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Nikon Corp. (JP:7731)
:7731
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Nikon (7731) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7731

Nikon

(7731)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,653.00
▼(-13.70% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/24/26
The score is held down primarily by weakened financial performance—operating and net losses alongside negative operating and free cash flow—while the balance sheet provides only partial offset. Technical indicators also point to a weak downtrend (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation support is limited because the company is currently loss-making, though the ~2.36% dividend yield is a modest positive.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet strength
Nikon’s balance sheet shows moderate leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.42) and a sizable equity base, providing financial flexibility to absorb short-term cash burn, fund capital spending or R&D, and support operations over the next several months while profitability recovers.
Negative Factors
Weak cash generation
Recent negative operating cash flow and materially negative free cash flow indicate ongoing cash burn, limiting internal funding for capex and working capital. Sustained weak cash generation forces greater reliance on the balance sheet or external funding, constraining strategic flexibility over coming months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance sheet strength
Nikon’s balance sheet shows moderate leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.42) and a sizable equity base, providing financial flexibility to absorb short-term cash burn, fund capital spending or R&D, and support operations over the next several months while profitability recovers.
Read all positive factors

Nikon (7731) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Nikon Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Nikon Corporation manufactures and sells optical instruments in Japan, North America, Europe, China, Thailand, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Imaging Products Business, Precision Equipment Business, and Healthcare Busines...
How the Company Makes Money
Nikon makes money primarily by selling hardware products and related accessories and by providing services tied to those products. A major revenue stream comes from imaging products, including sales of camera bodies (e.g., interchangeable-lens cam...

Nikon Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 08, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture, with some growth in imaging products and digital manufacturing, but significant challenges in semiconductor-related business and profitability due to one-time costs and strategic investments. The outlook anticipates improved profitability, but current performance fell short of expectations.
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth in Imaging Products and Healthcare
Revenue from imaging products increased by ¥15.6 billion, reaching ¥295.3 billion, driven by strong demand in China and new wireless cameras. Healthcare also saw growth, with strong performance in eye care solutions.
Negative Updates
Decline in Semiconductor-Related Business
Sales in the semiconductor lithography system declined, leading to a ¥17.4 billion drop in overall precision equipment business revenue.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Revenue Growth in Imaging Products and Healthcare
Revenue from imaging products increased by ¥15.6 billion, reaching ¥295.3 billion, driven by strong demand in China and new wireless cameras. Healthcare also saw growth, with strong performance in eye care solutions.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the call, Nikon provided guidance for the fiscal year 2026, projecting revenue of ¥710 billion, operating profit of ¥36 billion, and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥30 billion. The company anticipates a significant ¥33.6 billion increase in operating profit due to improved profitability, the absence of ¥27.2 billion in one-time costs from the previous year, and gains from sales of idle assets. However, a projected ¥10 billion negative impact on operating profit due to U.S. tariffs is not included in the forecast. Nikon plans to maintain the dividend at ¥50 per share, the same as last year, and anticipates a shareholder return ratio of 54.8% for the current fiscal year. The company aims to increase its market presence in areas like digital manufacturing, with expectations of a revenue increase in the segment by ¥9.7 billion to ¥33 billion, driven by growth in large format metal 3D printers. Additionally, Nikon plans to streamline operations in the semiconductor lithography business to achieve stable profits in future years.

Nikon Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are pressured: profitability deteriorated to an operating loss and sizable net loss (income statement score 38) and cash generation weakened materially with negative operating cash flow and deeply negative free cash flow (cash flow score 28). The balance sheet is comparatively steadier with moderate leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.42) and sizable equity (balance sheet score 64), but negative returns and rising leverage add risk if losses persist.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue686.52B715.28B717.25B628.11B539.61B451.22B
Gross Profit281.05B293.77B296.23B277.73B225.97B145.24B
EBITDA37.35B61.00B77.66B87.00B71.46B2.59B
Net Income-87.36B6.12B32.57B44.94B42.68B-34.50B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.10T1.11T1.15T1.05T1.04T989.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments157.92B163.59B206.64B211.34B370.28B351.80B
Total Debt244.07B206.54B184.10B158.10B153.10B147.63B
Total Liabilities522.20B471.29B462.02B431.92B439.60B451.01B
Stockholders Equity576.22B637.98B683.79B614.97B597.68B537.59B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-45.40B-3.90B-8.45B-23.12B13.37B-12.00B
Operating Cash Flow-6.17B48.26B30.77B15.00M31.35B4.97B
Investing Cash Flow-46.94B-69.99B-49.28B-112.15B-385.00M18.02B
Financing Cash Flow41.81B-19.81B-1.07B-56.21B-26.15B-4.99B

Nikon Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1915.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1934.13
Negative
100DMA
1870.27
Positive
200DMA
1738.84
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.21
Positive
RSI
46.82
Neutral
STOCH
18.51
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7731, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1915.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1941.58, below the 50-day MA of 1934.13, and above the 200-day MA of 1738.84, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.51 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:7731.

Nikon Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
¥180.48B14.213.47%-3.85%-17.22%
67
Neutral
¥496.37B11.823.68%2.35%-4.10%-9.03%
63
Neutral
¥110.22B43.704.78%1.53%-62.93%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
45
Neutral
¥523.43B-1.551.29%2.88%-2.07%-762.80%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7731
Nikon
1,680.00
203.18
13.76%
JP:7951
Yamaha
1,116.50
101.64
10.02%
JP:7740
Tamron Co., Ltd.
1,076.00
309.74
40.42%
JP:7944
Roland Corporation
4,105.00
1,062.84
34.94%

Nikon Corporate Events

Nikon to Unlock Pension Surplus With Partial Termination of Retirement Benefit Trust
Feb 25, 2026
Nikon has decided to partially terminate its retirement benefit trust after determining that total pension assets, including the trust, exceed its retirement benefit obligations and are expected to remain sufficient. The move reflects a solid fund...
Nikon Reshapes Top Leadership Ahead of New Medium-Term Plan
Feb 12, 2026
Nikon has approved a leadership reshuffle effective April 1, 2026, aligning its top management with the launch of a new medium-term management plan running through March 2031. The changes are intended to support the company’s strategic shift...
Nikon Takes Major Impairment Hit on Digital Manufacturing and Metal 3D Printing Assets
Feb 5, 2026
Nikon has booked substantial impairment losses in its digital manufacturing business, recognizing a total of ¥90.6 billion in impairment charges on goodwill and other non-financial assets in its consolidated accounts for the third quarter of ...
Nikon Slashes Earnings and Dividend Outlook, Executives Forfeit Performance Pay
Feb 5, 2026
Nikon has sharply revised its consolidated forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, now projecting a substantial operating loss and net loss instead of the modest profit previously expected, driven by weaker sales in its Imaging Product...
Nikon Cuts Full‑Year Outlook as Profitability Deteriorates Across Core Businesses
Feb 5, 2026
Nikon reported consolidated financial data for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, showing group revenue of ¥512.6 billion and operating profit of ¥8.1 billion, both down sharply year on year, with the company revising its full&#820...
Nikon Swings to Heavy Loss and Cuts Forecasts While Trimming Group Structure
Feb 5, 2026
Nikon reported a sharp downturn for the nine months to December 31, 2025, with revenue falling 5.6% year-on-year to ¥483.9 billion and swinging to an operating loss of ¥103.6 billion, compared with a profit a year earlier, resulting in a...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 24, 2026