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AHC Group Inc (JP:7083)
:7083
Japanese Market

AHC Group Inc (7083) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7083

AHC Group Inc

(7083)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
¥704.00
▼(-19.36% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/10/26
The score is held down primarily by weaker financial quality—high and rising leverage, volatile profitability (sharp 2025 earnings compression), and inconsistent free cash flow—combined with a strong technical downtrend (below all major moving averages and very weak momentum). Valuation is mixed: a modest dividend yield helps, but a negative P/E reflects unstable earnings.
Positive Factors
Steady revenue growth
Consistent topline growth across multiple years indicates durable demand for the company’s healthcare-plan services. Steady revenue provides a foundation for margin recovery, reinvestment and debt servicing over the next 2–6 months, reducing execution risk versus cyclical peers.
Negative Factors
High and rising leverage
Elevated, increasing debt materially constrains financial flexibility and amplifies refinancing and interest-rate risk. With equity little changed, leverage raises the probability that margin pressure or cash-flow hiccups could force austerity measures or costly funding solutions within a multi-quarter horizon.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Steady revenue growth
Consistent topline growth across multiple years indicates durable demand for the company’s healthcare-plan services. Steady revenue provides a foundation for margin recovery, reinvestment and debt servicing over the next 2–6 months, reducing execution risk versus cyclical peers.
Read all positive factors

AHC Group Inc (7083) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

AHC Group Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
AHC Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the welfare, nursing care, restaurant, and other businesses in Japan. Its welfare services include after-school day and child development, employment transition, employment continuation, ...
How the Company Makes Money
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AHC Group Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue growth is steady, but profitability is volatile (earnings compressed sharply in 2025 to near breakeven). Leverage is elevated and rising, with debt high versus equity, which limits flexibility. Cash flow is uneven, with free cash flow turning negative again in 2025 after a strong 2024.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Cash Flow
40
Negative
BreakdownTTMNov 2025Nov 2024Nov 2023Nov 2022Nov 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.44B6.66B6.28B5.92B4.90B4.11B
Gross Profit678.02M701.29M678.45M506.74M243.31M163.46M
EBITDA210.93M272.50M270.82M167.95M-132.15M-150.95M
Net Income59.57M1.02M98.31M67.86M-253.89M1.31M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.97B6.09B5.80B5.25B5.21B4.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.44B2.44B2.42B2.05B2.06B2.49B
Total Debt4.02B4.20B3.90B3.56B3.56B2.93B
Total Liabilities4.75B4.91B4.60B4.09B4.12B3.40B
Stockholders Equity1.22B1.18B1.20B1.16B1.09B1.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-88.27M215.37M-266.08M-736.42M-870.46M
Operating Cash Flow0.00192.54M439.48M97.99M-102.69M-12.32M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-395.71M-358.65M-94.13M-909.08M-670.09M
Financing Cash Flow0.00224.65M290.88M-15.08M582.03M879.48M

AHC Group Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price873.00
Price Trends
50DMA
790.52
Negative
100DMA
825.78
Negative
200DMA
868.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-19.92
Negative
RSI
36.65
Neutral
STOCH
37.13
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7083, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 873 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 740.65, above the 50-day MA of 790.52, and above the 200-day MA of 868.06, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -19.92 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:7083.

AHC Group Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
¥2.92B4.692.82%4.82%9.78%
74
Outperform
¥2.83B27.022.56%-3.06%-38.56%
69
Neutral
¥2.01B15.4132.45%58.25%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
¥5.89B23.204.07%6.08%38.00%
49
Neutral
¥1.26B14.802.81%-42.50%
41
Neutral
¥1.54B1,809.141.44%4.95%-74.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7083
AHC Group Inc
727.00
-195.00
-21.15%
JP:2373
Care Twentyone Corporation
436.00
61.14
16.31%
JP:2425
Care Service Co., Ltd.
747.00
-5.39
-0.72%
JP:7362
Terminalcare Support Institute, Inc.
821.00
63.00
8.31%
JP:9214
Recovery International Co.,Ltd.
1,421.00
183.00
14.78%
JP:9220
FB CARE SERVICE CO.,LTD.
1,198.00
317.40
36.04%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 10, 2026