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Toyota Tsusho Corp. (JP:8015)
:8015

Toyota Tsusho (8015) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8015

Toyota Tsusho

(8015)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
¥7,643.00
▲(37.91% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/05/26
The score is led by strong technical momentum with the stock trading above key moving averages and positive MACD. Fundamentals are solid but held back by structurally thin margins and uneven cash-flow consistency, while valuation is reasonable with a moderate P/E and a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified trading group & Toyota affiliation
Toyota Tsusho's multi-segment sogo shosha model and Toyota Group linkage provide durable revenue diversification and customer access. Exposure across metals, mobility, logistics, chemicals and food reduces reliance on any single cycle and supports cross-selling and steady service fees over time.
Negative Factors
Structurally thin margins
The company's structurally thin margins mean profits are inherently sensitive to commodity prices, trade spreads and cost inflation. Even modest adverse swings in input costs or trading spreads can materially compress earnings, limiting margin durability across cycles.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified trading group & Toyota affiliation
Toyota Tsusho's multi-segment sogo shosha model and Toyota Group linkage provide durable revenue diversification and customer access. Exposure across metals, mobility, logistics, chemicals and food reduces reliance on any single cycle and supports cross-selling and steady service fees over time.
Read all positive factors

Toyota Tsusho (8015) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Toyota Tsusho Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Toyota Tsusho Corporation engages in the metals, parts and logistics, automotive, machinery, energy and project, chemicals and electronics, and food and consumer services businesses worldwide. The company manufactures steel products, steel constru...
How the Company Makes Money
Toyota Tsusho generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by acting as a trading company that facilitates the import and export of goods, particularly in the automotive sector where it leverages its affiliation with Toyota Motor Corporat...

Toyota Tsusho Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are solid but not top-tier. Income statement strength (74) reflects large scale revenue, improved margins, and modest recent growth; balance sheet (67) shows improving leverage and healthy ROE but still a large absolute debt load; cash flow (58) is positive with meaningful FCF, yet recent FCF decline and historical volatility reduce confidence in consistency.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
67
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.86T10.19T9.85T8.03T6.31T6.69T
Gross Profit1.18T992.39B909.18B706.71B554.88B585.50B
EBITDA693.64B652.28B572.14B449.74B346.43B364.80B
Net Income347.56B331.44B284.16B222.24B134.60B135.55B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.10T7.06T6.38T6.14T5.23T4.55T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments966.49B878.71B771.61B653.01B677.48B496.37B
Total Debt2.50T2.13T2.15T1.97T1.75T1.63T
Total Liabilities4.96T4.44T4.31T4.20T3.57T3.17T
Stockholders Equity3.01T2.47T1.91T1.74T1.47T1.20T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow311.82B367.09B283.31B-85.63B120.73B164.00B
Operating Cash Flow476.90B542.13B444.29B50.14B245.06B267.81B
Investing Cash Flow-400.89B-222.92B-329.20B-157.30B-104.37B-193.47B
Financing Cash Flow-95.99B-259.92B-17.39B44.87B26.27B-34.12B

Toyota Tsusho Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5542.00
Price Trends
50DMA
6319.57
Positive
100DMA
5775.19
Positive
200DMA
4785.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
26.12
Negative
RSI
58.44
Neutral
STOCH
87.70
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8015, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5542 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6214.41, below the 50-day MA of 6319.57, and above the 200-day MA of 4785.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 26.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.70 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8015.

Toyota Tsusho Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥9.97T14.1113.39%2.29%9.62%25.71%
71
Outperform
¥15.76T16.8715.23%2.11%0.93%15.80%
70
Outperform
¥7.01T13.9113.49%2.10%5.32%9.73%
69
Neutral
¥7.26T15.1012.86%2.48%3.19%72.26%
68
Neutral
¥20.11T13.187.39%2.94%-7.54%-35.70%
67
Neutral
¥17.70T17.6811.47%2.28%-1.33%-7.40%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8015
Toyota Tsusho
6,610.00
4,342.08
191.46%
JP:8001
Itochu
2,026.00
744.63
58.11%
JP:8002
Marubeni
5,950.00
3,789.04
175.34%
JP:8031
Mitsui & Co
6,292.00
3,724.18
145.03%
JP:8058
Mitsubishi
5,307.00
2,901.23
120.59%
JP:8053
Sumitomo
6,084.00
2,953.39
94.34%

Toyota Tsusho Corporate Events

Toyota Tsusho to Shift Sustainable Materials Sales to Subsidiary Toyotsu Chemiplas
Mar 3, 2026
Toyota Tsusho Corporation has approved a simplified absorption-type company split, transferring a portion of its Sustainable Materials business to its wholly owned subsidiary Toyotsu Chemiplas Corporation, effective July 1, 2026. The transaction c...
Toyota Tsusho Delivers Higher Nine-Month Profit and Confirms Full-Year Guidance
Feb 3, 2026
For the nine months ended December 31, 2025, Toyota Tsusho reported solid top- and bottom-line growth, with revenue rising 9.6% year-on-year to ¥8.38 trillion and operating profit up 8.6% to ¥403.2 billion, while profit attributable to o...
Toyota Tsusho Lifts Expected Gain as Toyota Industries Tender Offer Price Raised
Jan 14, 2026
Toyota Tsusho has updated its previously disclosed plans regarding a tender offer for its shareholding in Toyota Industries Corporation, following Toyota Fudosan’s announcement that the offer period will run from January 15 to February 12, 2...
Toyota Tsusho Raises Cap Price and Confirms Timing for Large-Scale Share Buyback Tender
Jan 14, 2026
Toyota Tsusho has amended the pricing terms and schedule for its planned tender offer to repurchase its own shares originally resolved on June 3, 2025, following a request from major stakeholder Toyota Fudosan. The company will continue to base th...
Toyota Tsusho Boosts Capital in Australian Unit to Strengthen Mobility Business
Dec 24, 2025
Toyota Tsusho will inject up to AUD 79 million (JPY 8,086 million) into its wholly owned Australian subsidiary, TOYOTA TSUSHO (AUSTRALASIA) PTY. LTD. (TTALA), raising the unit’s capital to as much as AUD 80 million (JPY 8,188 million) and fo...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 05, 2026