%
8031	76 Outperform	$8.51T	9.73	11.74%	3.35%	10.04%	-13.06%
Sector *	71 Outperform	¥254.36B	13.56	8.48%	3.02%	6.34%	13.16%

Toyota Tsusho Corporate Events

Toyota Tsusho Announces Share Repurchase Plan

Toyota Tsusho Corporation has announced a resolution to repurchase its own shares through a tender offer, contingent on the successful completion of a related offer by Toyota Industries. This move is part of Toyota Tsusho’s strategy to enhance shareholder value, aligning with its mid-term business plan to maintain a return on equity of 13% or higher and to return over 300 billion yen to shareholders. The company also plans to pay a total annual dividend of 105 yen per share for FY2024, reflecting its commitment to progressive dividends and flexible return measures.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8015) stock is a Sell with a Yen2500.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyota Tsusho stock, see the JP:8015 Stock Forecast page.

Toyota Tsusho to Tender Shares in Toyota Industries for Strategic Gain

Toyota Tsusho Corporation has decided to tender all its shares in Toyota Industries Corporation as part of a strategic move to reduce cross-shareholdings. This decision is expected to result in an extraordinary gain of 212.8 billion yen in Toyota Tsusho’s non-consolidated financial statements for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, although it will not affect the consolidated financial results due to the adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8015) stock is a Sell with a Yen2500.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyota Tsusho stock, see the JP:8015 Stock Forecast page.

Toyota Tsusho Affirms Independence Amid Close Ties with Toyota Motor

Toyota Tsusho Corporation, with 21.8% of its voting stock held by Toyota Motor Corporation, maintains a significant portion of its sales with the Toyota Group, accounting for 39.7% of its total net sales. Despite this close relationship, Toyota Tsusho asserts its operational independence, with transaction terms determined through individual negotiations, ensuring no undue influence from its parent company.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8015) stock is a Sell with a Yen2500.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyota Tsusho stock, see the JP:8015 Stock Forecast page.

Toyota Tsusho Revises Board Compensation to Boost Performance and Value

Toyota Tsusho Corporation announced a significant revision to its board compensation structure, aiming to align with its growth and performance objectives. The revision includes an increase in the stock compensation limit and the total number of shares allotted, reflecting a stock split, and an adjustment in cash compensation to enhance incentives for improving the company’s medium- to long-term performance and corporate value.

Toyota Tsusho Increases Year-End Dividend Amid Strong Financial Performance

Toyota Tsusho Corporation announced a resolution to pay a year-end dividend of 55.00 Yen per share, an increase from the previously forecasted 50.00 Yen, reflecting a total annual dividend of 105.00 Yen per share. This decision aligns with the company’s policy to maintain a progressive dividend payout ratio of 30% or more, supported by an increase in profit attributable to the owners of the parent company, which rose to 362,506 Million Yen.

Toyota Tsusho Reports Strong Operating Profit Growth Amid Modest Revenue Increase

Toyota Tsusho reported a modest increase in revenue and significant growth in operating profit for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025. Despite a decline in total comprehensive income, the company showed improved return on assets and equity, reflecting strong operational performance. The announcement indicates a stable financial position with a slight increase in dividends, suggesting confidence in future earnings. The company’s strategic stock split and improved equity ratio highlight its commitment to enhancing shareholder value.