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Nikon Corp. (JP:7731)
:7731
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Nikon (7731) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7731

Nikon

(7731)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,942.00
▲(1.38% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is held back primarily by weakened financial performance—loss-making results and negative free cash flow in the latest year—despite a balance sheet that is not heavily levered. Technicals are a positive offset with strong momentum and price strength vs. moving averages, though overbought signals add risk. Valuation is mixed, with a negative P/E driven by losses and only a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified business model
Nikon generates revenue from consumer imaging and industrial/precision businesses plus after‑sales services and bundled software. This diversification spreads demand risk across end markets, supports recurring service revenue, and helps stabilize top‑line exposure over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Profitability deterioration
The shift from prior profitable years to an operating loss and large net loss signals structural margin pressure from weaker mix, cost increases or one‑offs. Sustained negative profitability erodes retained earnings and undermines the company's ability to fund strategic initiatives without external support.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified business model
Nikon generates revenue from consumer imaging and industrial/precision businesses plus after‑sales services and bundled software. This diversification spreads demand risk across end markets, supports recurring service revenue, and helps stabilize top‑line exposure over multiple quarters.
Read all positive factors

Nikon (7731) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Nikon Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Nikon Corporation manufactures and sells optical instruments in Japan, North America, Europe, China, Thailand, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Imaging Products Business, Precision Equipment Business, and Healthcare Busines...
How the Company Makes Money
Nikon primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling hardware, along with related accessories and services, across consumer imaging and industrial/precision domains. A major revenue stream comes from its Imaging business, where it sells interc...

Nikon Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture, with some growth in imaging products and digital manufacturing, but significant challenges in semiconductor-related business and profitability due to one-time costs and strategic investments. The outlook anticipates improved profitability, but current performance fell short of expectations.
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth in Imaging Products and Healthcare
Revenue from imaging products increased by ¥15.6 billion, reaching ¥295.3 billion, driven by strong demand in China and new wireless cameras. Healthcare also saw growth, with strong performance in eye care solutions.
Negative Updates
Decline in Semiconductor-Related Business
Sales in the semiconductor lithography system declined, leading to a ¥17.4 billion drop in overall precision equipment business revenue.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Revenue Growth in Imaging Products and Healthcare
Revenue from imaging products increased by ¥15.6 billion, reaching ¥295.3 billion, driven by strong demand in China and new wireless cameras. Healthcare also saw growth, with strong performance in eye care solutions.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the call, Nikon provided guidance for the fiscal year 2026, projecting revenue of ¥710 billion, operating profit of ¥36 billion, and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥30 billion. The company anticipates a significant ¥33.6 billion increase in operating profit due to improved profitability, the absence of ¥27.2 billion in one-time costs from the previous year, and gains from sales of idle assets. However, a projected ¥10 billion negative impact on operating profit due to U.S. tariffs is not included in the forecast. Nikon plans to maintain the dividend at ¥50 per share, the same as last year, and anticipates a shareholder return ratio of 54.8% for the current fiscal year. The company aims to increase its market presence in areas like digital manufacturing, with expectations of a revenue increase in the segment by ¥9.7 billion to ¥33 billion, driven by growth in large format metal 3D printers. Additionally, Nikon plans to streamline operations in the semiconductor lithography business to achieve stable profits in future years.

Nikon Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Latest annual results show a sharp deterioration: revenue slightly down (~-1% YoY) but profitability swung to an operating loss and large net loss. Cash generation is also weak (operating cash flow slightly negative and free cash flow deeply negative), which increases liquidity strain. The balance sheet remains moderately levered (debt-to-equity ~0.22–0.37), providing some cushion, but equity has declined and returns turned sharply negative in 2026.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
29
Negative
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue677.16B715.28B717.25B628.11B539.61B
Gross Profit255.30B293.77B296.23B277.73B225.97B
EBITDA31.10B61.00B77.66B87.00B71.46B
Net Income-86.09B6.12B32.57B44.94B42.68B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.08T1.11T1.15T1.05T1.04T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments158.04B163.59B206.64B211.34B370.28B
Total Debt219.96B206.54B184.10B158.10B153.10B
Total Liabilities486.81B471.29B462.02B431.92B439.60B
Stockholders Equity586.78B637.98B683.79B614.97B597.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-40.98B-3.90B-8.45B-23.12B13.37B
Operating Cash Flow-4.44B48.26B30.77B15.00M31.35B
Investing Cash Flow-12.60B-69.99B-49.28B-112.15B-385.00M
Financing Cash Flow858.00M-19.81B-1.07B-56.21B-26.15B

Nikon Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1915.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1933.88
Positive
100DMA
1894.02
Positive
200DMA
1784.35
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
63.66
Negative
RSI
52.65
Neutral
STOCH
59.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7731, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1915.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1932.88, below the 50-day MA of 1933.88, and above the 200-day MA of 1784.35, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 63.66 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7731.

Nikon Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
¥168.81B14.713.47%-4.54%-15.36%
70
Neutral
¥119.37B17.644.78%4.15%-73.12%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
¥493.71B20.933.68%2.35%0.70%95.26%
52
Neutral
¥601.10B-7.221.29%2.88%-5.33%-1578.42%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7731
Nikon
1,923.00
581.19
43.31%
JP:7951
Yamaha
1,111.50
123.97
12.55%
JP:7740
Tamron Co., Ltd.
1,013.00
215.41
27.01%
JP:7944
Roland Corporation
4,565.00
1,499.07
48.89%

Nikon Corporate Events

Nikon Overhauls Director Stock Compensation to Align With New Strategy
May 18, 2026
Nikon has approved a proposal to revise its stock compensation system for directors who are not Audit and Supervisory Committee members, aligning incentives with a new medium-term management plan. The move adjusts restricted stock and performance ...
Nikon to Dispose of Treasury Stock for Performance-Based Executive Remuneration
May 18, 2026
Nikon has approved the disposal of 7,686 shares of its treasury stock, valued at approximately ¥17.4 million, to be used as performance-based stock remuneration for one director and 15 officers. The transaction, scheduled for June 17, 2026, i...
Nikon’s Profit Slumps as It Reshapes Portfolio and Cuts Dividend
May 8, 2026
Nikon reported consolidated revenue of ¥677.1 billion for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, down from ¥715.2 billion a year earlier, with operating profit slipping to ¥2.4 billion from ¥5.8 billion, reflecting pressure on o...
Nikon Swings to Loss but Targets Profit Recovery in FY2027
May 8, 2026
Nikon reported a sharp swing to a consolidated operating loss of ¥112.4 billion on revenue of ¥677.2 billion for the year to March 31, 2026, with profit attributable to owners turning to a ¥86.1 billion loss and basic earnings per s...
Nikon Books ¥11.3 Billion One-Off Charge on Weak Semiconductor Lithography Demand
Apr 30, 2026
Nikon said it will book one-time costs of ¥11.3 billion in its Precision Equipment Business for the March 2026 quarter, reflecting impairment losses on non-current assets and write-downs of long-held inventories after a downturn in its semico...
Nikon to Unlock Pension Surplus With Partial Termination of Retirement Benefit Trust
Feb 25, 2026
Nikon has decided to partially terminate its retirement benefit trust after determining that total pension assets, including the trust, exceed its retirement benefit obligations and are expected to remain sufficient. The move reflects a solid fund...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 15, 2026