KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD. (JP:7809)
:7809
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KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD.
(7809)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,459.00
▼(-2.21% Downside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:10/18/25
KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD. scores well due to its strong financial performance and reasonable valuation. While technical indicators suggest neutral momentum, the company's solid cash flow and profitability provide a stable foundation for future growth. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events does not impact the overall score.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Generation
Sustained free cash flow growth provides durable funding for product development, licensing fees, shop and ecommerce expansion, and debt servicing. Strong cash conversion also cushions the business through IP release cycles and supports reinvestment without relying on external financing.
Negative Factors
Margin Pressure
Eroding operating margins suggest cost pressures or weaker product mix that can persist if not addressed. Over time, margin compression reduces retained earnings available for R&D, marketing, and capex, and magnifies the impact of revenue variability tied to IP release timing.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Generation
Sustained free cash flow growth provides durable funding for product development, licensing fees, shop and ecommerce expansion, and debt servicing. Strong cash conversion also cushions the business through IP release cycles and supports reinvestment without relying on external financing.
Read all positive factors
KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD. (7809) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥11.11B
Dividend Yield2.7%
Average Volume (3M)12.42K
Price to Earnings (P/E)11.4
Beta (1Y)0.59
Revenue Growth6.15%
EPS Growth-14.63%
CountryJP
Employees190
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryLeisure
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)136.23
Shares Outstanding8,550,900
10 Day Avg. Volume10,650
30 Day Avg. Volume12,420
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-6.43
Price to Book (P/B)1.52
Price to Sales (P/S)0.74
P/FCF Ratio14.50
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)160.9
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥19.10B
KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Kotobukiya Co., Ltd. engages in the planning, product development, design work, manufacturing, management, and sales of hobby-related goods in Japan and internationally. The company provides plastic figures, plastic models, character goods, books,...
How the Company Makes Money
KOTOBUKIYA makes money primarily by developing and selling character-based hobby products. Its core revenue stream is product sales of figures and plastic model kits (including original-brand items and products based on licensed entertainment IP),...
KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
80
Positive
| Breakdown | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 | Jun 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 16.50B | 16.38B | 18.10B | 14.29B | 9.54B |
| Gross Profit | 5.24B | 5.07B | 6.12B | 5.48B | 3.65B |
| EBITDA | 2.78B | 2.80B | 3.57B | 3.10B | 1.73B |
| Net Income | 1.09B | 1.10B | 1.76B | 1.62B | 679.91M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 13.46B | 12.04B | 11.52B | 10.63B | 8.47B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 3.32B | 2.96B | 3.24B | 1.96B | 1.85B |
| Total Debt | 3.23B | 3.07B | 2.89B | 3.47B | 3.57B |
| Total Liabilities | 5.42B | 4.83B | 5.16B | 5.85B | 5.23B |
| Stockholders Equity | 8.04B | 7.22B | 6.36B | 4.78B | 3.24B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 842.94M | -55.46M | 2.11B | 425.98M | 813.59M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.98B | 1.06B | 3.15B | 1.16B | 1.58B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.67B | -1.38B | -1.21B | -913.05M | -955.01M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -105.77M | -65.84M | -765.88M | -197.20M | -477.84M |
KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD. Technical Analysis
Neutral
1492.00
Price Trends
1347.64
Negative
1404.05
Negative
1522.46
Negative
Market Momentum
-8.31
Negative
50.22
Neutral
59.29
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7809, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1492 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1321.75, above the 50-day MA of 1347.64, and below the 200-day MA of 1522.46, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -8.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:7809.
KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | ¥277.47B | 23.96 | ― | 2.18% | 8.08% | -27.93% | |
73 Outperform | ¥2.40T | 16.86 | 15.67% | 1.94% | 8.60% | 10.04% | |
70 Outperform | ¥11.11B | 11.40 | ― | 2.70% | 6.15% | -14.63% | |
69 Neutral | ¥35.02B | 16.74 | ― | 3.63% | 1.04% | 26.51% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
53 Neutral | ¥98.24B | 26.86 | ― | ― | 52.78% | -7.69% | |
51 Neutral | ¥49.85B | 17.69 | ― | ― | 6.93% | ― |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
JP:7809
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KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD. Corporate Events
Kotobukiya Posts First Quarterly Consolidated Results and Holds FY2026 Guidance
May 15, 2026
Kotobukiya reported consolidated net sales of ¥11.99 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥323 million for the nine months ended March 31, 2026, its first disclosed set of quarterly consolidated results. The company pos...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.