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Yamaha Corporation (JP:7951)
:7951

Yamaha (7951) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7951

Yamaha

(OTC:7951)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,176.00
▲(18.70% Upside)
Yamaha's stock score is primarily driven by its solid financial stability and positive technical indicators. However, concerns about declining revenue and high valuation metrics temper the overall score. The absence of earnings call insights or notable corporate events means these factors did not influence the score.
Positive Factors
Financial Stability
Yamaha's low debt levels indicate conservative financial management, providing stability and flexibility to invest in growth opportunities.
Cash Generation
Improved cash generation enhances Yamaha's ability to fund operations, invest in new projects, and return value to shareholders.
Gross Profit Margin
A strong gross profit margin indicates efficient production and pricing strategies, supporting long-term profitability.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Declining revenue poses a risk to future profitability and market position, necessitating strategic adjustments to reverse the trend.
Net Profit Margin
A declining net profit margin indicates challenges in cost management or pricing, potentially impacting long-term earnings.
Earnings Conversion
Low conversion of earnings into cash suggests potential issues in cash flow management, which could affect liquidity and investment capacity.

Yamaha (7951) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Yamaha Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionYamaha Corporation (7951) is a diversified multinational company based in Japan, primarily known for its production of musical instruments, audio equipment, and electronics. Founded in 1887, Yamaha operates in several sectors including musical instruments, audio and visual equipment, and lifestyle products. Its core products include pianos, guitars, synthesizers, and a wide range of professional audio equipment, as well as musical software and services. Additionally, the company has a presence in the marine and robotics industries, further broadening its product offerings.
How the Company Makes MoneyYamaha generates revenue through multiple key streams. The largest share comes from its musical instruments division, which includes both traditional instruments like pianos and modern electronic instruments such as keyboards and synthesizers. The audio equipment segment, offering professional audio products, home theater systems, and portable audio devices, also contributes significantly to its earnings. Furthermore, Yamaha earns revenue from its AV (Audio-Visual) products, including receivers and sound systems. The company also benefits from licensing agreements and partnerships in music education and software development, which provide additional revenue opportunities. Seasonal sales, particularly during the holiday season, and the growth of online sales channels further enhance its revenue generation capabilities.

Yamaha Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 01, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted positive net profit forecasts and growth in certain musical instrument categories, alongside new product launches. However, significant challenges were noted, including revenue declines, impacts from tariffs and exchange rates, and weak sales in key areas such as pianos and audio equipment. The sentiment of the call reflects a cautious outlook due to these substantial challenges.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Net Profit Forecast
Net profit is forecasted to be JPY 22.5 billion, which represents an increase of JPY 9.1 billion year-on-year.
Structural Reforms in Piano Manufacturing
The positive impact from structural reforms in piano manufacturing amounted to JPY 600 million in Q1 and is expected to contribute a positive JPY 2 billion for the full year.
Strong Performance in Guitars and Other Instruments
Sales of wind, strings, percussion instruments, and guitars performed well, contributing to increased revenue in those categories. Guitars are expected to see double-digit growth at 111% year-on-year.
New Product Launches
Launched new products including digital panels, electronic drums, routers for corporate use, and condenser microphones, pursuing intrinsic product value refined through technology and sensitivity.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenue was JPY 103.9 billion, declining 7.4% year-on-year, with a 2.8% decline when excluding the impact of exchange rates.
Impact of Tariffs and Exchange Rates
Negative impact of JPY 1.1 billion due to exchange rates and JPY 1.8 billion due to additional tariffs in Q1. For the full year, a negative impact of JPY 3.1 billion from exchange rates and JPY 11.2 billion from tariffs is expected.
Audio Equipment Sales Decline
Marked decline in sales of audio equipment for professional use, especially in Europe, and a decrease in high-margin entertainment PA products.
Weak Piano Sales
Piano sales remained sluggish, with significant revenue decline expected in both the U.S. and China.
ROE and ROIC Challenges
ROE target revised downward to 5.0% due to tariffs and other factors, with a challenging forecasted ROIC of 4.9%.
Company Guidance
During the call discussing the financial results for the first quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026, several key metrics were highlighted. Revenue for the quarter was reported at JPY 103.9 billion, with a core operating profit of JPY 4.7 billion, resulting in an operating profit (OP) ratio of 4.5%. The net profit was JPY 2.4 billion, although this represented a decrease of JPY 7 billion year-on-year. The revenue declined by 7.4% compared to the previous year, but when excluding exchange rate impacts, the decline was 2.8%. For the full fiscal year, revenue is forecasted at JPY 452 billion, a decrease of JPY 10.1 billion year-on-year, with the core operating profit expected to be JPY 32 billion, down JPY 4.7 billion from the previous year. The OP ratio is projected at 7.1%, while net profit is forecasted to increase by JPY 9.1 billion to JPY 22.5 billion. The call also outlined expectations for business segments, with the musical instruments business projected to generate JPY 293 billion in revenue and the audio equipment business JPY 139 billion, each reflecting varying profit ratios. Despite challenges such as the appreciation of the yen, additional U.S. tariffs, and a decline in high-margin PA product sales, the company is implementing countermeasures and strategic investments to mitigate these impacts.

Yamaha Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Yamaha's financial statements reflect a company with strong balance sheet fundamentals but facing challenges in profitability and cash flow generation. The decline in revenue and profit margins, coupled with reduced cash flow growth, suggests potential headwinds. However, the low leverage and solid equity base provide a cushion against financial volatility.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Yamaha's income statement shows a stable gross profit margin around 38%, indicating consistent cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased significantly in the TTM period to 2.89% from previous years, reflecting reduced profitability. Revenue growth has been negative recently, which is a concern for future earnings potential. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, suggesting pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet is strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.044, indicating conservative leverage. Return on equity has decreased to 2.74% in the TTM period, reflecting lower profitability. The equity ratio remains healthy, suggesting a solid financial foundation with a high proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is stable, but the free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, indicating less cash being generated relative to net income. This could impact future investment and dividend capabilities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue450.31B462.08B462.87B451.41B408.20B372.63B
Gross Profit165.62B176.14B171.08B166.00B149.80B138.00B
EBITDA53.68B46.82B59.21B70.26B70.73B54.79B
Net Income17.84B13.35B29.64B38.18B37.27B26.61B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets598.44B591.28B666.84B594.25B580.66B557.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments111.81B105.02B106.45B103.89B172.50B129.34B
Total Debt21.52B19.96B17.93B17.67B27.90B28.53B
Total Liabilities137.16B141.17B155.03B136.30B163.79B160.66B
Stockholders Equity460.07B448.83B510.59B456.84B415.71B395.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow32.52B32.35B20.92B-35.57B21.49B45.65B
Operating Cash Flow50.93B55.28B43.84B-14.84B36.02B58.23B
Investing Cash Flow-7.51B8.11B-15.90B-21.56B43.71B-5.79B
Financing Cash Flow-54.94B-63.14B-37.26B-35.29B-44.43B-20.60B

Yamaha Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price990.70
Price Trends
50DMA
1034.24
Positive
100DMA
1015.91
Positive
200DMA
1027.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
13.32
Positive
RSI
59.65
Neutral
STOCH
53.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7951, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 990.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1067.78, below the 50-day MA of 1034.24, and below the 200-day MA of 1027.58, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 13.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7951.

Yamaha Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
¥93.35B13.464.76%-1.25%9.33%
68
Neutral
¥526.54B28.683.68%2.39%-4.47%-4.52%
65
Neutral
$1.44T28.975.92%1.94%7.64%22.13%
63
Neutral
¥245.06B15.242.19%10.50%27.82%
62
Neutral
¥278.24B23.7915.93%0.72%20.06%17.89%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
56
Neutral
¥20.86B26.163.91%-5.25%-4.95%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7951
Yamaha
1,087.50
20.51
1.92%
JP:7309
Shimano
16,695.00
-3,987.63
-19.28%
JP:7906
Yonex Co
3,205.00
1,169.24
57.43%
JP:7867
Tomy Company, Ltd.
2,733.50
-1,697.18
-38.31%
JP:7944
Roland Corporation
3,570.00
-245.04
-6.42%
JP:7952
Kawai Musical Instruments Manufacturing Co., Ltd.
2,427.00
-450.03
-15.64%

Yamaha Corporate Events

Yamaha Announces Progress in Treasury Stock Acquisition
Dec 1, 2025

Yamaha Corporation has announced the acquisition of 3,136,500 treasury shares, amounting to approximately ¥3.3 billion, as part of its ongoing share buyback program. This move is part of a broader strategy authorized by the Board of Directors to acquire up to 20 million shares, representing 4.4% of outstanding shares, with a maximum budget of ¥15 billion, aimed at enhancing shareholder value and optimizing capital structure.

Yamaha Announces Strategic Acquisition of Treasury Stock
Nov 4, 2025

Yamaha Corporation has announced its decision to acquire up to 20 million shares of its own stock, representing 4.4% of its outstanding shares, with a maximum acquisition cost of ¥15 billion. This move aims to enhance shareholder returns and improve capital efficiency, reflecting Yamaha’s strategic focus on optimizing its financial structure and delivering value to its stakeholders.

Yamaha Faces Revenue and Profit Decline Amid Market Challenges
Nov 4, 2025

Yamaha Corporation reported a decline in revenue and core operating profit for the first half of FY2026.3, attributed to sluggish market conditions in China, reduced demand for professional audio equipment, and a delayed recovery in Europe. The company anticipates continued challenges for the full fiscal year, with expectations of declining revenue and profit due to ongoing U.S. tariffs and unfavorable product and regional sales mix.

Yamaha Adjusts Full-Year Forecast Despite Q2 Revenue Dip
Nov 4, 2025

Yamaha Corporation reported a decrease in revenue and core operating profit for the second quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026, primarily due to lower piano sales in China and a slowdown in demand for professional audio equipment. Despite these challenges, the company revised its full-year earnings forecast upwards, driven by increased sales of musical instruments in North America and favorable exchange rate revisions, indicating a positive outlook for the remainder of the fiscal year.

Yamaha Reports Q2 FY2026 Financial Results with Increased Profitability
Nov 4, 2025

Yamaha Corporation reported its consolidated financial results for the second quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, showing a decrease in revenue by 5.2% compared to the previous year. Despite the drop in revenue, the company experienced a significant increase in interim profit before income taxes by 56.6%, indicating improved profitability. The company also highlighted a 3-for-1 stock split that took place in October 2024, affecting earnings per share calculations. The financial forecast for the fiscal year 2026 anticipates a slight decline in revenue but a substantial increase in profit attributable to owners of the parent, suggesting a focus on enhancing operational efficiency.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025