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Itochu Corporation (JP:8001)
:8001

Itochu (8001) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8001

Itochu

(8001)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,284.00
▲(9.89% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/08/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (healthy margins/ROE and manageable leverage) but is tempered by a recent TTM revenue decline and sharply weaker free-cash-flow growth. Technicals are supportive with a clear uptrend above major moving averages, while valuation is fair (P/E ~16) with a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified global sogo shosha model
ITOCHU's broad sogo shosha model spans textiles, machinery, metals, energy, food, ICT and finance, combining trading, logistics, financing and equity stakes. This diversification reduces single-market cyclicality and supports durable fee, trading and investment income over cycles.
Negative Factors
Recent revenue decline
A ~7.5% TTM revenue decline signals softer demand or pricing in core trading channels. For a diversified trading-investment conglomerate, persistent top-line weakness can translate into lower trading margins and reduced equity-method income, pressuring durable earnings and reinvestment capacity.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified global sogo shosha model
ITOCHU's broad sogo shosha model spans textiles, machinery, metals, energy, food, ICT and finance, combining trading, logistics, financing and equity stakes. This diversification reduces single-market cyclicality and supports durable fee, trading and investment income over cycles.
Read all positive factors

Itochu (8001) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Itochu Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
ITOCHU Corporation engages in trading and importing/exporting various products worldwide. The company's Textile segment produces and sells fiber and garment materials, textiles fabrics, apparel, and industrial materials; and imports lifestyle bran...
How the Company Makes Money
Itochu generates revenue through a diversified revenue model, primarily focused on trading and investment activities. Key revenue streams include the sale of goods across its various sectors, such as textiles, machinery, and food products, where t...

Itochu Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2024
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook, with strong financial performance in key sectors, record-high cash flows, and continued shareholder returns. However, some challenges remain in specific segments such as Metals & Minerals, Energy & Chemicals, and General Products & Realty, which experienced profit declines.
Positive Updates
Increase in Consolidated Net Profit
Consolidated net profit increased by 6% or ¥25.5 billion year-on-year to ¥438.4 billion, achieving 50% of the annual forecast.
Negative Updates
Metals & Minerals Profit Decline
Profit in Metals & Minerals declined due to deteriorating profitability in Marubeni Itochu Steel's North American business and operational issues in coking coal companies.
Read all updates
Q2-2025 Updates
Negative
Increase in Consolidated Net Profit
Consolidated net profit increased by 6% or ¥25.5 billion year-on-year to ¥438.4 billion, achieving 50% of the annual forecast.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the first half of FYE2025, Itochu Corporation reported a 6% year-on-year increase in consolidated net profit, reaching ¥438.4 billion and achieving 50% of its annual forecast. Core profit rose by ¥12.5 billion to ¥396 billion, marking the second-highest level after FYE2023. Operating cash flows set a record at ¥578.6 billion, driven by stable performance in sectors like The 8th, Machinery, and Food. Core operating cash flows also hit a new high at ¥513 billion. Despite challenges in the resource sector, the company offset negative impacts with strong performances in non-resource sectors and a weaker yen, maintaining a robust profit level. Total shareholders' equity increased by approximately ¥170 billion to ¥5.6 trillion, and the NET DER improved slightly to 0.47x. The company maintained its commitment to shareholder returns with a total payout ratio of 50% and a dividend per share of ¥200, alongside a significant share buyback initiative of ¥150 billion. Looking ahead, Itochu aims to enhance its profit base through growth investments while maintaining a strong financial foundation.

Itochu Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are solid but not without near-term pressure. Profitability and returns are healthy (TTM gross margin ~16.6%, net margin ~6.2%, ROE ~16%) and leverage is manageable (debt-to-equity ~0.9). Offsetting this, TTM revenue is down ~7.5% YoY and free cash flow momentum is weak (FCF down materially vs prior period; OCF-to-debt ~0.21x), implying more cyclical/volatile cash generation.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.67T14.72T14.03T13.95T12.29T10.36T
Gross Profit2.43T2.38T2.23T2.13T1.94T1.78T
EBITDA1.14T867.48B871.47B863.52B736.21B558.43B
Net Income909.07B880.25B801.77B800.52B820.27B401.43B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.55T15.13T14.49T13.11T12.15T11.18T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments553.82B594.68B622.48B619.27B630.39B556.98B
Total Debt5.73T5.46T5.21T4.78T4.69T5.04T
Total Liabilities9.66T8.84T8.50T7.65T7.39T7.31T
Stockholders Equity6.31T5.76T5.43T4.82T4.20T3.32T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow778.08B804.64B775.56B743.98B644.02B730.88B
Operating Cash Flow1.01T997.28B978.11B938.06B801.16B895.90B
Investing Cash Flow-398.93B-562.02B-593.84B-399.04B24.54B-739.07B
Financing Cash Flow-676.55B-479.24B-413.33B-554.85B-832.61B-196.99B

Itochu Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2078.50
Price Trends
50DMA
2093.73
Negative
100DMA
2001.97
Positive
200DMA
1805.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-21.02
Positive
RSI
48.43
Neutral
STOCH
59.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8001, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2078.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2082.33, below the 50-day MA of 2093.73, and above the 200-day MA of 1805.83, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -21.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8001.

Itochu Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥9.48T14.1113.39%2.29%9.62%25.71%
71
Outperform
¥16.04T16.8715.23%2.11%0.93%15.80%
69
Neutral
¥7.12T15.1012.86%2.48%3.19%72.26%
68
Neutral
¥21.43T13.187.39%2.94%-7.54%-35.70%
67
Neutral
¥18.23T17.6811.47%2.28%-1.33%-7.40%
65
Neutral
¥1.21T7.2011.17%3.24%2.12%18.93%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8001
Itochu
2,062.00
649.19
45.95%
JP:8002
Marubeni
5,661.00
3,181.75
128.34%
JP:8031
Mitsui & Co
6,390.00
3,454.92
117.71%
JP:8058
Mitsubishi
5,655.00
2,944.89
108.66%
JP:8053
Sumitomo
5,887.00
2,351.34
66.50%
JP:2768
Sojitz
6,366.00
3,014.79
89.96%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 08, 2026