Mitsui & Co (8031) AI Stock Analysis

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Mitsui & Co

(OTC:8031)

Rating:78Outperform

Price Target:

¥3,542.00

▲(13.53% Upside)

Mitsui & Co's strong financial performance is the primary driver of its score, supported by robust revenue growth and cash flow management. Technical analysis shows positive momentum, while valuation metrics indicate the stock is fairly valued with an attractive dividend yield. However, earnings call insights reveal operational challenges and profit declines that temper the overall outlook.

Mitsui & Co (8031) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Market Cap

¥8.90T

Dividend Yield3.22%

Average Volume (3M)5.71M

Price to Earnings (P/E)11.0

Beta (1Y)1.34

Revenue Growth0.76%

EPS Growth-22.37%

CountryJP

Employees53,602

SectorIndustrials

Sector Strength84

IndustryConglomerates

Share Statistics

EPS (TTM)82.27

Shares Outstanding2,905,741,500

10 Day Avg. Volume6,710,270

30 Day Avg. Volume5,709,383

Financial Highlights & Ratios

PEG RatioN/A

Price to Book (P/B)0.00

Price to Sales (P/S)0.00

P/FCF Ratio0.00

Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A

Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A

Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A

Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A

Forecast

1Y Price Target

¥3,199.41

Price Target Upside2.55% Upside

Rating ConsensusModerate Buy

Number of Analyst Covering3

Mitsui & Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMitsui & Co., Ltd. is a leading Japanese trading and investment company, engaging in a broad range of global business activities. Founded in 1947 and headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, Mitsui operates in sectors such as mineral and metal resources, energy, machinery and infrastructure, chemicals, food and retail management, and logistics and financial services. The company leverages its global network and diverse portfolio to invest in businesses and projects that drive economic growth and development across the world.

How the Company Makes MoneyMitsui & Co. generates revenue through a diversified model comprising trading, investments, and services across multiple sectors. The company trades commodities such as metals, minerals, and energy products, benefiting from fluctuations and demands in global markets. It also makes significant investments in infrastructure projects, energy development, and manufacturing, earning returns through equity stakes, dividends, and interests. Additionally, Mitsui provides logistical, financial, and consulting services to various industries, further adding to its revenue streams. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures also play a crucial role in enhancing Mitsui's earnings by facilitating access to new markets and technologies.

Mitsui & Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 01, 2025

(Q1-2026)

% Change Since: 0.42%|

Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025

Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral

The earnings call reflects a mix of positive strategic investments and growth in certain segments, coupled with significant profit declines and challenges in the mineral and metal resources and renewable energy segments. While the company is on track with its business plan and making strategic investments, the absence of previous asset sale gains and operational challenges in some segments present notable concerns.

Q1-2026 Updates

Positive Updates

Increase in Core Operating Cash Flow

Core operating cash flow (COCF) increased by JPY0.5 billion YoY to JPY216.3 billion, indicating solid progress against the business plan.

Successful Investments and Growth Initiatives

Several strategic investments were made, including making ITC Antwerp a wholly-owned subsidiary, investing in Blue Point's low-carbon ammonia project, and expanding the aircraft engine-related business. These investments align with the company's strategic initiatives and are contributing to profit growth.

Positive Performance in Chemicals and Innovation Segments

The chemicals segment saw a JPY12.7 billion increase in profit to JPY30.9 billion due to a valuation gain on ITC Antwerp. The innovation and corporate development segment also saw a JPY4.1 billion increase to JPY10.3 billion, mainly due to higher profit at JA Mitsui Leasing.

Strong Performance in Energy and Machinery Segments

Despite lower production volumes, the energy segment is expected to see full-fledged contributions from Q2 onwards, with upside potential in LNG projects and trading. The machinery and infrastructure segment is performing well, with an increase of JPY11.7 billion in COCF.

Negative Updates

Significant Decline in Overall Profit

Profit declined by JPY84.5 billion YoY to JPY191.6 billion, primarily due to the absence of gains from asset sales recorded in Q1 of the previous fiscal year.

Challenges in Mineral and Metal Resources

The mineral and metal resources segment experienced a decrease in profit by JPY29 billion to JPY51.5 billion, mainly due to lower iron ore and metallurgical coal prices.

Operational Challenges in Metallurgical Coal Business

The metallurgical coal business faced losses due to suspended operations at two coal mines, leading to increased unit costs and no gains from operation.

Issues in Mainstream Renewable Energy Platform

The renewable energy platform, particularly in mainstream projects, is facing slowdowns and headwinds, affecting its turnaround efforts and overall performance.

Company Guidance

In the call, MITSUI & CO., LTD. provided detailed guidance on their Q1 fiscal year 2026 financial results, highlighting several key metrics. The core operating cash flow (COCF) increased by JPY0.5 billion year-over-year (YoY) to JPY216.3 billion, despite a profit decline of JPY84.5 billion YoY to JPY191.6 billion, primarily due to the absence of gains from asset sales recorded in the previous year. Cash inflows totaled JPY270 billion with JPY216 billion from COCF and JPY54 billion from asset recycling, while investments and loans accounted for JPY208 billion. Segment-wise, the mineral and metal resources segment saw a profit decrease of JPY29 billion to JPY51.5 billion due to lower iron ore and metallurgical coal prices. The chemicals segment, however, experienced a profit increase of JPY12.7 billion to JPY30.9 billion, driven by a valuation gain on ITC Antwerp. The company is making progress in its medium-term management plan (MTMP), focusing on three strategic initiatives: industrial business solutions, global energy transition, and wellness ecosystem creation. Despite some challenges, such as cost increases and market volatility, MITSUI remains confident in achieving its ambitious targets and continues to explore growth investments while balancing shareholder returns.

Mitsui & Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mitsui & Co exhibits strong overall financial health with consistent revenue growth and efficient cash flow management. While profitability has faced some challenges in the latest year, the company's solid balance sheet and healthy equity ratio provide a stable foundation for future growth. Continued focus on improving operational efficiency and profitability could further enhance financial performance.

Income Statement

Very Positive

Mitsui & Co has shown strong revenue growth, with a significant increase from 2021 to 2025. The gross profit margin remains robust, indicating efficient cost management. However, there is some fluctuation in EBIT, suggesting volatility in operational efficiency. The net profit margin has slightly decreased in the latest year compared to prior years, indicating some pressure on profitability.

Balance Sheet

Positive

The debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced approach to leveraging. The equity ratio is strong, showing a healthy asset base financed by equity. Return on equity shows a generally positive trend, although it has decreased in the most recent year, indicating a need for improved profitability.

Cash Flow

Very Positive

Mitsui & Co's operating cash flow has been stable, with a slight increase over the years. The free cash flow growth rate is positive, reflecting efficient capital management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating good cash generation relative to reported earnings.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	14.66T	13.32T	14.31T	11.76T	8.01T
Gross Profit	1.29T	1.25T	1.40T	1.14T	811.47B
EBITDA	1.16T	1.28T	1.23T	1.08T	553.18B
Net Income	900.34B	1.06T	1.13T	914.72B	335.46B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	16.81T	16.90T	15.38T	14.92T	12.52T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	977.36B	902.72B	2.16T	2.13T	1.49T
Total Debt	4.84T	4.78T	5.04T	4.88T	4.75T
Total Liabilities	9.05T	9.13T	8.82T	9.13T	7.69T
Stockholders Equity	7.55T	7.54T	6.37T	5.61T	4.57T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	671.37B	569.65B	819.47B	621.37B	557.01B
Operating Cash Flow	1.02T	864.42B	1.05T	806.90B	772.70B
Investing Cash Flow	-192.11B	-427.55B	-178.34B	-181.19B	-322.47B
Financing Cash Flow	-719.48B	-1.01T	-634.68B	-614.33B	-486.96B

Mitsui & Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment

Positive

Last Price3120.00

Price Trends

50DMA

2993.84

Positive

100DMA

2895.21

Positive

200DMA

2969.93

Positive

Market Momentum

MACD

36.38

Negative

RSI

57.84

Neutral

STOCH

52.93

Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8031, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3120 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3057.87, above the 50-day MA of 2993.84, and above the 200-day MA of 2969.93, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 36.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8031.

Mitsui & Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (71)

Financial Indicators

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
8031	78 Outperform	¥8.90T	11.05	10.69%	3.22%	0.76%	-22.37%
Sector *	71 Outperform	¥257.35B	14.36	8.48%	2.83%	6.31%	12.01%
ITOCF	―	$76.32B	11.93	17.06%	2.53%	―	―
MARUF	―	$34.54B	9.84	14.30%	3.15%	―	―
MSBHF	―	$79.60B	12.91	8.85%	3.29%	―	―
SSUMF	―	$31.83B	7.61	13.26%	3.48%	―	―
TYHOF	―	$26.33B	9.38	14.15%	4.05%	―	―

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

JP:8031

Mitsui & Co

3,120.00

392.28

14.38%

ITOCF

Itochu

53.65

8.31

18.33%

MARUF

Marubeni

20.14

4.65

30.02%

MSBHF

Mitsubishi

20.60

2.14

11.59%

SSUMF

Sumitomo

26.38

5.70

27.56%

TYHOF

Toyota Tsusho

21.71

6.07

38.81%

Mitsui & Co Corporate Events

Mitsui & Co. Reports Decline in Q1 2025 Financial Performance

Aug 1, 2025

Mitsui & Co., Ltd. reported a decline in financial performance for the three-month period ended June 30, 2025, with significant decreases in revenue, profit before income taxes, and comprehensive income compared to the previous year. Despite the downturn, the company maintains a stable financial position with consistent equity ratios and is set to hold an investor relations meeting to discuss these results further.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8031) stock is a Hold with a Yen3500.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsui & Co stock, see the JP:8031 Stock Forecast page.

Mitsui Completes Treasury Stock Disposal for Director Remuneration

Jul 29, 2025

Mitsui & Co., Ltd. has completed the pay-in procedures for the disposal of 259,000 shares of treasury stock, valued at 738,150,000 yen, for restricted stock-based remuneration linked to tenure and performance. This move aligns with the company’s strategy to incentivize its directors, excluding external directors, and could potentially enhance its operational efficiency and stakeholder alignment.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8031) stock is a Hold with a Yen3500.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsui & Co stock, see the JP:8031 Stock Forecast page.

Mitsui & Co. Announces Disposal of Treasury Stock for Incentive Programs

Jul 3, 2025

Mitsui & Co., Ltd. announced the disposal of treasury stock as part of its restricted stock-based remuneration systems, aimed at incentivizing directors and executive committee members to enhance corporate value and performance. The initiative involves tenure-linked and performance-linked stock systems, with a total of 259,000 shares being disposed of to eligible directors, reflecting a strategic move to align management interests with long-term company goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8031) stock is a Hold with a Yen3500.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsui & Co stock, see the JP:8031 Stock Forecast page.

Mitsui & Co. Expands Investment in Australian Iron Ore Project

Jun 30, 2025

Mitsui & Co., Ltd. has announced a capital increase in its wholly owned subsidiaries to facilitate the acquisition of an interest in the Rhodes Ridge iron ore project in Australia. This strategic move, expected to be completed by March 2026, positions Mitsui to strengthen its foothold in the iron ore industry, with the financial impact already accounted for in its business plan.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8031) stock is a Hold with a Yen3500.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsui & Co stock, see the JP:8031 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2025