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Shimano Inc. (JP:7309)
:7309

Shimano (7309) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7309

Shimano

(7309)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
¥18,158.00
▲(8.60% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is primarily supported by very strong balance-sheet quality and low financial risk, but it is held back by deteriorating profitability/cash flow trends and a high P/E multiple. Technical indicators add a modest negative tilt given below-trend pricing and sub-50 RSI.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Shimano’s extremely low leverage and large equity base materially reduce financial risk and provide durable financial flexibility. This balance sheet strength supports steady dividend capacity, funding for capex or product investment, and optionality for strategic moves without straining cash flow.
Negative Factors
Sharp margin compression
Material margin deterioration in 2025 signals weakening core profitability and lower operating leverage. If persistent, this reduces free cash generation and return on capital, constrains reinvestment or shareholder distributions, and may reflect structural pricing or cost pressures rather than a transient blip.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Shimano’s extremely low leverage and large equity base materially reduce financial risk and provide durable financial flexibility. This balance sheet strength supports steady dividend capacity, funding for capex or product investment, and optionality for strategic moves without straining cash flow.
Read all positive factors

Shimano (7309) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Shimano Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Shimano Inc. develops, produces, and distributes bicycle components, fishing tackles, and rowing equipment. The company also plans and develops lifestyle gear products, such as apparel items, shoes, bags, and related items. It has operations in Ja...
How the Company Makes Money
Shimano generates revenue primarily through the sale of cycling and fishing products. Its key revenue streams include the manufacturing and distribution of bicycle components, such as drivetrains, brakes, wheels, and accessories, which contribute ...

Shimano Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial strength is anchored by an exceptionally conservative balance sheet (very low leverage and large equity base), but operating performance has weakened: revenue declined two consecutive years and 2025 saw sharp margin compression. Cash flow remains positive and generally cash-backed, yet free cash flow fell materially from 2023 to 2025.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
93
Very Positive
Cash Flow
66
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue471.51B466.24B450.99B474.36B628.91B546.51B
Gross Profit175.00B166.62B172.30B182.51B265.64B240.46B
EBITDA87.73B78.89B90.12B107.59B190.15B167.04B
Net Income36.59B33.99B76.33B61.14B128.18B115.94B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets903.79B938.25B958.95B871.73B826.41B705.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments463.51B477.32B534.04B493.93B430.43B364.52B
Total Debt3.06B4.03B3.56B3.39B5.38B6.26B
Total Liabilities77.03B68.75B75.34B69.33B85.32B88.72B
Stockholders Equity825.76B868.26B882.40B801.17B740.11B615.99B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0028.26B50.21B89.78B90.44B96.28B
Operating Cash Flow0.0063.78B87.03B114.57B110.68B112.44B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-40.67B-35.81B-31.76B-33.38B-20.13B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-80.32B-49.48B-43.96B-58.42B-58.77B

Shimano Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price16720.00
Price Trends
50DMA
16960.50
Negative
100DMA
16611.50
Negative
200DMA
17234.22
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-163.63
Negative
RSI
45.18
Neutral
STOCH
33.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7309, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 16720 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16311.50, below the 50-day MA of 16960.50, and below the 200-day MA of 17234.22, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -163.63 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:7309.

Shimano Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
¥9.10B16.363.96%7.77%247.26%
79
Outperform
¥88.67B15.813.29%-9.58%-14.06%
75
Outperform
¥4.02B8.354.78%-11.24%-48.52%
63
Neutral
¥1.40T42.605.92%1.93%7.64%22.13%
62
Neutral
¥275.63B21.9215.93%0.72%20.06%17.89%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
49
Neutral
¥47.23B11.293.94%0.74%41.25%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7309
Shimano
16,295.00
-4,914.92
-23.17%
JP:7906
Yonex Co
3,175.00
696.68
28.11%
JP:7839
Shoei Co. Ltd. (7839)
1,652.00
-65.93
-3.84%
JP:7847
Graphite Design Inc.
622.00
-89.13
-12.53%
JP:7990
GLOBERIDE, Inc.
2,170.00
229.96
11.85%
JP:8135
ZETT CORP.
465.00
33.00
7.64%

Shimano Corporate Events

Shimano Weighs Cut to Investment Unit to Broaden Retail Access
Feb 10, 2026
Shimano said it recognizes that bringing its minimum investment unit below ¥500,000 would improve access for individual investors, but stressed that its primary objective remains the sustainable enhancement of corporate value. The company not...
Shimano Launches Up to ¥50 Billion Share Buyback to Boost Capital Efficiency
Feb 10, 2026
Shimano’s board has approved a new share buyback framework, authorizing the repurchase of up to 2.95 million common shares, equivalent to 3.4% of shares outstanding excluding treasury stock, for a maximum of ¥50 billion. The program wil...
Shimano Profit Slumps in FY2025 but Dividend and FY2026 Outlook Signal Resilience
Feb 10, 2026
Shimano reported a mixed FY2025, with consolidated net sales edging up 3.4% to ¥466.2 billion but operating income dropping 20.6% and net income attributable to owners of the parent plunging 55.5%, reflecting margin pressure and a sharp fall ...
Shimano Secures Final Court Approval in U.S. Crankset Lawsuit Settlement
Feb 4, 2026
Shimano Inc. said a U.S. court has granted final approval for a settlement in a lawsuit involving certain bonded 11-speed HOLLOWTECH II road cranksets sold by its subsidiary Shimano North America Holding in the United States, concluding a legal pr...
Shimano to Receive Significant Dividend from Singapore Subsidiary
Nov 19, 2025
Shimano Inc. announced it will receive a significant dividend from its consolidated subsidiary, Shimano (Singapore) Pte. Ltd., amounting to approximately 50,028 million yen. This dividend will be recorded as non-operating income in Shimano’s...
Shimano Announces Treasury Stock Cancellation
Nov 18, 2025
Shimano Inc. announced the cancellation of 1,180,000 shares of its treasury stock, which represents 1.35% of its total shares before cancellation. This strategic move, effective November 26, 2025, is likely to impact the company’s share valu...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026