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Toyota Tsusho Corp. (JP:8015)
:8015
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Toyota Tsusho (8015) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8015

Toyota Tsusho

(8015)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
¥7,452.00
▲(34.46% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/02/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (growth into TTM, improving leverage, and stable-to-improving profitability) tempered by thin margins and volatile cash conversion. Technicals are supportive on trend (price above major moving averages) but held back by negative MACD and subdued RSI/Stoch. Valuation appears reasonable with a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth & improving profitability
Sustained top-line growth with expanding margins indicates improving scale and execution across businesses. That structural momentum supports enduring earnings capacity, better absorbs cyclical shocks, and provides runway for reinvestment in higher‑value segments over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Structurally thin margins
Persistently low single‑digit net margins limit earnings leverage on revenue growth and leave profitability highly sensitive to pricing, commodity swings, and mix shifts. This structural narrowness reduces margin of safety and makes earnings less resilient during downturns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue growth & improving profitability
Sustained top-line growth with expanding margins indicates improving scale and execution across businesses. That structural momentum supports enduring earnings capacity, better absorbs cyclical shocks, and provides runway for reinvestment in higher‑value segments over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Toyota Tsusho (8015) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Toyota Tsusho Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Toyota Tsusho Corporation engages in the metals, parts and logistics, automotive, machinery, energy and project, chemicals and electronics, and food and consumer services businesses worldwide. The company manufactures steel products, steel constru...
How the Company Makes Money
Toyota Tsusho primarily makes money through (1) trading and distribution margins, (2) logistics and supply-chain service fees, (3) earnings from manufacturing/processing and value-added operations it owns or operates, and (4) profits and dividends...

Toyota Tsusho Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial statements are solid overall: revenue is rising into TTM and profitability is steady-to-improving, while leverage has improved as debt-to-equity declines. Offsetting this, margins remain structurally thin and cash flow has been more volatile than earnings, indicating uneven cash conversion.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.56T10.19T9.85T8.03T6.31T
Gross Profit1.26T992.39B909.18B706.71B554.88B
EBITDA729.31B652.28B572.14B449.74B346.43B
Net Income370.52B331.44B284.16B222.24B134.60B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.52T7.06T6.38T6.14T5.23T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.40T878.71B771.61B653.01B677.48B
Total Debt2.17T2.13T2.15T1.97T1.75T
Total Liabilities5.22T4.44T4.31T4.20T3.57T
Stockholders Equity3.16T2.47T1.91T1.74T1.47T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow297.20B367.09B283.31B-85.63B120.73B
Operating Cash Flow461.17B542.13B444.29B50.14B245.06B
Investing Cash Flow-39.30B-222.92B-329.20B-157.30B-104.37B
Financing Cash Flow-22.07B-259.92B-17.39B44.87B26.27B

Toyota Tsusho Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price5542.00
Price Trends
50DMA
6395.39
Negative
100DMA
5846.88
Positive
200DMA
4867.81
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
19.94
Negative
RSI
48.93
Neutral
STOCH
37.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8015, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 5542 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6206.08, below the 50-day MA of 6395.39, and above the 200-day MA of 4867.81, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 19.94 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:8015.

Toyota Tsusho Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
¥9.64T17.0013.39%2.29%6.11%9.13%
69
Neutral
¥18.12T25.217.39%2.94%1.60%-10.27%
68
Neutral
¥15.46T15.4315.23%2.11%0.67%3.97%
67
Neutral
¥7.28T16.9513.49%2.10%12.15%2.20%
64
Neutral
¥8.16T11.5712.86%2.48%0.62%7.66%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
54
Neutral
¥16.21T20.4711.47%2.28%-4.55%-5.17%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8015
Toyota Tsusho
6,868.00
3,991.95
138.80%
JP:8001
Itochu
1,987.00
609.80
44.28%
JP:8002
Marubeni
5,755.00
3,278.07
132.34%
JP:8031
Mitsui & Co
5,765.00
3,047.76
112.16%
JP:8058
Mitsubishi
5,219.00
2,643.52
102.64%
JP:8053
Sumitomo
6,840.00
3,433.18
100.77%

Toyota Tsusho Corporate Events

Toyota Tsusho Launches Large Share Buyback and Cancellation to Unwind Cross-Shareholdings
Apr 30, 2026
Toyota Tsusho has approved a major share repurchase via a tender offer for all 118,095,402 of its shares held by Toyota Industries, followed by cancellation of the acquired stock. The move is part of a broader effort to unwind cross-shareholdings ...
Toyota Tsusho Lifts Revenue and Ups Dividend on Strong Auto-Related Demand
Apr 30, 2026
Toyota Tsusho reported a 12.1% year-on-year increase in consolidated revenue to 11.56 trillion yen for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, driven mainly by stronger automobile sales and higher handling volumes linked to automobile production. Th...
Toyota Tsusho Lifts Earnings, Balance Sheet and Dividend on Asset Gains and Revenue Growth
Apr 30, 2026
Toyota Tsusho reported consolidated revenue of ¥11.56 trillion for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, up 12.1% year on year, with operating profit rising 9.7% to ¥545.2 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent up 2.2% t...
Toyota Tsusho to Shift Automotive Parts Operations to Wholly Owned Subsidiary
Mar 26, 2026
Toyota Tsusho will transfer a portion of its domestic automotive parts business to wholly owned subsidiary Toyotsu Automotive Creation Corporation via a simplified absorption-type company split effective October 1, 2026. The move is intended to in...
Toyota Tsusho Raises Expected Gain as Toyota Industries Tender Offer Price Increased
Mar 6, 2026
Toyota Tsusho has updated the terms of its planned sale of all common shares it holds in Toyota Industries Corporation into a tender offer being conducted by Toyota Asset Preparatory Co., Ltd., a vehicle established by Toyota Fudosan. Following th...
Toyota Tsusho Ties Share Buyback Tender to Toyota Industries Offer and FY2026 Results
Mar 6, 2026
Toyota Tsusho Corporation has provided an update on its planned tender offer to repurchase its own shares, originally approved in June 2025 and later amended in January 2026 to change the purchase price. The repurchase will be executed via a tende...
Toyota Tsusho to Shift Sustainable Materials Sales to Subsidiary Toyotsu Chemiplas
Mar 3, 2026
Toyota Tsusho Corporation has approved a simplified absorption-type company split, transferring a portion of its Sustainable Materials business to its wholly owned subsidiary Toyotsu Chemiplas Corporation, effective July 1, 2026. The transaction c...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 02, 2026