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KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD. (JP:7809)
:7809
Japanese Market
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KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD. (7809) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7809

KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD.

(7809)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,463.00
▼(-1.94% Downside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:10/18/25
KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD. scores well due to its strong financial performance and reasonable valuation. While technical indicators suggest neutral momentum, the company's solid cash flow and profitability provide a stable foundation for future growth. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events does not impact the overall score.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Robust operating cash flow and rising free cash flow provide durable financial flexibility. This strengthens the company’s ability to fund product development, service debt, and support distribution and DTC expansion without relying heavily on external capital, aiding multi‑quarter stability.
Negative Factors
Margin compression risk
A decline in operating and EBITDA margins points to emerging cost pressure or less favorable product mix. If structural (higher input or royalty costs, pricing limits), these trends could erode profitability and constrain reinvestment and cash returns over the next several quarters unless addressed.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Robust operating cash flow and rising free cash flow provide durable financial flexibility. This strengthens the company’s ability to fund product development, service debt, and support distribution and DTC expansion without relying heavily on external capital, aiding multi‑quarter stability.
Read all positive factors

KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD. (7809) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Kotobukiya Co., Ltd. operates globally, managing the entire lifecycle of hobby-related merchandise, from conceptualization and design through production, inventory management, and distribution. Their diverse product offerings include collectible p...
How the Company Makes Money
KOTOBUKIYA makes money primarily by developing and selling character-based hobby products. Its core revenue stream is product sales of figures and plastic model kits (including original-brand items and products based on licensed entertainment IP),...

KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD. exhibits solid financial health with consistent revenue growth, strong profitability, and effective cash flow management. However, slight declines in EBIT and EBITDA margins and moderate reliance on debt financing pose potential risks.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
80
Positive
BreakdownJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.50B16.38B18.10B14.29B9.54B
Gross Profit5.24B5.07B6.12B5.48B3.65B
EBITDA2.78B2.80B3.57B3.10B1.73B
Net Income1.09B1.10B1.76B1.62B679.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.46B12.04B11.52B10.63B8.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.32B2.96B3.24B1.96B1.85B
Total Debt3.23B3.07B2.89B3.47B3.57B
Total Liabilities5.42B4.83B5.16B5.85B5.23B
Stockholders Equity8.04B7.22B6.36B4.78B3.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow842.94M-55.46M2.11B425.98M813.59M
Operating Cash Flow1.98B1.06B3.15B1.16B1.58B
Investing Cash Flow-1.67B-1.38B-1.21B-913.05M-955.01M
Financing Cash Flow-105.77M-65.84M-765.88M-197.20M-477.84M

KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1492.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1336.98
Negative
100DMA
1386.74
Negative
200DMA
1504.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.56
Negative
RSI
49.22
Neutral
STOCH
34.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7809, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1492 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1325.75, above the 50-day MA of 1336.98, and below the 200-day MA of 1504.30, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.56 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:7809.

KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥262.27B22.512.18%8.08%-27.93%
73
Outperform
¥2.36T16.3215.67%1.94%8.60%10.04%
70
Outperform
¥11.15B11.332.70%6.15%-14.63%
69
Neutral
¥37.13B17.543.63%1.04%26.51%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
53
Neutral
¥111.20B41.0753.43%1.83%
51
Neutral
¥48.82B17.666.93%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7809
KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD.
1,337.00
-176.43
-11.66%
JP:7832
BANDAI NAMCO Holdings
3,594.00
-1,140.93
-24.10%
JP:4343
AEON Fantasy Co., Ltd.
2,492.00
-94.89
-3.67%
JP:6238
FURYU CORP.
1,364.00
437.92
47.29%
JP:7867
Tomy Company, Ltd.
2,947.00
-140.85
-4.56%
JP:9166
GENDA Inc.
590.00
-186.00
-23.97%

KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD. Corporate Events

Kotobukiya Posts First Quarterly Consolidated Results and Holds FY2026 Guidance
May 15, 2026
Kotobukiya reported consolidated net sales of ¥11.99 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥323 million for the nine months ended March 31, 2026, its first disclosed set of quarterly consolidated results. The company pos...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 18, 2025