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Carchs Holdings Co., Ltd. (JP:7602)
:7602
Japanese Market

Carchs Holdings Co., Ltd. (7602) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7602

Carchs Holdings Co., Ltd.

(7602)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
¥237.00
▲(28.11% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/21/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance—persistent losses and negative operating/free cash flow—despite some balance-sheet support from equity. Technicals are mixed with longer-term averages supportive but near-term trend and momentum weak. Valuation is difficult to support with a negative P/E, and the dividend yield is modest.
Positive Factors
Balance-sheet equity strength
A high equity ratio provides structural balance-sheet stability that cushions operating volatility and gives the firm capacity to absorb losses or support dealer operations. This supports continued access to capital and operational continuity over the next several months even with earnings pressure.
Multiple dealership revenue streams
Revenue from new/used vehicle sales, after-sales services, and ancillary F&I streams creates diversified cash inflows. Recurring after-sales and parts revenue tends to be more stable than vehicle sales and supports gross-margin resilience and customer lifetime value over the medium term.
Dealership/after-sales operating model
A dealership network and ownership of service workshops enable direct customer relationships, repeat-service revenue and cross-selling. Those structural advantages support steady aftermarket margins and customer retention, which can underpin recovery when new-vehicle volumes normalize.
Negative Factors
Negative operating & free cash flow
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow weakens the firm's ability to fund operations, invest in service capacity, or support dealers without external financing. Over 2–6 months this impairs strategic flexibility and raises refinancing and liquidity pressure if not reversed.
Persistent losses and margin pressure
Ongoing negative EBIT and shrinking gross margins indicate structural cost or pricing issues in core retail operations. Persistent losses erode retained earnings and make it harder to invest in digital, inventory or service improvements needed to regain competitive margins over the medium term.
Rising leverage, declining cash buffers
Increasing leverage combined with falling cash and short-term investments reduces financial flexibility and heightens solvency risk if macro or demand conditions deteriorate. This constrains the firm's ability to pursue growth or withstand prolonged weak operations in coming months.

Carchs Holdings Co., Ltd. (7602) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Carchs Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLedax Co., Ltd. engages in the management of its subsidiaries which are involved in the automobile business. Its services include purchase, sale, and distribution of cars. The company was founded on December 10, 1987 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyCarchs Holdings generates revenue through multiple streams. The primary revenue model is based on transaction fees collected from buyers and sellers using its online platforms. Additionally, the company earns money through value-added services such as vehicle inspections and certifications, which help build trust and transparency in transactions. Financing solutions offered in partnership with financial institutions further contribute to its revenue. Significant partnerships with automotive dealerships and financial service providers enhance Carchs' market reach and provide additional income opportunities. The growing trend of digitalization in the automotive sector also supports the company's revenue growth as more consumers turn to online platforms for vehicle transactions.

Carchs Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals: the company is reporting negative EBIT and net income, alongside negative operating and free cash flow. The balance sheet provides some stability via a strong equity position, but rising leverage and declining cash add risk while profitability remains pressured.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Carchs Holdings Co., Ltd. has faced declining profitability with negative EBIT and net income in the latest period. Revenue growth was modest, but gross profit margins have decreased over the years, indicating cost structure challenges. Persistent net losses suggest financial instability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a strong equity position with a high equity ratio, reflecting some stability. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio in recent years points to increased leverage, which could pose risks if profitability does not improve. The declining trend in cash and short-term investments is also concerning.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Carchs Holdings has experienced deteriorating cash flows, with negative operating and free cash flow in the latest period. The negative free cash flow growth rate and poor cash conversion metrics highlight liquidity concerns, potentially impacting future operations and investments.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue19.59B20.03B19.07B19.06B18.38B16.03B
Gross Profit2.85B2.90B3.15B2.69B3.36B3.50B
EBITDA-204.09M-1.49M243.28M-373.04M-157.84M330.50M
Net Income-301.69M-187.40M73.10M-514.87M-293.30M157.63M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.79B7.07B7.26B6.73B7.63B7.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.43B1.66B2.32B1.73B2.20B2.83B
Total Debt651.01M658.53M401.38M629.86M655.78M86.05M
Total Liabilities2.11B2.21B2.22B1.82B2.18B1.88B
Stockholders Equity4.43B4.61B4.81B4.73B5.28B5.61B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-873.13M781.69M-411.34M-1.27B-482.43M
Operating Cash Flow0.00-861.24M875.09M-311.25M-1.05B-319.63M
Investing Cash Flow0.0016.78M-67.93M499.87M-99.63M-181.97M
Financing Cash Flow0.0091.08M-228.62M-59.67M515.01M-112.06M

Carchs Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price185.00
Price Trends
50DMA
220.94
Positive
100DMA
176.83
Positive
200DMA
155.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.82
Positive
RSI
46.72
Neutral
STOCH
58.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7602, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 185 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 246.45, below the 50-day MA of 220.94, and above the 200-day MA of 155.25, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.82 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:7602.

Carchs Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
¥2.49B10.683.25%8.21%9.93%
71
Outperform
¥8.19B10.472.82%6.55%1.07%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
¥4.96B5.884.45%-2.69%-48.36%
58
Neutral
¥5.74B18.092.74%9.13%87.04%
48
Neutral
¥4.68B-17.441.08%-2.36%-1738.42%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7602
Carchs Holdings Co., Ltd.
213.00
76.00
55.47%
JP:2788
Apple International Co., Ltd.
351.00
-40.18
-10.27%
JP:3011
Banners Co., Ltd.
151.00
18.72
14.15%
JP:3377
BIKE-O & Co., Ltd.
412.00
20.64
5.27%
JP:7134
UP GARAGE GROUP Co.,Ltd.
1,040.00
55.00
5.58%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 21, 2026