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Yamaha Corporation (JP:7951)
:7951

Yamaha (7951) AI Stock Analysis

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Yamaha

(OTC:7951)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,128.00
▲(11.08%Upside)
Yamaha's overall stock score is influenced by strong financial health and positive earnings call sentiment. However, high valuation metrics and technical indicators reflecting neutral momentum temper the overall assessment. Strategic plans and operational efficiency improvements remain critical for future performance.

Yamaha (7951) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Yamaha Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionYamaha Corporation (7951) is a multinational corporation headquartered in Japan, recognized globally for its diverse range of products and services across several sectors. The company is primarily involved in the manufacturing and distribution of musical instruments, audio equipment, and electronic devices. Additionally, Yamaha has a significant presence in the motorcycle and marine industries through its affiliate Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd. Yamaha is renowned for its innovation and quality, making it a leading brand in both consumer and professional markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyYamaha Corporation makes money through a diversified revenue model that includes several key streams. A significant portion of its revenue comes from the sale of musical instruments, such as pianos, guitars, and drums, which are popular worldwide for their quality and craftsmanship. The company also generates income from audio equipment, including speakers and professional audio systems, serving both consumer and commercial clients. Another critical revenue stream is derived from the electronic devices segment, which encompasses a variety of products ranging from semiconductor manufacturing to industrial machinery. Furthermore, Yamaha benefits from its affiliation with Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd., which contributes to earnings through the sales of motorcycles, outboard motors, and other transportation products. Strategic partnerships and a strong global distribution network further enhance Yamaha's ability to reach diverse markets and maintain its competitive edge.

Yamaha Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.96%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 01, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in the Audio Equipment business and strategic financial management through reduced shareholdings. However, challenges persist in the musical instruments segment, notably in China, and there are concerns over U.S. tariffs and decreased net income due to restructuring costs. The new medium-term management plan aims to address these issues and drive future growth.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Performance in Audio Equipment
Significant profit growth in the Audio Equipment business, driven by strong B2B sales and structural reforms. The B2B business enjoyed double-digit growth driven by the booming entertainment market.
Core Operating Profit Increase
Core operating profit increased to ¥36.7 billion, with a 7.9% margin, driven by FX impacts and cost-saving measures.
Strategic Shareholdings Reduction
The ratio of strategic shareholdings reduced from 18.5% to 10.1% of total equity, indicating efforts to streamline financial management.
New Medium-Term Management Plan
A new plan, 'Rebuild and Evolve,' focusing on sustainable growth, strengthening business foundations, and exploring new business domains.
Revenue and Profit Forecast for 2026
Forecasts for the fiscal year ending March 2026: revenue of ¥455 billion, core operating profit of ¥40 billion at an 8.8% margin, and net profit of ¥28.5 billion.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Musical Instruments
Revenue decline in the musical instruments segment due to sluggish market conditions in China and softening global demand for pianos.
Impact of U.S. Tariffs
Uncertainty and potential negative impact due to new U.S. tariffs, with an estimated impact of ¥14 billion on core operating profit.
Decreased Net Income
Net income decreased mainly due to ¥14.3 billion in structural reform expenses, including impairment loss on piano manufacturing facilities.
Consumer Audio Revenue Decline
Consumer Products revenue declined due to downsizing in the Home Audio business.
Lack of Robust Supply Chain
Failure to establish a robust supply chain capable of adequately responding to soaring material and logistics costs.
Company Guidance
In the call, the company provided guidance for the fiscal year ending March 2026, projecting revenue of ¥455 billion and a core operating profit of ¥40 billion, with a margin of 8.8%. Despite the ongoing challenges in the Chinese market, they anticipate positive revenue growth in real terms due to a global recovery in musical instrument sales. The company plans to address the U.S. tariffs by optimizing prices and reducing costs, estimating a potential impact of ¥14 billion on core operating profit from tariffs. Segment forecasts include a 9.2% core operating profit margin for musical instruments, 8.8% for audio equipment, and 2.5% for other businesses. The dividend forecast is ¥26 per share, which would be ¥78 per share on a pre-stock split basis. They aim to achieve an ROE of 6.3% for the fiscal year, improving from 2.8% in the previous year.

Yamaha Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Yamaha's financial performance is solid, characterized by strong cost management and low leverage. However, profitability challenges are present due to declining net income and moderate operating margins. Cash flow indicators show resilience with recent improvements, but past volatility is a concern.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Yamaha's income statement shows stable revenue with a slight decline over the past year. The gross profit margin is robust at 38.1% for the latest annual period, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin decreased significantly from the previous year due to a drop in net income. The EBIT margin stands at 7.9%, reflecting moderate operating efficiency, while the EBITDA margin of 10.1% suggests decent earnings before accounting for depreciation and amortization.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet for Yamaha is strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04, indicating low leverage and financial stability. Return on equity is presently 3.0%, displaying a decline due to reduced net income. The equity ratio is high at 75.9%, suggesting a substantial portion of the company's assets are financed by shareholders' equity, which is a positive indicator of financial health.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Yamaha's cash flow statement shows a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio of 4.1, which suggests strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow growth rate is 54.6%, indicating significant improvement, although it follows a period of negative free cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 2.4, highlighting efficient conversion of earnings to cash.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue462.08B462.87B451.41B408.20B372.63B
Gross Profit176.14B171.08B171.14B154.72B142.91B
EBITDA46.82B59.21B70.26B61.19B54.79B
Net Income13.35B29.64B38.18B37.27B26.61B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets591.28B666.84B594.25B580.93B557.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments99.82B106.45B104.97B176.85B137.92B
Total Debt19.96B17.93B17.67B27.90B28.53B
Total Liabilities141.16B155.03B136.30B165.00B160.67B
Stockholders Equity448.83B510.59B456.84B414.77B395.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow32.35B20.92B-35.57B21.49B45.65B
Operating Cash Flow55.28B43.84B-14.84B36.02B58.23B
Investing Cash Flow8.11B-15.90B-21.56B43.71B-5.79B
Financing Cash Flow-63.14B-37.26B-35.29B-44.43B-20.60B

Yamaha Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1015.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1015.59
Negative
100DMA
1059.04
Negative
200DMA
1095.05
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.74
Negative
RSI
50.86
Neutral
STOCH
53.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7951, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1015.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1007.83, below the 50-day MA of 1015.59, and below the 200-day MA of 1095.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.74 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:7951.

Yamaha Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥81.84B12.59
5.43%-1.74%-11.79%
76
Outperform
¥1.79T29.237.32%1.65%3.37%-2.27%
75
Outperform
¥289.48B17.72
1.73%20.12%69.12%
72
Outperform
$493.62B36.972.69%2.55%-0.17%-54.29%
68
Neutral
$257.32B24.1016.08%0.07%18.75%20.42%
67
Neutral
¥253.34B13.186.44%2.78%5.06%-11.83%
51
Neutral
¥22.49B55.56
3.63%-9.07%-85.45%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7951
Yamaha
1,015.50
-170.67
-14.39%
JP:7867
Tomy Company, Ltd.
3,215.00
56.30
1.78%
JP:7944
Roland Corporation
3,090.00
-682.17
-18.08%
JP:7952
Kawai Musical Instruments Manufacturing Co., Ltd.
2,655.00
-580.45
-17.94%
JP:7906
Yonex Co
2,964.00
1,016.63
52.21%
JP:7309
Shimano
20,475.00
-3,648.99
-15.13%

Yamaha Corporate Events

Yamaha Completes Treasury Stock Disposal for Compensation
Jun 19, 2025

Yamaha Corporation has completed the payment for the disposal of treasury stock as part of its restricted stock compensation plan. This move involves the disposal of 446,400 shares of common stock, with a total disposal value of ¥451,087,200, and is aimed at compensating directors and officers, potentially impacting the company’s financial structure and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7951) stock is a Hold with a Yen1200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Yamaha stock, see the JP:7951 Stock Forecast page.

Yamaha Announces Treasury Stock Disposal for Restricted Stock Compensation
Jun 2, 2025

Yamaha Corporation has announced a decision to dispose of treasury stock as part of a Restricted Stock Compensation Plan aimed at promoting sustainable corporate value and shared value with shareholders. This plan involves granting monetary compensation to eligible directors and officers, allowing them to hold newly issued or disposed treasury stocks. The plan includes a clawback clause for accountability and performance conditions linked to financial, non-financial, and corporate value targets, with a three-year allotment period.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7951) stock is a Hold with a Yen1200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Yamaha stock, see the JP:7951 Stock Forecast page.

Yamaha Unveils ‘Rebuild & Evolve’ Plan to Navigate Dynamic Market Changes
May 8, 2025

Yamaha Corporation has announced its new medium-term management plan, ‘Rebuild & Evolve,’ which will guide the company from April 2025 for three years. This plan follows the ‘Make Waves 2.0’ initiative, which faced challenges due to rapid market changes and did not meet financial targets. The new plan aims to restore earnings to pre-pandemic levels, explore new business areas, and strengthen governance and human capital. Yamaha seeks to leverage technological innovations and evolving consumer behaviors to create unique value and expand its market presence.

Yamaha Announces Strategic Board Changes Ahead of Shareholders’ Meeting
May 8, 2025

Yamaha Corporation has announced changes in its board of directors, which will be proposed at the upcoming Ordinary General Shareholders’ Meeting on June 20, 2025. The changes include the appointment of Shuji Ito and Saimon Nogami as new outside directors, while Mikio Fujitsuka is set to resign. These management changes are expected to strengthen Yamaha’s governance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations positively.

Yamaha Corporation Reports Stable FY2025 Results Amid Market Challenges
May 8, 2025

Yamaha Corporation’s fiscal year 2025 results showed stable revenue, with strong performance in B2B audio equipment offsetting weak sales in musical instruments, particularly in China. Despite a decrease in net income due to restructuring expenses, the company anticipates revenue growth in the next fiscal year driven by a global recovery in musical instrument sales, although uncertainties remain regarding U.S. tariffs.

Yamaha Reports FY2025 Financial Results and FY2026 Outlook
May 8, 2025

Yamaha Corporation reported its financial results for FY2025, showing a slight decrease in revenue but an increase in core operating profit due to higher demand for business audio equipment and digital pianos, alongside the impact of yen depreciation. Despite challenges in the Chinese market affecting musical instrument sales, structural reforms and exchange rate benefits helped improve profitability. Looking ahead to FY2026, Yamaha forecasts a decrease in revenue but anticipates an increase in profit, driven by improved profitability in the musical instruments business, although uncertainties such as U.S. tariffs remain.

Yamaha Reports FY2025 Financial Results with Decline in Profits
May 8, 2025

Yamaha Corporation reported its consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, showing a slight decrease in revenue by 0.2% to ¥462,080 million. Despite a 9.1% increase in core operating profit, the company experienced a significant decline in operating profit and profit before income taxes by 28.6% and 40.3%, respectively. The company also conducted a 3-for-1 stock split, affecting earnings per share calculations. Cash flows from operating activities increased, while cash flows from financing activities saw a notable decrease. The dividend per share was adjusted in light of the stock split, with a forecasted reduction for the next fiscal year.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 05, 2025