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Itochu Corporation (JP:8001)
:8001

Itochu (8001) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8001

Itochu

(8001)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,306.00
▲(16.41% Upside)
Itochu's overall stock score of 68 reflects its strong financial performance and reasonable valuation. The company's stable profitability and efficient operations are significant strengths, although the slight decline in revenue and free cash flow growth warrants monitoring. The technical analysis suggests a mixed outlook, with short-term weakness but a longer-term uptrend. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data limits additional insights.
Positive Factors
Diversified trading model and global footprint
Itochu's broad sector exposure and global trading footprint reduce dependence on any single market or product cycle. Diversification plus numerous subsidiaries and JVs provides multiple revenue sources, cross-selling and geographic optionality that support more stable earnings across months.
High return on equity
A reported ROE of 16.1% indicates efficient deployment of shareholders' capital and strong profit generation versus equity. Sustained high ROE supports reinvestment, dividend capacity and long-term shareholder returns, reflecting durable operational effectiveness across business lines.
Solid cash conversion with balanced leverage
Operating cash flow above reported earnings and a robust FCF/net income ratio signal disciplined cash conversion. Combined with a moderate debt-to-equity profile, this preserves financial flexibility for capex, investments or distributions without materially increasing liquidity risk over the medium term.
Negative Factors
TTM revenue slowdown
A recurring top-line decline of ~1.5% TTM suggests weakening demand or marginable trading volumes in core segments. If this trend continues, it can constrain scale benefits, reduce operating leverage and limit funds available for strategic initiatives or reinvestment over the next several months.
Declining free cash flow growth
A 4.5% fall in FCF growth reduces internally generated funding for capex, acquisitions and shareholder returns. Persistent FCF erosion often reflects working-capital or margin pressures and can force increased external financing or slower buybacks/dividend growth, weakening medium-term cash resilience.
Conglomerate complexity can hinder capital allocation
Wide-ranging operations and numerous JV structures increase managerial and reporting complexity, complicating capital allocation and performance transparency. Over time this can dilute focus, slow strategic decisions and make it harder to consistently allocate capital to highest-return opportunities.

Itochu (8001) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Itochu Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionITOCHU Corporation engages in trading and importing/exporting various products worldwide. The company's Textile segment produces and sells fiber and garment materials, textiles fabrics, apparel, and industrial materials; and imports lifestyle brands, fashion accessories, and garments in various areas, such as luxury, casual, and sports. Its Machinery segment provides engineering, procurement, and construction services; operates water and environmental, infrastructure, renewable energy, oil and gas, petrochemical, and independent power producer projects and plants; sells and leases aircraft and related equipment; sells automobiles, construction machinery, electronic systems, industrial machinery, and medical devices; and owns and charters ships. The company's Metals & Minerals segment engages in mining and trading of iron ore, coal, uranium, base metals, and minor metals; trading in non-ferrous metal materials; and processing and trading in steel products. Its Energy & Chemicals segment trades in crude oil, petroleum products, LPG, LNG, natural gas, hydrogen, organic and inorganic chemicals, synthetic resins, household goods, fine chemicals, pharmaceuticals, and electronic materials, as well as generates and trades in power. The company's Food segment produces, distributes, and retails food products. Its General Products & Realty segment produces and sells paper, pulp, natural rubber, tire, and wood products and materials; develops and operates real estate properties, such as housing, logistics facilities, and other projects; and offers logistics services. The company's ICT & Financial Business segment offers IT solutions, Internet related and venture capital services, mobile telephone equipment and services, BPO, broadcasting and communications, entertainment and content services, outsourcing services for healthcare and preventive medicine, and financial and insurance brokerage services. The company was founded in 1858 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyItochu generates revenue through a diversified revenue model, primarily focused on trading and investment activities. Key revenue streams include the sale of goods across its various sectors, such as textiles, machinery, and food products, where the company acts as an intermediary between manufacturers and consumers. Additionally, Itochu earns income through its investments in companies and joint ventures, often involving profit-sharing arrangements. The company's strategic partnerships with global firms and its presence in emerging markets also contribute significantly to its earnings, allowing it to capitalize on growth opportunities and leverage synergies in different industries. Furthermore, Itochu's financial services and logistics solutions add to its revenue, enhancing its overall business portfolio.

Itochu Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Itochu's financial performance is solid, with stable profitability and efficient operations. Despite a slight decline in revenue and free cash flow growth, the company maintains healthy margins and a balanced leverage profile. The strong return on equity and stable cash conversion efficiency further support its financial strength.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Itochu's income statement shows a stable gross profit margin of around 16% and a net profit margin of approximately 6.4% in the TTM period. However, the revenue growth rate has slightly declined by 1.5% in the TTM, indicating a potential slowdown in sales. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.75, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity is strong at 16.1%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 38.9%, suggesting a solid equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a slight decline in free cash flow growth by 4.5% in the TTM, which could be a concern. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is stable at 1.09, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 0.78, indicating good cash conversion efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.68T14.72T14.03T13.95T12.29T10.36T
Gross Profit2.42T2.38T2.23T2.13T1.94T1.78T
EBITDA1.46T1.36T1.29T1.25T1.28T968.57B
Net Income942.09B880.25B801.77B800.52B820.27B401.43B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.59T15.13T14.49T13.11T12.15T11.18T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments625.77B589.49B689.06B688.80B724.83B598.88B
Total Debt4.55T4.62T4.40T4.01T3.92T4.22T
Total Liabilities8.96T8.84T8.50T7.65T7.39T7.31T
Stockholders Equity6.06T5.76T5.43T4.82T4.20T3.32T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow806.92B804.64B775.56B743.98B644.02B730.88B
Operating Cash Flow1.03T997.28B978.11B938.06B801.16B895.90B
Investing Cash Flow-531.61B-516.27B-205.99B-453.81B38.64B-207.30B
Financing Cash Flow-514.73B-525.00B-801.17B-500.08B-846.71B-728.77B

Itochu Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1981.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1948.10
Positive
100DMA
1848.86
Positive
200DMA
1677.86
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
6.33
Positive
RSI
47.72
Neutral
STOCH
30.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8001, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1981 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2027.13, above the 50-day MA of 1948.10, and above the 200-day MA of 1677.86, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 6.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8001.

Itochu Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$7.56T12.4012.86%2.48%3.19%72.26%
76
Outperform
¥1.07T10.6811.17%3.24%2.12%18.93%
74
Outperform
¥14.37T15.9511.47%2.28%-1.33%-7.40%
71
Outperform
¥8.57T14.8315.34%2.29%9.62%25.71%
68
Neutral
¥15.33T14.8215.80%2.11%0.93%15.80%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
¥15.53T23.347.39%2.94%-7.54%-35.70%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8001
Itochu
1,981.00
596.27
43.06%
JP:8002
Marubeni
4,963.00
2,761.37
125.42%
JP:8031
Mitsui & Co
4,952.00
2,045.52
70.38%
JP:8058
Mitsubishi
4,081.00
1,706.03
71.83%
JP:8053
Sumitomo
6,057.00
2,861.57
89.55%
JP:2768
Sojitz
5,444.00
2,449.28
81.79%

Itochu Corporate Events

ITOCHU Reports Progress on Share Repurchase Program
Nov 4, 2025

ITOCHU Corporation announced the progress of its share repurchase program, initiated by the Board of Directors on May 2, 2025, under the Companies Act of Japan. As of October 31, 2025, ITOCHU has repurchased a total of 15,473,000 shares, amounting to approximately 123 billion yen, as part of its plan to buy back up to 28 million shares by the end of the year. This strategic move is expected to enhance shareholder value and optimize the company’s capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8001) stock is a Buy with a Yen10890.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Itochu stock, see the JP:8001 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025