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KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD. (JP:7809)
:7809
Japanese Market

KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD. (7809) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7809

KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD.

(7809)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,510.00
▲(1.21% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:10/18/25
KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD. scores well due to its strong financial performance and reasonable valuation. While technical indicators suggest neutral momentum, the company's solid cash flow and profitability provide a stable foundation for future growth. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events does not impact the overall score.
Positive Factors
Consistent revenue growth
Sustained ~15% reported revenue growth indicates expanding product demand and effective commercialization of IP-linked items. That pace supports longer-term capacity investments, broader distribution and recurring product lines, reducing reliance on single-hit releases for near-term revenue.
Negative Factors
Margin pressures (EBIT/EBITDA declines)
Reported declines in EBIT and EBITDA margins point to rising cost or mix headwinds. If persistent, margin compression would reduce reinvestment capacity and cash available for licensing, R&D and marketing, making long-term profitability more sensitive to cost control and product mix.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Consistent revenue growth
Sustained ~15% reported revenue growth indicates expanding product demand and effective commercialization of IP-linked items. That pace supports longer-term capacity investments, broader distribution and recurring product lines, reducing reliance on single-hit releases for near-term revenue.
Read all positive factors

KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD. (7809) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Kotobukiya Co., Ltd. engages in the planning, product development, design work, manufacturing, management, and sales of hobby-related goods in Japan and internationally. The company provides plastic figures, plastic models, character goods, books,...
How the Company Makes Money
KOTOBUKIYA makes money primarily by monetizing character and hobby demand through the sale of planned and branded products, most notably plastic model kits and figures. Revenue is generated when the company (1) designs and plans products (original...

KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD. exhibits solid financial health with consistent revenue growth, strong profitability, and effective cash flow management. However, slight declines in EBIT and EBITDA margins and moderate reliance on debt financing pose potential risks.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
80
Positive
BreakdownJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.50B16.38B18.10B14.29B9.54B
Gross Profit5.24B5.07B6.12B5.48B3.65B
EBITDA2.78B2.80B3.57B3.10B1.73B
Net Income1.09B1.10B1.76B1.62B679.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.46B12.04B11.52B10.63B8.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.32B2.96B3.24B1.96B1.85B
Total Debt3.23B3.07B2.89B3.47B3.57B
Total Liabilities5.42B4.83B5.16B5.85B5.23B
Stockholders Equity8.04B7.22B6.36B4.78B3.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow842.94M-55.46M2.11B425.98M813.59M
Operating Cash Flow1.98B1.06B3.15B1.16B1.58B
Investing Cash Flow-1.67B-1.38B-1.21B-913.05M-955.01M
Financing Cash Flow-105.77M-65.84M-765.88M-197.20M-477.84M

KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1492.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1417.80
Negative
100DMA
1473.89
Negative
200DMA
1558.20
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-15.31
Negative
RSI
44.94
Neutral
STOCH
81.81
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7809, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1492 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1375.35, above the 50-day MA of 1417.80, and below the 200-day MA of 1558.20, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -15.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.81 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:7809.

KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
¥36.28B9.473.63%2.20%2.39%
70
Outperform
¥11.46B10.362.70%9.10%27.73%
63
Neutral
¥247.57B43.092.18%10.50%27.82%
62
Neutral
¥2.55T18.6915.67%1.94%9.86%-1.06%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
53
Neutral
¥114.53B32.5362.69%-37.72%
52
Neutral
¥49.75B49.416.00%-184.09%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7809
KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD.
1,368.00
-26.54
-1.90%
JP:7832
BANDAI NAMCO Holdings
3,939.00
-872.60
-18.14%
JP:4343
AEON Fantasy Co., Ltd.
2,515.00
-172.34
-6.41%
JP:6238
FURYU CORP.
1,326.00
471.68
55.21%
JP:7867
Tomy Company, Ltd.
2,761.50
-205.97
-6.94%
JP:9166
GENDA Inc.
610.00
-490.00
-44.55%

KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD. Corporate Events

Kotobukiya Posts Solid First Half and Lifts FY2026 Outlook as Global Expansion Advances
Feb 13, 2026
Kotobukiya reported consolidated net sales of ¥8.37 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥395 million for the six months ended Dec. 31, 2025, its first disclosed semiannual results under the new quarterly reporting syst...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 18, 2025