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Yamaha Corporation (JP:7951)
:7951

Yamaha (7951) AI Stock Analysis

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Yamaha

(OTC:7951)

69Neutral
Yamaha's stock is bolstered by its strong financial performance and strategic initiatives, particularly in the Audio Equipment segment. However, technical indicators and valuation metrics suggest caution, as the stock appears to be in a downward trend and potentially overvalued. The mixed sentiment from the earnings call further tempers expectations, balancing strong operational segments with challenges in the Musical Instrument business and net profit declines.

Yamaha (7951) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Yamaha Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionYamaha Corporation (7951) is a multinational corporation headquartered in Japan, recognized globally for its diverse range of products and services across several sectors. The company is primarily involved in the manufacturing and distribution of musical instruments, audio equipment, and electronic devices. Additionally, Yamaha has a significant presence in the motorcycle and marine industries through its affiliate Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd. Yamaha is renowned for its innovation and quality, making it a leading brand in both consumer and professional markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyYamaha Corporation makes money through a diversified revenue model that includes several key streams. A significant portion of its revenue comes from the sale of musical instruments, such as pianos, guitars, and drums, which are popular worldwide for their quality and craftsmanship. The company also generates income from audio equipment, including speakers and professional audio systems, serving both consumer and commercial clients. Another critical revenue stream is derived from the electronic devices segment, which encompasses a variety of products ranging from semiconductor manufacturing to industrial machinery. Furthermore, Yamaha benefits from its affiliation with Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd., which contributes to earnings through the sales of motorcycles, outboard motors, and other transportation products. Strategic partnerships and a strong global distribution network further enhance Yamaha's ability to reach diverse markets and maintain its competitive edge.

Yamaha Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Yamaha demonstrates strong financial health with commendable revenue growth, excellent profit margins, and a robust capital structure with minimal leverage. The income statement and balance sheet are particularly strong, while cash flow metrics show room for improvement in profitability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Yamaha's TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) financials show a strong gross profit margin of 38.09% and a net profit margin of 4.92%, indicating efficient cost management despite a slight reduction from the previous year. The revenue growth rate is commendable at 1.92% compared to the previous annual report. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 7.33% and 11.32%, respectively, showcasing healthy operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Yamaha maintains a strong balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03, reflecting minimal leverage and financial risk. The return on equity (ROE) is decent at 4.70%, indicating effective utilization of equity. The equity ratio stands strong at 77.88%, suggesting a solid capital structure with high equity financing.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The company's cash flow position is solid, with a free cash flow growth rate of 84.37% over the previous year, highlighting improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is a high 2.67, indicating strong cash earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly lower at 1.66, suggesting some room for improvement in cash profitability.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
471.77B462.87B451.41B408.20B372.63B414.23B
Gross Profit
179.76B171.08B171.14B154.72B142.91B168.26B
EBIT
34.61B33.65B46.48B49.32B35.04B43.33B
EBITDA
53.43B59.22B70.26B61.19B54.79B62.48B
Net Income Common Stockholders
23.21B29.64B38.18B37.27B26.61B34.62B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
120.49B106.45B104.97B176.85B137.92B105.61B
Total Assets
634.13B666.84B594.25B580.93B557.62B474.03B
Total Debt
16.25B17.93B17.67B27.90B28.53B32.06B
Net Debt
-98.58B-83.65B-86.22B-144.60B-100.82B-60.61B
Total Liabilities
138.81B155.03B136.30B165.00B160.67B147.59B
Stockholders Equity
494.00B510.59B456.84B414.77B395.96B325.41B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
38.58B20.92B-35.57B21.49B45.65B36.69B
Operating Cash Flow
61.87B43.84B-14.84B36.02B58.23B57.16B
Investing Cash Flow
7.66B-15.90B-21.56B43.71B-5.79B-21.07B
Financing Cash Flow
-50.41B-37.26B-35.29B-44.43B-20.60B-36.42B

Yamaha Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1005.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1093.00
Negative
100DMA
1085.41
Negative
200DMA
1109.96
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-14.63
Negative
RSI
41.26
Neutral
STOCH
38.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7951, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1005.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1025.36, below the 50-day MA of 1093.00, and below the 200-day MA of 1109.96, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -14.63 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:7951.

Yamaha Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$2.00T5.0215.47%4.23%6.27%19.66%
77
Outperform
¥3.70T16.238.98%2.71%6.29%30.68%
71
Outperform
¥7.18T6.818.11%4.78%12.25%15.01%
71
Outperform
$1.11T10.529.29%4.04%6.68%-32.72%
69
Neutral
$486.84B36.462.69%2.38%3.69%-18.27%
69
Neutral
$1.39T15.7412.94%1.73%15.31%
61
Neutral
$6.92B11.843.00%3.95%2.60%-21.94%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7951
Yamaha
1,005.50
-171.85
-14.60%
JP:7272
Yamaha Motor Co
1,158.50
-272.05
-19.02%
JP:6981
Murata Manufacturing Co
2,030.00
-711.16
-25.94%
JP:7012
Kawasaki Heavy Industries
8,652.00
3,062.21
54.78%
JP:7267
Honda Motor Co
1,488.50
-180.83
-10.83%
JP:7270
SUBARU
2,733.00
-412.05
-13.10%

Yamaha Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.92%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in the Audio Equipment business and strategic financial management through reduced shareholdings. However, challenges persist in the musical instruments segment, notably in China, and there are concerns over U.S. tariffs and decreased net income due to restructuring costs. The new medium-term management plan aims to address these issues and drive future growth.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Performance in Audio Equipment
Significant profit growth in the Audio Equipment business, driven by strong B2B sales and structural reforms. The B2B business enjoyed double-digit growth driven by the booming entertainment market.
Core Operating Profit Increase
Core operating profit increased to ¥36.7 billion, with a 7.9% margin, driven by FX impacts and cost-saving measures.
Strategic Shareholdings Reduction
The ratio of strategic shareholdings reduced from 18.5% to 10.1% of total equity, indicating efforts to streamline financial management.
New Medium-Term Management Plan
A new plan, 'Rebuild and Evolve,' focusing on sustainable growth, strengthening business foundations, and exploring new business domains.
Revenue and Profit Forecast for 2026
Forecasts for the fiscal year ending March 2026: revenue of ¥455 billion, core operating profit of ¥40 billion at an 8.8% margin, and net profit of ¥28.5 billion.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Musical Instruments
Revenue decline in the musical instruments segment due to sluggish market conditions in China and softening global demand for pianos.
Impact of U.S. Tariffs
Uncertainty and potential negative impact due to new U.S. tariffs, with an estimated impact of ¥14 billion on core operating profit.
Decreased Net Income
Net income decreased mainly due to ¥14.3 billion in structural reform expenses, including impairment loss on piano manufacturing facilities.
Consumer Audio Revenue Decline
Consumer Products revenue declined due to downsizing in the Home Audio business.
Lack of Robust Supply Chain
Failure to establish a robust supply chain capable of adequately responding to soaring material and logistics costs.
Company Guidance
In the call, the company provided guidance for the fiscal year ending March 2026, projecting revenue of ¥455 billion and a core operating profit of ¥40 billion, with a margin of 8.8%. Despite the ongoing challenges in the Chinese market, they anticipate positive revenue growth in real terms due to a global recovery in musical instrument sales. The company plans to address the U.S. tariffs by optimizing prices and reducing costs, estimating a potential impact of ¥14 billion on core operating profit from tariffs. Segment forecasts include a 9.2% core operating profit margin for musical instruments, 8.8% for audio equipment, and 2.5% for other businesses. The dividend forecast is ¥26 per share, which would be ¥78 per share on a pre-stock split basis. They aim to achieve an ROE of 6.3% for the fiscal year, improving from 2.8% in the previous year.

Yamaha Corporate Events

Yamaha Corporation Strengthens Corporate Governance for Sustainable Growth
Mar 27, 2025

Yamaha Corporation has outlined its corporate governance policies aimed at ensuring sustainable growth and enhancing enterprise value over the medium to long term. The company emphasizes transparency, shareholder rights, and social responsibility while maintaining strong relationships with stakeholders. Yamaha’s governance strategy includes cross-holdings that support sustainable growth and brand value enhancement, with regular reviews to ensure alignment with corporate objectives.

Yamaha Announces Cancellation of Treasury Shares
Mar 26, 2025

Yamaha Corporation has announced the cancellation of 28 million treasury shares, representing 5.27% of its issued shares, following a buyback completed on March 24, 2025. This strategic move is expected to optimize the company’s capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value by reducing the number of outstanding shares.

Yamaha Completes Treasury Stock Acquisition
Mar 25, 2025

Yamaha Corporation has completed the acquisition of 2,160,700 treasury shares for approximately ¥2.52 billion, as part of a broader plan to acquire up to 35 million shares by November 2025. This move is part of Yamaha’s ongoing strategy to manage its capital structure and enhance shareholder value, reflecting its commitment to optimizing financial operations and market positioning.

Yamaha Corporation Acquires Treasury Shares to Enhance Shareholder Value
Mar 3, 2025

Yamaha Corporation announced the acquisition of 25,043,200 treasury shares valued at approximately ¥27.48 billion, as part of a broader share repurchase program authorized by its Board of Directors. This move is aimed at enhancing shareholder value and optimizing capital structure, reflecting Yamaha’s strategic focus on strengthening its financial position and market competitiveness.

Yamaha Corporation Announces Key Management Changes
Feb 26, 2025

Yamaha Corporation announced significant management changes, effective April 1, 2025, including the promotion of Masato Oshiki to Managing Executive Officer and the appointment of several new Executive and Operating Officers. These changes are part of Yamaha’s strategy to strengthen its leadership team and enhance its operational efficiency, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

Yamaha Completes Major Share Repurchase to Boost Capital Efficiency
Feb 18, 2025

Yamaha Corporation has completed the acquisition of 23,799,000 shares of its common stock through the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s Off-Auction Own Share Repurchase Trading, at a cost of ¥1,097.5 per share, totaling ¥26,119,402,500. This move is aimed at enhancing shareholder returns and improving capital efficiency, indicating a strategic effort to strengthen its financial standing and market position.

Yamaha Initiates Significant Treasury Stock Acquisition
Feb 17, 2025

Yamaha Corporation announced its decision to acquire 27 million shares of its own stock through the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s Off-Auction Own Share Repurchase Trading. This move, part of a broader strategy to acquire a maximum of 35 million shares, is aimed at optimizing its capital structure. The acquisition will begin on February 18, 2025, and is expected to impact the company’s shareholder value positively, with key stakeholders like Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd. and Mitsui Sumitomo Insurance Co., Ltd. expressing intentions to sell shares.

Yamaha to Enhance Shareholder Value with Significant Stock Buyback
Feb 5, 2025

Yamaha Corporation has announced its decision to acquire up to 35 million shares of its own common stock, representing 7.3% of outstanding shares, at a maximum total value of ¥30 billion. This move, aimed at improving shareholder returns and capital efficiency, involves purchasing shares on the Tokyo Stock Exchange from February 18, 2025, to November 30, 2025, with plans to cancel all acquired treasury shares, potentially impacting shareholder value and market dynamics.

Yamaha Reports Mixed Results Amid Strategic Shifts
Feb 5, 2025

Yamaha Corporation reported a decline in revenue for the first three quarters of FY2025.3 due to weak performance in its musical instrument business, particularly in China. However, the company saw an increase in core operating profit driven by strong performance in audio equipment and cost reductions. Looking forward, the company anticipates a decrease in full-year core operating profit due to one-time expenses, including special retirement costs related to the consolidation of its piano manufacturing facilities.

Yamaha Revises Financial Forecasts Amid Increased Costs
Feb 5, 2025

Yamaha Corporation has revised its consolidated financial forecasts for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, keeping revenue expectations unchanged but reducing profit forecasts due to increased costs. This adjustment is largely due to unanticipated processing costs in the audio equipment sector and additional expenses related to its Indonesian piano production facilities, affecting its operating profit and earnings per share projections.

Yamaha Reports Increased Revenue Amid Restructuring Challenges
Feb 5, 2025

Yamaha Corporation reported an increase in revenue for the third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2025, driven by strong sales in digital pianos and professional audio equipment, despite challenges in the musical instruments market due to a slump in China. However, profits decreased due to restructuring costs associated with the closure of Indonesian piano factories. Looking ahead, Yamaha maintains its revenue forecast for the full fiscal year but revises its profit outlook downwards due to additional restructuring costs and one-time processing expenses in the audio equipment segment.

Yamaha Corporation Reports Third Quarter Results with Stock Split Impact
Feb 5, 2025

Yamaha Corporation reported a slight revenue increase through the third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2025, despite a decrease in core operating and net profits. The company conducted a 3-for-1 stock split, impacting dividends and earnings per share, which could influence shareholder perception and financial stability.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.