Toyota Tsusho (8015) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥5.87T
• Dividend Yield: 2.1%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.94M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 15.9
• Beta (1Y): 1.46
• Revenue Growth: 5.32%
• EPS Growth: 9.73%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 69,517
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Conglomerates
• EPS (TTM): 83.90
• Shares Outstanding: 1,062,169,600
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,116,040
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,943,730
• PEG Ratio: 0.73
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.81
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.35
• P/FCF Ratio: 12.23
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 77 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥5,835.00 ▲(5.29% Upside)

Toyota Tsusho's strong financial performance and bullish technical indicators are the primary drivers of its stock score. The company's solid profitability and stable leverage position contribute positively, while the reasonable valuation supports the overall score. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events does not impact the score.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term expansion and stability.

Profitability Margins

Healthy profitability margins reflect effective cost management and operational efficiency, enhancing the company's ability to reinvest and grow.

Cash Generation

Strong cash generation supports financial flexibility and the ability to fund operations, investments, and shareholder returns.

Negative Factors

Free Cash Flow Decline

A decline in free cash flow growth can limit the company's ability to invest in new opportunities and manage financial obligations.

Equity Ratio

While a solid equity base is positive, a lower equity ratio could indicate potential challenges in leveraging assets for growth.

Leverage Position

While currently manageable, maintaining leverage at this level could pose risks if market conditions change or interest rates rise.

Toyota Tsusho Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Toyota Tsusho Corporation engages in the metals, parts and logistics, automotive, machinery, energy and project, chemicals and electronics, and food and consumer services businesses worldwide. The company manufactures steel products, steel construction materials, non-ferrous metal ingots, precious metals, aluminum products, copper and ferro-alloy products, waste catalysts, pig iron, and rare earth resources and metals; and iron, steel, and nonferrous metals scraps, as well as recycles vehicles and auto parts. It also offers component parts for automotives; runs logistics, and tire and wheel assembly business; and sells passenger, commercial, and light vehicles, as well as motorcycles, trucks, buses, and automotive parts. In addition, the company is sells machine tools; medical and environmental equipment; develops and operates infrastructure projects; sells fuels, including LPG and biodiesel; and construction, industrial, and textile machinery, as well as engages in water treatment, infrastructure projects, and energy and electric power supply businesses. Further, it offers semiconductors, plastics and rubber products, modular products, batteries and electronic materials, electronic equipment, specialty and inorganic chemicals, fat and oil products, chemical additives, and pharmaceuticals and pharmaceutical ingredients; PCs, and PC peripherals and software; intelligent transport systems; automotive embedded software development; network integration and support services; property, casualty, and life insurance; and securities brokerage services. Additionally, the company manufactures agricultural, marine, and livestock products; feed and oilseeds; grains, processed foods, and food ingredients; and alcoholic beverages. It also sells textile products, construction and housing materials, apparel, and furniture; develops nursing care facilities; and operates general hospitals and hotels. The company was incorporated in 1948 and is headquartered in Nagoya, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Toyota Tsusho generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by acting as a trading company that facilitates the import and export of goods, particularly in the automotive sector where it leverages its affiliation with Toyota Motor Corporation. Key revenue streams include the sale of automotive parts and materials, machinery, and industrial equipment, as well as commodity trading in sectors such as metals and chemicals. Additionally, the company earns income through logistics and supply chain management services, financial services, and investments in joint ventures and subsidiaries. Strategic partnerships with various manufacturers and suppliers further enhance its revenue potential by allowing access to new markets and technologies.

Toyota Tsusho Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Toyota Tsusho exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability margins. The balance sheet reflects a stable leverage position and efficient use of equity. While there is a minor decline in free cash flow growth, the company's cash generation remains robust, supporting its financial stability and growth prospects.

Income Statement

Toyota Tsusho has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 2.22%. The company maintains healthy profitability margins, including a gross profit margin of 10.51% and a net profit margin of 3.28% in the TTM period. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong at 5.02% and 6.45%, respectively, indicating effective cost management and operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.80 in the TTM period, reflecting a stable leverage position. Return on equity is robust at 13.99%, indicating efficient use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 36.88%, suggesting a solid equity base relative to total assets.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a slight decline in free cash flow growth at -2.5% in the TTM period. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.19, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.68, indicating good cash generation relative to net income.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	10.47T	10.19T	9.85T	8.03T	6.31T	6.69T
Gross Profit	1.12T	992.39B	909.18B	706.71B	554.88B	585.50B
EBITDA	663.60B	652.28B	572.14B	449.74B	346.43B	364.80B
Net Income	340.61B	331.44B	284.16B	222.24B	134.60B	135.55B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	7.70T	7.06T	6.38T	6.14T	5.23T	4.55T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	947.58B	878.71B	771.61B	653.01B	677.48B	496.37B
Total Debt	2.27T	2.13T	2.15T	1.97T	1.75T	1.63T
Total Liabilities	4.73T	4.44T	4.31T	4.20T	3.57T	3.17T
Stockholders Equity	2.84T	2.47T	1.91T	1.74T	1.47T	1.20T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	351.41B	367.09B	283.31B	-85.63B	120.73B	164.00B
Operating Cash Flow	524.09B	542.13B	444.29B	50.14B	245.06B	267.81B
Investing Cash Flow	-337.43B	-222.92B	-329.20B	-157.30B	-104.37B	-193.47B
Financing Cash Flow	-118.24B	-259.92B	-17.39B	44.87B	26.27B	-34.12B

Toyota Tsusho Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 5542.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8015, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5542 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5336.45, above the 50-day MA of 5056.70, and above the 200-day MA of 3767.56, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 133.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8015.

Toyota Tsusho Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
8015	77 Outperform	¥5.87T	15.90	13.49%	2.10%	5.32%	9.73%
8053	77 Outperform	¥6.85T	11.24	12.86%	2.48%	3.19%	72.26%
8031	74 Outperform	¥13.69T	15.20	11.47%	2.28%	-1.33%	-7.40%
8002	71 Outperform	¥7.71T	13.35	15.34%	2.29%	9.62%	25.71%
8001	68 Neutral	¥15.60T	15.08	15.80%	2.11%	0.93%	15.80%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
8058	60 Neutral	¥14.33T	21.55	7.39%	2.94%	-7.54%	-35.70%

Toyota Tsusho Corporate Events

Toyota Tsusho Boosts Capital in Australian Unit to Strengthen Mobility Business

Toyota Tsusho will inject up to AUD 79 million (JPY 8,086 million) into its wholly owned Australian subsidiary, TOYOTA TSUSHO (AUSTRALASIA) PTY. LTD. (TTALA), raising the unit’s capital to as much as AUD 80 million (JPY 8,188 million) and formally designating it as a specified subsidiary. The move is aimed at reinforcing Toyota Tsusho’s mobility business platform in Australia and signals a strategic push to grow its trading and automotive-related operations in the Australasian region, though the company expects the impact on its consolidated earnings and financial position for the year ending March 2026 to be negligible.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8015) stock is a Buy with a Yen5835.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyota Tsusho stock, see the JP:8015 Stock Forecast page.

Toyota Tsusho Revises Earnings Forecast and Increases Dividends

Toyota Tsusho has revised its consolidated earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, due to better-than-expected financial results in the second quarter, largely driven by the weak Japanese yen against the US dollar. The company has also announced an increase in both interim and year-end dividends, reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns and a target payout ratio of 40% or more, including share repurchases.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8015) stock is a Buy with a Yen4930.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyota Tsusho stock, see the JP:8015 Stock Forecast page.

Toyota Tsusho Reports Revenue Growth and Dividend Forecast Revisions

Toyota Tsusho reported a 6.9% increase in revenue for the six months ending September 30, 2025, with operating profit rising by 5.3%. The company revised its dividend forecasts, indicating a positive outlook despite a slight decrease in the full-year profit forecast. These results reflect Toyota Tsusho’s robust performance and strategic adjustments in response to market conditions, potentially impacting stakeholder confidence and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8015) stock is a Buy with a Yen4930.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyota Tsusho stock, see the JP:8015 Stock Forecast page.

Toyota Tsusho Expands African Mobility Business with Increased Investment in Ghana Subsidiary

Toyota Tsusho Corporation has announced an additional capital contribution to its subsidiary, Toyota Tsusho Manufacturing Ghana Co. Limited (TTMG), making it a specified subsidiary. This move, involving a USD 55 million investment, aims to expand its mobility business in Ghana, leveraging CFAO’s network in Africa. The impact on Toyota Tsusho’s financial performance for the fiscal year ending March 2026 is expected to be negligible.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8015) stock is a Buy with a Yen4930.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyota Tsusho stock, see the JP:8015 Stock Forecast page.

Toyota Tsusho Plans Share Repurchase Following Toyota Industries Tender Offer

Toyota Tsusho Corporation has announced its intention to commence a tender offer for its own shares following the successful completion of a related tender offer for Toyota Industries Corporation by Toyota Fudosan. The process involves various regulatory procedures and is expected to begin in or after March 2026, impacting Toyota Tsusho’s share repurchase strategy and potentially influencing its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8015) stock is a Buy with a Yen4527.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyota Tsusho stock, see the JP:8015 Stock Forecast page.