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Nikon Corp. (JP:7731)
:7731

Nikon (7731) AI Stock Analysis

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Nikon

(OTC:7731)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,545.00
▲(5.14%Upside)
Nikon's overall stock score reflects a balanced view of its financial resilience and strategic guidance against its high valuation and mixed technical indicators. Strengths include a stable equity position and positive guidance for FY 2026, while high P/E ratio and challenges in free cash flow generation present concerns.

Nikon (7731) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Nikon Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNikon Corporation manufactures and sells optical instruments in Japan, North America, Europe, China, Thailand, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Imaging Products Business, Precision Equipment Business, and Healthcare Business. The Imaging Products Business segment develops, manufacture, sells, and services digital SLR cameras, compact digital cameras, and interchangeable camera lenses. The Precision Equipment Business segment provides FPD lithography systems and semiconductor lithography systems. The Healthcare Business segment offers biological microscopes, cell culture observation systems, and ultra-wide field retinal imaging devices. In addition, the company provides industrial microscopes, measuring instruments, non-contact 3D metrology systems, X-ray/CT inspection systems, and surveying instruments; and customized products, glass, encoders, and ophthalmic lenses. Further, it offers photomask substrates, camera components, sport optics products, and molded optical glasses; and develops and supports computer software. Nikon Corporation was incorporated in 1917 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyNikon makes money through several revenue streams. The primary source of revenue is its Imaging Products Business, which includes the sale of digital cameras, interchangeable camera lenses, and accessories. The Precision Equipment Business is another significant contributor, providing equipment for semiconductor manufacturing and FPD (Flat Panel Display) production. The Healthcare Business also generates revenue through the sale of microscopes, ophthalmic lenses, and other medical-related products. Additionally, Nikon benefits from its Industrial Metrology and Others segment, offering products and services for industrial measurement solutions. Strategic partnerships, technological innovations, and global distribution networks further bolster Nikon's financial performance.

Nikon Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.72%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While there were significant achievements, such as revenue growth in the Imaging Products and Digital Manufacturing businesses, as well as a positive outlook for FY 2026, these were overshadowed by substantial declines in the semiconductor-related businesses, significant one-time costs, and reduced dividends. The sentiment remains cautious due to these challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Imaging Products Business Growth
Revenue increased by ¥15.6 billion to ¥295.3 billion, driven by strong demand for new wireless cameras and a weaker yen.
Digital Manufacturing Business Revenue Increase
Revenue increased by ¥2.3 billion to ¥23.3 billion, with a 33% year-on-year growth in NXG sales, largely directed to the space and defense sector.
Healthcare Business Profit Improvement
Despite a revenue decline of ¥1.4 billion, operating profit is forecast to rise by ¥1.8 billion to ¥8.5 billion due to cost optimization and higher life science solutions margins.
Shareholder Returns
Completed a ¥30 billion share buyback, with a total shareholder return ratio of 765.8% last fiscal year.
Positive Outlook for FY 2026
Anticipated operating profit of ¥36 billion, a significant ¥33.6 billion increase from the previous year, driven by improved profitability and the absence of last year’s one-time costs.
Negative Updates
Semiconductor-Related Business Decline
Decline in semiconductor lithography system sales, leading to a revenue drop of ¥17.4 billion in Precision Equipment Business.
One-Time Costs Impact
Recorded ¥27.2 billion in one-time costs, significantly reducing profit.
Imaging Products Profit Decline
Operating profit declined by ¥5.2 billion due to sluggish cinema industry conditions and fixed asset impairment losses.
Precision Equipment Business Challenges
Revenue fell by ¥17.4 billion, with operating profit down by ¥7.5 billion compared to forecast due to one-time costs and delays in market recovery.
Digital Manufacturing Operating Losses
Operating losses widened by ¥1.2 billion year-on-year to ¥15.2 billion due to increased costs from lower production volume and upfront investments.
Dividend Reduction
Annual dividend revised downward by ¥5 to ¥50 per share.
Company Guidance
During the call, Nikon provided detailed guidance for the fiscal year 2026, projecting revenue of ¥710 billion, operating profit of ¥36 billion, and a profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥30 billion. They expect growth in components and digital manufacturing, despite potential revenue stagnation due to a stronger yen and weaker semiconductor lithography sales. The absence of previous year's ¥27.2 billion one-time costs, asset sales, and restructuring effects are anticipated to contribute to a significant ¥33.6 billion increase in operating profit. Nikon plans to maintain a dividend of ¥50 per share, consistent with the previous year, and projects a shareholder return ratio of 54.8% for the current fiscal year. They also reported sector-specific forecasts, including steady revenue in imaging products at ¥295 billion and a revenue decline in precision equipment by ¥16.9 billion to ¥185 billion, while healthcare revenue is expected to fall to ¥115 billion, with improved profitability. The digital manufacturing segment anticipates revenue growth to ¥33 billion, driven by SLM solutions in aerospace and defense. The call highlighted Nikon's ongoing focus on restructuring, cost optimization, and strategic investment to bolster long-term growth and profitability.

Nikon Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nikon shows strong financial resilience with a solid equity position and positive operating cash flow. However, declining revenues, volatile profitability, and challenges in converting profits into free cash flow are areas that need improvement.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Nikon's revenue has experienced fluctuations, with a notable decline in the most recent year. The gross profit margin remains strong, but EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown volatility, particularly with a significant dip in EBIT in 2021. Net profit margin has been positive, but shrinking net income in recent years is a concern.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
Nikon maintains a solid equity base, with a high equity ratio indicating stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the decrease in stockholders' equity and total assets over time signals potential financial weakness.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow is positive, but free cash flow has been negative in recent years, indicating capital expenditure challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, but the free cash flow to net income ratio shows a need for improvement in cash generation relative to profits.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue875.49B715.28B717.25B628.11B539.61B451.22B
Gross Profit328.85B288.18B310.05B289.17B236.07B155.91B
EBITDA83.64B52.57B86.17B86.83B71.01B-17.85B
Net Income19.55B6.12B32.57B44.94B42.68B-34.50B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.04T1.11T1.15T1.05T1.04T989.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments325.26B163.59B206.64B212.58B371.23B352.98B
Total Debt139.29B193.57B166.71B134.02B130.06B134.07B
Total Liabilities510.58B471.29B462.02B431.92B439.60B451.01B
Stockholders Equity528.98B637.98B683.79B614.97B597.68B537.59B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow77.14B-3.90B-24.45B-33.01B7.53B-18.13B
Operating Cash Flow99.68B48.26B30.77B15.00M31.35B4.97B
Investing Cash Flow-91.16B-69.99B-41.41B-112.15B-385.00M18.02B
Financing Cash Flow-16.46B-19.81B-8.94B-56.21B-26.15B-4.99B

Nikon Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1469.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1435.77
Positive
100DMA
1473.14
Negative
200DMA
1569.19
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
15.21
Negative
RSI
53.06
Neutral
STOCH
67.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7731, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1469.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1453.40, above the 50-day MA of 1435.77, and below the 200-day MA of 1569.19, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 15.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:7731.

Nikon Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$465.60B83.390.91%3.31%-0.27%-81.19%
61
Neutral
AU$2.84B27.235.13%5.33%2.35%-31.70%
$12.11B30.417.32%1.54%
$3.27B37.922.69%1.26%
83
Outperform
¥94.15B13.80
4.02%-2.75%-7.80%
77
Outperform
¥145.15B10.22
9.21%14.84%20.61%
75
Outperform
¥176.02B9.33
3.64%4.28%47.52%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7731
Nikon
1,469.50
-169.26
-10.33%
SHMDF
Shimano
139.14
-14.72
-9.57%
YAMCF
Yamaha
6.82
-0.68
-9.07%
JP:7458
Daiichikosho Co., Ltd.
1,611.50
-0.09
>-0.01%
JP:7740
Tamron Co., Ltd.
886.00
-139.67
-13.62%
JP:7839
Shoei Co. Ltd. (7839)
1,773.00
-156.84
-8.13%

Nikon Corporate Events

Nikon Completes Treasury Stock Disposal for Remuneration Plans
Jun 18, 2025

Nikon Corporation has completed the payment procedures for the disposal of treasury stock as part of its restricted stock and performance-based stock remuneration plans. This strategic move, resolved at the Board of Directors meeting on May 19, 2025, involves the disposal of a total of 190,908 shares of common stock, which is expected to impact the company’s financial structuring and align the interests of its directors and officers with company performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7731) stock is a Buy with a Yen2000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nikon stock, see the JP:7731 Stock Forecast page.

Nikon Announces Disposal of Treasury Stock for Remuneration
May 19, 2025

Nikon Corporation has announced its decision to dispose of treasury stock as part of its restricted and performance-based stock remuneration systems. This move is intended to align the interests of its directors and officers with the company’s medium-term management goals and enhance corporate value. The disposal involves a significant number of shares and is part of a broader strategy to replace previous stock compensation systems, aiming to promote greater value sharing with shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7731) stock is a Buy with a Yen2000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nikon stock, see the JP:7731 Stock Forecast page.

Nikon Reports Higher-than-Expected Profit Due to Tax Revisions
May 8, 2025

Nikon Corporation announced a slight difference between its consolidated financial forecast and actual results for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025. While revenue, operating profit, and profit before tax were mostly in line with forecasts, a revision of estimated tax expenses for a subsidiary led to a significant increase in profit attributable to owners of the parent, surpassing expectations by 36.1%.

Nikon Reports Fiscal Year 2025 Results Amid Strategic Restructuring
May 8, 2025

Nikon Corporation reported its consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, showing a slight decrease in revenue by 0.3% to 715,285 million yen. The company experienced a significant drop in operating profit by 93.9% and profit before tax by 89.4%, attributed to various market challenges. Despite these declines, Nikon has made strategic moves by acquiring RED Digital Cinema, Inc. and restructuring its operations, which may impact its future positioning in the industry.

Nikon Revises Financial Forecasts Amid One-Time Costs and Market Challenges
Apr 28, 2025

Nikon has announced the recognition of one-time costs totaling ¥14.2 billion due to revised business plans in response to changes in customer investments and a sluggish semiconductor market. This has led to a downward revision of its consolidated financial and dividend forecasts for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025. The company’s revenue is expected to fall slightly short of previous forecasts, with significant declines in operating profit and profit before tax attributed to underperformance in its Imaging Products and Digital Manufacturing Businesses. Consequently, the year-end dividend per share has been adjusted from ¥30 to ¥25, reflecting the anticipated decline in profit attributable to owners.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 27, 2025