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Marubeni Corporation (JP:8002)
:8002

Marubeni (8002) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8002

Marubeni

(8002)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
¥5,652.00
▲(10.50% Upside)
Marubeni's strong financial performance and technical momentum are the primary drivers of its stock score. While the company is financially robust, technical indicators suggest caution due to overbought conditions. Valuation is fair, providing a balanced risk-reward profile.
Positive Factors
Diversified business model across sectors
Marubeni's multi-sector sogo shosha model—trading, project development, upstream investments and logistics—provides diversified, recurring revenue streams. This structural diversification reduces dependence on any single commodity cycle and supports resilience across 2–6 month to multi-year cycles.
Strong free cash flow growth
A near 18% TTM free cash flow growth indicates durable cash generation capacity, enabling reinvestment in projects, dividend support, and balance sheet repair. Sustainable FCF helps fund longer-term investments and cushions cyclical downturns in commodity-linked businesses.
Solid capital structure and return on equity
Moderate leverage combined with a ~14% ROE and a 41.7% equity ratio indicates efficient capital use and financial flexibility. This structural balance supports project financing, strategic investments and dividend capacity while leaving room to absorb shocks over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Rising total debt
An uptick in total debt raises structural refinancing and interest-rate exposure risk. If higher leverage persists, it can constrain investment flexibility, elevate fixed costs and reduce resilience to commodity or project setbacks over the coming months unless matched by stronger cash generation or active deleveraging.
Decline in operating cash flow
Slipping operating cash flow signals weaker cash conversion from core activities, which can strain the funding of capex, project commitments and dividends. Persistent declines would undermine the recent FCF gains and limit ability to absorb cyclical pressures or repay rising debt.
Slight margin compression
A falling gross margin suggests rising input, logistics, or restructuring costs that compress profitability. Over several quarters, margin erosion can reduce operating cash and ROE, pressuring investment returns and making the business more sensitive to commodity and supply-chain volatility.

Marubeni (8002) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Marubeni Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMarubeni Corporation engages in various business activities worldwide. The company trades in grains, feed ingredients, compound feeds, foods, agricultural and fishery products, and fresh and processed meat; and apparel, footwear, lifestyle, and textile and industrial materials. It also provides agri-inputs, contracting services for fertilizer application and crop protection products, technical services, crop protection product formulations, fertilizers, and oilseeds; ICT and real estate services; petrochemicals and plastics, salts and chlor-alkalis, life science products, electronic materials, and inorganic mineral resources and chemicals; and wood chips, biomass fuels, pulp and waste papers, paper, paperboards, sanitary, and building and construction materials, as well as wood products. In addition, the company explores for, develops, and produces oil and gas; trades in, distributes, and markets petroleum and LPG; develops uranium, nuclear fuel cycle, iron ore, coal, and copper mines, as well as related equipment sales and services; smelts and refines aluminum and magnesium; trades in iron ore, coking coal, non-ferrous metals, ingots and related products, and steel products; and leases temporary steel construction materials. Further, it offers engineering, procurement, and construction, as well as operation and maintenance services for railway systems, water, industrial plants, and waste-to-energy power plants; energy and transportation infrastructure, and water business; and manages infrastructure funds, as well as engages in the power generation, renewable energy, power service and retail, natural gas, hydrogen, ammonia, municipal solid waste, and thermal energy storage businesses. Additionally, it owns, purchases, operates, leases, sells, and charters aerospace and ship products; and sells, trades in, leases, finances, and services construction and industrial machinery, and mobility products. The company was founded in 1858 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyMarubeni generates revenue through a diverse range of business activities, primarily by acting as an intermediary in the trading of goods and services across multiple sectors. Key revenue streams include the import and export of commodities such as food products, industrial equipment, and chemicals, as well as investments in infrastructure projects that yield returns over time. The company has established significant partnerships with various firms and governments, enabling it to participate in joint ventures and large-scale projects, particularly in the energy and infrastructure sectors. Additionally, Marubeni earns income from its investments in real estate and other financial instruments, further diversifying its revenue base.

Marubeni Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Marubeni demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is stable with manageable leverage, and cash flow generation is robust. However, there are areas for improvement, such as managing debt levels and maintaining cash flow growth.
Income Statement
80
Positive
Marubeni's income statement shows a stable revenue growth rate of 2.53% in the TTM period, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin of 14.46% and net profit margin of 6.51% reflect solid profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 5.46% and 7.97%, respectively, suggesting efficient operations. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin from the previous year indicates potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.73, indicating a balanced leverage position. Return on equity is strong at 14.37%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 41.74%, reflecting a solid capital structure. However, the increase in total debt over the past year could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Marubeni's cash flow statement highlights a robust free cash flow growth rate of 17.92% in the TTM period, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.19 and free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.67 suggest efficient cash conversion. However, the decline in operating cash flow from the previous year warrants attention.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.10T7.79T7.25T9.19T8.51T6.33T
Gross Profit1.14T1.15T1.07T1.05T895.33B675.42B
EBITDA695.00B616.02B505.96B578.30B457.11B307.84B
Net Income570.34B502.96B470.46B540.45B421.35B219.33B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.29T9.20T8.92T7.95T8.26T6.94T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments584.34B569.53B506.27B610.31B578.72B745.98B
Total Debt2.65T2.78T2.41T2.49T2.82T2.92T
Total Liabilities5.27T5.43T5.36T5.12T6.06T5.27T
Stockholders Equity3.88T3.63T3.46T2.73T2.10T1.57T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow397.96B420.39B289.10B502.07B210.11B272.98B
Operating Cash Flow557.51B597.95B442.47B606.33B311.92B397.07B
Investing Cash Flow-166.69B-367.03B-350.26B163.77B-82.88B-115.97B
Financing Cash Flow-291.37B-150.31B-238.33B-773.56B-416.42B-68.79B

Marubeni Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5115.00
Price Trends
50DMA
4526.78
Positive
100DMA
4124.38
Positive
200DMA
3495.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
182.61
Positive
RSI
66.51
Neutral
STOCH
61.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8002, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5115 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4935.50, above the 50-day MA of 4526.78, and above the 200-day MA of 3495.16, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 182.61 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 66.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8002.

Marubeni Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
¥5.94T16.0913.49%2.10%5.32%9.73%
77
Outperform
$7.56T12.4012.86%2.48%3.19%72.26%
74
Outperform
¥14.37T15.9511.47%2.28%-1.33%-7.40%
71
Outperform
¥8.57T14.8315.34%2.29%9.62%25.71%
68
Neutral
$15.33T14.8215.80%2.11%0.93%15.80%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
¥15.53T23.347.39%2.94%-7.54%-35.70%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8002
Marubeni
5,115.00
2,913.37
132.33%
JP:8001
Itochu
1,971.00
586.27
42.34%
JP:8031
Mitsui & Co
5,035.00
2,128.52
73.23%
JP:8058
Mitsubishi
4,097.00
1,722.03
72.51%
JP:8053
Sumitomo
6,249.00
3,053.57
95.56%
JP:8015
Toyota Tsusho
5,606.00
3,159.16
129.11%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025