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Mitsubishi Corporation (JP:8058)
:8058

Mitsubishi (8058) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8058

Mitsubishi

(8058)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
¥5,803.00
▲(9.18% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/07/26
The score is primarily driven by mixed financial performance: stable scale and improved leverage are offset by weaker margins/returns and a notable recent downshift in free cash flow and cash-to-debt coverage. Technicals are strong with an uptrend, but momentum is very overextended, increasing pullback risk. Valuation is moderate-to-rich on P/E, with the dividend providing some support.
Positive Factors
Diversified trading + operating model
Mitsubishi's broad sogo-shosha model spans commodities, industrials, energy, infrastructure and consumer goods, providing multiple, structurally different cash streams and risk diversification. This reduces firm-level reliance on any single cycle and supports durable fee, trading and investment income over months to years.
Improved balance-sheet resilience
Leverage has come down from earlier elevated levels and equity has been rebuilt, creating a more resilient capital structure. Lower relative leverage improves flexibility for project development, capital allocation and weathering commodity cycles, strengthening the firm's structural ability to invest or deleverage.
Positive free cash flow generation
Despite recent softness, Mitsubishi still generates positive operating and free cash flow that covers a sizable share of earnings. Persistent cash generation underpins dividends, reinvestment and asset recycling strategies, giving the company durable internal funding capacity over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Softening profitability margins
Compression in net and EBITDA margins reduces long-term earnings power and return on capital. Lower margins can persist through commodity or supply-chain stress, limiting cash available for reinvestment and shareholder returns and making results more sensitive to volume and pricing shifts.
Declining cash conversion and FCF downshift
A near-30% fall in FCF and weaker operating cash relative to debt signal deteriorating cash conversion quality. Reduced FCF constrains the company's ability to fund capex, dividends or buybacks without tapping financing, raising structural risk to liquidity and strategic investment over the coming months.
Cyclical, choppy earnings profile
Mitsubishi's earnings are exposed to commodity cycles, FX and portfolio shifts, producing uneven revenue and profit swings. This structural cyclicality makes forward earnings visibility limited and increases execution risk for multi‑year projects, complicating steady ROE and payout planning.

Mitsubishi (8058) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Mitsubishi Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMitsubishi Corporation engages in the natural gas, industrial materials, petroleum and chemicals, mineral resources, industrial infrastructure, automotive and mobility, food and consumer industry, power solution, and urban development businesses worldwide. The company's Natural Gas segment is involved in the natural gas/oil exploration, production, and development, as well as liquified natural gas businesses. Its Industrial Materials segment invests in, develops, and trades in carbon, steel products, and performance materials for the automobile and mobility, construction, and infrastructure industries. The company's Petroleum & Chemicals segment invests in, develops, and trades in crude oil and oil products, LPG, ethylene, methanol, salt, ammonia, plastics, and fertilizers. Its Mineral Resources segment invests in and develops metallurgical coal, copper, iron ore, and aluminum resources. The company's Industrial Infrastructure segment trades in energy infrastructure, industrial plants, machinery tools, agricultural machinery, mining machinery, elevators, escalators, ships, and aerospace related equipment. Its Automotive & Mobility segment produces, finances, and sells passenger and commercial cars; and mobility services. The company's Food Industry segment develops and sells food resources, fresh foods, consumer goods, and food ingredients. Its Consumer Industry segment engages in supplying products and services a range of fields, including retail & distribution, logistics, healthcare, apparel, and tire, etc. The company's Power Solution segment generates, transmits, and retails power; supplies power generating and transmitting products and equipment; develops and sells lithium-ion battery; develops hydrogen; and offers battery services. Its Urban Development segment engages in the leasing; and urban infrastructure and real estate development, operation, and management businesses. The company was incorporated in 1950 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyMitsubishi Corporation generates revenue through multiple key streams, including trading activities, investment income, and service provisions across its diversified business segments. The company engages in the import and export of goods, capitalizing on its international trading relationships to facilitate transactions in commodities such as metals, energy, and agricultural products. Additionally, Mitsubishi invests in various ventures and projects, earning returns from holdings in companies across different sectors, including automotive and real estate. Their partnerships with other firms and government entities enhance their market presence and create opportunities for joint ventures, further contributing to their financial performance. The company also earns income through logistics and financial services, providing value-added solutions to its clients. Overall, Mitsubishi Corporation's diverse business model and strategic investments enable it to generate steady revenue streams and maintain a competitive edge in the global market.

Mitsubishi Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement is solid but softening (TTM revenue +2.5% while net and EBITDA margins declined). Balance sheet leverage is moderate and improved versus prior years, though leverage has ticked up versus the most recent annual level and ROE is down to ~8.1% from the 2022–2024 range. Cash flow is the main drag: FCF remains positive but fell sharply (~-29%) and cash-to-debt coverage weakened.
Income Statement
72
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is slightly higher (+2.54%), but profitability has softened versus the last annual period: net margin fell to ~4.0% (from ~5.1%) and EBITDA margin declined to ~6.2% (from ~7.6%). Longer term, the company shows a strong rebound from 2021’s low-profit year to materially higher earnings in 2022–2025, but growth has been choppy with periods of revenue contraction, reflecting a more cyclical/volatile earnings profile.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Leverage is moderate in TTM (debt at ~0.82x equity) and improved meaningfully versus earlier years when debt was above equity (>1.0x in 2021–2022). Equity has built over time, supporting balance-sheet resilience, but total debt remains sizable in absolute terms and leverage has ticked up from the most recent annual level (~0.57x), which is a mild negative. Returns on equity are solid but not exceptional in TTM (~8.1%) and below the stronger 2022–2024 range (~10–15%).
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) cash generation is positive (operating cash flow and free cash flow both positive), and free cash flow covers a meaningful portion of earnings (~62%). However, free cash flow declined sharply (about -29% growth) and cash conversion weakened versus the last annual period (operating cash flow relative to debt fell to ~0.12 from ~0.28), indicating more pressure from working capital, capex, or timing effects. Cash flow quality is acceptable, but the recent downshift lowers confidence in near-term cash momentum.
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.36T18.62T19.57T21.57T17.26T12.88T
Gross Profit1.58T1.84T2.36T2.56T2.15T1.61T
EBITDA1.14T1.41T1.48T1.69T1.45T687.64B
Net Income731.23B950.71B964.03B1.18T937.53B172.55B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets23.94T21.50T23.46T22.15T21.91T18.63T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.54T1.65T1.35T1.69T1.71T1.48T
Total Debt7.44T5.34T5.69T6.56T7.24T7.18T
Total Liabilities14.08T11.34T13.36T13.03T14.05T12.10T
Stockholders Equity9.10T9.37T9.04T8.07T6.88T5.61T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow571.11B1.27T826.84B1.48T662.01B628.57B
Operating Cash Flow922.89B1.66T1.35T1.93T1.06T1.02T
Investing Cash Flow-458.38B-273.94B-205.76B-177.47B-167.55B-357.30B
Financing Cash Flow-342.90B-1.53T-1.09T-1.77T-693.40B-691.18B

Mitsubishi Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5315.00
Price Trends
50DMA
4323.64
Positive
100DMA
3994.72
Positive
200DMA
3529.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
272.31
Negative
RSI
79.03
Negative
STOCH
80.57
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8058, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5315 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5008.30, above the 50-day MA of 4323.64, and above the 200-day MA of 3529.16, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 272.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 79.03 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.57 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8058.

Mitsubishi Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$9.64T18.6215.34%2.29%9.62%25.71%
71
Outperform
¥16.75T16.7215.80%2.11%0.93%15.80%
70
Outperform
¥7.23T19.3813.49%2.10%5.32%9.73%
69
Neutral
¥7.66T13.7812.86%2.48%3.19%72.26%
68
Neutral
¥20.14T27.847.39%2.94%-7.54%-35.70%
67
Neutral
¥17.00T19.9211.47%2.28%-1.33%-7.40%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8058
Mitsubishi
5,315.00
2,846.21
115.29%
JP:8001
Itochu
2,154.00
829.31
62.60%
JP:8002
Marubeni
5,757.00
3,392.38
143.46%
JP:8031
Mitsui & Co
5,959.00
3,263.83
121.10%
JP:8053
Sumitomo
6,327.00
3,001.09
90.23%
JP:8015
Toyota Tsusho
6,823.00
4,351.51
176.07%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026