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ADVAN GROUP CO. LTD. (JP:7463)
:7463
Japanese Market

ADVAN GROUP CO. LTD. (7463) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7463

ADVAN GROUP CO. LTD.

(7463)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,159.00
▲(26.67% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:01/12/26
The score is driven by attractive valuation (low P/E and strong dividend yield) and constructive technical momentum. This is tempered by mixed financial quality—recent revenue decline, inconsistent operating profitability, and uneven cash-flow conversion/volatile free cash flow.
Positive Factors
High Net Profitability
Sustained high net margins (around 16%–51%, ~41% TTM) indicate strong pricing power or low incremental costs in core activities. Over months, this margin buffer supports resilience through cycles, funds shareholder returns, and provides capacity to invest in product/market initiatives without immediate revenue growth.
Manageable Leverage and Solid ROE
Moderate leverage (D/E ~0.27–0.45 historically, ~0.37 TTM) with a mid-teens ROE (~14% TTM) signals a balanced capital structure. This durability gives the firm flexibility to fund operations, maintain dividends, and pursue selective investments without excessive refinancing risk over the next several months.
Stable Gross Margins and Positive OCF
Consistently strong gross margins (~39%–46%) paired with positive operating cash flow across periods show core business economics are sound. This stability underpins cash generation for working capital and distributions, making short-to-medium term funding of operations and maintenance capex more predictable.
Negative Factors
Recent Revenue Decline
A multi-period revenue decline (TTM down ~4.3%) is a structural risk if it persists: shrinking top-line reduces operating leverage, limits reinvestment capacity, and can erode market position. Over 2–6 months this trend could pressure margins and return metrics if not reversed by new demand or product initiatives.
Weak Cash Conversion & Volatile FCF
Inconsistent conversion of earnings to cash and volatile free cash flow (FCF ~¥1.0B TTM, down ~18%) reduce financial flexibility. This makes funding dividends, capex, or growth initiatives less reliable and raises the risk that reported profits may not translate into sustainable cash available to stakeholders.
Inconsistent Operating Profitability / Earnings Quality
A negative operating margin in TTM alongside strong net income points to one-offs, non-operating gains, or accounting timing differences. This undermines confidence in recurring earnings and suggests reported profitability may not be fully sustainable across business cycles or comparable periods.

ADVAN GROUP CO. LTD. (7463) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

ADVAN GROUP CO. LTD. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAdvan Group Co., Ltd. manufactures, imports, and sells building materials in Japan. It provides building materials, such as tiles, kitchen products, floorings, around the water products, garage doors, stones and natural stones, washbasins, faucets, vinyl floor tiles, bricks, and wood-burning stoves. The company was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyADVAN GROUP CO. LTD. generates revenue through multiple streams, including the sale of advanced materials and components to manufacturers in the electronics and telecommunications industries. The company typically operates on a B2B model, supplying products that are critical for the production of consumer electronics, industrial equipment, and telecommunications infrastructure. Key revenue streams include direct sales of high-performance materials, long-term contracts with major electronics manufacturers, and potential licensing agreements for proprietary technologies. Additionally, strategic partnerships with leading companies in relevant sectors bolster its market position and contribute to sustained revenue growth.

ADVAN GROUP CO. LTD. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong reported profitability and a reasonably leveraged balance sheet (moderate debt-to-equity; solid ROE), but revenue has recently turned negative and operating results/cash conversion are inconsistent. Volatile free cash flow and weaker conversion from earnings reduce confidence in profit sustainability.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Profitability is a clear strength: gross margins have stayed around ~39%–46% across the period, and net profit margins are unusually high (about 16%–51%), including ~41% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). However, the growth picture has softened—revenue is down in the most recent periods (TTM revenue down ~4.3% and slightly negative in the last two annual reports). Reported operating profitability is also inconsistent, with TTM showing a negative operating margin despite strong net income, suggesting earnings quality/recurringness may be uneven period to period.
Balance Sheet
76
Positive
Leverage looks manageable with debt-to-equity in a moderate range (~0.27–0.45 historically, ~0.37 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)), supported by a sizable equity base. Returns to shareholders are solid overall (roughly ~7%–21% ROE historically, ~14% in TTM), though they have cooled from the prior peak. The main weakness is the recent drift lower in ROE alongside declining revenue, which can pressure balance-sheet efficiency if the trend continues.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash generation is mixed. Operating cash flow is positive in all periods shown, but conversion from earnings is inconsistent (operating cash flow is well below net income in recent years), and free cash flow has been volatile—negative in some years and only ~¥1.0B in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), down ~18% versus the prior period. Strengths include a rebound from prior negative free cash flow and continued positive operating cash flow, but the weaker cash conversion and choppy free-cash-flow profile reduce confidence in the sustainability of reported profits.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2023Mar 2023Mar 2021Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.39B18.52B20.30B20.40B17.57B17.09B
Gross Profit6.77B7.35B8.15B8.57B7.61B7.91B
EBITDA4.62B9.61B17.02B5.88B6.45B4.86B
Net Income5.46B6.01B10.30B3.36B3.82B2.73B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets82.29B80.29B78.70B64.53B57.59B56.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.60B16.07B18.02B16.25B13.00B13.91B
Total Debt19.40B22.05B21.83B18.92B11.58B13.72B
Total Liabilities24.16B26.43B29.11B22.18B14.93B15.98B
Stockholders Equity58.12B53.86B49.58B42.36B42.66B40.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow992.52M-117.58M2.24B-97.74M2.64B4.44B
Operating Cash Flow3.61B1.89B4.97B3.75B3.21B5.46B
Investing Cash Flow-3.63B1.19B-5.58B-8.09B-506.70M-4.68B
Financing Cash Flow-6.39B-1.64B-492.22M3.76B-3.94B-1.86B

ADVAN GROUP CO. LTD. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price915.00
Price Trends
50DMA
960.20
Positive
100DMA
917.30
Positive
200DMA
880.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
19.11
Negative
RSI
59.55
Neutral
STOCH
75.75
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7463, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 915 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 985.45, below the 50-day MA of 960.20, and above the 200-day MA of 880.20, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 19.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.75 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7463.

ADVAN GROUP CO. LTD. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
¥100.50B8.242.30%-0.22%25.09%
75
Outperform
¥32.39B6.264.33%-1.31%67.27%
75
Outperform
¥28.03B8.403.52%6.15%17.51%
73
Outperform
¥29.79B15.655.04%-2.29%-41.92%
68
Neutral
¥13.62B10.153.42%8.37%8.13%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
58
Neutral
¥2.99B18.611.59%-4.01%-41.29%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7463
ADVAN GROUP CO. LTD.
1,015.00
152.28
17.65%
JP:5290
Vertex Corp.
1,791.00
924.41
106.67%
JP:5356
Mino Ceramic Co., Ltd.
1,329.00
520.80
64.44%
JP:5357
Yotai Refractories Co., Ltd.
2,012.00
397.70
24.64%
JP:5363
TYK Corporation
634.00
203.56
47.29%
JP:5386
Tsuruya Co., Ltd.
390.00
26.90
7.41%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 12, 2026