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Terminalcare Support Institute, Inc. (JP:7362)
:7362
Japanese Market

Terminalcare Support Institute, Inc. (7362) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7362

Terminalcare Support Institute, Inc.

(7362)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
¥812.00
▲(1.63% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is held back primarily by weakening profitability, rising leverage, and sustained negative free cash flow, which together elevate financial risk. Technical indicators are mildly supportive and valuation appears moderate, but these are not strong enough to offset the financial pressure.
Positive Factors
Consistent Revenue Growth
Sustained top-line growth across 2020–2025 indicates durable demand and expanding service penetration in its care facilities business. Persistent revenue expansion supports scale economics and provides a base for margin recovery and reinvestment even if profitability is pressured.
Positive Net Income
Maintaining positive net income through margin pressure demonstrates the company’s ability to generate accounting profits and continue operations. This underwriting of profitability supports creditor confidence and gives management time to restore margins without immediate solvency risk.
Defensive Operating Profile (Low Beta)
A low beta reflects lower sensitivity to market swings consistent with a medical-care facilities operator. That defensive volatility profile suggests steadier cash flows and planning reliability, which helps long-term debt management and strategic execution in a stable demand sector.
Negative Factors
Rising Leverage
A material increase in leverage over a few years reduces financial flexibility and raises interest and refinancing risk. Higher debt loads magnify the impact of any future operating setbacks and constrain the firm’s ability to invest organically or pursue opportunistic M&A without raising costly external capital.
Sustained Negative Free Cash Flow
Prolonged negative free cash flow erodes liquidity and forces reliance on external funding or asset sales to support operations and capex. Over multiple years this undermines balance-sheet resilience and increases the probability of covenant pressure or restricted strategic choices.
Margin Compression & Earnings Volatility
Shrinking gross and operating margins and swings in earnings weaken internal cash generation and reduce the cushion against cost shocks. Persistent margin deterioration makes earnings less reliable for servicing higher debt and limits capacity to rebuild reserves or fund growth.

Terminalcare Support Institute, Inc. (7362) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Terminalcare Support Institute, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTerminalcare Support Institute Inc. provides home-visit care, preventive care, home-care support, and home-visit nursing services in Japan. It also offers housing for the elderly services. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Kyoto, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyTerminalcare Support Institute, Inc. generates revenue through multiple streams, including tuition fees from training and certification programs offered to healthcare professionals, consultation fees for personalized care strategy development, and sales of educational materials and resources related to terminal care. Additionally, the company may partner with healthcare institutions and organizations to provide tailored training solutions, earning revenue through service contracts. Grants and funding from healthcare foundations and government programs aimed at improving palliative care practices also contribute to the company's financial sustainability.

Terminalcare Support Institute, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite consistent revenue growth, profitability has weakened sharply with margin compression and earnings volatility. Leverage has risen materially (debt-to-equity increasing to ~2.5x by 2025), and cash generation is a major concern with deeply negative free cash flow for three consecutive years (2023–2025).
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Revenue has grown consistently from 2020 to 2025 (with a strong step-up in 2022 and continued growth thereafter), but profitability has weakened notably. Gross margin and overall profit margin trended down over time, and 2025 shows very thin operating profit relative to sales versus prior years (a sharp drop from 2024). Net income remains positive, but the margin compression and earnings volatility reduce confidence in current-period earnings quality.
Balance Sheet
44
Neutral
The balance sheet is more leveraged over time, with debt rising materially versus equity: debt-to-equity increased from ~1.2x (2022) to ~2.5x (2025). Assets and equity have grown, but the faster build in debt increases financial risk and reduces flexibility if operating performance stays pressured. The trend is the key concern rather than absolute size.
Cash Flow
29
Negative
Cash generation has deteriorated: operating cash flow is modest in 2023–2025 versus profits, and free cash flow is deeply negative for three consecutive years (2023–2025), indicating heavy investment and/or working-capital strain not being funded by internal cash generation. While 2022 showed strong cash flow and positive free cash flow, the subsequent reversal and ongoing cash burn are the primary weakness.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.78B4.89B4.71B4.25B4.10B3.40B
Gross Profit652.76M626.27M664.67M646.76M685.84M599.50M
EBITDA277.80M205.09M321.42M300.83M334.75M284.93M
Net Income83.49M81.97M113.77M126.67M157.54M138.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.32B5.81B4.80B4.09B3.03B2.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments887.13M1.19B1.13B1.38B1.09B874.72M
Total Debt3.26B3.58B2.81B2.26B1.34B1.43B
Total Liabilities4.00B4.39B3.49B2.90B1.95B1.95B
Stockholders Equity1.32B1.41B1.31B1.19B1.08B927.37M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-691.25M-797.40M-597.43M303.05M-57.27M
Operating Cash Flow0.00287.23M304.51M238.18M812.73M462.19M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-1.01B-1.10B-836.33M-510.68M-523.54M
Financing Cash Flow0.00771.09M545.64M892.46M-90.11M523.02M

Terminalcare Support Institute, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price799.00
Price Trends
50DMA
802.52
Positive
100DMA
811.28
Negative
200DMA
816.04
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.95
Positive
RSI
50.91
Neutral
STOCH
20.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7362, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 799 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 810.55, below the 50-day MA of 802.52, and below the 200-day MA of 816.04, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.95 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7362.

Terminalcare Support Institute, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
¥3.00B6.242.82%4.82%9.78%
75
Outperform
¥3.03B13.132.56%-3.06%-38.56%
68
Neutral
¥3.31B63.452.64%4.69%103.59%
64
Neutral
¥7.82B13.421.80%18.58%-6.30%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
¥1.24B15.032.81%-42.50%
45
Neutral
¥7.63B27.361.41%18.03%-11.68%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7362
Terminalcare Support Institute, Inc.
810.00
-63.00
-7.22%
JP:2425
Care Service Co., Ltd.
800.00
-28.73
-3.47%
JP:7061
Japan Hospice Holdings Inc.
905.00
-619.25
-40.63%
JP:7129
Miahelsa Holdings Corporation
1,182.00
110.98
10.36%
JP:7133
HYUGA PRIMARY CARE Co.,Ltd.
1,075.00
-383.05
-26.27%
JP:9220
FB CARE SERVICE CO.,LTD.
1,230.00
302.13
32.56%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026