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Mitsui & CoLtd (JP:8031)
:8031
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Mitsui & Co (8031) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8031

Mitsui & Co

(8031)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
¥3,781.00
▲(1.37% Upside)
Mitsui & Co's stock score reflects a stable financial performance with strong technical indicators. The company's valuation is reasonable, and while the earnings call highlighted some challenges, strategic investments and a positive outlook in key segments provide potential for future growth. The stock's technical strength and fair valuation are the most significant factors driving the score.

Mitsui & Co (8031) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Mitsui & Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMitsui & Co., Ltd. operates as a general trading company worldwide. The company engages in the manufacture, export, and import of iron and steel products; automotive components; operation of steel processing service centers; trading of automotive, electrical, special, and stainless steel; manufacture, repair, and fabrication of wind turbine towers and flanges; gas distribution businesses; and coal mining, power generation, ferrous alloy, infrastructure maintenance, and water pumping activities. It also explores, develops, and produces oil, natural gas, and LNG; trades in petroleum products, crude oil, coal, uranium, and LNG; offers FPSO/FSO, fright car, truck, and locomotive leasing services; sells electric power facilities; and develops railway and transportation infrastructures. The company engages in logistics businesses; wholesale, retail, rental, and finance of construction and mining equipment; multimodal transportation, warehousing, and rolling stock leasing; sale, purchase, and leasing of aircraft and aero engines; leasing and financing activities; and development, process, and marketing of underground resources, and recycling of surface resources. It also provides electric-arc-furnace, construction materials processing, construction flat-rolled steel, shapes, bars, wire rods, and steel structure materials; methanol, ammonia, chlor-alkali, industrial, gas, and basic chemicals; salt; performance, advanced, specialty, and living, and environmental materials; agrochemicals and fertilizers, and animal and human nutrition products; refined sugar, oils and fats, proteins, grains, and food and beverage products; contract food services; and healthcare products. The company offers mobile communications; commodity derivative trading; venture investment and asset management services; real estate development, management, leasing, and brokerage services; and ship charter operation services. Mitsui & Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1947 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyMitsui & Co. generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily by acting as an intermediary in the trade of goods and services. This includes importing and exporting products across sectors such as chemicals, metals, and food. The company also engages in investment activities, including equity investments in various industries and joint ventures, which provide additional income through dividends and profit sharing. Mitsui's partnerships with local and international companies enhance its market reach and operational capabilities, allowing it to capitalize on emerging market opportunities. Furthermore, the company participates in project financing and development, particularly in infrastructure, energy, and resource extraction, contributing to its overall earnings through long-term contracts and service fees.

Mitsui & Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 01, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with notable achievements in cash flow and strategic investments, but faced significant challenges with profit decline and issues in the mineral and metal resources and renewable energy segments.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Core Operating Cash Flow (COCF)
Core operating cash flow increased by JPY0.5 billion year-over-year to JPY216.3 billion, showing good progress against the business plan.
Successful Investments and Strategic Initiatives
Investments such as making ITC Antwerp a wholly owned subsidiary and the start of investing in Blue Point, the low-carbon ammonia project, are progressing well, aligning with the medium-term management plan.
Strong Performance in Chemicals Segment
The chemicals segment saw an increase of JPY12.7 billion in profit to JPY30.9 billion, thanks to a valuation gain on ITC Antwerp and higher demand in Europe for crop protection.
Positive Outlook for Energy Segment
Despite a decrease in production volume, the energy segment is expected to contribute more in the upcoming quarters due to higher gas prices and strong performance in LNG projects.
Steady Progress in Key Strategic Initiatives
Multiple investments for growth are contributing to earnings, particularly in the areas of industrial business solutions, global energy transition, and wellness ecosystem creation.
Negative Updates
Significant Decline in Overall Profit
Profit for the quarter decreased by JPY84.5 billion year-over-year to JPY191.6 billion, primarily due to the absence of gains from asset sales recorded in the previous fiscal year.
Decreased Performance in Mineral and Metal Resources
Profit in the mineral and metal resources segment decreased by JPY29 billion to JPY51.5 billion, mainly due to lower iron ore and metallurgical coal prices.
Challenges in Renewable Energy Sector
The renewable energy business, particularly the mainstream business, is facing headwinds with slow progress in turnaround efforts and challenges in construction costs and FX impacts.
Loss in Metallurgical Coal Business
The metallurgical coal business experienced a loss in Q1 due to cost increases and decreased mining volume.
Company Guidance
During the call, MITSUI & CO., LTD. provided detailed guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026. Core operating cash flow (COCF) for Q1 increased by JPY0.5 billion year-over-year (YoY) to JPY216.3 billion, while profit declined by JPY84.5 billion YoY to JPY191.6 billion due to the absence of gains from asset sales recorded in the previous fiscal year. The company reported cash inflows totaling JPY270 billion, with JPY54 billion from asset recycling, and cash outflows for investments and loans amounting to JPY208 billion. Investments included ITC Antwerp, which became a wholly owned subsidiary, and the Blue Point low-carbon ammonia project. The energy and innovation segments are expected to contribute more significantly from Q2 onwards, with the full-year forecast showing potential upsides in these areas. MITSUI emphasized its strategic focus on industrial business solutions, global energy transition, and wellness ecosystem creation, while maintaining a shareholder returns policy consistent with previous announcements. The company aims to achieve the MTMP final year target with a net D/E ratio of 0.45x and a shareholder equity increase of JPY0.1 trillion to JPY7.6 trillion.

Mitsui & Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mitsui & Co exhibits a stable financial performance with some areas of concern. While profitability and operational efficiency are evident, declining revenue growth and cash flow challenges pose potential risks. The company's leverage is manageable, and it maintains a balanced capital structure, but attention to improving revenue and cash flow is necessary for sustained growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Mitsui & Co's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has a solid gross profit margin of 8.79% TTM, but the net profit margin has decreased to 6.14% TTM from 7.98% in the previous year. Revenue growth is negative at -3.68% TTM, indicating a decline in sales. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins remain stable, suggesting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.64 TTM, indicating manageable leverage. Return on equity is 11.82% TTM, showing a decline from the previous year but still demonstrating profitability. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced capital structure.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals some challenges. Free cash flow growth is negative at -1.25% TTM, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.28, indicating potential cash flow constraints. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy at 0.66, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.12T14.66T13.32T14.31T11.76T8.01T
Gross Profit1.26T1.29T1.32T1.40T1.14T811.47B
EBITDA821.95B1.65T1.28T1.23T1.08T553.18B
Net Income815.88B900.34B1.06T1.13T914.72B335.46B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.93T16.81T16.90T15.38T14.92T12.52T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.01T1.92T902.72B1.40T1.17T1.10T
Total Debt4.93T4.84T4.78T5.04T4.88T4.75T
Total Liabilities9.12T9.05T9.13T8.82T9.13T7.69T
Stockholders Equity7.60T7.55T7.54T6.37T5.61T4.57T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow662.99B671.37B569.65B819.47B621.37B557.01B
Operating Cash Flow994.65B1.02T864.42B1.05T806.90B772.70B
Investing Cash Flow-319.82B-161.99B-427.55B-178.34B-181.19B-322.47B
Financing Cash Flow-638.15B-749.60B-1.01T-634.68B-614.33B-486.96B

Mitsui & Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3730.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3586.83
Positive
100DMA
3284.58
Positive
200DMA
3046.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
54.38
Negative
RSI
58.68
Neutral
STOCH
82.52
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8031, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3730 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3715.95, above the 50-day MA of 3586.83, and above the 200-day MA of 3046.59, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 54.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.52 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8031.

Mitsui & Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$5.62T9.2813.26%2.80%4.25%59.51%
$4.52T12.3314.15%2.47%1.69%9.10%
$12.29T12.4217.06%2.26%2.83%22.27%
$10.61T12.9810.69%2.78%0.76%-22.37%
$13.94T18.308.85%2.72%-7.01%-17.06%
$6.12T11.5814.30%2.52%8.52%10.16%
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8031
Mitsui & Co
3,730.00
665.03
21.70%
JP:8001
Itochu
8,765.00
1,305.21
17.50%
JP:8002
Marubeni
3,698.00
1,450.91
64.57%
JP:8058
Mitsubishi
3,659.00
916.49
33.42%
JP:8053
Sumitomo
4,600.00
1,463.53
46.66%
JP:8015
Toyota Tsusho
4,456.00
1,900.89
74.40%

Mitsui & Co Corporate Events

Berkshire Hathaway Subsidiary Becomes Mitsui’s Largest Shareholder
Oct 9, 2025

Mitsui & Co., Ltd. announced that National Indemnity Company, a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., has become its largest shareholder, holding 10.12% of voting rights as of September 30, 2025. This change in shareholder structure may impact Mitsui’s strategic decisions and influence its market positioning, although the company has not verified the exact number of shares and has not provided specific future outlooks.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8031) stock is a Hold with a Yen3350.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsui & Co stock, see the JP:8031 Stock Forecast page.

Berkshire Hathaway Becomes Major Shareholder in Mitsui & Co.
Sep 22, 2025

Mitsui & Co., Ltd. announced a significant change in its shareholder structure as Berkshire Hathaway Inc., through its subsidiary National Indemnity Company, has acquired 10% or more of Mitsui’s voting rights, making it a major shareholder. This development could impact Mitsui’s operations and industry positioning, as Berkshire Hathaway plans to hold the shares long-term and may consider further acquisitions, potentially influencing Mitsui’s strategic decisions and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8031) stock is a Hold with a Yen3350.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsui & Co stock, see the JP:8031 Stock Forecast page.

Mitsui & Co. to Receive Significant Dividend from Subsidiary
Sep 9, 2025

Mitsui & Co., Ltd. announced that its subsidiary, MBK USA Holdings, Inc., will pay a dividend of 1 billion USD, impacting Mitsui’s non-consolidated financial results. The dividend will be recorded as income for the fiscal year ending March 2026, with minimal impact on consolidated results, highlighting Mitsui’s strategic financial management.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8031) stock is a Hold with a Yen3350.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsui & Co stock, see the JP:8031 Stock Forecast page.

Mitsui & Co. Reports Decline in Quarterly Profits
Aug 2, 2025

Mitsui & Co., Ltd. is a Japanese multinational company operating in various sectors including energy, machinery, chemicals, and more, with a focus on global trading and investment. In its latest earnings report for the three-month period ending June 30, 2025, Mitsui & Co. reported a decline in revenue and profits compared to the previous year. Revenue for the period stood at 3,299.9 billion yen, a decrease of 14.1% from the previous year, while profit attributable to owners of the parent fell by 30.6% to 191.6 billion yen. The company’s earnings per share also decreased to 66.68 yen from 92.43 yen. Mitsui & Co. faced challenges in its Mineral & Metal Resources and Energy segments, which contributed to the overall decline in financial performance. Despite these setbacks, the company maintained a stable financial position with total assets slightly increasing to 16,925.1 billion yen. Looking ahead, Mitsui & Co. remains cautious about the global economic environment, with concerns over geopolitical risks and market uncertainties. The company continues to focus on strategic investments and operational efficiencies to navigate these challenges.

Mitsui & Co. Reports Decline in Q1 2025 Financial Performance
Aug 1, 2025

Mitsui & Co., Ltd. reported a decline in financial performance for the three-month period ended June 30, 2025, with significant decreases in revenue, profit before income taxes, and comprehensive income compared to the previous year. Despite the downturn, the company maintains a stable financial position with consistent equity ratios and is set to hold an investor relations meeting to discuss these results further.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8031) stock is a Hold with a Yen3500.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsui & Co stock, see the JP:8031 Stock Forecast page.

Mitsui Completes Treasury Stock Disposal for Director Remuneration
Jul 29, 2025

Mitsui & Co., Ltd. has completed the pay-in procedures for the disposal of 259,000 shares of treasury stock, valued at 738,150,000 yen, for restricted stock-based remuneration linked to tenure and performance. This move aligns with the company’s strategy to incentivize its directors, excluding external directors, and could potentially enhance its operational efficiency and stakeholder alignment.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8031) stock is a Hold with a Yen3500.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsui & Co stock, see the JP:8031 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 09, 2025